Deiker Pineda

P FCL Blue Jays

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 159 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKDSL Blue Jays…	12	7	40	3.57	3.22	14.9%	8.3%	—	K 10.1% · BB 10.4% · FIP 4.11
2026	20	MIX2 levels	19	0	44	5.77	5.44	18.4%	9.7%	—	K 13.1% · BB 10.8% · FIP 6.44
2027PROJ	21	MLBTOR	34	0	36	5.91	5.91	11.0%	13.3%	-0.5
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBTOR	19	0	20	5.59	5.49	14.2%	12.3%	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff20Control40Command25

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJoel Pineiro (age 21) · Willians Vasquez (age 21) · Austin Amaral (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145137vR 129

ERA5.91

FIP5.91

K%11.0%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%-2.2%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2020

CTRL4040

CMD2525

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	12	7	40	168	25	14	1	58%	3.4	10.1%	10.4%	-0.3%	1.0%	3.57	4.11	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	12	7	40	168	25	14	1	58%	3.4	10.1%	10.4%	-0.3%	1.0%	3.57	4.11	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Blue	12	7	40	168	25	14	1	58%	3.4	14.9%	8.3%	6.5%	0.6%	3.57	3.22	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	44	196	36	19	9	0%	2.3	13.1%	10.8%	2.3%	5.6%	5.77	6.44	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	44	196	36	19	9	0%	2.3	13.1%	10.8%	2.3%	5.6%	5.77	6.44	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	0	44	196	36	19	9	0%	2.3	18.4%	9.7%	8.7%	4.6%	5.77	5.44	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	TOR	34	0	36	152	17	20	5	0%	1.1	11.0%	13.3%	-2.2%	3.1%	5.91	5.91	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TOR	39	0	41	174	25	22	5	0%	1.1	14.2%	12.3%	1.8%	3.0%	5.59	5.49	-0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	TOR	19	0	20	84	12	10	3	0%	1.1	14.2%	12.3%	1.8%	3.0%	5.59	5.49	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		19	0	20	86	12	11	3	0%	1.1	14.2%	12.3%	1.8%	3.0%	5.59	5.11	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	118	108	30	0%	1.1	14.2%	12.3%	1.8%	3.0%	5.59	5.11	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		31	7	84	364	43	39	13	23%	2.7	11.7%	10.6%	1.1%	3.5%	4.71	5.36	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	17	200	867	102	92	30	23%	2.7	11.7%	10.6%	1.1%	3.5%	4.71	5.36	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Deiker Pineda (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.91	11.0%	13.3%	3.1%	—	5.49	14.2%	1.9%	41	-0.42	—	—	—
Joel Pineiro R 2000 · 5.71 FIP	21	SU	5.71	10.6%	13.8%	3.2%	.324	3.81	17.3%	9.9%	481	-1.90	2.76	1,831	92
Willians Vasquez R 2018 · 5.45 FIP	21	SU	5.45	12.2%	13.9%	3.0%	.292	3.20	13.9%	3.9%	30	-2.25	3.20	154	90
Austin Amaral R 2024 · 5.94 FIP	22	SU	5.94	12.1%	14.4%	3.7%	.254	3.55	18.6%	6.3%	113	-2.39	3.53	136	89
Antonio Herrera R 2016 · 5.21 FIP	21	SU	5.21	10.6%	14.2%	2.2%	.283	4.95	8.9%	-8.1%	38	-0.26	4.48	107	86
Johan Moreno R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	21	SW	6.25	13.2%	16.7%	3.9%	.325	4.36	20.7%	8.0%	115	-1.89	3.09	216	83
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	83
Ezequiel Ventura R 2023 · 5.62 FIP	21	SW	5.62	13.5%	11.7%	4.0%	.302	4.71	14.1%	5.7%	32	-0.91	3.77	151	83
Jack Jasiak R 2023 · 5.03 FIP	22	SU	5.03	12.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.288	3.81	19.8%	12.1%	193	-1.22	3.24	262	82
Alejandro Lugo R 2024 · 5.36 FIP	21	SU	5.36	12.5%	13.3%	3.0%	.269	5.76	17.2%	-0.9%	18	+0.40	3.77	159	82
Abel Moya R 2022 · 4.81 FIP	21	SU	4.81	11.3%	12.7%	1.9%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	126	81
Yonardo Herdenez R 2017 · 5.11 FIP	21	SU	5.11	12.5%	11.7%	2.9%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	110	81
Zach Mort R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	22	SW	5.01	10.7%	12.3%	2.3%	.240	5.35	17.0%	8.8%	176	+0.34	4.95	237	81
Kelvin Vasquez R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	22	SU	5.03	14.8%	13.8%	2.6%	.248	5.38	15.0%	-3.0%	103	+0.35	5.01	180	81
Joe Barlow R 2016 · 6.15 FIP	20	SW	6.15	13.6%	16.4%	3.9%	.269	3.72	29.5%	10.7%	116	-2.43	2.99	354	81
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	81
Johsson Arias R 2016 · 5.43 FIP	22	SW	5.43	8.5%	17.1%	1.6%	.244	3.64	15.9%	4.4%	77	-1.79	3.46	117	80
Sean Gallagher R 2007 · 6.81 FIP	21	SU	6.81	6.8%	16.2%	4.0%	.296	4.41	18.0%	6.2%	193	-2.40	3.89	207	80
Jonny Cuevas R 2022 · 5.83 FIP	21	SU	5.83	12.3%	18.2%	2.7%	.281	4.58	13.6%	2.6%	225	-1.25	4.37	334	80
Deyvis Julian R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	21	SW	4.74	11.2%	14.7%	1.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	116	80
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	38	12.7%	12.8%	1.17	5.74
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Dennis Powell ('85-'93, -2 WAR*)	1.7	49	17.6%*	10.1%*	1.18*	5.31*