Alvaro Matos

IF DSL Mets Blue

Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 180 lbs ROK H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKDSL Mets Blue	26	.250/.423/.300	0	7	36	—	.143/.308/.190
2025	19	ROKDSL Mets Blue	88	.205/.341/.329	0	7	23	—	.132/.250/.197
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBNYM	198	.200/.276/.282	1	7	60	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBNYM	40	.198/.275/.285	0	2	64	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Speed99

ISO65

K%44

wOBA41

wRC+38

Whiff%36

CompsJose Ramos (age 21) · Esteban González (age 21) · Rudy Martin Jr. (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 55 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .274 / .280

PA55

HR0

K%30

BB%7

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	26	20	5	1	0	0	3	10	3	7	0	250	423	300	723	50	500	38	12	354	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	88	73	15	3	3	0	9	20	6	7	0	205	341	329	670	123	283	23	10	313	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	26	21	3	1	0	0	2	13	3	7	0	143	308	190	498	48	325	50	8	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	88	76	10	1	2	0	6	25	6	7	0	132	250	197	447	66	185	28	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	26	21	3	1	0	0	2	13	3	7	0	143	308	190	498	48	375	50	8	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	26	20	5	1	0	0	3	10	3	7	0	250	423	300	723	50	500	38	12	354	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	88	76	10	1	2	0	6	25	6	7	0	132	250	197	447	66	196	28	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	88	73	15	3	3	0	9	20	6	7	0	205	341	329	670	123	283	23	10	313	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	26	21	3	1	0	0	2	13	3	7	0	143	308	190	498	48	325	50	8	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	88	76	10	1	2	0	6	25	6	7	0	132	250	197	447	66	185	28	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	26	21	3	1	0	0	2	13	3	7	0	143	308	190	498	48	325	50	8	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	88	76	10	1	2	0	6	25	6	7	0	132	250	197	447	66	185	28	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	198	178	36	6	3	1	13	59	5	7	1	200	276	282	559	82	289	30	7	257	60	-9	+1	+0	+0	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	115	103	21	3	2	1	8	34	3	5	1	204	280	294	575	90	290	30	7	263	64	-5	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	40	36	7	1	1	0	3	12	1	2	0	198	275	285	560	87	281	30	8	257	64	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	40	36	7	1	1	0	3	12	1	2	0	194	275	278	553	83	292	30	8	257	48	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	113	16	16	0	49	195	16	32	0	193	274	275	549	82	290	30	8	257	48	-28	+6	+0	+0	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	284	250	44	7	5	1	20	88	13	21	1	176	272	256	528	80	265	31	7	239	48	-7	+1	+0	+0	+4	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	100	16	11	2	46	201	30	48	2	175	272	252	523	77	264	31	7	239	48	-29	+4	+0	+0	+14	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alvaro Matos (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	199/274/280	81	289	0	2	30%	7%	60	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Ramos 2024 · A	21	36	38→40	59→55	43	175/251/257	81	256	4	23	31%	7%	46	-2.6	195/280/275	80	288	5	23	31%	9%	61	-1.5	194/290/265	72	282	5	28	30%	11%	60	-0.5
