Reece Wissinger — OGILVIE

Reece Wissinger P Vancouver Canadians

Age 25 RHP 6'5" / 220 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.40

FIP4.40

K%20.3%

BB%7.6%

K-BB%12.7%

ROS IP35

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	32	0	65	271	52	14	9	0%	2.0	14.6%	6.0%	8.7%	4.2%	4.45	4.91	—
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	32	0	65	271	52	14	9	0%	2.0	14.6%	6.0%	8.7%	4.2%	4.45	4.91	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A RAW	TOR	6	0	10	41	12	3	1	0%	1.7	29.3%	7.3%	22.0%	2.4%	4.50	2.89	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	TOR	26	0	55	230	40	11	8	0%	2.1	17.4%	4.8%	12.6%	3.5%	4.45	4.15	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TOR	60	0	63	267	56	21	8	0%	1.1	20.9%	7.8%	13.1%	3.0%	4.38	4.37	+0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	TOR	59	0	62	263	55	21	8	0%	1.1	21.1%	7.9%	13.1%	3.1%	4.39	4.40	+0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	TOR	26	0	27	114	24	9	3	0%	1.0	20.9%	7.8%	13.1%	3.0%	4.38	4.37	+0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	TOR	37	0	39	165	35	13	5	0%	1.1	21.1%	7.9%	13.1%	3.1%	4.39	4.40	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		63	0	66	281	59	22	9	0%	1.1	21.0%	7.9%	13.1%	3.1%	4.39	4.01	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	177	66	27	0%	1.1	21.0%	7.9%	13.1%	3.1%	4.39	4.01	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		32	0	65	271	40	16	11	0%	2.0	14.6%	6.0%	8.7%	4.2%	4.45	4.91	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		99	0	200	838	123	50	35	0%	2.0	14.6%	6.0%	8.7%	4.2%	4.45	4.91	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Reece Wissinger (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.40	20.3%	7.6%	3.0%	—	4.38	21.0%	13.1%	126	-0.02	—	—	—
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	87
J.R. Graham R 2015 · 4.39 FIP	25	SU	4.39	18.7%	7.4%	3.5%	.317	3.63	20.4%	10.1%	61	-0.76	3.31	125	86
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	86
Barrett Loseke R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.31	22.6%	11.3%	22	+0.89	4.42	152	85
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	85
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	85
Nelson Gonzalez R 2015 · 3.42 FIP	25	SU	3.42	19.6%	7.7%	1.8%	.293	4.98	17.7%	7.8%	115	+1.56	3.42	258	85
Roman Mendez R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	25	SU	4.31	19.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.275	4.52	20.2%	10.4%	118	+0.21	4.12	230	85
Justin Courtney R 2021 · 4.58 FIP	25	SU	4.58	19.0%	5.9%	4.3%	.364	6.21	17.3%	5.0%	68	+1.63	4.58	108	85
Joe Colón J R 2015 · 3.27 FIP	25	SU	3.27	19.4%	7.4%	1.6%	.312	4.07	20.7%	7.8%	65	+0.80	3.27	113	85
Daniel Corcino R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	25	SU	4.37	17.2%	7.5%	3.2%	.238	4.76	19.4%	8.2%	263	+0.39	3.84	299	84
Nick Merkel R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	25	SU	3.99	22.8%	7.1%	3.5%	.284	3.44	20.7%	10.3%	129	-0.55	3.15	205	84
Andres Avila R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	16.0%	5.2%	2.9%	.316	4.13	20.3%	13.9%	73	+0.15	3.98	177	84
Blake Goldsberry R 2022 · 3.43 FIP	25	SU	3.43	23.6%	8.3%	2.3%	.257	5.26	23.6%	12.0%	44	+1.83	3.43	117	84
Matt Marsh R 2016 · 3.79 FIP	25	SU	3.79	21.0%	8.2%	2.6%	.273	3.13	18.5%	5.9%	15	-0.66	3.13	143	84
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	84
John Brebbia R 2016 · 4.11 FIP	26	SU	4.11	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.346	3.20	27.6%	21.4%	215	-0.91	2.89	575	84
Matt Pierpont R 2016 · 3.51 FIP	25	SU	3.51	20.7%	8.6%	1.9%	.295	3.41	21.6%	13.6%	156	-0.10	2.76	280	83
Jordan Milbrath R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	25	SU	4.05	19.9%	10.4%	2.4%	.272	3.61	19.6%	9.7%	129	-0.44	3.19	386	83
Alex Phillips R 2019 · 3.26 FIP	24	SU	3.26	22.0%	8.0%	1.8%	.263	4.62	23.2%	14.6%	72	+1.36	3.26	139	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	20.8%	7.8%	1.18	4.39
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19