Peyton Fosher
P
Beloit Sky Carp
Age 23
RHP
6'0" / 215 lbs
A+
peak 0.2 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION54 act + 38 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.42
FIP4.42
K%23.2%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%13.5%
ROS IP38
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 92 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 0 | 12 | 43 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 2.1 | 32.6% | 7.0% | 25.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.23 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 0 | 12 | 43 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 2.1 | 32.6% | 7.0% | 25.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.56 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 20 | 7 | 54 | 243 | 66 | 32 | 9 | 35% | 2.7 | 20.9% | 15.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.33 | 5.79 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | MIA | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 37 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.42 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 92 | 403 | 103 | 47 | 14 | — | — | 25.6% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 3.4% | 4.96 | 5.23 | -0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.2% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.04 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | MIA | 37 | 0 | 39 | 163 | 39 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | MIA | 37 | 0 | 39 | 166 | 40 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 4.22 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 37 | 0 | 39 | 166 | 40 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 8.9% | 15.4% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.21 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 37 | 0 | 39 | 163 | 40 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.3% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 3.1% | 4.24 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 36 | 0 | 37 | 158 | 38 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 3.2% | 4.29 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | MIA | 16 | 0 | 17 | 72 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | MIA | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 32 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.3% | 8.9% | 15.4% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.21 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 34 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 3.1% | 4.24 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 34 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 3.2% | 4.29 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 133 | 0 | 140 | 592 | 143 | 53 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 3.1% | 4.27 | 3.88 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 204 | 76 | 26 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 3.1% | 4.27 | 3.88 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 26 | 7 | 66 | 286 | 65 | 40 | 11 | 27% | 2.6 | 22.7% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 4.34 | 5.11 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 78 | 21 | 200 | 862 | 195 | 120 | 34 | 27% | 2.6 | 22.7% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 4.34 | 5.11 | +0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Peyton Fosher (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 23.2% | 9.7% | 3.1% | — | 4.24 | 24.1% | 15.1% | 117 | -0.18 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 90 |
| Clark Beeker R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 85 |
| Brendan Collins R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 85 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 84 |
| Ben Anderson R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 83 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 82 |
| Yunior Montero R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.60 | 21.9% | 11.9% | 1.5% | .239 | 5.26 | 21.3% | 3.7% | 54 | +1.66 | 3.60 | 127 | 82 |
| Parker Curry R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.68 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .341 | 4.68 | 18.6% | 11.6% | 193 | +1.00 | 3.68 | 256 | 81 |
| Luis Romero R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 81 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 80 |
| Adam Leverett R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.08 | 20.6% | 9.3% | 4.6% | .338 | 4.11 | 13.8% | 4.8% | 154 | -0.97 | 3.26 | 376 | 80 |
| Joshua Loeschorn R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 24.5% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .272 | 4.60 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 67 | +0.86 | 3.04 | 135 | 79 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 79 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 79 |
| Trent Fennell R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .328 | 5.38 | 19.4% | 3.5% | 107 | +1.50 | 3.88 | 163 | 79 |
| Carlos Espinosa R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.33 | 23.0% | 11.0% | 3.2% | .325 | 4.98 | 23.0% | 10.2% | 42 | +0.65 | 3.69 | 247 | 78 |
| Carlo Reyes R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.10 | 25.2% | 10.2% | 3.4% | .291 | 4.12 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 117 | +0.02 | 2.79 | 229 | 78 |
| Peyton Pallette R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.86 | 20.7% | 10.9% | 3.9% | .309 | 3.87 | 26.0% | 13.1% | 101 | -0.99 | 3.80 | 255 | 78 |
| Joan Gregorio R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.56 | 18.0% | 10.2% | 3.1% | .269 | 4.23 | 21.1% | 11.1% | 208 | -0.33 | 3.60 | 301 | 77 |
| Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 38 | 24.0% | 9.1% | 1.18 | 4.30 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Hansel Robles ('22) | 7 | 59 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 3.86 |
| Dominic Leone ('23) | 7 | 46 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 1.33 | 3.81 |