Louis Marinaro

P Hickory Crawdads

Age 22 LHP 6'1" / 195 lbs A peak 0.3 · 2029

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	21	ATEX	36	53	3.08	1.94	32.6%	10.2%	—	K 24.1% · BB 12.1% · FIP 2.93
2027PROJ	22	MLBTEX	35	37	4.43	4.43	23.8%	11.6%	0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBTEX	23	24	4.31	4.23	24.5%	10.5%	0.1
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBTEX	33	35	4.19	4.10	25.0%	9.8%	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsBrian Marconi (age 24) · Taylor Tankersley (age 23) · Keylan Killgore (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101109vR 117

ERA4.43

FIP4.43

K%23.8%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%12.3%

Proj IP37

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	36	0	53	215	70	22	1	0%	1.5	24.1%	12.1%	12.0%	0.6%	3.08	2.93	—
2026	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	36	0	53	215	70	22	1	0%	1.5	24.1%	12.1%	12.0%	0.6%	3.08	2.93	—
2026	21	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	36	0	53	215	70	22	1	0%	1.5	32.6%	10.2%	22.3%	0.5%	3.08	1.94	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	TEX	35	0	37	156	37	18	4	0%	1.1	23.8%	11.6%	12.3%	2.7%	4.43	4.43	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	TEX	47	0	49	208	51	22	6	0%	1.0	24.5%	10.5%	14.0%	2.7%	4.31	4.23	+0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	TEX	48	0	50	213	53	21	6	0%	1.1	25.0%	9.8%	15.2%	2.7%	4.19	4.10	+0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	TEX	49	0	51	215	54	20	6	0%	1.0	25.3%	9.4%	15.9%	2.7%	4.10	4.03	+0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	TEX	49	0	51	215	55	20	6	0%	1.0	25.4%	9.4%	16.1%	2.7%	4.05	4.01	+0.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	TEX	48	0	50	212	54	20	6	0%	1.0	25.4%	9.5%	16.0%	2.8%	4.05	4.05	+0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	TEX	23	0	24	101	25	11	3	0%	1.0	24.5%	10.5%	14.0%	2.7%	4.31	4.23	+0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	TEX	33	0	35	148	37	15	4	0%	1.1	25.0%	9.8%	15.2%	2.7%	4.19	4.10	+0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	TEX	39	0	41	173	44	16	5	0%	1.1	25.3%	9.4%	15.9%	2.7%	4.10	4.03	+0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	TEX	43	0	45	190	48	18	5	0%	1.0	25.4%	9.4%	16.1%	2.7%	4.05	4.01	+0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	TEX	43	0	45	190	48	18	5	0%	1.0	25.4%	9.5%	16.0%	2.8%	4.05	4.05	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		182	0	191	805	203	78	22	0%	1.0	25.2%	9.6%	15.6%	2.7%	4.12	3.69	+1.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	213	82	23	0%	1.0	25.2%	9.6%	15.6%	2.7%	4.12	3.69	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		36	0	53	215	52	26	1	0%	1.5	24.1%	12.1%	12.0%	0.6%	3.08	2.93	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	0	200	816	197	99	5	0%	1.5	24.1%	12.1%	12.0%	0.6%	3.08	2.93	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Louis Marinaro (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.43	23.8%	11.6%	2.7%	—	4.12	24.9%	15.0%	151	-0.31	—	—	—
Brian Marconi L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.3%	12.3%	2.5%	.265	5.02	20.3%	2.1%	57	+1.13	3.89	101	89
Taylor Tankersley L 2006 · 3.65 FIP	23	SU	3.65	25.8%	11.8%	2.2%	.271	4.62	21.6%	9.8%	65	+0.97	3.65	118	88
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	87
Wesley Moore L 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	25.9%	13.2%	1.9%	.254	4.18	18.3%	5.6%	58	+0.56	3.62	111	87
Ronnie Glenn L 2015 · 3.47 FIP	22	SU	3.47	20.9%	9.9%	1.6%	.330	5.00	11.1%	-2.6%	171	+1.53	3.47	212	86
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	86
Andrew Sisco L 2005 · 3.61 FIP	22	SU	3.61	23.1%	11.6%	1.8%	.297	4.71	18.5%	5.8%	72	+1.10	3.61	148	86
Wesley Wright L 2008 · 4.45 FIP	23	SU	4.45	22.8%	12.0%	3.2%	.239	4.90	21.6%	11.6%	78	+0.45	3.03	375	85
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.89	22.1%	8.8%	105	-0.31	3.14	161	85
Quintin Torres-Costa L 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	25.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.340	2.51	24.8%	12.9%	55	-1.45	2.51	248	85
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	85
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	84
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	84
Daniel Zamora L 2016 · 3.57 FIP	23	SU	3.57	20.3%	10.8%	1.5%	.294	2.75	24.7%	16.8%	135	-0.82	2.15	310	84
Jerry Vasto L 2015 · 3.28 FIP	23	SU	3.28	21.2%	9.5%	1.4%	.265	3.52	23.3%	12.8%	147	+0.24	2.89	206	84
Marlon Perez L 2022 · 3.30 FIP	22	SU	3.30	20.5%	9.0%	1.4%	.250	4.15	22.9%	12.2%	103	+0.85	3.30	145	83
Trey Cumbie L 2019 · 3.44 FIP	23	SU	3.44	22.5%	12.6%	1.2%	.318	4.78	24.4%	8.7%	91	+1.34	3.44	152	83
Chazz Martinez L 2023 · 3.76 FIP	23	SU	3.76	22.2%	12.7%	1.7%	.361	3.40	20.8%	7.9%	135	-0.36	3.06	199	83
Daniel Stumpf L 2015 · 4.31 FIP	24	SU	4.31	20.8%	11.5%	2.8%	.268	3.54	22.5%	15.3%	123	-0.77	1.84	238	82
Mike Zagurski L 2007 · 4.10 FIP	24	SU	4.10	20.8%	8.9%	3.0%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.4	48	25.0%	10.0%	1.05	4.18
Frank Francisco ('14)	1.9	55	25.6%	10.3%	0.96	4.01
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.5	50	24.0%	10.2%	0.92	3.81
Hansel Robles ('22)	2.1	61	25.3%	10.2%	1.20	4.11
Alberto Reyes ('95-'08, 5 WAR*)	2.1	54	27.1%*	10.2%*	1.18*	3.66*
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*
Rob Murphy ('85-'95, 6 WAR*)	3.1	69	25.2%*	9.2%*	1.07*	3.94*