Jesus Ortega

SS DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Royals Fo…	151	.148/.302/.164	0	5	-4	—	.085/.208/.093
2026	18	ROKDSL Royals Fo…	44	.143/.302/.143	0	4	-4	—	.108/.233/.108
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLB—	154	.195/.273/.255	1	2	53	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLB—	49	.200/.279/.270	0	1	58	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%87

Whiff%84

Chase%82

BB%69

Z-Con%66

Speed55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsRichard Rodriguez (age 19) · Cesar Gonzalez (age 19) · Dennys Riera (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj PA

wRC+53

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .271 / .253

PA52

HR0

K%24

BB%9

ISO60

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	151	122	18	2	0	0	25	22	2	5	5	148	302	164	466	16	178	15	17	238	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	44	35	5	0	0	0	8	6	0	4	1	143	302	143	445		172	14	18	230	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	151	129	11	1	0	0	18	26	2	5	5	85	208	93	301	8	109	17	12	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	44	37	4	0	0	0	6	7	0	4	1	108	233	108	341		118	16	14	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	151	129	11	1	0	0	18	26	2	5	5	85	208	93	301	8	106	17	12	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	151	122	18	2	0	0	25	22	2	5	5	148	302	164	466	16	178	15	17	238	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	44	37	4	0	0	0	6	7	0	4	1	108	233	108	341		133	16	14	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	44	35	5	0	0	0	8	6	0	4	1	143	302	143	445		172	14	18	230	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	151	130	11	1	0	0	18	26	2	5	5	85	208	92	300	8	109	17	12	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	44	38	4	0	0	0	6	7	0	4	1	105	233	105	338		118	16	14	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	151	130	11	1	0	0	18	26	2	5	5	85	208	92	300	8	109	17	12	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	44	38	4	0	0	0	6	7	0	4	1	105	233	105	338		118	16	14	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	154	138	27	4	1	1	14	36	1	2	1	195	273	255	529	60	256	23	9	246	53	-9	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	142	127	26	4	1	1	13	33	1	2	1	200	279	270	549	70	259	23	9	254	58	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	49	45	8	1	0	0	4	11	0	1	0	200	279	270	549	70	259	22	8	254	58	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	49	45	8	1	0	0	4	11	0	1	0	178	245	200	445	22	235	22	8	254	26	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	106	13	0	0	53	146	0	13	0	178	245	199	444	22	235	22	8	254	26	-32	+3	+0	+7	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	389	340	49	6	1	1	42	78	3	12	7	144	244	176	421	32	183	20	11	207	26	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	83	10	2	2	70	130	5	20	12	146	245	181	427	35	185	20	11	207	26	-33	+1	+0	+7	+14	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Ortega (OGILVIE)	19	20	20	45	60	193/271/253	60	256	0	1	24%	9%	53	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	38	35→30	48→50	47	182/254/242	60	245	3	12	26%	8%	43	-2.8	189/250/229	40	228	1	14	16%	7%	38	-3.2	191/256/205	14	227	0	12	15%	8%	33	-1.1
✕Cesar Gonzalez 2024 · A	19	38	36→30	42→45	54	180/281/243	63	224	4	4	20%	10%	55	-1.9	184/265/255	71	280	4	4	32%	8%	51	-2.3	170/260/237	67	285	5	4	38%	9%	44	-0.9
✕Dennys Riera 2024 · A	19	31	36→40	48→50	42	157/222/222	65	212	4	6	27%	6%	27	-4.0	171/249/237	66	229	3	7	25%	6%	41	-3.0	156/245/214	58	204	3	7	23%	6%	36	-0.9
✕Jose Sanabria 2022 · A	19	37	35→30	44→50	45	174/256/231	57	244	2	10	27%	8%	42	-2.9	192/268/246	54	280	2	10	29%	9%	49	-2.4	187/263/230	43	278	1	11	30%	9%	42	-1.4
✕Miguel Moreno 2009 · A	19	36	37→30	42→40	52	171/273/237	65	238	5	5	28%	11%	51	-2.2	189/277/252	63	258	4	5	25%	10%	55	-2.0	153/253/179	26	205	2	3	23%	11%	28	-1.2
✕Juan Zabala 2018 · A	19	40	34→40	47→50	55	181/279/236	55	221	1	9	17%	10%	53	-2.1	178/253/247	69	256	4	6	30%	7%	45	-2.7	205/266/287	81	283	8	16	29%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Andrew Caraballo 2019 · A	19	37	35→40	43→40	55	170/283/237	67	239	2	5	26%	12%	55	-1.9	178/251/253	75	291	4	8	37%	8%	45	-2.7	123/165/193	70	242	7	15	50%	5%	-5	-1.1
✕Juan De Los Santos 2013 · A	19	39	34→30	44→50	49	182/280/237	55	259	2	9	27%	9%	54	-2.0	182/268/244	62	243	3	8	24%	8%	50	-2.3	161/252/213	52	212	2	7	23%	8%	35	-1.4
✕Alberto Hernandez 2023 · A	19	40	37→30	46→55	48	188/256/263	75	228	5	10	19%	7%	49	-2.4	191/257/263	72	257	4	11	25%	7%	49	-2.4	183/251/246	63	250	3	15	26%	7%	41	-1.3
✕Jean Joseph 2024 · A	19	37	35→45	43→45	46	177/255/231	54	249	3	10	28%	8%	41	-3.0	196/263/289	93	270	8	6	29%	6%	57	-1.8	190/257/293	103	252	10	4	27%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Luis Hernandez 2018 · A	19	37	33→30	42→50	51	170/270/211	41	232	1	7	24%	10%	44	-2.8	180/250/229	49	239	2	8	23%	7%	39	-3.1	146/214/166	20	186	0	10	20%	7%	9	-2.1
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	33	38→40	47→60	44	164/228/238	74	214	6	13	26%	7%	33	-3.6	203/257/270	67	260	5	19	22%	6%	50	-2.3	211/263/264	53	270	3	24	22%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Marco Hernandez 2017 · A	19	38	35→30	47→45	45	177/233/234	58	210	2	8	17%	5%	33	-3.6	200/272/267	67	232	3	7	14%	7%	56	-1.9	186/274/251	66	219	5	4	17%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Allison Reyes 2012 · A	19	38	35→30	44→50	49	178/254/236	57	225	3	12	21%	8%	42	-2.9	192/259/262	70	237	3	12	19%	6%	50	-2.3	192/260/267	76	230	5	12	18%	6%	50	-0.8
✕Jose Toussen 2009 · A	19	38	34→30	46→50	44	180/243/235	55	242	2	10	25%	7%	37	-3.3	199/255/256	57	252	3	11	21%	6%	46	-2.6	210/261/255	45	258	2	14	18%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Manuel Beltre 2023 · A	19	39→43	37→40	48→50	49	186/277/258	72	244	4	10	24%	8%	57	-1.8	198/273/273	75	265	5	13	25%	7%	58	-1.7	196/263/273	77	259	6	17	26%	7%	52	-1.3
✕Samuel Ortiz 2010 · A	19	37	35→30	42→50	47	177/265/234	57	240	3	5	26%	8%	47	-2.5	188/264/250	62	241	2	8	21%	7%	49	-2.4	174/252/228	54	219	1	10	19%	7%	38	-1.0
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2018 · A	19	34	36→40	46→50	47	161/270/226	66	236	3	9	30%	9%	49	-2.4	173/260/265	92	271	7	9	36%	7%	52	-2.2	147/225/230	82	281	8	19	47%	6%	29	-1.2
✕Yenci Pena 2019 · A	19	38	36→30	46→50	47	180/240/246	66	232	3	9	23%	7%	38	-3.2	197/259/288	91	283	8	7	31%	7%	55	-1.9	171/247/255	84	260	9	9	35%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Daniel Santos 2018 · A	19	36	35→40	46→40	46	169/251/228	58	226	2	6	24%	7%	40	-3.1	185/251/258	73	258	4	6	28%	6%	46	-2.6	166/233/236	69	232	4	4	28%	6%	33	-1.0