Gustavo Melendez

Gustavo MelendezSS FCL Pirates

Age 18 L/R 5'6" / 160 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION157 act + 21 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.158 / .238 / .211

PA21

HR0

K%33

BB%10

BABIP276

ISO53

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	64	54	13	2	0	0	8	17	2	1	1	241	359	278	637	37	351	27	12	306	93	-1	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	INTL MLE	Criollos de Caguas	—	64	54	13	2	0	0	8	17	2	1	1	241	359	278	637	37	351	27	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	INTL RAW	Criollos de Caguas	—	64	54	13	2	0	0	8	17	2	1	1	241	359	278	637	37	351	27	12	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	18	ROK MLE	PIT	—	157	127	16	4	0	0	25	59	5	5	0	126	293	157	450	31	235	38	16	224	38	-12	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	PIT	—	157	111	19	5	0	0	41	41	5	5	0	171	414	216	630	45	271	26	26	327	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	PIT	0%	21	19	3	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	158	238	211	449	53	277	33	10	254	58	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	PIT	—	178	146	19	5	0	0	27	66	5	5	0	130	287	164	451	34	237	37	15	228	40	-13	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	329	282	53	10	1	3	38	102	6	5	1	188	298	262	560	74	280	31	12	266	66	-13	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.2
2028	20	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	441	380	74	14	2	5	50	134	8	7	1	195	301	282	583	87	283	30	11	275	72	-15	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	513	441	89	17	2	8	57	153	10	8	2	202	307	304	611	102	285	30	11	282	77	-14	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.3
2030	22	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	560	483	99	19	3	9	62	165	10	9	2	205	308	313	621	108	286	29	11	286	80	-14	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.6
2031	23	MLB MLE	PIT	58%	591	509	105	20	3	10	66	173	11	10	2	206	311	316	627	110	287	29	11	289	81	-13	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	611	526	110	21	3	11	69	179	11	10	2	209	314	323	637	114	288	29	11	291	83	-12	+1	+0	+7	+13	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	624	537	112	21	3	12	70	182	12	10	2	209	313	326	639	117	288	29	11	292	84	-12	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	632	544	113	21	3	12	71	185	12	10	2	208	313	324	636	116	288	29	11	294	85	-11	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	633	544	113	21	3	12	72	185	12	10	2	208	314	324	637	116	288	29	11	294	85	-11	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	629	540	112	21	3	12	72	185	12	10	2	207	314	324	638	117	287	29	11	293	84	-12	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	619	531	109	20	3	11	71	183	12	10	2	205	313	316	629	111	287	30	11	291	83	-12	+1	-1	+7	+13	0.8
2038	30	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	608	522	106	20	2	11	70	182	11	10	2	203	310	312	622	109	286	30	12	289	81	-13	+1	-2	+7	+13	0.5
2039	31	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	594	510	102	19	2	10	68	179	11	9	2	200	307	304	611	104	283	30	11	285	79	-15	+1	-3	+6	+13	0.3
2040	32	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	576	495	97	18	2	9	66	176	10	9	2	196	303	295	598	99	280	31	11	280	75	-17	+1	-4	+6	+12	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	113	97	18	4	0	1	13	35	2	2	0	186	295	258	552	72	279	31	12	251	66	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	214	184	35	7	1	2	24	65	4	3	1	190	297	272	569	82	281	30	11	259	72	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	278	240	47	9	1	4	31	83	5	5	1	196	301	292	592	96	283	30	11	265	77	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	317	273	55	11	1	5	35	93	6	5	1	201	306	304	610	103	284	29	11	269	80	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	PIT	58%	340	293	59	11	2	5	38	100	6	6	1	201	306	304	609	102	285	29	11	271	81	-8	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	348	300	62	12	2	6	39	102	6	6	1	207	310	320	630	113	286	29	11	274	83	-7	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	354	304	63	12	2	6	40	103	7	6	1	207	313	319	632	112	286	29	11	275	84	-7	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	358	308	63	12	2	6	40	105	7	6	1	205	310	315	625	110	286	29	11	276	85	-6	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	351	301	63	12	2	6	40	103	7	6	1	209	316	322	638	113	286	29	11	276	85	-6	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	345	296	60	11	1	6	40	102	6	6	1	203	310	307	617	105	285	30	12	275	84	-6	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	331	284	58	11	1	6	38	98	6	5	1	204	311	313	624	109	284	30	11	274	83	-7	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	320	274	54	10	1	5	37	96	6	5	1	197	306	296	602	99	283	30	12	271	81	-7	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.3
