Ryan Niedzwiedz — OGILVIE

Ryan Niedzwiedz1B Fresno Grizzlies

Age 22 L/R A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .261 / .300

PA73

HR1

K%32

BB%7

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	56	49	7	2	1	0	7	16	0	0	0	143	250	224	474	82	212	29	12	227	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	56	51	5	1	1	0	5	22	0	0	0	98	179	157	335	59	189	39	9	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	56	51	5	1	1	0	5	22	0	0	0	98	179	157	335	59	172	39	9	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	56	49	7	2	1	0	7	16	0	0	0	143	250	224	474	82	212	29	12	227	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	56	51	5	1	1	0	5	22	0	0	0	98	179	157	335	59	189	39	9	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	56	51	5	1	1	0	5	22	0	0	0	98	179	157	335	59	189	39	9	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	COL	0%	166	152	30	6	2	2	12	53	1	2	1	199	264	302	566	103	290	32	7	256	59	-8	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	COL	34%	168	152	31	6	2	2	13	53	1	2	1	203	268	311	578	108	291	32	8	261	63	-7	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.7
2028	23	MLB CTX	COL	34%	58	54	11	2	1	1	4	18	0	1	0	216	280	342	621	126	309	31	7	278	63	-3	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	58	54	11	2	1	1	4	18	0	1	0	204	259	333	592	130	286	31	7	278	50	-3	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	605	122	22	11	11	45	202	0	11	0	202	257	329	586	127	283	31	7	278	50	-29	+2	+0	-12	+14	-2.5
Career	—	MLE		—	297	271	50	10	4	3	23	99	1	3	1	185	251	284	535	100	276	33	8	242	50	-11	+0	+0	-4	+5	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	110	22	9	7	50	217	2	7	2	185	251	288	539	103	278	33	8	242	50	-30	+1	+0	-12	+14	-2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Niedzwiedz (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	197/261/300	102	290	1	1	32%	7%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	42→33	40→45	50	44	200/275/295	95	300	7	13	34%	8%	63	-1.3	203/269/320	117	297	12	11	34%	7%	67	-1.1	183/257/295	112	268	12	11	34%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Rixon Wingrove 2022 · A	22	35→34	44→50	47→40	37	182/244/298	117	281	13	4	38%	6%	53	-2.1	191/255/335	144	295	18	4	40%	6%	65	-1.2	182/250/335	153	264	21	3	38%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Francisco Del Valle 2021 · A	22	36→29	41→45	46→40	42	178/256/281	103	266	8	5	34%	8%	54	-2.0	190/254/301	111	273	12	5	33%	7%	57	-1.8	167/234/273	106	234	13	3	33%	7%	41	-1.2
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A	23	43→33	40→50	51→55	43	207/268/296	89	302	7	9	32%	8%	61	-1.5	199/264/310	111	281	9	16	31%	7%	62	-1.4	179/252/293	114	245	10	19	30%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Brandon Dulin 2015 · A	22	36→29	41→45	51→40	35	182/231/281	100	256	9	7	32%	4%	43	-2.8	192/240/307	115	270	13	4	33%	5%	53	-2.1	182/233/302	120	252	15	1	33%	5%	47	-1.5
✕Lance Ray 2012 · A	22	42→37	43→45	44→45	43	208/268/320	112	284	10	7	30%	7%	66	-1.1	195/262/316	121	266	12	6	30%	8%	63	-1.3	169/246/286	117	219	13	5	29%	9%	49	-1.1
✕PK Morris 2021 · A	22	43→41	40→45	48→40	41	201/267/292	91	314	7	6	36%	8%	59	-1.6	193/285/309	116	313	11	4	38%	11%	71	-0.8	174/269/291	117	278	12	3	38%	11%	60	-0.8
✕Garrett Spain 2023 · A	22	39→35	40→45	49→50	41	190/258/278	89	293	8	10	36%	8%	53	-2.1	174/237/283	109	258	11	10	35%	7%	47	-2.6	162/228/283	121	225	15	14	34%	7%	41	-2.3
✕Jose Medina 2017 · A	22	39	41→45	48→45	38	193/240/299	106	262	8	6	29%	5%	51	-2.3	204/256/314	110	286	11	4	31%	6%	60	-1.6	200/256/307	107	270	12	1	29%	6%	55	-0.8
✕Johnny Woodard 2007 · A	22	39→36	44→45	48→30	37	194/254/304	110	301	12	4	38%	7%	57	-1.8	198/277/324	126	306	14	3	37%	8%	72	-0.7	184/272/313	128	281	14	1	37%	9%	65	-0.7
✕Kevin Clark 2008 · A	22	40→39	40→50	47→50	38	192/251/288	96	306	8	7	38%	7%	53	-2.1	207/267/330	123	330	13	13	38%	7%	68	-1.0	196/260/331	135	305	17	16	39%	8%	65	-0.9
✕Nick Yarnall 2017 · A	22	41	37→50	47→45	42	195/255/268	74	285	4	5	31%	7%	49	-2.4	196/264/323	127	297	14	5	36%	8%	66	-1.1	177/253/320	142	264	18	5	38%	9%	59	-0.7
✕Ryan Aguilar 2017 · A	22	43→40	38→45	50	47	202/272/284	81	282	5	10	28%	9%	59	-1.6	181/248/257	76	283	6	7	35%	8%	45	-2.7	181/274/286	106	291	12	12	39%	10%	59	-1.1
✕Brenden Webb 2011 · A	21	38→40	41→45	53→50	42	184/260/288	104	282	8	7	35%	8%	56	-1.9	184/272/282	98	313	8	10	39%	10%	60	-1.6	168/249/289	121	278	12	10	41%	9%	51	-1.6
✕Mitchell Hansen 2018 · A	22	40→36	44→45	51→50	39	200/248/314	114	280	11	10	32%	6%	57	-1.8	194/243/294	100	292	8	9	34%	6%	51	-2.3	160/203/246	86	252	4	8	37%	4%	22	-1.9
✕Felix Stevens 2021 · A	22	41→36	40→50	48→45	41	194/265/291	97	300	7	8	35%	7%	59	-1.7	190/248/327	137	321	15	5	43%	6%	61	-1.5	183/258/337	154	293	20	5	42%	8%	65	-0.8
✕Branden Boissiere 2022 · A	22	43→44	40→45	50→40	39	204/265/297	94	309	7	8	35%	7%	60	-1.6	197/271/280	83	295	7	4	33%	9%	59	-1.7	206/260/330	124	298	12	2	34%	6%	63	-0.8
✕Greyson Jenista 2019 · A	22	47→36	41→45	50→45	44	227/276/330	104	290	8	7	24%	6%	70	-0.8	198/263/317	119	308	13	6	37%	8%	64	-1.3	171/238/299	129	269	17	5	41%	7%	49	-1.5
✕Brian Pointer 2014 · A	22	39→41	42→45	51→50	40	189/265/296	107	289	9	13	36%	7%	61	-1.5	210/285/338	128	315	13	12	35%	8%	77	-0.3	209/287/345	136	311	14	12	35%	9%	76	-0.3
✕Chris Newell 2023 · A	22	43→38	40→50	45→55	36	205/254/301	96	309	7	10	35%	5%	56	-1.9	197/274/358	161	310	20	17	40%	9%	78	-0.3	182/263/340	158	278	21	20	40%	9%	69	-0.8