AJ Soldra

LF Ontario Tower Buzzers

Age 23 L/L 6'0" / 170 lbs A HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	22	ALAD	192	.298/.368/.520	7	3	80	—	.227/.284/.386
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBLAD	302	.208/.267/.333	6	6	68	-0.3
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBLAD	72	.207/.268/.335	2	2	72	-0.2
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBLAD	142	.209/.271/.340	3	3	74	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

ISO87

wOBA75

wRC+72

Speed62

Z-Con%18

K%16

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsAlex Iadisernia (age 23) · Gavin Cross (age 23) · Brian Pointer (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 179 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .265 / .330

PA179

HR4

K%32

BB%6

ISO125

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	192	171	51	9	4	7	13	62	6	3	4	298	368	520	889	222	427	32	7	386	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	192	176	40	7	3	5	8	84	6	3	4	227	284	386	671	159	387	44	4	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	192	176	40	7	3	5	8	84	6	3	4	227	284	386	671	159	398	44	4	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	192	171	51	9	4	7	13	62	6	3	4	298	368	520	889	222	427	32	7	386	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	192	176	40	7	3	5	8	84	6	3	4	227	284	386	671	159	387	44	4	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	192	176	40	7	3	5	8	84	6	3	4	227	284	386	671	159	387	44	4	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	302	277	57	10	3	6	18	98	4	6	2	208	267	333	600	125	292	32	6	269	68	-11	+0	+0	-3	+7	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	LAD	30%	241	221	46	8	2	5	15	77	3	6	2	211	271	341	612	130	293	32	6	274	72	-8	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.5
2029	25	MLB MLE	LAD	44%	321	293	63	11	3	8	21	101	4	8	2	213	275	346	621	133	293	31	7	278	74	-10	+1	+0	-3	+7	-0.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	LAD	30%	72	66	14	2	1	2	5	23	1	2	1	207	268	335	602	128	285	32	7	270	72	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	LAD	44%	142	130	27	5	1	3	9	45	2	3	1	209	271	340	611	131	285	32	6	274	74	-4	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	214	196	41	7	2	5	14	68	3	5	2	209	272	342	614	133	290	32	7	272	74	-7	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	124	21	6	15	43	207	9	15	6	208	272	339	612	131	290	32	7	272	74	-21	+1	+0	-7	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	933	854	184	32	10	22	55	320	15	21	9	215	275	354	629	138	313	34	6	277	74	-25	+2	+0	-8	+16	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	128	22	7	15	38	223	10	15	6	215	273	351	625	136	314	34	6	277	74	-22	+1	+0	-7	+14	-1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
#5Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
#6Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.6	393	9	9	211	269	341	-3	+0	-0.4	-0.2
/162	664	15	15	-5.4	+0.0	-0.8	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
AJ Soldra (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	206/265/330	124	292	4	4	32%	6%	68	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alex Iadisernia 2024 · A	23	38→37	46→50	52→55	43	196/263/328	132	261	14	16	30%	7%	67	-1.1	197/263/295	98	277	8	16	30%	7%	59	-1.7	178/248/250	72	257	3	19	30%	7%	42	-2.0
✕Gavin Cross 2024 · A	23	37→40	47→50	55	42	190/264/327	138	277	14	18	35%	8%	68	-1.0	203/255/336	133	283	15	23	32%	6%	65	-1.2	200/247/333	133	277	16	26	33%	5%	59	-1.3
✕Brian Pointer 2015 · A	23	41	44→45	49→50	41	198/276/315	117	302	11	13	36%	8%	69	-0.9	220/292/351	131	322	13	11	33%	8%	82	+0.0	222/297/367	145	315	15	10	32%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→34	43→45	50	47	194/280/301	107	268	12	10	30%	9%	68	-1.0	192/268/302	110	281	9	13	32%	9%	63	-1.4	180/256/297	117	269	7	16	33%	9%	55	-1.0
✕Cole Roederer 2023 · AA	23	43→33	44→45	47→50	40	211/269/329	118	300	12	12	33%	7%	69	-0.9	197/270/310	113	292	12	11	34%	8%	65	-1.2	176/259/283	106	262	11	11	35%	9%	53	-1.3
✕Alex Glenn 2014 · A	23	41→42	48→55	55→50	42	209/275/352	143	286	15	11	31%	7%	76	-0.4	216/263/365	149	280	15	11	28%	5%	74	-0.5	214/256/366	152	271	15	10	27%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Gabriel Rincones Jr. 2024 · A	23	41→42	47→50	54→55	42	207/279/346	139	294	14	18	33%	8%	77	-0.3	212/287/351	139	290	15	20	30%	8%	81	-0.1	206/286/345	139	274	16	20	29%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Kevin Rivers 2012 · A	23	40→43	46→50	48→45	40	204/263/326	122	290	14	8	34%	7%	65	-1.2	207/272/334	127	292	12	6	31%	8%	72	-0.7	201/268/329	128	278	11	4	30%	8%	67	-0.8
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	38	45→55	47→45	46	195/271/314	120	240	13	8	25%	7%	68	-1.0	215/270/381	166	280	21	4	31%	6%	82	-0.0	212/261/402	190	265	27	0	32%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Chris Epps 2013 · A	24	41→36	48→50	48→45	42	208/271/349	142	295	16	9	34%	8%	74	-0.5	198/271/337	139	291	14	9	35%	9%	72	-0.7	187/267/334	148	273	15	7	35%	9%	69	-0.7
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A	23	43→33	40→50	51→55	43	207/268/296	89	302	7	9	32%	8%	61	-1.5	199/264/310	111	281	9	16	31%	7%	62	-1.4	179/252/293	114	245	10	19	30%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/250/319	131	265	15	10	34%	6%	60	-1.6	206/269/349	143	296	16	9	34%	6%	74	-0.6	201/265/348	147	289	17	7	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Estee Harris 2008 · A	23	38→32	40→50	49→50	36	184/237/276	92	297	8	13	39%	6%	45	-2.7	218/265/340	122	373	12	12	42%	5%	70	-0.9	212/253/348	137	372	14	14	45%	4%	63	-0.4
✕Tyler Frost 2019 · A	23	37→33	47→50	48→50	38	190/248/327	136	277	15	6	36%	6%	61	-1.5	188/244/302	114	319	12	8	42%	6%	53	-2.1	163/219/262	99	294	10	9	46%	5%	33	-2.8
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	41→39	44→50	50→45	45	206/271/326	120	274	11	7	28%	8%	69	-0.9	208/265/331	123	293	14	5	32%	7%	68	-1.0	187/241/315	128	257	17	1	34%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Tristan Gray 2019 · A	23	39→36	47→50	42→40	39	199/250/342	143	275	14	6	33%	6%	65	-1.2	205/271/347	142	266	15	4	28%	7%	74	-0.6	197/252/324	127	261	14	3	29%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Stephen Chapman 2009 · A	23	35→37	49→50	53→50	35	187/239/334	147	280	16	11	39%	5%	59	-1.7	186/237/301	115	295	12	14	39%	5%	50	-2.3	157/202/251	94	244	11	20	40%	4%	23	-2.3
✕David Washington 2014 · A	23	44→38	44→55	50→45	42	209/276/328	118	316	10	7	35%	8%	71	-0.8	198/260/350	152	320	18	4	41%	7%	70	-0.8	198/259/360	162	317	21	5	42%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Lance Ray 2013 · A	23	38→37	45	45	45	196/264/320	124	261	13	6	29%	8%	65	-1.2	201/265/317	116	278	10	6	30%	7%	65	-1.2	151/221/203	52	215	4	5	30%	8%	20	-1.0

AJ Soldra

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps