Jose Padilla — OGILVIE

Jose PadillaSS DSL Mets Orange

Age 19 L/R 6'1" / 159 lbs ROK H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 109 proj PA

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.173 / .249 / .246

PA109

HR1

K%33

BB%8

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	98	82	11	4	2	1	10	33	5	1	0	134	268	268	536	134	204	34	10	252	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	130	107	21	5	0	1	22	46	1	5	0	196	338	271	609	75	333	35	17	294	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	98	85	6	2	1	0	7	40	5	1	0	71	186	118	303	47	117	41	7	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	130	114	12	3	0	0	15	56	1	5	0	105	215	132	347	26	209	43	12	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	98	85	6	2	1	0	7	40	5	1	0	71	186	118	303	47	130	41	7	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	98	82	11	4	2	1	10	33	5	1	0	134	268	268	536	134	204	34	10	252	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	130	114	12	3	0	0	15	56	1	5	0	105	215	132	347	26	207	43	12	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	—	130	107	21	5	0	1	22	46	1	5	0	196	338	271	609	75	333	35	17	294	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	98	86	6	2	1	0	7	40	5	1	0	70	186	116	302	47	117	41	7	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	130	113	12	3	0	0	15	56	1	5	0	106	215	133	348	27	209	43	12	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	98	86	6	2	1	0	7	40	5	1	0	70	186	116	302	47	117	41	7	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	130	113	12	3	0	0	15	56	1	5	0	106	215	133	348	27	209	43	12	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	240	216	38	7	2	2	19	80	3	4	1	174	251	248	500	74	263	33	8	232	43	-16	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	197	176	32	6	1	2	16	64	3	4	1	180	258	263	521	83	266	32	8	241	49	-12	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.5
2028	20	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	68	62	11	2	0	1	5	22	1	1	0	175	253	255	508	80	257	32	7	236	49	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	68	62	11	2	0	1	5	22	1	1	0	177	250	258	508	81	256	32	7	236	27	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	105	19	0	10	48	210	10	10	0	177	251	260	510	83	255	32	7	236	27	-39	+2	+0	+7	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	534	473	67	14	3	3	47	196	10	12	1	142	234	203	437	61	231	37	9	208	27	-19	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	82	17	4	4	57	239	12	15	1	142	234	207	441	64	231	37	9	208	27	-41	+2	+0	+7	+14	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Padilla (OGILVIE)	19	20→25	31→36	47→52	61	173/249/246	73	263	1	2	33%	8%	43	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jefry Puente 2011 · A	19	33	34→40	49→50	45	160/239/209	49	237	2	9	31%	8%	31	-3.7	168/259/236	68	224	2	13	24%	9%	45	-2.7	138/245/209	70	178	2	18	21%	10%	33	-1.1
✕Cristhian Vasquez 2016 · A	19	34	36→30	51→50	44	167/239/232	64	246	4	10	32%	8%	35	-3.4	178/236/251	73	240	5	9	26%	6%	38	-3.2	162/218/231	69	210	4	8	24%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Gabriel Terrero 2023 · A	19	35	36→45	51→45	45	170/255/232	62	249	4	12	31%	8%	42	-2.9	181/255/274	93	289	7	9	37%	8%	51	-2.2	144/225/255	111	233	9	7	39%	8%	34	-1.3
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	38	36→40	49→50	48	179/264/246	67	265	3	9	31%	10%	49	-2.4	191/274/274	83	295	5	14	33%	9%	59	-1.7	189/281/265	77	291	4	18	33%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Narciso Polanco 2024 · A	19	38→42	36→40	47→55	46	182/256/247	65	259	3	8	29%	8%	45	-2.7	193/266/277	84	267	6	17	27%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/281	89	260	6	21	27%	8%	54	-1.6
✕Jhon Diaz 2022 · A	19	34→26	35→45	47→50	43	163/238/223	60	266	3	7	37%	9%	33	-3.6	174/231/267	93	282	7	13	38%	7%	40	-3.1	164/219/273	109	248	11	18	37%	6%	35	-1.9
✕Shalin Polanco 2023 · A	19	36→24	39→45	47→50	39	177/234/257	80	265	6	10	34%	6%	38	-3.2	185/244/305	120	287	13	12	38%	7%	54	-2.0	169/229/296	127	253	15	12	38%	7%	45	-1.6
✕German Ortiz 2024 · A	19	39	34→30	51→45	50	182/271/231	49	265	1	6	29%	10%	48	-2.5	198/266/260	62	292	3	5	30%	8%	51	-2.2	191/252/252	60	284	3	3	31%	7%	41	-1.0
✕Jose Perez 2024 · A	19	35	39→45	47→50	42	175/245/252	77	261	7	10	34%	8%	42	-2.9	175/252/249	74	295	5	15	39%	8%	45	-2.7	150/234/232	82	267	7	18	43%	9%	33	-1.0
✕Sandy Acevedo 2012 · A	19	37	36→40	50	41	179/245/245	67	256	3	12	30%	6%	40	-3.0	179/255/273	94	247	6	10	28%	8%	51	-2.2	147/236/256	109	194	8	10	27%	8%	39	-0.9
✕Vladi Gomez 2024 · A	18	34	38→30	55→65	49	165/258/243	77	232	5	14	29%	10%	47	-2.6	177/267/241	64	248	3	28	27%	10%	49	-2.4	170/262/223	53	238	2	43	27%	10%	41	-1.0
✕Robert Lopez 2023 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	42	172/250/235	63	266	3	6	34%	8%	40	-3.0	198/264/283	85	295	7	4	33%	8%	57	-1.8	188/259/268	80	276	7	3	32%	8%	48	-0.9
✕Edidson Rojas 2018 · A	19	38	36→30	50→55	45	183/262/251	69	258	3	14	29%	8%	49	-2.4	179/262/245	66	260	4	10	30%	9%	47	-2.5	153/246/208	54	224	3	10	30%	9%	31	-1.3
✕Elvin Soto 2008 · A	19	34	39→40	49→40	48	165/270/248	83	261	6	4	36%	11%	53	-2.1	163/264/257	94	259	8	5	36%	11%	53	-2.1	128/245/221	93	196	9	5	36%	11%	36	-1.1
✕Franyerber Montilla 2024 · A	19	36	39→40	49→55	49	177/264/261	84	248	6	14	29%	10%	52	-2.2	194/278/289	95	284	8	22	31%	10%	64	-1.3	184/275/279	96	271	9	29	32%	10%	58	-0.9
✕Franklin Correa 2015 · A	19	37	38→40	48→50	43	179/253/258	79	261	5	10	32%	8%	47	-2.6	184/236/265	81	288	6	7	36%	5%	41	-3.0	155/195/226	71	251	6	4	39%	3%	15	-1.2
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2024 · A	19	39	39→40	51→45	52	184/289/271	87	279	5	10	32%	12%	64	-1.3	183/279/280	97	312	6	8	38%	11%	62	-1.4	181/284/294	113	294	8	6	37%	12%	65	-0.6
✕Darlyn De Leon 2024 · A	19	37	34→40	55	47	172/261/228	56	244	1	17	28%	8%	44	-2.8	196/273/280	84	271	6	21	28%	8%	59	-1.6	188/263/280	92	256	8	27	28%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Justin Reed 2007 · A	19	36→40	37→40	48→50	39	173/230/248	75	265	3	8	34%	6%	35	-3.4	191/250/278	87	311	6	12	38%	6%	49	-2.4	188/250/271	83	304	6	14	37%	7%	44	-1.9
✕Joan Mauricio 2016 · A	19	36	36→40	54→45	40	172/234/244	72	275	2	7	36%	7%	36	-3.4	174/230/228	54	241	3	5	27%	7%	30	-3.8	140/198/166	26	183	2	3	23%	6%	3	-1.5