2039	31	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	310	265	53	10	1	5	36	94	6	5	1	200	309	302	611	102	281	30	12	268	79	-8	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2040	32	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	324	278	54	10	1	5	37	99	6	5	1	194	302	291	594	97	278	31	11	263	75	-9	+1	-2	+3	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4303	3697	744	142	18	68	488	1278	80	71	13	201	308	305	612	103	285	30	11	270	79	-99	+9	-6	+46	+93	4.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	558	112	21	3	10	74	193	12	11	2	201	307	303	610	102	284	30	11	270	79	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	8045	6917	1410	265	35	135	912	2387	150	128	27	204	310	311	621	107	287	30	11	285	79	-186	+15	-10	+86	+173	7.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	559	114	21	3	11	74	193	12	10	2	204	310	311	621	107	288	30	11	285	79	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	7.0	4,623	76	75	205	306	311	+50	+24	7.4	6.3
/162	664	11	11	+7.1	+3.4	1.1	pk7: 5
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gustavo Melendez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	178/288/240	62	277	2	6	32%	12%	58	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	39→50	49→40	45	196/264/278	82	269	6	5	28%	8%	55	-1.9	200/286/292	92	306	7	4	34%	10%	68	-1.0	189/297/321	132	304	15	2	39%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→48	36→50	49→40	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	49	-2.4	204/277/280	76	276	6	5	26%	8%	61	-1.5	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43→45	39→50	55	42	205/265/294	89	297	6	14	32%	7%	59	-1.7	186/260/273	87	276	6	12	32%	8%	53	-2.1	195/272/312	117	292	11	20	34%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→42	38→45	53→60	48	181/263/263	82	240	5	13	26%	8%	52	-2.2	207/289/321	114	272	11	17	26%	9%	75	-0.5	202/287/312	110	269	12	24	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→50	47	190/277/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	55	-2.0	190/259/257	67	295	3	15	34%	7%	49	-2.4	198/276/278	80	279	7	21	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Omar Alfonzo 2022 · A	18	43→40	38→45	49→40	51	198/298/275	77	306	5	4	34%	12%	68	-1.0	194/282/284	90	295	8	4	33%	10%	64	-1.3	200/285/310	110	312	13	2	37%	10%	69	-0.6
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2013 · A	18	38→48	37→45	46→55	47	183/255/256	73	241	5	11	25%	8%	47	-2.6	207/259/305	98	267	5	11	23%	6%	59	-1.7	254/307/365	110	342	6	19	26%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/320/283	69	272	4	14	20%	11%	78	-0.3	222/318/349	127	252	16	10	19%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	56	-1.9	213/303/311	98	271	7	8	22%	10%	78	-0.3	194/297/306	112	259	11	6	27%	12%	72	-0.3
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	68	-1.0	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	62	-1.4	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	58	-0.5
✕Riley Unroe 2014 · A	18	42→48	37→45	51→55	47	196/275/269	72	289	3	9	31%	9%	57	-1.8	195/258/260	65	272	4	9	28%	7%	48	-2.5	221/306/334	113	298	11	26	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	44→49	38→50	46→50	41	211/266/287	76	294	6	6	29%	6%	57	-1.8	209/260/301	92	287	8	8	28%	6%	58	-1.7	234/295/378	144	313	15	11	29%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Iverson Leonardo 2019 · A	17	41	37→50	46→50	42	188/272/268	81	299	3	8	35%	8%	57	-1.8	205/281/318	113	304	6	9	32%	8%	71	-0.8	184/260/314	130	264	10	10	32%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	44→46	38→45	46→50	45	204/279/282	78	313	6	9	34%	9%	61	-1.5	210/296/309	99	330	7	14	35%	9%	75	-0.5	218/296/333	115	311	9	18	31%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	43	36→45	46→55	53	200/285/268	68	260	3	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	217/295/305	88	312	7	14	30%	10%	73	-0.6	206/286/298	92	317	9	17	35%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Juan Diaz 2007 · A	18	37→47	35→45	44→45	45	175/255/243	68	260	2	6	31%	8%	45	-2.7	206/250/273	67	281	3	5	26%	5%	47	-2.5	251/287/343	92	329	7	7	25%	5%	73	-0.5
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	39	41→45	46→45	48	183/286/282	99	291	8	6	36%	11%	66	-1.1	184/261/262	78	291	6	6	35%	9%	51	-2.3	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Ronier Lascarro 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	47→50	47	199/274/261	62	291	2	7	30%	9%	55	-1.9	201/287/276	75	282	4	9	27%	10%	63	-1.3	200/308/280	80	249	4	10	19%	12%	70	-0.4
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	42	38→45	52→45	44	198/258/283	84	268	4	6	26%	7%	53	-2.1	213/253/294	81	276	5	8	23%	5%	53	-2.1	262/284/362	100	318	5	7	19%	2%	77	-0.1
✕Jorge Burgos 2021 · A	18	43→51	36→50	51→45	43	201/265/280	79	293	2	10	30%	7%	55	-1.9	230/292/316	86	326	5	6	28%	8%	74	-0.6	227/293/314	87	317	6	4	28%	8%	70	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps