Player 832226 — OGILVIE

Player 8322261B St. Lucie Mets

Age — —/— A H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 96 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .270 / .309

PA96

HR2

K%32

BB%8

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	90	76	12	2	0	2	13	24	0	0	1	158	281	263	544	105	196	27	14	256	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	90	80	10	2	0	1	9	33	0	0	1	125	213	188	401	62	173	37	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	90	80	10	2	0	1	9	33	0	0	1	125	213	188	401	62	191	37	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	—	90	76	12	2	0	2	13	24	0	0	1	158	281	263	544	105	196	27	14	256	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	90	81	10	2	0	1	9	33	0	0	1	123	213	185	399	62	173	37	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	90	81	10	2	0	1	9	33	0	0	1	123	213	185	399	62	173	37	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	200	181	37	6	1	4	16	64	1	1	0	204	272	312	584	108	289	32	8	265	65	-8	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	165	150	30	5	1	3	13	52	1	0	0	206	275	317	592	111	289	32	8	268	67	-6	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYM	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	200	269	309	578	109	279	—	—	262	67	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	351	317	58	10	2	6	30	116	2	0	1	183	258	284	542	101	264	33	9	247	53	-10	+0	+0	-5	+6	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	108	19	4	11	56	215	4	0	2	184	260	286	546	102	266	33	9	247	53	-26	+0	+0	-12	+14	-2.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.4	261	5	1	206	272	317	-3	+0	-0.6	-0.3
/162	664	13	1	-8.9	+0.0	-1.5	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 832226 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	202/270/309	107	289	2	0	32%	8%	65	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sam Praytor 2024 · A	25	37	42→45	49→55	40	187/249/289	101	268	10	6	33%	6%	53	-2.1	203/271/315	112	272	11	8	28%	8%	67	-1.1	191/269/298	107	248	11	9	26%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Zach Zubia 2023 · A	25	38→33	43→45	46→30	52	184/296/291	107	292	12	3	37%	13%	72	-0.7	200/293/327	127	303	16	4	36%	11%	78	-0.3	187/281/316	129	273	18	2	36%	11%	69	-0.4
✕Griffin Doersching 2024 · A	25	37→33	47→50	44→40	43	188/270/319	130	290	16	3	38%	9%	68	-1.0	193/261/322	129	279	15	6	34%	8%	65	-1.2	157/224/289	132	208	17	4	33%	7%	42	-1.4
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→45	48→30	43	189/253/279	90	264	9	6	31%	7%	51	-2.2	212/279/326	114	294	12	3	30%	8%	72	-0.7	205/275/317	113	280	13	1	30%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Nick Quintana 2023 · AA	25	38→40	43→45	42→45	48	191/274/298	107	258	11	5	29%	9%	64	-1.3	195/276/301	106	276	9	7	31%	8%	65	-1.2	110/220/193	83	161	7	0	33%	9%	22	-1.0
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	188/256/297	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	196/270/312	116	292	12	14	34%	9%	65	-1.2	182/266/286	104	281	10	16	36%	9%	56	-1.0
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A	24	38	46→45	43→45	38	191/260/319	128	284	14	3	36%	6%	64	-1.3	204/280/315	111	273	11	6	28%	7%	70	-0.8	198/280/300	102	256	10	6	25%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Devin Harris 2013 · A	25	35→40	46→55	44→40	38	182/240/312	129	273	14	4	38%	7%	54	-2.0	202/248/360	158	272	18	3	32%	5%	68	-1.0	199/244/363	164	259	19	3	31%	5%	65	-1.0
✕Conor Bierfeldt 2016 · A	25	33→30	45→50	46→30	40	174/233/300	125	240	12	3	32%	6%	49	-2.4	201/255/353	152	267	18	4	31%	6%	70	-0.9	189/240/369	180	230	24	1	30%	5%	65	-0.7
✕Matt Repec 2009 · A	25	41→38	44→50	44→45	37	205/249/321	116	290	12	5	33%	5%	59	-1.6	206/253/317	111	288	10	5	30%	6%	59	-1.6	199/247/312	113	272	9	4	29%	5%	55	-1.1
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	39	42→45	42→45	46	191/278/294	103	260	10	6	29%	8%	65	-1.2	197/274/326	129	246	14	10	25%	7%	71	-0.8	183/262/322	139	217	16	12	24%	7%	63	-0.8
✕Jeffrey Eure 2006 · A	25	35→30	46→50	41→45	33	185/239/316	131	279	14	4	38%	5%	55	-1.9	200/249/317	117	287	12	6	33%	5%	59	-1.7	196/241/309	113	272	12	5	32%	4%	51	-1.0
✕Ruben Ibarra 2023 · A	24	40→36	47→50	47→30	41	206/278/335	129	284	16	6	32%	7%	74	-0.5	201/273/342	141	270	18	3	31%	7%	74	-0.5	190/263/343	153	244	21	1	31%	7%	69	-0.7
✕Greg Thissen 2006 · A	25	38	43→45	40→45	39	195/244/303	108	262	11	5	30%	5%	53	-2.1	202/268/295	93	268	8	7	26%	8%	60	-1.6	194/271/275	80	255	7	7	25%	9%	56	-0.7
✕Dillan Shrum 2023 · A	25	40→32	49→50	48→30	38	192/281/338	146	320	17	4	42%	8%	77	-0.3	193/286/340	147	301	17	3	39%	8%	79	-0.2	176/275/324	148	269	18	1	39%	8%	69	-0.6
✕Collin Price 2024 · A	24	37→36	43→50	43→45	44	186/262/299	114	266	11	4	33%	9%	60	-1.6	190/264/324	134	268	16	7	33%	8%	67	-1.1	176/256/317	141	243	18	8	34%	8%	60	-1.1
✕Spencer Henson 2023 · A	25	35	48→50	46→40	39	186/254/321	136	277	17	6	38%	7%	62	-1.4	194/248/328	134	275	16	5	35%	5%	61	-1.5	179/229/324	146	236	20	1	34%	4%	53	-1.2
✕Brandon Parker 2023 · A	24	40	45	46→50	44	196/284/321	125	295	12	6	35%	9%	74	-0.6	193/260/314	121	311	13	12	39%	7%	63	-1.4	167/229/283	116	274	14	15	42%	6%	41	-1.2
✕Marcus Chiu 2022 · A	25	39→28	45	43→45	36	184/266/304	120	317	13	4	43%	7%	63	-1.3	201/268/321	120	302	13	6	36%	6%	67	-1.1	181/250/297	116	268	15	3	36%	5%	52	-1.4
✕Joe DeCarlo 2018 · A	24	37→38	48→50	43→30	43	191/275/327	136	273	16	3	35%	8%	72	-0.7	196/267/313	117	282	12	3	33%	7%	65	-1.2	171/239/258	88	246	10	0	33%	7%	39	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps