Cesar Acosta — OGILVIE

Cesar AcostaC DSL Mets Orange

Age 18 L/R 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION176 act + 17 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .294 / .267

PA17

HR0

K%35

BB%12

BABIP267

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	120	102	21	6	1	2	15	34	2	1	2	206	319	343	662	137	284	28	12	302	91	-1	-1	—	—	+3	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	120	108	14	3	1	1	9	49	2	1	2	130	210	204	414	74	211	41	8	190	15	-12	-1	—	—	+3	-1.0
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	120	108	14	3	1	1	9	49	2	1	2	130	210	204	414	74	220	41	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	120	102	21	6	1	2	15	34	2	1	2	206	319	343	662	137	284	28	12	302	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	120	108	14	3	1	1	9	49	2	1	2	130	210	204	414	74	211	41	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	120	108	14	3	1	1	9	49	2	1	2	130	210	204	414	74	211	41	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	NYM	—	176	155	27	7	3	1	19	68	1	5	1	174	269	277	546	103	299	39	11	254	58	-9	+1	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	NYM	—	176	144	39	11	5	2	30	47	1	5	1	271	400	458	858	188	385	27	17	381	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	NYM	0%	17	15	3	1	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	200	294	267	561	67	274	35	12	251	56	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	NYM	—	193	170	30	8	3	1	21	74	1	5	1	176	271	276	547	100	302	38	11	254	58	-10	+1	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	234	209	41	8	3	3	21	73	2	4	1	196	276	306	582	110	278	31	9	265	65	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
2028	20	MLB MLE	NYM	48%	364	324	65	13	4	6	33	110	4	7	2	201	283	321	604	120	280	30	9	274	72	-12	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	460	410	84	17	5	8	42	136	5	9	2	205	287	329	616	124	282	30	9	280	76	-13	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.6
2030	22	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	520	462	96	19	5	10	47	152	6	10	3	208	289	335	625	128	283	29	9	284	78	-14	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.8
2031	23	MLB MLE	NYM	58%	520	461	97	20	5	10	48	151	6	10	3	210	293	341	634	130	284	29	9	286	79	-13	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2032	24	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	520	461	97	20	5	10	48	151	6	10	3	210	293	341	634	130	285	29	9	287	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	520	461	98	20	5	11	48	150	6	10	3	213	295	349	644	137	285	29	9	288	81	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	520	461	98	20	5	11	48	150	6	10	3	213	295	349	644	137	285	29	9	288	81	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	520	460	97	19	5	11	49	151	6	10	3	211	295	346	641	135	284	29	9	288	81	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	520	460	95	19	5	10	49	152	6	10	3	207	291	335	626	128	284	29	9	287	80	-12	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	520	460	95	19	5	10	49	153	6	10	3	207	291	335	626	128	283	29	9	285	79	-13	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	520	460	95	19	5	10	49	154	6	9	3	207	291	335	626	128	281	30	9	282	77	-14	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.5
2039	31	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	504	445	90	18	5	9	48	151	6	9	2	202	289	326	614	124	279	30	10	278	74	-15	+1	-3	+9	+11	0.3
2040	32	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	489	435	85	17	4	8	46	148	5	8	2	195	280	308	588	113	275	30	9	273	71	-17	+1	-4	+9	+11	-0.0
2027	19	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	80	72	14	3	1	1	7	25	1	1	0	194	275	306	581	111	271	31	9	254	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	NYM	48%	176	156	31	6	2	3	16	53	2	3	1	199	282	321	602	122	273	30	9	262	72	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	249	221	46	9	3	5	23	74	3	5	1	208	291	344	635	136	275	30	9	267	76	-7	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	294	262	54	11	3	6	27	86	3	6	2	206	288	340	627	134	276	29	9	271	78	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	NYM	58%	299	267	55	11	3	6	27	87	3	6	2	206	286	337	623	131	277	29	9	273	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	296	264	54	11	3	6	27	86	3	6	2	205	286	337	623	133	277	29	9	274	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	295	263	54	11	3	6	27	85	3	6	2	205	287	338	625	133	277	29	9	275	81	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	294	262	54	11	3	6	27	85	3	6	2	206	288	340	627	134	277	29	9	275	81	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	289	257	52	10	3	6	27	84	3	6	2	202	286	335	620	132	277	29	9	275	81	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	286	254	52	10	3	6	27	83	3	5	2	205	289	339	627	134	276	29	9	274	80	-7	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	278	247	50	10	3	5	26	82	3	5	1	202	286	328	614	126	275	29	9	272	79	-7	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	274	243	49	10	3	5	26	81	3	5	1	202	287	329	616	128	274	30	9	269	77	-7	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2039	31	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	285	253	50	10	3	5	27	85	3	5	1	198	283	320	603	123	272	30	9	266	74	-9	+1	-2	+5	+6	0.2
2040	32	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	266	236	46	9	2	5	25	81	3	4	1	195	280	314	594	119	268	30	9	260	71	-9	+0	-2	+5	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3661	3257	661	132	38	71	339	1077	39	69	20	203	286	332	618	129	278	29	9	270	76	-97	+6	-6	+65	+79	4.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	118	23	7	13	60	191	7	12	4	204	286	336	622	131	279	29	9	270	76	-17	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	6868	6092	1250	252	67	128	636	2037	78	127	38	205	289	332	620	126	283	30	9	281	76	-181	+11	-10	+121	+146	8.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	118	24	6	12	60	193	7	12	4	205	287	329	617	125	282	30	9	281	76	-17	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#6Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.7	3,786	72	70	207	287	336	+68	+32	7.3	6.2
/162	664	13	12	+11.9	+5.6	1.3	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cesar Acosta (OGILVIE)	18	20→25	34→39	46→51	59	184/263/281	97	274	1	2	32%	9%	56	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	39→50	49→40	45	196/264/278	82	269	6	5	28%	8%	55	-1.9	200/286/292	92	306	7	4	34%	10%	68	-1.0	189/297/321	132	304	15	2	39%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	56	-1.9	213/303/311	98	271	7	8	22%	10%	78	-0.3	194/297/306	112	259	11	6	27%	12%	72	-0.3
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→42	38→45	53→60	48	181/263/263	82	240	5	13	26%	8%	52	-2.2	207/289/321	114	272	11	17	26%	9%	75	-0.5	202/287/312	110	269	12	24	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	36→40	37→45	48→40	48	173/263/240	67	258	5	3	32%	10%	47	-2.5	205/289/309	104	317	11	4	35%	10%	72	-0.7	200/285/310	110	312	13	2	37%	10%	69	-0.6
✕Juan Centeno 2008 · A	18	41	37→45	49→40	43	197/253/265	68	259	4	6	25%	6%	47	-2.5	198/257/259	61	255	3	6	22%	6%	47	-2.5	268/305/322	54	324	1	3	17%	4%	76	-0.2
✕Robert Lopez 2022 · A	18	38	39→45	48→45	41	181/262/270	89	284	6	6	36%	8%	53	-2.1	189/253/272	83	291	7	4	35%	7%	50	-2.3	184/245/264	80	277	8	3	35%	7%	42	-0.9
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	68	-1.0	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	62	-1.4	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	58	-0.5
✕Gleider Figuereo 2022 · A	18	39→36	38→45	48→45	49	190/266/272	82	250	5	6	25%	9%	55	-2.0	188/250/304	116	278	13	7	35%	7%	56	-1.9	173/233/294	120	259	16	5	38%	6%	45	-1.6
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2023 · A	18	41	38→45	52→45	46	198/269/280	82	263	4	12	25%	8%	57	-1.8	175/267/264	89	303	6	9	39%	10%	54	-2.0	172/276/280	109	289	8	7	39%	12%	60	-0.7
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	43	-2.8	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	58	-1.7	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	42	38→45	52→45	44	198/258/283	84	268	4	6	26%	7%	53	-2.1	213/253/294	81	276	5	8	23%	5%	53	-2.1	262/284/362	100	318	5	7	19%	2%	77	-0.1
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	39	41→45	46→45	48	183/286/282	99	291	8	6	36%	11%	66	-1.1	184/261/262	78	291	6	6	35%	9%	51	-2.3	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→50	47	190/277/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	55	-2.0	190/259/257	67	295	3	15	34%	7%	49	-2.4	198/276/278	80	279	7	21	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	38→40	42→45	44	193/266/276	83	281	5	6	31%	8%	55	-1.9	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	71	-0.8	193/314/286	93	255	5	7	23%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43→45	39→50	55	42	205/265/294	89	297	6	14	32%	7%	59	-1.7	186/260/273	87	276	6	12	32%	8%	53	-2.1	195/272/312	117	292	11	20	34%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Starlin Aguilar 2022 · A	18	41	38→50	42→45	45	195/267/273	78	268	5	3	28%	8%	55	-1.9	200/250/267	67	295	3	4	31%	5%	47	-2.6	182/231/281	99	278	10	2	37%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	45	-2.7	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	55	-2.0	224/262/324	100	290	5	8	24%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	43	36→45	46→55	53	200/285/268	68	260	3	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	217/295/305	88	312	7	14	30%	10%	73	-0.6	206/286/298	92	317	9	17	35%	10%	65	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps