Cesar Acosta — OGILVIE

Cesar AcostaC DSL Mets Orange

Age 18 L/R 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION111 act + 74 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .257 / .294

PA74

HR1

K%32

BB%8

BABIP279

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-3	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.1M
Totals		$13M		$22M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	120	108	13	2	1	1	9	50	2	1	2	120	202	185	387	65	207	42	8	183	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	120	102	21	6	1	2	15	34	2	1	2	206	319	343	662	137	284	28	12	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	NYM	—	111	98	18	4	2	0	12	42	0	3	0	184	273	265	538	82	316	38	11	250	50	-6	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
YTD	18	ROK	NYM	—	111	90	24	6	3	0	20	29	0	3	0	267	400	400	800	133	387	26	18	361	134	+4	+1	+0	+2	+3	1.0
ROS	18	ROK	NYM	0%	74	68	13	2	1	1	6	24	0	1	0	191	257	294	551	103	274	32	8	245	46	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	NYM	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		274	—	—	241	42	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	NYM	—	111	99	18	4	2	0	12	42	0	3	0	182	273	263	535	81	310	38	11	250	50	-6	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
TOT	18	ROK	NYM	—	185	166	31	6	3	1	18	66	0	4	0	187	266	277	543	90	300	36	10	248	48	-11	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	NYM	34%	231	207	41	8	2	3	20	71	2	4	1	198	275	300	575	101	279	31	9	259	56	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	NYM	48%	361	322	64	12	3	5	32	107	4	7	2	199	279	301	581	102	281	30	9	269	64	-15	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.3
2029	21	MLB	NYM	54%	458	409	84	16	4	7	41	134	5	9	2	205	286	315	601	110	283	29	9	275	68	-16	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.6
2030	22	MLB	NYM	57%	520	462	97	18	5	9	47	150	6	10	3	210	291	329	620	119	284	29	9	279	71	-17	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.8
2031	23	MLB	NYM	58%	520	462	97	18	5	9	47	150	6	10	3	210	291	329	620	119	285	29	9	281	73	-16	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.9
2032	24	MLB	NYM	57%	520	462	97	18	5	9	47	149	6	10	3	210	291	329	620	119	286	29	9	282	74	-15	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2033	25	MLB	NYM	57%	520	462	98	18	5	10	47	149	6	10	3	212	293	338	631	126	286	29	9	283	75	-15	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2034	26	MLB	NYM	57%	520	462	98	18	5	10	47	149	6	10	3	212	293	338	631	126	286	29	9	284	75	-15	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2035	27	MLB	NYM	55%	520	461	98	18	5	10	48	149	6	10	3	213	295	338	634	126	285	29	9	284	75	-15	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2036	28	MLB	NYM	55%	520	461	97	18	5	10	48	150	6	10	3	210	293	336	629	126	285	29	9	283	74	-15	+1	-1	+9	+15	0.9
2037	29	MLB	NYM	53%	520	461	96	18	5	9	48	151	6	10	3	208	291	328	619	119	284	29	9	281	73	-16	+1	-1	+9	+15	0.8
2038	30	MLB	NYM	53%	520	460	96	18	5	9	49	152	6	9	2	209	293	328	621	120	282	29	9	278	71	-17	+1	-2	+9	+15	0.6
2039	31	MLB	NYM	57%	504	447	90	17	4	8	47	149	5	9	2	201	285	311	596	110	280	30	9	274	68	-18	+1	-3	+9	+14	0.3
2040	32	MLB	NYM	54%	489	436	87	16	4	8	45	147	5	8	2	200	282	310	592	110	277	30	9	268	64	-20	+1	-4	+9	+14	-0.0
2027	19	MLB	NYM	34%	79	71	14	3	1	1	7	24	1	1	0	197	278	310	588	113	278	30	9	252	51	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	NYM	48%	175	155	31	6	2	2	16	52	2	3	1	200	283	303	586	103	281	30	9	261	58	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	NYM	54%	248	221	46	9	2	4	22	72	3	5	1	208	289	321	610	113	283	29	9	267	62	-11	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2030	22	MLB	NYM	57%	294	263	55	10	3	5	26	85	3	6	1	209	288	327	615	118	284	29	9	270	65	-12	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2031	23	MLB	NYM	58%	299	267	55	10	3	5	27	86	3	6	2	206	286	322	608	116	285	29	9	272	67	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2032	24	MLB	NYM	57%	296	264	55	10	3	5	27	85	3	6	1	208	289	326	615	117	286	29	9	274	68	-11	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2033	25	MLB	NYM	57%	295	263	55	10	3	5	27	85	3	6	1	209	290	327	617	118	286	29	9	275	68	-11	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2034	26	MLB	NYM	57%	294	262	55	10	3	5	27	84	3	6	1	210	291	328	619	118	285	29	9	275	69	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2035	27	MLB	NYM	55%	289	257	54	10	3	5	27	83	3	6	1	210	293	331	623	121	285	29	9	275	69	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2036	28	MLB	NYM	55%	286	254	53	10	3	5	27	83	3	5	1	209	292	331	623	122	285	29	9	274	68	-10	+1	-0	+5	+8	0.3