✕Esteban González 2024 · A	21	43→45	41→45	56→55	41	205/280/306	101	298	7	18	31%	7%	68	-1.0	211/269/331	120	298	10	24	31%	6%	70	-0.9	203/264/330	127	285	12	27	31%	6%	65	-0.8
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2017 · A	21	44	38→45	58→65	42	203/275/285	82	317	4	20	34%	8%	61	-1.5	196/259/288	92	324	7	29	39%	7%	56	-1.9	220/296/327	107	310	12	41	30%	9%	75	-0.2
✕Jaden Rudd 2024 · A	21	39→36	37→30	52→50	48	179/290/250	70	276	4	14	32%	10%	61	-1.5	193/286/269	76	307	5	13	35%	9%	63	-1.4	155/260/202	47	253	3	16	35%	10%	36	-0.9
✕Hilton Richardson 2011 · A	22	40→36	39→40	58→55	39	194/240/280	86	271	5	22	30%	5%	46	-2.6	201/251/290	89	300	7	12	33%	6%	52	-2.2	179/230/247	68	292	6	4	39%	6%	31	-1.2
✕Yhoswar Garcia 2024 · A	22	39	37→30	58→70	39	190/246/264	74	268	4	27	30%	5%	45	-2.7	209/257/270	61	275	2	42	23%	6%	49	-2.4	208/255/258	50	270	1	58	22%	6%	44	-1.6
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	53→50	46	189/269/285	96	280	8	13	33%	9%	59	-1.6	194/280/279	85	302	5	15	34%	10%	62	-1.4	185/278/271	86	290	5	16	34%	10%	58	-1.1
✕Michael Siani 2021 · A	22	43→45	38→45	54→60	41	208/264/286	78	288	6	21	29%	6%	56	-1.9	201/273/302	101	275	9	28	28%	8%	63	-1.3	211/284/306	95	276	9	33	25%	9%	67	-0.8
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	203/264/279	76	291	2	27	29%	7%	55	-2.0	217/280/291	74	327	4	27	32%	7%	63	-1.3	224/290/283	58	344	4	45	33%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Isaiah Greene 2023 · A	21	45→42	38→40	57→55	54	200/309/280	81	312	4	20	33%	13%	74	-0.6	189/275/277	88	311	6	17	37%	10%	59	-1.6	148/229/229	81	253	5	17	40%	10%	29	-1.0
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	40→41	40→45	57→50	41	193/255/292	99	294	7	15	35%	7%	55	-2.0	188/260/303	115	277	12	13	34%	8%	60	-1.6	187/246/292	106	241	12	16	27%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Angel Aponte 2021 · A	21	42	39→40	54→55	41	203/261/292	89	279	6	17	28%	6%	57	-1.8	206/263/297	91	296	7	20	31%	5%	59	-1.7	189/245/275	85	274	8	24	32%	5%	45	-1.0
✕Loidel Chapelli 2024 · A	22	39→36	43→45	56→55	46	196/271/312	116	271	10	18	30%	8%	65	-1.2	196/259/284	88	300	7	17	34%	7%	54	-2.0	176/233/238	63	279	4	20	36%	6%	31	-2.0
✕Jean Ramirez 2022 · A	21	42→49	37→40	51→65	45	195/276/272	76	295	4	19	32%	9%	59	-1.7	213/276/293	80	301	7	27	29%	7%	63	-1.4	209/271/274	65	290	6	31	28%	7%	53	-1.0
✕Roberto Caro 2015 · A	21	41→40	37→40	61→60	53	189/277/271	82	239	2	21	21%	10%	59	-1.7	193/264/265	72	284	2	16	30%	8%	52	-2.2	211/282/288	76	323	2	26	32%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	43→30	38→45	57→50	41	200/268/280	80	315	5	16	36%	8%	57	-1.8	210/268/332	122	313	12	13	35%	6%	69	-0.9	200/258/307	108	293	11	16	34%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Dionis Paulino 2015 · A	21	40	36→40	51→50	48	189/267/252	64	257	3	15	26%	9%	51	-2.3	202/263/272	70	293	3	12	30%	7%	53	-2.1	206/248/291	84	301	9	11	33%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Michael Swinson 2011 · A	21	41	41→40	52→50	43	201/265/299	98	278	8	12	29%	7%	60	-1.6	201/265/274	73	267	4	10	24%	8%	54	-2.0	196/267/258	62	261	2	10	23%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Victor Soto 2010 · A	21	37	36→40	56→60	41	177/232/249	72	241	3	22	27%	6%	36	-3.4	196/239/267	71	288	3	14	31%	5%	42	-2.9	183/213/232	49	272	0	18	32%	3%	22	-0.9