Dylan Grego

SS Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 23 S/R 6'1" / 195 lbs A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	ASD	138	.246/.328/.369	3	2	56	—	.198/.263/.286
2026	22	A+SD	155	.163/.236/.252	1	1	2	—	.130/.189/.203
2026	22	ASD	158	.237/.321/.396	4	3	53	—	.194/.256/.319
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBSD	443	.192/.252/.286	6	7	52	-0.6
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBSD	126	.194/.255/.294	2	2	57	-0.2
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBSD	200	.197/.259/.303	3	4	61	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Z-Con%61

Whiff%53

Speed31

ISO20

K%17

BB%17

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsYasel Antuna (age 23) · Arquímedes Gamboa (age 23) · Jacob Berry (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .250 / .284

PA320

HR4

SB5

K%31

BB%7

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 31 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT31

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	138	122	30	4	1	3	14	32	1	2	1	246	328	369	697	123	307	23	10	315	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	20	18	9	3	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	500	550	667	1.217	167	600	15	10	534	204	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	155	135	22	7	1	1	12	49	1	1	2	163	236	252	488	89	241	32	8	216	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	158	139	33	6	2	4	16	34	1	3	2	237	321	396	716	158	284	22	10	317	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	138	126	25	3	1	2	10	46	1	2	1	198	263	286	548	87	289	33	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	20	19	9	3	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	474	500	632	1.132	158	565	20	5	469	204	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	155	138	18	5	1	1	9	62	1	1	2	130	189	203	392	72	208	40	6	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	158	144	28	5	2	3	11	46	1	3	2	194	256	319	576	125	249	29	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	138	126	25	3	1	2	10	46	1	2	1	198	263	286	548	87	291	33	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	138	122	30	4	1	3	14	32	1	2	1	246	328	369	697	123	307	23	10	315	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	333	301	55	13	3	4	21	112	2	4	4	183	241	286	526	103	271	34	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	3 teams	—	333	292	64	16	3	5	30	86	2	4	4	219	296	346	642	127	289	26	9	283	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	138	126	25	3	1	2	10	46	1	2	1	198	263	286	548	87	289	33	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	333	307	55	13	3	4	21	112	2	4	4	179	241	280	521	101	249	34	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	138	126	25	3	1	2	10	46	1	2	1	198	263	286	548	87	289	33	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	333	307	55	13	3	4	21	112	2	4	4	179	241	280	521	101	249	34	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SD	0%	443	407	78	16	2	6	30	137	3	7	3	192	252	286	539	94	270	31	7	245	52	-26	+0	+0	+5	+10	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	SD	30%	420	385	76	16	2	6	29	127	3	7	3	197	258	299	557	102	273	30	7	252	57	-22	+0	+0	+4	+9	-0.8
2029	25	MLB MLE	SD	44%	453	415	83	17	2	8	32	135	3	8	3	200	262	308	570	108	274	30	7	258	61	-21	+0	+0	+5	+10	-0.6
2030	26	MLB MLE	SD	51%	472	432	87	18	2	8	33	139	4	8	3	203	266	314	580	111	275	29	7	261	63	-21	+0	+0	+5	+10	-0.5
2031	27	MLB MLE	SD	52%	477	436	89	18	2	9	34	139	4	8	3	204	267	316	584	112	275	29	7	263	64	-20	+0	+0	+5	+10	-0.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	SD	53%	475	435	89	18	2	9	34	138	3	8	3	204	268	317	585	112	275	29	7	264	65	-20	+0	-1	+5	+10	-0.5
2028	24	MLB CTX	SD	30%	126	115	22	4	1	2	9	38	1	2	1	194	255	294	549	100	267	30	7	249	57	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	SD	44%	200	183	36	7	1	3	14	60	1	4	1	197	259	303	562	106	268	30	7	254	61	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	SD	51%	239	218	43	8	1	4	17	70	2	4	2	199	262	309	572	110	269	29	7	258	63	-10	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.3
2031	27	MLB CTX	SD	52%	250	228	46	9	1	5	18	73	2	4	2	201	264	312	576	111	269	29	7	260	64	-11	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	SD	53%	253	231	47	9	1	5	18	74	2	4	2	201	265	312	577	111	270	29	7	261	65	-11	+0	-0	+3	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1068	975	194	37	5	19	76	315	8	18	8	199	263	306	568	107	271	29	7	257	58	-48	+0	-0	+11	+23	-1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	119	23	3	12	46	192	5	11	5	201	264	310	574	110	273	30	7	257	58	-29	+0	-0	+7	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3088	2824	561	115	16	50	214	935	22	50	22	199	260	304	564	105	275	30	7	254	58	-122	+2	-1	+28	+57	-3.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	118	24	3	11	45	197	5	11	5	199	261	305	566	106	275	30	7	254	58	-30	+0	-0	+7	+14	-0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#3Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.1	1,389	23	24	201	260	308	+15	+9	-1.1	-0.6
/162	664	11	11	+7.1	+4.3	-0.5	pk7: 0
#4Bobby Wine'60-'72 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,467 PA	5.2	3,467	30	7	214*	266*	308*	+35	+19	-2.5	-0.7
/162	664	6	1	+6.7	+3.6	-0.5	pk7: 1
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dylan Grego (OGILVIE)	23	26→31	37→42	45→50	50	191/250/284	93	270	4	5	31%	7%	52	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yasel Antuna 2023 · AA	23	37→35	43→45	48→50	48	187/265/295	108	254	11	14	30%	9%	60	-1.6	188/267/285	97	271	9	13	31%	9%	59	-1.7	142/231/221	79	208	7	12	33%	9%	30	-1.5
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2021 · AA	23	39→44	37→40	51→50	46	186/263/256	70	278	4	15	32%	9%	50	-2.3	206/285/302	96	295	8	14	30%	10%	69	-0.9	202/287/292	90	293	7	15	31%	10%	64	-0.7
✕Jacob Berry 2024 · AA	23	40→44	43→45	53→55	39	200/248/313	113	255	10	8	26%	4%	57	-1.8	212/270/321	109	266	10	17	23%	6%	67	-1.1	213/278/320	107	261	10	21	22%	7%	69	-0.8
✕Raymel Flores 2018 · AA	23	41	36→45	46→50	37	193/245/261	67	295	4	11	34%	6%	43	-2.8	192/243/262	70	291	4	11	33%	6%	43	-2.8	148/195/185	37	229	0	13	34%	5%	4	-1.7
✕Fabian Pertuz 2024 · AA	23	35→36	40	51→55	36	179/227/266	87	258	7	13	33%	5%	38	-3.2	186/239/281	95	297	9	11	38%	6%	46	-2.6	156/208/244	89	265	10	7	43%	5%	24	-2.2
✕Gerard Hall 2011 · A	23	41→39	37→40	49→50	44	196/256/272	76	277	4	12	29%	7%	50	-2.3	214/267/300	86	306	3	10	29%	7%	61	-1.5	223/273/313	90	321	0	8	28%	6%	63	-0.7
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→30	42→45	48→50	41	192/253/286	94	259	11	15	30%	6%	53	-2.1	198/271/310	112	262	13	14	28%	8%	66	-1.1	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Jake Rucker 2023 · AAA	23	42	41→45	48→50	44	205/278/313	108	281	8	12	28%	7%	69	-0.9	206/265/307	101	267	9	9	25%	6%	62	-1.4	206/270/322	116	240	13	9	20%	7%	65	-0.7
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	36	43→50	49→40	39	181/242/290	109	276	11	4	37%	7%	50	-2.3	203/259/322	119	277	12	4	30%	6%	63	-1.3	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Jobduan Morales 2014 · A	23	37	37→40	49→40	42	180/245/252	72	276	5	4	35%	8%	42	-2.9	199/258/286	87	302	7	5	34%	7%	54	-2.0	194/253/287	94	299	7	3	35%	7%	53	-1.0
✕Vicente Conde 2017 · AA	23	40→35	39→45	46→45	44	193/259/279	85	278	5	7	31%	8%	53	-2.1	176/251/260	84	258	6	6	31%	9%	47	-2.6	105/203/174	69	168	5	2	38%	10%	9	-1.6
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2006 · AA	23	38	37→40	45→40	41	181/243/252	71	264	4	7	31%	7%	41	-3.0	190/242/269	79	270	5	4	30%	5%	45	-2.7	208/273/289	82	286	7	0	28%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Jeison Guzmán 2022 · AA	23	44→43	42→45	46→50	37	214/256/320	106	293	9	13	30%	4%	61	-1.5	211/277/335	124	327	13	10	37%	7%	74	-0.6	182/267/321	139	298	16	6	41%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	43→45	51→55	40	194/269/303	109	291	11	13	35%	7%	63	-1.3	205/275/304	99	311	8	12	34%	8%	65	-1.2	176/264/251	75	285	3	11	36%	10%	48	-0.5
✕Taylor Gushue 2017 · A	23	39	41→45	44→30	39	194/237/289	96	255	8	3	27%	5%	47	-2.5	194/246/312	118	263	14	2	31%	6%	56	-1.9	199/260/326	127	276	15	0	32%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→30	50→45	40	185/239/261	76	255	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	210/271/302	92	296	8	10	30%	7%	63	-1.4	202/270/282	80	285	9	12	31%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Alex Lavisky 2014 · AA	23	38	43→45	46→30	37	194/243/298	104	274	11	3	33%	5%	52	-2.2	213/259/305	92	270	9	4	24%	5%	59	-1.7	211/254/287	76	257	9	1	21%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Marcus Littlewood 2015 · A	23	41	42→45	49→45	47	203/270/309	106	266	9	5	26%	8%	64	-1.3	212/271/323	111	277	10	5	26%	8%	68	-1.0	208/262/316	108	270	11	3	26%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕J.C. Millan 2019 · AA	23	43	40	48→30	43	210/260/303	93	264	8	8	23%	6%	59	-1.7	226/272/327	101	277	9	6	21%	6%	69	-0.9	231/271/321	91	275	9	2	19%	5%	63	-0.7

Dylan Grego

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps