Israel AlvarezSS DSL CLE Goryl
Age 19 S/R 5'9" / 136 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 135 proj PA
wRC+58
AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .270 / .282
PA135
HR1
K%23
BB%7
ISO76
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -6.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.20.30.30.30.30.20.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.3$0.7M+$0.2M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.3$0.7M+$0.2M
2036Arb-1$1M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Arb-2$1M———
2038Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $3M $2M +$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202517 ROKDSL CLE Goryl — 184154 34510 20298 20 221341266607 45268 1611 289 19 — — — — — —
202618 ROKDSL CLE Goryl — 162142 411041 15182 124 289365437801 148320 119 351 38 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202517 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 184160 23310 14348 20 144247175422 31174 188 196 19 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 162147 26620 10222 124 177239245484 68201 146 224 38 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 184160 23310 14348 20 144247175422 31180 188 196 19 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL CLE Goryl — 184154 34510 20298 20 221341266607 45268 1611 289 19 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 162147 26620 10222 124 177239245484 68205 146 224 38 — — — — — —
202618 ROK RAWDSL CLE Goryl — 162142 411041 15182 124 289365437801 148320 119 351 38 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 184160 23310 14348 20 144247175422 31174 188 196 19 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 162149 26620 10222 124 174239242481 67201 146 224 38 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202517 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 184160 23310 14348 20 144247175422 31174 188 196 19 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 162149 26620 10222 124 174239242481 67201 146 224 38 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLE— 0% 272248 53932 18624 41 209272285557 76268 237 254 58 -13 +0 +0 +3 +6 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLE— 34% 220200 42722 15503 31 213279300579 87271 237 264 65 -9 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.2
202921 MLB MLE— 48% 348316 691234 24785 52 217284314597 96273 227 271 69 -13 +0 +0 +4 +8 -0.1
203022 MLB MLE— 54% 441401 881546 31986 62 221288324612 103275 227 277 73 -14 +0 +0 +5 +10 0.1
203123 MLB MLE— 57% 501453 1021848 361117 72 224291333624 109277 227 282 77 -14 +1 +0 +5 +11 0.3
203224 MLB MLE— 57% 541489 1111959 391208 72 226294340634 114278 227 285 79 -13 +1 +0 +6 +12 0.5
203325 MLB MLE— 60% 565511 11620510 411258 73 226294342636 115278 227 286 80 -14 +0 +0 +6 +12 0.5
203426 MLB MLE— 62% 577522 11921510 421288 73 226294343637 116278 227 287 80 -14 +0 +0 +6 +13 0.5
203527 MLB MLE— 63% 580525 11921510 421298 73 225293340633 115278 227 285 79 -14 +0 +0 +6 +13 0.5
203628 MLB MLE— 65% 578523 11720510 421308 63 224291336627 112277 227 283 77 -15 +0 -1 +6 +13 0.3
203729 MLB MLE— 65% 569515 1152059 411308 63 222289330618 108276 237 279 75 -17 +0 -1 +6 +12 0.0
203830 MLB MLE— 65% 559507 1101948 401297 54 219285323608 104274 237 275 72 -18 -1 -2 +6 +12 -0.3
202820 MLB CTX— 34% 7670 16311 5171 10 213279300579 87271 227 264 65 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202921 MLB CTX— 48% 169153 34622 12382 21 217284314597 96273 227 271 69 -6 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
203022 MLB CTX— 54% 239217 47823 17533 31 221288324612 103275 227 277 73 -8 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.0
203123 MLB CTX— 57% 284258 571024 20634 41 224291333624 109277 227 282 77 -8 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.2
203224 MLB CTX— 57% 306277 631135 22684 41 226294340634 114278 227 285 79 -8 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.3
203325 MLB CTX— 60% 341308 701236 25765 52 226294342636 115278 227 286 80 -8 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.3
203426 MLB CTX— 62% 360326 741336 26805 52 226294343637 116278 227 287 80 -9 +0 +0 +4 +8 0.3
203527 MLB CTX— 63% 368333 751336 27825 52 225293340633 115278 227 285 79 -9 +0 +0 +4 +8 0.3
203628 MLB CTX— 65% 376341 761336 27855 42 224291336627 112277 237 283 77 -10 +0 -0 +4 +8 0.2
203729 MLB CTX— 65% 370335 751336 27845 42 222289330618 108276 237 279 75 -11 +0 -1 +4 +8 0.0
203830 MLB CTX— 65% 363329 711235 26845 32 219285323608 104274 237 275 72 -12 -0 -1 +4 +8 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 32522947 6581142850 23473044 4016 223290332622 109278 227 281 73 -91 +2 -3 +35 +70 1.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650589 13223610 471469 83 224291334626 110280 227 281 73 -18 +0 -1 +7 +14 0.3
Career— MLE — 59605392 11822055187 426131588 8233 219287325612 105272 227 276 73 -162 +2 -4 +60 +122 1.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650588 1292269 4614310 94 219287323610 104273 227 276 73 -19 +0 -0 +7 +14 0.2