Jhosneyker Colina

P DSL NYY Yankees

Age 19 RHP 5'11" / 150 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038 peak 0.9 · 2032

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKDSL NYY Yanke…	11	10	43	4.85	4.01	15.1%	10.1%	—	K 10.3% · BB 12.6% · FIP 4.89
2026	18	ROKDSL NYY Yanke…	10	10	48	4.31	3.43	21.9%	7.0%	—	K 14.9% · BB 8.7% · FIP 4.74
2027PROJ	19	MLBNYY	6	6	28	5.77	5.77	11.5%	12.8%	-0.3
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBNYY	5	5	22	5.63	5.56	14.1%	12.2%	-0.1
2029PROJ73% MLB	21	MLBNYY	7	7	35	5.42	5.33	15.8%	11.8%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff20Control35Command25

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsRonnie Williams (age 19) · Keiber Arredondo (age 19) · Ricky DeVito (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 126

ERA5.77

FIP5.77

K%11.5%

BB%12.8%

K-BB%-1.3%

Proj IP28

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2020

CTRL3535

CMD2525

K†3045

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	11	10	43	199	30	20	3	91%	3.9	10.3%	12.6%	-2.3%	1.9%	4.85	4.89	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	11	10	43	199	30	20	3	91%	3.9	10.3%	12.6%	-2.3%	1.9%	4.85	4.89	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	11	10	43	199	30	20	3	91%	3.9	15.1%	10.1%	5.0%	1.5%	4.85	4.01	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	10	10	48	215	47	15	5	100%	4.8	14.9%	8.7%	6.1%	3.3%	4.31	4.74	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	10	10	48	215	47	15	5	100%	4.8	14.9%	8.7%	6.1%	3.3%	4.31	4.74	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	10	10	48	215	47	15	5	100%	4.8	21.9%	7.0%	14.9%	2.3%	4.31	3.43	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	NYY	6	6	28	118	14	15	4	100%	4.7	11.5%	12.8%	-1.3%	3.0%	5.77	5.77	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	NYY	10	10	45	192	27	23	6	100%	4.5	14.1%	12.2%	1.9%	2.9%	5.52	5.45	-0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	NYY	10	10	48	201	32	24	6	100%	4.8	15.8%	11.8%	4.0%	2.9%	5.31	5.22	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	NYY	10	10	50	212	37	24	6	100%	5.0	17.4%	11.3%	6.1%	2.8%	5.10	4.99	-0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	NYY	10	10	52	220	40	24	6	100%	5.2	18.3%	10.9%	7.4%	2.8%	4.94	4.84	+0.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	NYY	10	10	53	225	43	24	6	100%	5.3	18.9%	10.7%	8.2%	2.7%	4.82	4.75	+0.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	NYY	9	9	54	228	44	24	6	100%	6.0	19.3%	10.6%	8.7%	2.7%	4.74	4.69	+0.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	NYY	9	9	54	228	44	24	6	100%	6.0	19.5%	10.5%	9.0%	2.7%	4.70	4.67	+0.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	NYY	9	9	53	225	44	24	6	100%	5.9	19.5%	10.6%	8.9%	2.8%	4.70	4.71	+0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	NYY	5	5	22	93	13	11	3	100%	4.4	14.1%	12.2%	1.9%	3.1%	5.63	5.56	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	NYY	7	7	35	148	23	17	5	100%	5.0	15.8%	11.8%	4.0%	3.1%	5.42	5.33	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	NYY	8	8	42	177	31	20	5	100%	5.2	17.4%	11.3%	6.1%	3.0%	5.20	5.09	-0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	NYY	9	9	47	198	36	22	6	100%	5.2	18.3%	10.9%	7.4%	3.0%	5.04	4.94	+0.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	NYY	9	9	49	207	39	22	6	100%	5.4	18.9%	10.7%	8.2%	2.9%	4.92	4.85	+0.