Sebastian Caseres

P ACL Angels

Age 19 LHP 5'11" / 148 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKLAA	17	1	34	2.67	1.35	31.2%	5.5%	—	K 21.3% · BB 6.8% · FIP 2.17
2026	18	ROKLAA	13	0	17	1.56	2.18	30.1%	6.8%	—	K 20.5% · BB 8.6% · FIP 3.51
2027PROJ	19	MLBLAA	13	0	14	4.22	4.22	22.5%	8.1%	0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBLAA	15	0	16	4.17	4.13	23.0%	8.0%	0.1

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsDenny Bentley (age 20) · Jacob Patterson (age 21) · Garvin Alston (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 97105vR 113

ERA4.22

FIP4.22

K%22.5%

BB%8.1%

K-BB%14.4%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	17	1	34	128	40	7	0	6%	2.0	21.3%	6.8%	14.4%	0.0%	2.67	2.17	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	17	1	34	128	40	7	0	6%	2.0	21.3%	6.8%	14.4%	0.0%	2.67	2.17	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	17	1	34	128	40	7	0	6%	2.0	31.2%	5.5%	25.8%	0.0%	2.67	1.35	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	13	0	17	73	22	5	1	0%	1.3	20.5%	8.6%	11.9%	1.9%	1.56	3.51	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	13	0	17	73	22	5	1	0%	1.3	20.5%	8.6%	11.9%	1.9%	1.56	3.51	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	13	0	17	73	22	5	1	0%	1.3	30.1%	6.8%	23.3%	1.4%	1.56	2.18	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	LAA	13	0	14	59	13	5	2	0%	1.1	22.5%	8.1%	14.4%	2.9%	4.22	4.22	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	LAA	30	0	32	134	31	11	4	0%	1.1	23.0%	8.0%	14.9%	2.9%	4.17	4.13	+0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	LAA	15	0	16	68	16	5	2	0%	1.1	23.0%	8.0%	14.9%	2.9%	4.17	4.13	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	66	15	5	2	0%	1.0	23.0%	8.0%	14.9%	2.9%	4.17	3.75	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	64	26	0%	1.1	23.0%	8.0%	14.9%	2.9%	4.17	3.75	+1.9
Career	—	MLE		30	1	51	201	42	15	1	3%	1.7	21.0%	7.5%	13.5%	0.7%	2.29	2.66	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		118	4	200	788	165	59	5	3%	1.7	21.0%	7.5%	13.5%	0.7%	2.29	2.66	+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sebastian Caseres (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.22	22.5%	8.1%	2.9%	—	4.13	23.0%	14.9%	32	-0.09	—	—	—
Denny Bentley L 2018 · 4.85 FIP	20	SU	4.85	19.6%	10.3%	3.8%	.318	2.88	25.4%	10.3%	58	-1.97	2.88	175	83
Jacob Patterson L 2017 · 3.08 FIP	21	SU	3.08	24.4%	9.5%	1.5%	.275	3.93	22.4%	14.5%	123	+0.85	3.04	160	82
Garvin Alston L 2019 · 4.29 FIP	22	SU	4.29	19.7%	6.6%	3.7%	.333	4.74	16.4%	2.9%	84	+0.45	3.98	232	82
Nick Dombkowski L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	22	SU	4.48	21.3%	8.8%	3.7%	.208	4.71	16.7%	7.7%	223	+0.23	3.71	425	80
Fabian Blanco L 2017 · 4.28 FIP	19	SU	4.28	18.8%	9.9%	2.8%	.368	4.05	16.9%	1.3%	74	-0.23	3.57	215	80
Dominic LoBrutto L 2018 · 3.22 FIP	22	SU	3.22	21.4%	6.9%	1.9%	.333	3.44	17.8%	10.6%	84	+0.22	2.99	135	79
Kenny Rosenberg L 2016 · 3.65 FIP	21	SU	3.65	20.8%	6.9%	2.6%	.313	4.64	17.3%	6.9%	361	+0.99	3.44	755	78
Ronnie Glenn L 2015 · 3.47 FIP	22	SU	3.47	20.9%	9.9%	1.6%	.330	5.00	11.1%	-2.6%	171	+1.53	3.47	212	78
Marlon Perez L 2022 · 3.30 FIP	22	SU	3.30	20.5%	9.0%	1.4%	.250	4.15	22.9%	12.2%	103	+0.85	3.30	145	78
Cody Beckman L 2017 · 3.76 FIP	22	SU	3.76	19.5%	5.3%	3.0%	.377	4.27	17.4%	3.6%	121	+0.51	3.76	189	77
Josh Hendrickson L 2019 · 3.80 FIP	21	SW	3.80	21.8%	6.7%	3.1%	.250	4.67	19.3%	10.9%	110	+0.87	3.80	368	77
Connor Curlis L 2018 · 3.49 FIP	21	SU	3.49	19.3%	10.8%	1.2%	.306	6.08	16.6%	4.6%	172	+2.59	3.49	309	77
Anderson Parra L 2018 · 3.20 FIP	19	SU	3.20	20.2%	9.3%	1.2%	.293	5.39	14.6%	6.5%	33	+2.19	3.20	104	76
Vance Tatum L 2016 · 5.04 FIP	21	SU	5.04	17.2%	9.7%	3.9%	.319	5.06	15.6%	2.3%	85	+0.02	4.90	116	76
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	76
Pablo Garabitos L 2019 · 3.16 FIP	19	SU	3.16	16.4%	7.1%	1.0%	.327	2.55	20.5%	13.0%	71	-0.61	1.79	105	75
Gregori Louis L 2022 · 5.03 FIP	19	SU	5.03	25.4%	13.1%	4.4%	.364	4.96	19.1%	2.9%	89	-0.07	3.58	149	75
Zach Morris L 2015 · 3.59 FIP	22	SU	3.59	18.5%	10.1%	1.4%	.286	4.38	13.9%	2.4%	84	+0.79	3.34	109	75
Michael Costanzo L 2018 · 3.28 FIP	22	SU	3.28	22.3%	5.5%	2.5%	.406	5.31	17.4%	6.5%	80	+2.03	3.28	129	75
Jeff Singer L 2016 · 3.21 FIP	22	SU	3.21	21.3%	10.8%	1.0%	.263	3.63	22.6%	10.4%	174	+0.42	2.92	292	75