2037	29	MLB	NYM	53%	278	247	51	9	3	5	26	81	3	5	1	206	290	328	618	121	284	29	9	272	67	-11	+1	-1	+5	+8	0.2
2038	30	MLB	NYM	53%	274	243	50	9	2	5	26	80	3	5	1	206	290	321	611	115	282	29	9	270	64	-11	+1	-1	+5	+8	0.1
2039	31	MLB	NYM	57%	285	253	51	9	2	5	27	84	3	5	1	202	286	312	598	111	280	29	9	266	61	-12	+1	-2	+5	+8	-0.0
2040	32	MLB	NYM	54%	266	236	46	8	2	4	25	80	3	4	1	195	280	297	577	102	276	30	9	260	58	-13	+0	-2	+5	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3658	3257	671	123	35	61	337	1064	39	69	14	206	288	321	610	115	284	29	9	270	65	-145	+8	-6	+65	+104	2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	119	22	6	11	60	189	7	12	2	206	288	321	609	116	283	29	9	270	65	-26	+2	-1	+12	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	6917	6150	1266	235	64	118	628	2031	77	128	37	206	288	322	610	117	284	29	9	276	69	-239	+11	-10	+124	+196	8.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	119	22	6	11	59	191	7	12	3	206	287	322	609	116	284	29	9	276	69	-22	+1	-1	+12	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	120	102	21	6	1	2	15	34	2	1	2	206	319	343	662	137	284	28	12	302	90	-1	-1	—	—	+3	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,780	64	70	207	286	324	+67	+32	5.2	4.5
	/162	664	11	12	207	286	324	+11.9	+5.6	0.9	pk7: 4
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cesar Acosta (OGILVIE)	18	20→25	31→36	46→51	59	187/266/277	90	300	1	4	36%	10%	48	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Juan Centeno 2008 · A	18	41	37→45	49→40	43	197/253/265	68	259	4	6	25%	6%	40	-2.4	198/256/259	61	255	3	6	22%	6%	40	-2.4	238/286/352	114	281	11	2	19%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Nicoll Parra 2012 · A	18	39	36→30	44→55	45	183/264/252	70	275	4	8	32%	8%	43	-2.2	197/307/251	54	268	1	18	24%	12%	63	-0.9	186/321/224	38	254	0	27	22%	14%	60	-0.3
✕Carlos Soler 2018 · A	18	39	37→45	46→45	39	187/248/267	80	274	3	8	31%	6%	40	-2.4	216/272/305	89	319	3	8	31%	6%	59	-1.1	238/290/344	106	352	2	8	31%	5%	73	-0.0
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	36→40	37→45	48→40	48	171/261/237	65	254	5	3	32%	10%	39	-2.5	205/290/309	104	318	11	4	35%	10%	69	-0.4	200/285/307	107	317	13	2	38%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	38	-2.6	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	49	-1.8	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Robert Lopez 2022 · A	18	38	39→45	48→45	42	181/262/270	89	284	6	6	36%	8%	48	-1.9	190/252/274	84	293	7	4	35%	7%	43	-2.2	183/243/267	84	277	9	3	35%	7%	34	-0.9
✕Carlos Goris 2019 · A	18	35	35→30	51→55	43	166/241/233	66	250	2	7	32%	8%	28	-3.2	189/268/264	75	265	5	12	28%	9%	48	-1.9	169/264/229	60	224	6	21	25%	11%	35	-1.1
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	39→40	42→45	45	194/268/281	86	278	5	6	30%	8%	52	-1.6	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	68	-0.5	190/311/283	93	253	5	7	24%	13%	71	-0.1
✕Adonis Figuereo 2019 · A	18	37	38→30	46→45	44	182/246/261	79	250	5	8	28%	7%	37	-2.6	193/263/271	78	270	6	6	28%	8%	47	-1.9	194/266/259	66	250	6	5	24%	8%	43	-0.8
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	42	38→45	52→45	44	198/258/283	84	268	4	6	26%	7%	47	-1.9	212/252/292	80	276	5	8	24%	5%	46	-2.0	257/280/358	100	316	5	7	20%	2%	71	-0.1
✕Roynier Hernandez 2023 · A	18	44	34→30	46→50	53	203/279/257	54	256	2	8	20%	10%	50	-1.7	230/299/285	55	293	1	9	20%	9%	65	-0.7	244/304/306	62	315	3	7	22%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Juan Diaz 2007 · A	18	37→47	35→45	44→45	45	175/255/243	68	260	2	6	31%	8%	37	-2.6	206/250/273	67	281	3	5	26%	5%	40	-2.4	255/291/351	96	335	7	7	25%	5%	74	-0.1
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	43→45	38→45	46→50	44	201/275/277	76	311	6	9	35%	9%	54	-1.4	211/298/310	99	331	7	14	35%	9%	72	-0.2	226/292/355	129	316	11	14	30%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	38	38→40	48→40	45	181/270/258	78	284	6	4	36%	9%	48	-1.9	187/273/272	85	333	6	4	41%	9%	53	-1.5	167/258/250	82	313	7	3	44%	9%	39	-0.7
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	36	-2.7	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	44	-0.5