Mailon Felix — OGILVIE

Mailon Felix P Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 27 RHP 6'4" / 205 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 60 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 158150vR 141

ERA6.56

FIP6.56

K%13.4%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-6.6%

ROS IP60

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2525

CMD2525

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	25	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	37	0	48	221	42	35	2	0%	1.3	14.6%	18.2%	-3.6%	0.9%	4.12	4.68	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	37	0	48	221	42	35	2	0%	1.3	14.6%	18.2%	-3.6%	0.9%	4.12	4.68	—
2025	25	A+ RAW	Hub City Spartanburgers	37	0	48	221	42	35	2	0%	1.3	19.0%	15.8%	3.2%	0.9%	4.12	4.08	—
2026	26	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	8	0	12	68	11	12	4	0%	1.5	12.5%	20.3%	-7.8%	7.4%	16.97	8.65	—
2026	26	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	8	0	12	68	11	12	4	0%	1.5	12.5%	20.3%	-7.8%	7.4%	16.97	8.65	—
2026	26	A+ RAW	Hub City Spartanburgers	8	0	12	68	11	12	4	0%	1.5	16.2%	17.6%	-1.5%	5.9%	16.97	8.76	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	TEX	57	0	60	253	34	51	8	0%	1.1	13.4%	20.0%	-6.6%	3.1%	6.56	6.56	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	TEX	55	0	58	244	35	46	8	0%	1.0	14.3%	19.1%	-4.8%	3.1%	6.38	6.42	-1.1
2029	29	MLB MLE	TEX	52	0	55	233	34	43	8	0%	1.1	14.7%	18.6%	-3.8%	3.3%	6.32	6.39	-1.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	TEX	20	0	21	89	13	17	3	0%	1.1	14.3%	19.1%	-4.8%	3.1%	6.38	6.42	-0.4
2029	29	MLB CTX	TEX	29	0	30	127	19	23	4	0%	1.0	14.7%	18.6%	-3.8%	3.3%	6.32	6.39	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		49	0	51	217	32	41	7	0%	1.1	14.5%	18.8%	-4.2%	3.2%	6.34	6.02	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	124	159	27	0%	1.1	14.5%	18.8%	-4.2%	3.2%	6.34	6.02	-3.4
Career	—	MLE		45	0	60	289	41	54	7	0%	1.3	14.1%	18.7%	-4.6%	2.4%	6.64	5.62	-2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		151	0	200	969	137	181	24	0%	1.3	14.1%	18.7%	-4.6%	2.4%	6.64	5.62	-4.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mailon Felix (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.56	13.4%	20.0%	3.1%	—	6.41	14.5%	-4.3%	113	-0.15	—	—	—
Mike Hepple R 2016 · 5.75 FIP	26	SU	5.75	11.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	116	88
Jordan Gore R 2022 · 5.37 FIP	27	SU	5.37	15.2%	18.5%	2.2%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	113	80
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	80
Connor Law R 2021 · 6.15 FIP	27	SU	6.15	16.2%	17.2%	4.1%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	110	78
Ted Stuka R 2023 · 7.45 FIP	26	SU	7.45	15.2%	36.8%	1.8%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	5.36	105	77
Wandi Montout R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	25	SU	5.59	13.4%	18.7%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	103	77
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	77
Roman Phansalkar R 2024 · 5.39 FIP	26	SU	5.39	15.8%	13.2%	3.6%	.294	4.33	18.2%	3.7%	31	-1.06	4.33	164	76
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	76
Oscar Verdugo R 2017 · 6.31 FIP	27	SU	6.31	10.3%	13.8%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	5.01	144	75
Andrew Bechtold R 2023 · 5.39 FIP	27	SU	5.39	14.5%	22.7%	1.1%	.389	4.21	19.2%	7.5%	86	-1.18	3.56	104	75
Dakota Mekkes R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	27	SU	5.44	15.1%	15.9%	2.9%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	246	75
Hunter Dollander R 2023 · 6.77 FIP	26	SU	6.77	17.6%	18.3%	5.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	106	74
Luis García R 2014 · 5.50 FIP	27	SU	5.50	17.4%	18.8%	2.7%	.286	3.26	20.5%	11.4%	208	-2.24	2.33	662	74
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	74
Tim Elliott R 2023 · 6.21 FIP	25	SU	6.21	15.5%	16.1%	4.3%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	5.54	138	74
Mitchell Stumpo R 2023 · 6.35 FIP	27	SU	6.35	20.6%	20.8%	4.3%	.368	4.77	22.6%	15.5%	34	-1.58	3.97	158	74
Will McAffer R 2022 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	14.5%	20.2%	1.7%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	4.68	133	74
Stevie Branche R 2024 · 5.67 FIP	27	SU	5.67	19.3%	17.6%	3.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	3.23	162	73
Danny Cody R 2022 · 6.32 FIP	25	SU	6.32	11.4%	18.3%	3.4%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	6.32	106	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	14.1%	19.2%	1.22	6.42
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Denny Bautista ('10)	1.1	45	17.3%	12.7%	0.85	5.89