Carlos Mota — OGILVIE

Carlos MotaOF DSL Colorado

Age 20 R/R 6'3" / 170 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 142 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .260 / .280

PA142

HR1

K%27

BB%6

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	218	184	48	10	1	2	17	53	13	5	4	261	364	359	723	98	346	24	8	329	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	170	145	42	11	0	6	18	32	4	1	1	290	383	490	873	200	327	19	11	381	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	218	189	32	6	1	1	12	63	13	5	4	169	266	228	494	58	220	29	6	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	170	152	26	6	0	3	11	39	4	1	1	171	246	270	515	99	198	23	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	218	189	32	6	1	1	12	63	13	5	4	169	266	228	494	58	240	29	6	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	218	184	48	10	1	2	17	53	13	5	4	261	364	359	723	98	346	24	8	329	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	170	152	26	6	0	3	11	39	4	1	1	171	246	270	515	99	204	23	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	170	145	42	11	0	6	18	32	4	1	1	290	383	490	873	200	327	19	11	381	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	218	191	32	6	1	1	12	63	13	5	4	168	266	225	491	58	220	29	6	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	170	153	26	6	0	3	11	39	4	1	1	170	246	268	513	98	198	23	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	218	191	32	6	1	1	12	63	13	5	4	168	266	225	491	58	220	29	6	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	170	153	26	6	0	3	11	39	4	1	1	170	246	268	513	98	198	23	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	COL	0%	280	256	52	9	2	3	17	75	5	4	1	201	262	282	545	81	270	27	6	249	54	-15	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	COL	34%	223	203	42	8	1	3	14	59	4	3	1	206	268	297	565	91	272	26	6	257	60	-11	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
2028	21	MLB CTX	COL	34%	77	71	16	3	1	1	5	20	1	1	0	216	278	319	597	103	286	26	6	270	60	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	77	71	16	3	1	1	5	20	1	1	0	225	286	338	624	113	300	26	6	270	47	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	134	25	8	8	42	169	8	8	0	224	283	332	615	109	299	26	6	270	47	-31	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	753	675	126	25	3	8	45	199	23	11	7	187	261	268	529	81	247	26	6	238	47	-18	+0	+0	-2	+8	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	110	22	3	7	39	172	20	9	6	189	264	273	536	84	250	26	6	238	47	-33	+0	+0	-4	+14	-2.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	219	2	3	203	262	289	-1	+0	-0.7	-0.4
/162	664	7	9	-4.0	+0.0	-2.1	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Mota (OGILVIE)	20	35	25	45	25	199/260/280	81	270	1	2	27%	6%	54	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→40	44→55	40	185/250/278	93	262	9	9	32%	6%	50	-2.3	205/259/296	91	278	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Anderson De Los Santos 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	43→50	40	192/247/282	89	269	7	8	30%	6%	49	-2.4	183/261/280	97	274	9	12	34%	9%	55	-1.9	173/266/275	101	253	10	13	33%	10%	53	-1.5
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	37→42	39→40	48→50	44	183/255/263	80	245	6	10	27%	7%	49	-2.4	199/291/294	95	292	8	8	32%	10%	70	-0.8	186/290/280	94	280	9	10	33%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	39	36→40	50→55	44	186/249/258	71	249	3	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/271/288	84	283	7	19	28%	7%	60	-1.6	202/282/289	86	263	10	29	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Raul Juarez 2018 · A	20	42	36→40	42→40	41	200/260/264	63	257	4	6	23%	5%	51	-2.3	200/251/277	77	285	6	5	30%	5%	49	-2.4	146/187/213	67	206	8	0	33%	3%	9	-1.0
✕Felix G. Santana 2015 · A	20	41	35→30	46→50	44	194/262/257	63	252	3	10	23%	6%	50	-2.3	210/261/295	85	275	6	7	25%	5%	57	-1.8	221/250/302	81	284	6	0	24%	2%	50	-0.5
✕Luis Sanchez 2007 · A	20	41	36→30	50→40	41	195/253/261	66	275	4	7	29%	6%	47	-2.6	196/263/250	54	280	2	4	28%	8%	48	-2.5	198/256/242	45	274	1	2	26%	7%	41	-1.4
✕Angel Solarte 2021 · A	20	40	39→40	49→45	40	194/242/280	86	262	6	7	28%	5%	47	-2.6	218/271/285	67	323	3	9	31%	6%	59	-1.7	217/273/273	55	326	2	10	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	42	38→30	48→50	45	202/263/281	80	273	4	9	27%	7%	55	-2.0	195/253/273	78	287	4	8	31%	7%	49	-2.4	143/203/205	62	209	0	9	29%	6%	14	-1.2
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	38	38→30	48→45	42	185/249/264	79	253	5	7	28%	6%	47	-2.6	199/274/279	80	289	6	6	31%	7%	59	-1.6	182/251/245	63	250	5	11	28%	7%	41	-0.8
✕Steven Mateo 2013 · A	20	38	35→30	45→50	47	180/265/239	59	261	3	6	30%	9%	47	-2.5	196/279/265	69	283	3	8	28%	10%	58	-1.7	192/270/254	63	279	2	6	29%	9%	49	-0.9
✕Armando Sierra 2024 · A	20	42	39→40	42→40	47	204/271/287	83	267	6	4	25%	8%	60	-1.6	209/260/307	98	311	8	5	33%	6%	59	-1.6	193/225/303	110	284	12	0	36%	3%	44	-0.5
✕Juan Rodriguez 2015 · A	20	43	37→40	46→55	43	204/253/280	76	262	4	8	23%	6%	51	-2.3	218/257/298	80	258	4	14	17%	5%	56	-1.9	230/260/311	81	257	4	22	12%	4%	56	-0.7
✕Rehiner Cordova 2014 · A	20	42	34→30	45→40	41	196/253/246	50	284	2	6	30%	6%	43	-2.8	207/265/251	44	285	2	6	26%	7%	49	-2.4	197/262/216	19	265	1	4	24%	7%	36	-1.1
✕Justin Twine 2016 · A	20	36→33	38→40	48→50	29	179/209/257	78	263	5	7	34%	2%	28	-3.9	191/230/268	77	296	5	8	36%	3%	39	-3.1	216/252/305	89	320	6	14	33%	3%	54	-1.1
✕Kenny Hart 2010 · A	20	39	36→40	48→50	45	186/264/252	67	256	3	6	27%	7%	50	-2.3	191/282/272	81	245	5	11	23%	8%	61	-1.5	167/274/245	79	204	6	15	20%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Yeltsin Gudino 2017 · A	20	36→46	36→30	44→40	42	172/222/235	63	225	3	4	24%	6%	28	-3.9	225/278/274	49	278	2	4	19%	6%	59	-1.7	230/283/267	37	282	1	3	18%	5%	57	-1.1
✕Mikey Edie 2017 · A	20	43	34→30	50	37	198/261/249	51	290	2	14	30%	5%	47	-2.5	216/266/279	63	314	2	13	30%	4%	55	-1.9	200/250/260	60	280	3	7	28%	3%	41	-1.5
✕Rafael Rincones 2019 · A	20	38	37→30	48→45	41	180/256/255	75	282	5	8	35%	8%	47	-2.5	196/266/270	74	308	5	6	35%	7%	54	-2.0	177/256/229	51	276	4	4	34%	8%	41	-1.1
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2013 · A	20	35	37→45	42→40	38	175/237/244	69	259	5	4	33%	6%	37	-3.3	206/258/298	92	286	7	4	29%	6%	57	-1.8	213/268/321	108	292	9	2	29%	6%	63	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps