Nicolas Vergara — OGILVIE

Nicolas VergaraOF DSL Blue Jays Red

Age 19 L/R 6'0" / 172 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj PA

wRC+51

AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .263 / .257

PA60

HR0

K%35

BB%8

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	105	86	13	5	0	1	14	39	5	1	2	151	305	244	549	93	261	37	13	269	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	105	90	8	3	0	0	10	49	5	1	2	89	219	122	341	33	178	47	10	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	105	90	8	3	0	0	10	49	5	1	2	89	219	122	341	33	195	47	10	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	105	86	13	5	0	1	14	39	5	1	2	151	305	244	549	93	261	37	13	269	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	105	89	8	3	0	0	10	49	5	1	2	90	219	124	343	34	178	47	10	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	105	89	8	3	0	0	10	49	5	1	2	90	219	124	343	34	178	47	10	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	215	191	35	7	1	2	18	76	4	2	1	183	265	259	525	76	289	35	8	244	51	-12	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	120	107	20	4	1	1	10	41	2	1	0	188	271	273	544	84	291	34	8	252	57	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	41	37	6	1	0	0	3	14	1	0	0	188	271	273	544	84	291	34	7	252	57	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	41	37	6	1	0	0	3	14	1	0	0	162	244	189	433	27	261	34	7	252	36	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	95	16	0	0	48	222	16	0	0	162	245	189	434	27	260	34	7	252	36	-34	+0	+0	-4	+14	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	285	251	37	9	1	1	25	111	8	3	2	147	246	203	450	56	257	39	9	221	36	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	84	21	2	2	57	253	18	7	5	147	245	201	446	54	257	39	9	221	36	-35	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nicolas Vergara (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	181/263/257	76	289	0	1	35%	8%	51	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Guillermo Williamson 2023 · A	19	36	40→45	46→30	44	176/254/269	93	267	7	5	35%	9%	50	-2.3	190/273/308	118	316	13	3	40%	9%	66	-1.1	177/264/302	125	302	16	1	43%	9%	59	-0.8
✕Fidel Castro 2018 · A	19	37	36→50	46→45	41	179/243/246	67	270	3	6	33%	7%	40	-3.1	188/257/298	110	336	8	8	43%	7%	57	-1.8	164/239/288	124	322	10	8	48%	7%	45	-0.8
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	38	36→40	49→50	48	179/264/246	67	265	3	9	31%	10%	49	-2.4	191/274/274	83	295	5	14	33%	9%	59	-1.7	189/281/265	77	291	4	18	33%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Shalin Polanco 2023 · A	19	36→24	39→45	47→50	39	177/234/257	80	265	6	10	34%	6%	38	-3.2	185/244/305	120	287	13	12	38%	7%	54	-2.0	169/229/296	127	253	15	12	38%	7%	45	-1.6
✕Robert Lopez 2023 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	42	172/250/235	63	266	3	6	34%	8%	40	-3.0	198/264/283	85	295	7	4	33%	8%	57	-1.8	188/259/268	80	276	7	3	32%	8%	48	-0.9
✕Deward Tovar 2024 · A	18	40→32	36→50	47→40	44	188/257/254	67	280	3	7	32%	8%	47	-2.5	183/259/279	96	306	9	6	39%	9%	54	-2.0	168/247/288	120	280	14	4	42%	8%	50	-1.0
✕Jhon Diaz 2022 · A	19	34→26	35→45	47→50	43	163/238/223	60	266	3	7	37%	9%	33	-3.6	174/231/267	93	282	7	13	38%	7%	40	-3.1	164/219/273	109	248	11	18	37%	6%	35	-1.9
✕Danyer Sanabria 2022 · A	20	33	39→45	48→45	35	170/215/251	81	265	7	7	38%	5%	30	-3.8	202/249/292	90	329	5	5	38%	6%	52	-2.2	202/246/298	97	321	5	3	37%	5%	48	-0.8
✕Luis Montano 2019 · A	19	36	38→40	40	44	170/253/252	82	271	4	3	36%	9%	46	-2.6	171/234/254	83	313	4	4	43%	7%	38	-3.2	133/185/225	91	259	5	3	48%	5%	11	-1.3
✕Henry Pena 2010 · A	19	37	37→40	45	49	177/263/255	78	261	4	5	31%	10%	51	-2.3	198/271/294	96	333	7	6	39%	9%	61	-1.5	204/277/339	135	307	13	8	35%	8%	70	-0.1
✕Rixon Wingrove 2019 · A	19	43→34	38→50	46→40	38	203/256/286	82	313	5	6	35%	6%	53	-2.1	199/257/311	112	288	10	4	32%	7%	60	-1.6	182/250/335	153	264	21	3	38%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Elvin Soto 2008 · A	19	34	39→40	49→40	48	165/270/248	83	261	6	4	36%	11%	53	-2.1	163/264/257	94	259	8	5	36%	11%	53	-2.1	128/245/221	93	196	9	5	36%	11%	36	-1.1
✕Diowill Burgos 2019 · A	18	33	39→45	44→40	42	165/236/249	84	254	6	5	36%	8%	38	-3.2	192/265/314	122	286	12	6	34%	9%	64	-1.3	169/255/295	126	259	12	4	37%	10%	55	-1.0
✕Jose Augusto Figueroa 2012 · A	19	40	38→40	44→45	45	188/266/270	82	276	4	6	31%	8%	55	-2.0	207/268/294	87	267	4	10	23%	7%	59	-1.6	240/273/329	88	342	5	9	30%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Romer Cuadrado 2017 · A	19	37→36	38→40	45	43	180/251/257	77	267	6	8	33%	8%	46	-2.6	202/259/294	92	320	8	7	37%	6%	57	-1.8	197/253/289	92	311	8	5	37%	6%	51	-1.5
✕Thomas Sosa 2024 · A	19	40→41	41→45	45→50	41	195/259/294	99	280	8	6	32%	7%	57	-1.8	193/256/294	101	293	9	13	35%	7%	56	-1.9	187/250/295	108	276	11	12	35%	7%	51	-1.4
✕Francisco Del Valle 2019 · A	20	37→29	39→45	50→40	39	181/243/264	83	278	7	6	36%	7%	44	-2.8	175/254/280	105	262	9	4	34%	8%	53	-2.1	159/237/265	107	227	10	3	33%	8%	41	-1.6
✕Francis Martinez 2016 · A	19	35	38→40	43→30	38	169/243/250	81	274	6	3	38%	7%	42	-2.9	185/235/271	86	320	7	3	42%	5%	42	-2.9	172/217/256	84	297	8	1	43%	5%	29	-1.4
✕Miguel Arrendell 2007 · A	19	39	36→30	45→50	41	184/254/252	67	277	4	6	32%	7%	46	-2.6	184/282/240	56	229	3	9	19%	11%	55	-2.0	201/272/282	81	263	7	9	25%	8%	56	-0.7
✕David Calabrese 2022 · A	19	39→41	36→45	51→50	36	172/239/241	69	323	3	8	44%	8%	37	-3.3	189/260/299	110	290	10	13	35%	8%	59	-1.7	187/246/292	106	241	12	16	27%	7%	49	-1.2