Darell Morel

SS FCL Pirates

Age 19 L/R 6'4" / 180 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#847ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Pirates G…	202	.287/.431/.414	1	26	64	—	.190/.310/.250
2026	18	ROKPIT	161	.180/.340/.352	3	8	29	—	.116/.233/.225
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBPIT	271	.198/.273/.298	4	6	62	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBPIT	47	.204/.280/.315	1	1	70	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBPIT	114	.209/.286/.331	2	3	76	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed75

ISO74

BB%55

wRC+34

Z-Con%24

wOBA23

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 95%

CompsLuis Liberato (age 19) · Jordan Schafer (age 19) · Nick Pratto (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 83 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .271 / .295

PA83

HR1

K%30

BB%8

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$21M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	202	157	45	9	4	1	37	45	3	26	7	287	431	414	845	127	386	22	18	377	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	161	128	23	5	4	3	26	47	5	8	2	180	340	352	691	172	250	29	16	316	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	202	168	32	6	2	0	26	56	3	26	7	190	310	250	560	60	268	28	13	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	161	138	16	3	3	2	16	68	5	8	2	116	233	225	457	109	193	42	10	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	202	168	32	6	2	0	26	56	3	26	7	190	310	250	560	60	278	28	13	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	—	202	157	45	9	4	1	37	45	3	26	7	287	431	414	845	127	386	22	18	377	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	161	138	16	3	3	2	16	68	5	8	2	116	233	225	457	109	200	42	10	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	—	161	128	23	5	4	3	26	47	5	8	2	180	340	352	691	172	250	29	16	316	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	202	171	32	6	2	0	26	56	3	26	7	187	310	246	555	58	268	28	13	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	161	139	16	3	3	2	16	68	5	8	2	115	233	223	456	108	193	42	10	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	202	171	32	6	2	0	26	56	3	26	7	187	310	246	555	58	268	28	13	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	161	139	16	3	3	2	16	68	5	8	2	115	233	223	456	108	193	42	10	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	271	244	49	8	3	4	22	82	3	6	1	198	273	298	571	100	278	30	8	260	62	-12	+1	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	136	122	24	4	1	2	11	40	2	3	1	204	281	318	599	114	281	29	8	272	70	-5	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	236	211	45	8	2	5	20	68	3	6	1	210	287	335	622	125	283	29	8	281	76	-7	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	348	311	66	11	3	8	29	99	5	9	2	215	291	349	641	135	284	28	8	288	81	-8	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	422	377	83	14	4	11	36	119	6	10	2	218	295	360	655	142	286	28	9	294	85	-8	+1	-1	+5	+9	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	469	420	93	16	4	13	40	130	6	12	3	222	298	369	667	147	287	28	9	299	88	-7	+1	-0	+5	+10	1.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	498	447	99	17	4	14	42	138	6	12	3	223	299	374	673	151	287	28	8	301	90	-6	+1	-0	+5	+11	1.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	512	457	103	17	5	15	43	142	7	12	3	223	300	377	677	154	287	28	8	302	91	-6	+1	-0	+5	+11	1.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	516	461	103	17	5	15	44	144	6	12	3	222	299	374	673	152	287	28	9	301	90	-6	+1	-0	+6	+11	1.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	513	459	101	17	4	14	43	144	6	10	3	221	297	370	667	149	286	28	8	298	88	-7	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	502	449	98	17	4	13	42	143	6	8	2	218	294	364	658	146	285	28	8	295	86	-9	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	490	440	95	16	4	13	41	141	6	6	2	216	291	357	648	141	283	29	8	290	83	-10	+0	-2	+5	+11	0.4
2039	31	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	475	428	91	15	4	12	39	138	5	2	1	212	286	347	634	136	280	29	8	285	79	-12	+0	-3	+5	+10	0.0
2040	32	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	453	408	85	14	4	11	37	134	5	2	1	207	280	335	616	129	276	30	8	277	74	-14	+0	-4	+5	+10	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	47	42	9	2	0	1	4	14	1	1	0	204	280	315	595	111	281	30	9	270	70	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	114	102	21	4	1	2	9	33	2	3	1	209	286	331	617	122	283	29	8	279	76	-3	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	189	168	36	6	2	4	16	54	3	5	1	213	290	344	634	130	285	29	8	286	81	-4	+1	-0	+2	+4	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	239	214	46	8	2	6	20	67	3	6	1	217	294	354	648	137	286	28	8	291	85	-4	+1	-0	+3	+5	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	265	238	52	9	2	7	22	74	3	7	1	220	297	363	660	142	287	28	8	296	88	-4	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	281	251	55	10	2	7	24	78	4	7	2	221	298	367	665	145	288	28	9	298	90	-3	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	289	259	58	10	3	8	24	80	4	7	2	222	298	370	668	148	287	28	8	299	91	-3	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	286	256	55	10	2	7	24	80	4	7	2	221	298	367	665	146	287	28	8	298	90	-4	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	282	253	55	10	2	7	24	79	3	5	1	219	296	363	659	144	286	28	9	295	88	-4	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	268	240	52	9	2	7	23	76	3	4	1	217	293	357	650	140	285	28	9	292	86	-5	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	258	231	50	9	2	6	22	74	3	3	1	214	290	350	640	136	283	29	9	288	83	-5	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	248	223	47	8	2	6	20	72	3	1	1	210	285	341	626	131	280	29	8	282	79	-6	-0	-2	+3	+5	-0.0
2040	32	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	235	211	43	7	2	5	19	69	3	1	0	206	279	330	609	124	277	29	8	275	74	-7	+0	-2	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3001	2688	579	102	24	73	251	850	39	57	14	215	292	353	644	137	285	28	8	290	82	-55	+6	-9	+32	+65	4.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	125	22	5	16	54	184	8	12	3	215	290	352	642	137	283	28	8	290	82	-12	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	6016	5371	1149	195	54	149	516	1729	78	140	36	214	292	354	646	140	284	29	9	289	82	-107	+10	-17	+61	+122	7.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	124	21	6	16	56	187	8	15	4	214	292	353	645	140	283	29	9	289	82	-12	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Pirates · 161 PAwOBA .313 → .211 (−101)K% 29.2% → 42.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.19%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	42.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.15%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	10.09%
HBP% /PA	3.11%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	2.25%
Singles /BIP	13.58%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.002	×1.008	11.24%
Doubles /BIP	6.17%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.002	×1.008	4.48%
Triples /BIP	4.94%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.002	×1.008	3.59%
Home runs /BIP	3.70%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	2.91%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .313 → .211; ISO .172 → .117; BABIP .250 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Pirates Gold · 202 PAwOBA .374 → .263 (−111)K% 22.3% → 27.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.28%	÷0.975	×1.220	—	—	27.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.32%	÷1.010	×0.700	—	×1.008	12.79%
HBP% /PA	1.49%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.05%
Singles /BIP	27.68%	÷0.973	×0.680	×1.050	×1.008	20.46%
Doubles /BIP	8.04%	÷1.061	×0.600	×1.050	×1.008	4.81%
Triples /BIP	3.57%	÷1.077	×0.600	×1.050	×1.008	2.10%
Home runs /BIP	0.89%	÷1.181	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.36%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 95, 2B 112, 3B 115, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .374 → .263; ISO .127 → .076; BABIP .386 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alex Gonzalez'94-'06 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,528 PA	8.3	5,528	137	97	232*	290*	379*	+55	+6	8.3	10.0
/162	664	16	12	+6.6	+0.8	1.0	pk7: 12
#2Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	4.3	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