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	NYY	9	9	50	211	41	22	6	100%	5.6	19.3%	10.6%	8.7%	2.9%	4.84	4.79	+0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	NYY	8	8	51	215	42	23	6	100%	6.4	19.5%	10.5%	9.0%	2.9%	4.80	4.77	+0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	NYY	8	8	51	215	42	23	6	100%	6.4	19.5%	10.6%	8.9%	3.0%	4.80	4.81	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		63	63	347	1467	268	161	44	100%	5.5	18.2%	10.9%	7.3%	3.0%	5.02	4.58	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	154	93	25	100%	5.5	18.2%	10.9%	7.3%	3.0%	5.02	4.58	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		21	20	91	414	52	44	11	95%	4.3	12.6%	10.6%	2.1%	2.6%	4.57	4.81	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	44	200	913	116	97	24	95%	4.3	12.6%	10.6%	2.1%	2.6%	4.57	4.81	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jhosneyker Colina (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.77	11.5%	12.8%	3.0%	—	5.21	15.8%	4.0%	143	-0.56	—	—	—
Ronnie Williams R 2015 · 5.36 FIP	19	SP	5.36	12.4%	13.2%	3.0%	.245	5.85	18.1%	4.3%	119	+0.49	4.58	344	88
Keiber Arredondo R 2017 · 5.86 FIP	19	SP	5.86	13.0%	13.4%	3.9%	.292	4.00	16.0%	2.7%	93	-1.86	3.61	141	87
Ricky DeVito R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	20	SP	5.65	10.2%	10.3%	3.8%	.317	4.18	21.6%	7.9%	90	-1.47	4.04	215	87
Arlinthon De Dios R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	19	SP	5.15	13.0%	11.6%	3.1%	.339	3.73	16.1%	4.6%	36	-1.42	3.73	123	87
Wilkel Hernandez R 2018 · 4.91 FIP	19	SP	4.91	13.8%	10.4%	3.0%	.281	3.62	15.4%	8.3%	101	-1.29	3.34	587	85
Edelvis Perez R 2024 · 5.19 FIP	19	SP	5.19	11.9%	13.8%	2.4%	.267	5.56	17.9%	-1.9%	62	+0.37	5.19	103	85
Shane Watson R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	21	SP	5.11	11.5%	10.6%	3.0%	.333	4.91	12.5%	2.1%	194	-0.20	4.51	237	84
Blake Wolters R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP	4.58	13.8%	11.9%	2.1%	.308	6.15	16.8%	0.1%	150	+1.57	4.58	206	84
Eduar Lopez R 2015 · 4.85 FIP	20	SP	4.85	12.9%	12.8%	2.2%	.364	4.28	11.4%	2.3%	246	-0.57	3.16	304	84
Darwin Ramos R 2015 · 4.61 FIP	19	SP-	4.61	13.5%	12.1%	2.0%	.308	3.81	15.1%	4.5%	152	-0.80	3.34	262	84
Felix Cepeda R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	19	SP-	5.78	11.5%	14.6%	3.3%	.297	5.81	17.0%	-6.4%	71	+0.03	3.58	204	83
Jon Garland R 2000 · 5.26 FIP	20	SP	5.26	13.0%	12.3%	3.1%	.310	4.93	13.1%	3.4%	501	-0.33	4.12	2,151	83
Luis Cedeno R 2015 · 6.24 FIP	21	SP	6.24	10.4%	13.6%	4.2%	.275	4.11	16.4%	6.3%	169	-2.13	3.36	215	83
Blake Bivens R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP	4.57	12.4%	9.6%	2.4%	.288	3.88	16.6%	7.2%	224	-0.69	3.40	336	83
Matt Ball R 2015 · 5.76 FIP	20	SP	5.76	12.1%	14.6%	3.4%	.367	3.74	17.2%	9.4%	173	-2.02	3.50	312	83
Marcos Pimentel R 2024 · 5.05 FIP	17	SP	5.05	12.4%	9.3%	3.3%	.301	5.92	15.0%	5.7%	63	+0.87	4.79	113	83
Eybersson Polanco R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	19	SP	5.53	10.5%	13.1%	3.0%	.320	3.85	18.6%	7.3%	162	-1.68	3.01	245	82
Rafael Garcia R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	18	SP	4.65	14.9%	14.0%	1.9%	.288	7.13	16.0%	-0.4%	50	+2.48	4.65	102	82
Edgar Escalona R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	19	SP	4.84	8.3%	10.4%	2.1%	.344	4.41	8.5%	0.7%	48	-0.43	3.65	146	82
Edgar Manzo R 2019 · 4.75 FIP	18	SP	4.75	14.7%	11.1%	2.7%	.326	5.12	15.4%	3.0%	121	+0.37	4.46	249	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.2	49	17.5%	11.2%	1.09	5.01
Jesus Colome ('10)	2.1	53	17.3%	11.7%	1.03	4.69
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Tom Martin ('07)	1.6	53	15.8%	10.1%	1.02	4.92
Mike Munoz ('89-'00, 1 WAR*)	1.8	46	17.6%*	10.2%*	0.93*	4.46*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*