Dillan Shrum — OGILVIE

Dillan Shrum1B Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 28 R/L 5'11" / 200 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .274 / .359

PA250

HR9

K%37

BB%7

ISO170

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A	2 teams	—	58	52	8	0	0	2	3	30	3	1	0	154	241	269	511	115	300	52	5	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A	2 teams	—	58	51	12	0	0	3	4	21	3	1	0	235	328	412	739	176	333	36	7	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	383	334	55	15	1	11	29	169	17	1	0	165	266	314	580	150	280	44	8	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	383	311	74	22	1	16	52	129	17	1	0	238	376	469	846	232	343	34	14	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	358	292	55	8	2	15	39	144	23	2	2	188	331	384	714	195	296	40	11	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	358	277	65	12	2	13	54	115	23	2	2	235	401	433	834	199	344	32	15	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	457	414	73	14	3	16	28	189	12	0	0	176	249	341	589	164	269	41	6	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	457	397	93	19	3	16	45	144	12	0	0	234	330	418	749	184	321	32	10	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	KC	—	250	222	43	8	1	9	19	93	7	2	1	194	278	360	639	167	276	37	8	286	77	-6	+0	+0	-4	+7	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	KC	23%	258	229	44	8	1	9	20	93	7	2	1	192	277	354	631	162	277	36	8	288	79	-6	+0	-1	-5	+7	-0.5
2027	29	MLB	KC	23%	58	52	10	2	0	2	4	21	2	0	0	192	276	346	622	154	273	36	7	264	60	-3	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	58	52	10	2	0	2	4	21	2	0	0	192	276	346	622	154	276	36	7	264	60	-3	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	111	22	0	22	45	235	22	0	0	190	274	341	615	151	273	36	7	264	60	-29	+0	-4	-12	+18	-2.6
Career	—			—	1764	1543	278	53	8	62	138	718	69	8	4	180	277	345	623	165	279	41	8	274	68	-64	+0	-1	-32	+50	-4.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	103	20	3	23	51	265	25	3	1	181	278	348	625	167	281	41	8	274	68	-24	+0	-1	-12	+18	-1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	35	31	6	0	0	1	3	13	1	0	0	194	286	290	576	97	294	37	9	270	64	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2021	23	ROK	ACL Royals Gold	—	23	20	6	0	0	2	1	8	2	1	0	300	391	600	991	300	400	35	4	433	189	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	24	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	383	311	74	22	1	16	52	129	17	1	0	238	376	469	846	232	343	34	14	375	145	+20	+0	—	—	+11	3.1
2023	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	358	277	65	12	2	13	54	115	23	2	2	235	401	433	834	199	344	32	15	376	146	+19	-0	—	—	+10	2.9
2024	26	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	457	397	93	19	3	16	45	144	12	0	0	234	330	418	749	184	321	32	10	334	114	+7	+0	—	—	+13	2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dillan Shrum (OGILVIE)	28	20	51	42	43	191/274/359	168	276	9	2	37%	7%	77	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Stewart Ijames 2017 · AA	28	37	52→65	43→45	39	199/260/367	167	280	21	5	36%	7%	72	-0.2	205/268/344	139	314	16	8	37%	7%	69	-0.4	173/241/320	147	270	19	6	42%	8%	51	-0.4
✕Logan Hill 2019 · AA	26	39	53→55	39→45	39	205/271/371	166	289	22	5	36%	7%	77	+0.1	213/275/382	169	305	21	4	36%	7%	82	+0.5	200/263/376	176	279	22	1	36%	6%	72	-0.2
✕Alex Burg 2016 · AAA	28	44→40	51→50	44→40	46	224/299/381	157	295	19	3	30%	9%	92	+1.2	208/268/341	133	272	15	5	28%	6%	67	-0.5	175/228/284	109	227	11	2	28%	5%	33	-1.5
✕Devin Harris 2015 · AA	27	39	54→60	44→40	37	211/255/391	180	278	21	3	32%	5%	76	+0.0	215/260/381	166	289	20	6	32%	5%	75	-0.0	200/245/377	177	257	23	4	32%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Travis Taijeron 2016 · AAA	27	40→41	51→55	40	41	201/286/362	161	307	19	3	38%	8%	82	+0.5	188/273/321	133	314	14	3	41%	9%	66	-0.6	174/268/327	153	287	18	3	42%	9%	62	-0.7
✕Brandon Waring 2014 · AAA	28	35→40	55	45→40	36	193/256/372	178	278	24	2	39%	6%	72	-0.2	191/251/343	152	332	18	5	45%	6%	62	-0.9	158/220/305	147	295	17	2	50%	5%	36	-1.8
✕Kiel Roling 2013 · AA	26	39→38	54→55	42→30	35	209/254/379	169	296	23	4	37%	5%	72	-0.2	214/264/370	156	290	19	4	32%	6%	73	-0.1	201/252/361	161	260	19	0	30%	6%	65	-0.5
●Mike Hessman 2006 · MLB	28	32→36	54→65	43→45	40	188/255/360	172	241	24	6	33%	7%	68	-0.5	190/262/396	206	247	30	6	36%	8%	81	+0.4	197/276/419	222	259	31	4	36%	8%	91	+1.0
✕Cody Decker 2016 · AAA	29	35→40	55→65	42→30	40	197/261/379	182	269	24	3	36%	7%	76	+0.0	185/241/331	146	284	18	3	40%	6%	54	-1.4	173/244/315	142	258	19	0	39%	8%	51	-0.5
✕Jacob Heyward 2022 · AA	26	37→40	54→50	42→50	42	197/283/370	174	289	22	8	38%	9%	83	+0.6	195/265/335	140	315	18	6	41%	8%	66	-0.6	158/232/275	117	263	17	1	44%	8%	34	-1.7
✕Richie Shaffer 2018 · MLB	27	36→38	48→55	46→40	39	189/257/325	136	280	17	5	37%	7%	59	-1.1	179/241/303	124	316	14	6	45%	7%	46	-2.0	103/163/205	102	202	12	0	54%	6%	-14	-2.5
✕Jared Clark 2012 · A	26	39→38	52→60	42→45	40	209/268/365	156	287	21	5	34%	7%	74	-0.1	217/303/421	204	286	27	4	33%	10%	104	+2.0	201/306/440	239	240	34	1	32%	12%	107	+2.0
✕Josh Lester 2022 · AAA	28	37→41	57→60	46→40	38	208/257/406	197	273	26	4	34%	6%	81	+0.4	209/257/391	182	259	24	5	29%	6%	76	+0.1	201/249/376	174	242	23	3	28%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Jim Murphy 2014 · AA	28	42→44	48→50	42→30	40	214/271/356	142	287	15	2	30%	6%	72	-0.2	217/279/349	132	283	14	4	27%	7%	74	-0.1	205/276/338	134	257	15	1	26%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Jason Hart 2006 · AA	28	40→38	51→55	43→30	42	214/266/374	160	255	20	3	25%	5%	76	+0.0	212/259/362	150	262	18	4	26%	5%	69	-0.4	194/237/343	149	234	19	1	27%	4%	53	-1.1
✕Anthony Gallas 2015 · AAA	27	41	55	44→40	37	221/260/404	183	286	23	4	32%	5%	81	+0.4	222/266/391	169	290	21	5	30%	5%	80	+0.4	215/261/388	174	266	23	2	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA	26	35→27	50	43→40	41	191/254/334	143	251	19	5	32%	7%	60	-1.0	195/273/339	144	246	19	5	28%	8%	70	-0.3	200/276/347	147	231	17	4	22%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Kyle Jensen 2015 · AAA	27	37→47	52→60	44→40	39	198/263/359	161	276	20	4	35%	7%	71	-0.3	204/253/371	167	286	21	3	36%	5%	70	-0.3	189/236/350	161	265	21	0	37%	5%	54	-1.0
✕Clint Coulter 2022 · AAA	29	41→42	54→50	48→40	34	213/261/383	170	319	23	7	40%	6%	76	+0.1	220/285/370	150	265	17	7	24%	5%	83	+0.6	212/285/355	143	244	15	5	20%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Brad Glenn 2014 · AAA	27	41→46	54→55	42→45	39	220/268/393	173	284	22	4	31%	6%	82	+0.5	225/270/363	138	306	15	4	30%	5%	74	-0.1	221/264/347	127	304	13	1	31%	5%	63	-0.5