/162	664	18	10	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Kevin Elster'86-'00 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,225 PA	4.9	3,225	88	14	223*	294*	388*	+34	+9	7.9	8.1
/162	664	18	3	+7.0	+1.9	1.6	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.6	3,084	79	58	218	291	361	+33	-6	6.5	5.8
/162	664	17	12	+7.1	-1.3	1.4	pk7: 5
#5Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Frank Duffy'70-'79 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,924 PA	4.4	2,924	26	49	234*	283*	348*	+30	-2	0.9	2.1
/162	664	6	11	+6.7	-0.5	0.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Darell Morel (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	196/271/295	99	278	1	2	30%	8%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Liberato 2015 · A	19	36→46	37→50	52→50	44	176/243/245	69	250	4	14	30%	8%	39	-3.1	199/256/296	97	299	6	9	33%	7%	55	-1.9	221/286/368	148	299	15	9	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Jordan Schafer 2006 · A	19	36→46	40→50	50→65	36	179/222/273	94	268	6	13	35%	5%	38	-3.2	225/269/353	128	315	10	13	30%	6%	74	-0.6	244/304/393	149	338	12	14	30%	8%	93	+0.6
●Nick Pratto 2018 · A	19	39→45	41→55	49→50	39	188/248/288	100	289	7	10	36%	7%	51	-2.2	189/239/292	103	318	10	12	41%	6%	49	-2.4	199/293/381	183	290	22	7	37%	10%	90	+0.5
✕Luis Barrera 2015 · A	19	34→44	38→45	49→50	47	168/236/246	78	214	5	7	24%	7%	37	-3.3	204/248/281	77	285	4	8	28%	5%	48	-2.5	248/293/357	110	319	5	17	23%	6%	80	-0.1
●Óscar Mercado 2014 · A	19	38→48	37→50	52→60	40	182/240/255	73	262	4	13	30%	6%	40	-3.0	193/242/260	67	241	4	23	20%	5%	42	-2.9	245/308/380	135	288	13	27	19%	7%	93	+0.7
✕Daniel Montano 2018 · A	19	34→44	39→45	46→50	45	171/236/261	90	223	6	9	25%	7%	40	-3.0	177/222/264	87	248	6	10	30%	5%	35	-3.4	213/289/324	112	322	9	6	34%	9%	73	-0.5
✕Moisés Sierra 2008 · A	19	35→45	40→50	49→50	38	177/232/265	88	238	8	10	29%	5%	40	-3.0	223/270/316	93	303	8	8	28%	4%	65	-1.2	252/302/391	139	320	16	11	25%	5%	93	+0.8
✕Yordalin Peña 2024 · A	19	36→37	37→55	55	41	176/232/253	77	233	4	10	26%	5%	37	-3.3	188/246/290	102	278	8	14	33%	6%	51	-2.2	184/241/311	127	279	12	17	37%	6%	52	-1.2
✕Raylin Heredia 2023 · A	19	38→48	38→50	53→50	37	183/232/269	87	270	4	9	33%	5%	40	-3.0	200/252/309	109	324	9	11	39%	5%	57	-1.8	219/257/356	137	317	16	15	35%	4%	67	-0.6
✕Jerar Encarnacion 2017 · A	19	40→45	38→50	50→45	38	195/232/275	80	260	5	6	27%	4%	41	-3.0	188/231/283	95	306	9	5	40%	5%	43	-2.8	223/288/380	158	332	23	6	38%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Argenis Aldazoro 2011 · A	18	38	36→55	55→50	43	179/247/257	78	256	2	8	29%	7%	44	-2.8	172/228/254	82	228	5	8	26%	6%	36	-3.4	193/219/314	122	250	12	8	28%	3%	42	-0.9
✕Kelly Dugan 2010 · A	19	42→52	35→50	47→40	40	197/246/260	63	270	2	11	27%	5%	43	-2.8	234/292/335	101	320	7	8	27%	6%	78	-0.3	245/303/377	132	349	13	2	31%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Leandro Pineda 2021 · A	19	36→46	35→50	44→45	45	173/242/228	54	227	3	6	24%	7%	36	-3.4	177/254/265	88	265	6	6	33%	8%	49	-2.4	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Robert Perez Jr. 2019 · A	19	34→44	39→50	42→45	41	172/238/252	80	245	7	6	31%	7%	40	-3.1	207/269/322	115	312	12	4	35%	6%	68	-1.0	219/291/377	157	314	20	2	35%	6%	87	+0.3
●Gregory Polanco 2012 · A	20	37→47	38→60	58→55	43	180/238/255	75	237	5	18	26%	6%	40	-3.1	251/304/385	134	298	13	24	20%	7%	94	+0.9	250/314/453	203	277	24	14	19%	8%	115	+2.1
✕Fidel Castro 2018 · A	19	37	36→50	46→45	41	179/243/246	67	270	3	6	33%	7%	40	-3.1	188/257/298	110	336	8	8	43%	7%	57	-1.8	164/239/288	124	322	10	8	48%	7%	45	-0.8
✕Carlos Soler 2018 · A	18	37	36→45	45	43	177/243/251	73	245	2	8	27%	6%	41	-3.0	213/269/300	87	310	3	8	30%	6%	61	-1.5	239/291/346	107	354	2	8	31%	5%	78	-0.1
✕Sandy Acevedo 2012 · A	19	37	36→40	50	41	179/245/245	67	256	3	12	30%	6%	40	-3.0	179/255/273	94	247	6	10	28%	8%	51	-2.2	147/236/256	109	194	8	10	27%	8%	39	-0.9
✕Rymer Liriano 2011 · A	20	38→48	41→45	49→55	34	189/234/285	96	293	9	15	38%	5%	45	-2.7	240/289/362	122	329	10	26	29%	6%	83	+0.1	249/301/376	127	341	11	27	29%	6%	89	+0.5
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2017 · A	18	38→47	40→55	51→45	49	182/253/279	97	221	6	7	20%	8%	52	-2.2	185/248/289	104	245	8	7	27%	7%	52	-2.2	223/287/404	181	270	24	8	27%	8%	92	+0.5

Darell Morel

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps