Claudio Estelie — OGILVIE

Claudio Estelie P FCL Pirates

Age 22 RHP 6'5" / 197 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 8 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.53

FIP4.53

K%21.5%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%11.6%

ROS IP9

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	5	1	15	60	12	5	0	20%	3.0	13.6%	10.4%	3.2%	0.0%	3.60	3.27	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	5	1	15	60	12	5	0	20%	3.0	13.6%	10.4%	3.2%	0.0%	3.60	3.27	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	5	1	15	60	12	5	0	20%	3.0	20.0%	8.3%	11.7%	0.0%	3.60	2.50	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	23	2	38	166	42	20	3	9%	1.7	16.1%	16.5%	-0.4%	1.9%	3.76	4.90	—
YTD	22	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	23	2	38	166	42	20	3	9%	1.7	16.1%	16.5%	-0.4%	1.9%	3.76	4.90	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	ROK RAW	PIT	19	2	32	144	34	19	2	11%	1.7	23.6%	13.2%	10.4%	1.4%	4.26	3.54	—
2026	22	A RAW	PIT	3	0	5	15	8	1	0	0%	1.6	53.3%	6.7%	46.7%	0.0%	0.00	-0.56	—
2026	22	AA RAW	PIT	1	0	2	7	0	0	1	0%	2.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	14.3%	4.50	10.94	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PIT	37	0	39	164	37	15	5	0%	1.1	22.4%	9.3%	13.2%	2.9%	4.42	4.36	+0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	PIT	18	0	19	80	18	7	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	9.3%	13.2%	2.9%	4.42	4.36	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	0	19	81	18	7	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	9.3%	13.2%	2.9%	4.42	3.98	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	188	73	21	0%	1.1	22.4%	9.3%	13.2%	2.9%	4.42	3.98	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		28	3	53	226	35	34	3	11%	1.9	15.4%	14.9%	0.5%	1.4%	3.71	4.47	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		105	11	200	848	131	126	12	11%	1.9	15.4%	14.9%	0.5%	1.4%	3.71	4.47	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Claudio Estelie (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	21.5%	9.9%	2.9%	—	4.36	22.4%	13.2%	39	-0.17	—	—	—
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	91
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	88
Cody Palmquist R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	21.9%	9.0%	3.5%	.278	6.02	14.7%	7.1%	62	+1.71	4.31	104	88
Addison Russ R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	22	SU	3.62	22.2%	7.9%	2.5%	.324	3.09	25.6%	17.5%	121	-0.53	3.08	194	86
Chris Gau R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	21	SU	4.76	20.0%	8.6%	4.1%	.290	3.19	29.5%	23.5%	37	-1.57	2.96	211	86
Corey Copping R 2016 · 4.13 FIP	22	SU	4.13	21.4%	8.7%	3.1%	.265	4.55	19.6%	6.7%	179	+0.42	3.38	214	86
Peyton Williams R 2021 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	22.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.311	4.82	22.2%	10.2%	100	+1.13	3.69	123	85
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	85
Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	23	SU	3.72	20.7%	10.2%	2.0%	.258	4.51	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.79	3.72	145	85
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	85
Matt Pidich R 2018 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.1%	8.3%	3.1%	.303	4.08	20.8%	13.3%	115	-0.34	4.05	196	84
Tyler Bray R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	23	SU	4.07	22.3%	9.1%	3.1%	.356	3.21	17.9%	7.6%	114	-0.86	2.82	152	84
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	84
Collin Kober R 2017 · 3.39 FIP	22	SU	3.39	21.3%	7.5%	2.1%	.268	2.76	24.0%	17.9%	128	-0.63	2.38	294	84
Justin Lasko R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	22	SU	3.66	17.1%	8.6%	1.7%	.286	4.62	15.8%	8.1%	152	+0.96	3.66	173	84
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	84
Devon Roedahl R 2019 · 3.94 FIP	22	SU	3.94	19.7%	6.7%	3.0%	.305	4.64	16.5%	9.2%	100	+0.70	3.94	122	84
Mason Fox R 2018 · 3.59 FIP	21	SU	3.59	21.9%	11.5%	1.6%	.260	6.72	21.3%	4.8%	30	+3.13	3.59	112	83
Jacob Bodner R 2015 · 3.40 FIP	22	SU	3.40	19.8%	9.7%	1.4%	.281	3.35	22.1%	12.4%	98	-0.05	2.93	124	83
Kenny Oakley R 2016 · 3.50 FIP	22	SU	3.50	23.8%	9.1%	2.3%	.348	3.87	17.3%	7.8%	115	+0.37	3.13	144	83