Scott Rouse

P Inland Empire 66ers

Age 25 RHP A peak 0.1 · 2028

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	24	ASEA	19	8	77	1.29	2.49	23.6%	7.6%	—	K 17.5% · BB 9.0% · FIP 3.24
2027PROJ	25	MLBSEA	51	0	54	4.48	4.48	19.2%	9.0%	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBSEA	29	0	30	4.44	4.42	20.1%	9.0%	0.0
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBSEA	41	0	43	4.44	4.45	20.3%	9.1%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsRyan Drese (age 25) · Shohei Tomioka (age 25) · Danny Kirwin (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.48

FIP4.48

K%19.2%

BB%9.0%

K-BB%10.2%

Proj IP54

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	24	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	19	8	77	301	71	23	2	42%	4.1	17.5%	9.0%	8.4%	0.9%	1.29	3.24	—
2026	24	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	19	8	77	301	71	23	2	42%	4.1	17.5%	9.0%	8.4%	0.9%	1.29	3.24	—
2026	24	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	19	8	77	301	71	23	2	42%	4.1	23.6%	7.6%	15.9%	0.7%	1.29	2.49	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	SEA	51	0	54	228	44	21	6	0%	1.1	19.2%	9.0%	10.2%	2.7%	4.48	4.48	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	SEA	66	0	69	293	59	26	8	0%	1.1	20.1%	9.0%	11.0%	2.7%	4.44	4.42	+0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	SEA	65	0	68	288	59	26	8	0%	1.1	20.3%	9.1%	11.2%	2.8%	4.44	4.45	+0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	SEA	63	0	66	280	57	26	8	0%	1.1	20.3%	9.3%	11.1%	2.9%	4.49	4.53	+0.0
2031	29	MLB MLE	SEA	60	0	63	267	54	25	8	0%	1.1	20.2%	9.5%	10.7%	3.1%	4.58	4.65	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	SEA	29	0	30	127	25	11	3	0%	1.0	20.1%	9.0%	11.0%	2.7%	4.44	4.42	+0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	SEA	41	0	43	182	37	17	5	0%	1.0	20.3%	9.1%	11.2%	2.8%	4.44	4.45	+0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	SEA	48	0	50	211	43	20	6	0%	1.0	20.3%	9.3%	11.1%	2.9%	4.49	4.53	+0.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	SEA	49	0	51	215	43	20	7	0%	1.0	20.2%	9.5%	10.7%	3.1%	4.58	4.65	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		165	0	174	734	148	68	21	0%	1.1	20.2%	9.2%	11.0%	2.9%	4.50	4.15	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	78	24	0%	1.1	20.2%	9.2%	11.0%	2.9%	4.50	4.15	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		19	8	77	301	53	27	3	42%	4.1	17.5%	9.0%	8.4%	0.9%	1.29	3.24	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	21	200	782	136	70	7	42%	4.1	17.5%	9.0%	8.4%	0.9%	1.29	3.24	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Scott Rouse (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.48	19.2%	9.0%	2.7%	—	4.47	20.2%	11.1%	204	-0.01	—	—	—
Ryan Drese R 2001 · 3.58 FIP	25	SW	3.58	16.1%	8.7%	1.3%	.273	4.20	12.8%	5.2%	391	+0.62	3.58	557	85
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	84
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	83
Noah Gotsis R 2021 · 3.48 FIP	25	SP-	3.48	16.5%	6.5%	1.7%	.296	4.25	15.9%	8.6%	90	+0.77	3.48	138	83
Ryan Tapani R 2019 · 3.86 FIP	25	SW	3.86	19.0%	7.3%	2.6%	.331	5.56	20.8%	10.6%	47	+1.70	3.86	141	82
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	81
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	81
Trennor O'Donnell R 2024 · 3.45 FIP	23	SW	3.45	18.2%	8.6%	1.5%	.326	6.32	14.2%	0.6%	44	+2.87	3.45	107	81
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	81
Steven Bruce R 2017 · 3.69 FIP	25	SW	3.69	14.9%	5.0%	2.2%	.300	3.94	15.0%	9.8%	94	+0.25	3.69	148	81
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	81
P.J. Walters R 2010 · 4.93 FIP	25	SW	4.93	17.1%	7.8%	4.2%	.293	5.05	14.1%	5.6%	101	+0.12	3.97	230	80
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	80
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	80
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	79
Nathanael Santiago R 2015 · 3.44 FIP	25	SP-	3.44	20.3%	11.4%	1.1%	.286	3.58	23.2%	10.9%	71	+0.14	2.49	138	79
Kyle Scott R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	22	SP-	4.12	17.7%	8.2%	2.7%	.269	3.94	15.9%	4.3%	42	-0.18	3.94	138	79
John Patterson R 2003 · 4.44 FIP	25	SP-	4.44	17.1%	9.9%	2.8%	.305	3.64	22.7%	15.5%	337	-0.80	2.90	454	78
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	78
Orlando Rodriguez R 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SP-	4.54	20.8%	10.1%	3.5%	.380	4.51	19.3%	7.9%	101	-0.03	4.40	119	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	64	20.1%	9.2%	1.10	4.48
Mark Lowe ('16)	1.9	64	20.9%	9.7%	1.10	4.22
Juan Gutierrez ('14)	1.4	57	19.4%	8.4%	1.04	4.49
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Gary Wayne ('89-'94, 2 WAR*)	1.2	62	19.9%*	9.4%*	1.05*	3.88*