Gustavo Melendez

SS FCL Pirates

Age 19 L/R 5'6" / 160 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1636ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	INTLCriollos de C…	64	.241/.359/.278	0	1	93	—
2026	18	ROKPIT	157	.171/.414/.216	0	5	39	—	.127/.299/.159
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBPIT	267	.194/.288/.269	2	5	62	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBPIT	46	.199/.294/.282	0	1	67	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBPIT	113	.203/.297/.293	1	2	71	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%96

wRC+50

wOBA39

Chase%33

K%30

Speed26

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%

CompsLuis Liberato (age 19) · Luis Barrera (age 19) · Daniel Montano (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 81 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .286 / .267

PA81

HR1

K%31

BB%10

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	64	54	13	2	0	0	8	17	2	1	1	241	359	278	637	37	351	27	12	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	157	111	19	5	0	0	41	41	5	5	0	171	414	216	630	45	271	26	26	327	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	157	126	16	4	0	0	26	59	5	5	0	127	299	159	458	32	228	38	17	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	INTL MLE	Criollos de Caguas	—	64	54	13	2	0	0	8	17	2	1	1	241	359	278	637	37	351	27	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	INTL RAW	Criollos de Caguas	—	64	54	13	2	0	0	8	17	2	1	1	241	359	278	637	37	351	27	12	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	157	126	16	4	0	0	26	59	5	5	0	127	299	159	458	32	239	38	17	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	—	157	111	19	5	0	0	41	41	5	5	0	171	414	216	630	45	271	26	26	327	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	157	125	16	4	0	0	26	59	5	5	0	128	299	160	459	32	228	38	17	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	157	125	16	4	0	0	26	59	5	5	0	128	299	160	459	32	228	38	17	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	267	234	44	8	1	2	27	82	4	5	1	194	288	269	558	76	284	31	10	260	62	-12	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	134	117	23	4	1	1	14	40	2	3	1	199	294	283	576	84	286	30	10	268	67	-5	+0	-0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	234	204	42	8	1	3	24	69	4	5	1	203	297	295	592	92	287	29	10	274	71	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	345	302	63	12	2	5	35	100	5	7	2	207	300	305	605	98	288	29	10	279	75	-10	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	421	369	76	14	2	6	43	120	6	9	3	210	303	313	616	104	289	29	10	283	77	-11	+1	+1	+5	+9	0.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	469	412	88	16	3	8	47	132	7	10	3	213	304	321	625	108	290	28	10	286	80	-11	+1	+2	+5	+10	0.7
2033	25	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	496	436	93	17	3	8	50	140	7	11	3	213	305	322	627	109	290	28	10	287	80	-12	+1	+2	+5	+11	0.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	512	448	97	18	3	9	52	144	7	11	3	213	305	322	627	109	290	28	10	287	80	-12	+1	+2	+5	+11	0.8
2035	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	516	452	97	18	3	9	52	146	7	11	3	212	304	320	623	108	289	28	10	285	79	-13	+1	+2	+6	+11	0.7
2036	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	512	448	94	17	3	8	52	146	7	10	3	210	302	315	617	105	289	29	10	283	78	-14	+1	+1	+5	+11	0.5
2037	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	502	440	92	17	2	8	50	145	7	9	4	208	299	309	608	101	287	29	10	279	75	-15	+0	+1	+5	+11	0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	46	40	8	2	0	0	5	14	1	1	0	199	294	282	575	83	286	30	11	267	67	-2	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	113	98	20	4	1	1	12	33	2	2	1	203	297	293	590	90	288	29	11	273	71	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	187	163	34	7	1	2	19	54	3	4	1	206	300	303	603	96	289	29	10	278	75	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	238	208	43	8	1	3	24	68	4	5	2	210	302	311	613	101	290	29	10	282	77	-6	+0	+1	+3	+5	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	265	232	49	10	1	4	27	75	4	6	2	212	304	318	622	105	291	28	10	285	80	-6	+0	+1	+3	+6	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	280	246	52	10	2	4	28	79	4	6	2	213	304	319	623	106	291	28	10	285	80	-7	+0	+1	+3	+6	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	289	254	54	10	2	5	29	81	4	6	2	213	304	319	623	107	291	28	10	285	80	-7	+0	+1	+3	+6	0.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	286	251	52	10	1	4	29	81	4	6	2	212	303	317	620	105	290	28	10	284	79	-7	+0	+1	+3	+6	0.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	281	247	51	10	1	4	28	80	4	6	2	210	301	312	614	102	289	28	10	282	78	-7	+0	+1	+3	+6	0.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	268	235	48	9	1	4	27	77	4	5	2	208	299	307	605	99	288	29	10	278	75	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2253	1974	411	80	11	31	228	642	34	47	16	208	301	307	608	99	290	28	10	282	73	-60	+3	+7	+24	+49	2.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	118	23	3	9	66	185	10	14	5	207	301	305	606	98	288	28	10	282	73	-17	+1	+2	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4443	3880	808	150	23	66	461	1283	67	93	27	208	303	310	613	102	291	29	10	276	73	-115	+7	+12	+45	+91	4.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	118	22	3	10	67	188	10	14	4	208	302	310	612	102	290	29	10	276	73	-18	+1	+2	+7	+14	0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Pirates · 157 PAwOBA .321 → .226 (−96)K% 26.1% → 37.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.11%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	37.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	26.11%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	16.31%
HBP% /PA	3.18%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	2.31%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.050	×1.008	17.35%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×1.008	5.44%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .321 → .226; ISO .045 → .034; BABIP .271 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#4Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.5	2,336	36	48	211	299	315	+25	+12	3.2	3.0
/162	664	10	14	+7.1	+3.4	0.9	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gustavo Melendez (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	192/286/267	75	284	1	1	31%	10%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Liberato 2015 · A	19	36→46	37→50	52→50	44	176/243/245	69	250	4	14	30%	8%	39	-3.1	199/256/296	97	299	6	9	33%	7%	55	-1.9	221/286/368	148	299	15	9	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Luis Barrera 2015 · A	19	34→44	38→45	49→50	47	168/236/246	78	214	5	7	24%	7%	37	-3.3	204/248/281	77	285	4	8	28%	5%	48	-2.5	248/293/357	110	319	5	17	23%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Daniel Montano 2018 · A	19	34→44	39→45	46→50	45	171/236/261	90	223	6	9	25%	7%	40	-3.0	177/222/264	87	248	6	10	30%	5%	35	-3.4	213/289/324	112	322	9	6	34%	9%	73	-0.5
✕Henry Ramos 2023 · A	18	36→46	34→40	55	49	170/255/219	49	238	2	17	27%	9%	39	-3.1	176/240/238	62	262	3	16	31%	7%	37	-3.3	201/266/273	72	289	5	18	30%	7%	51	-1.1
✕Leandro Pineda 2021 · A	19	36→46	35→50	44→45	45	173/242/228	54	227	3	6	24%	7%	36	-3.4	177/254/265	88	265	6	6	33%	8%	49	-2.4	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Luis Ayala 2015 · A	19	38→48	34→40	48→55	41	177/246/223	46	278	2	14	34%	7%	36	-3.4	199/266/264	65	281	2	18	27%	7%	52	-2.2	210/274/280	70	288	2	21	26%	7%	57	-0.9
✕Fidel Castro 2018 · A	19	37	36→50	46→45	41	179/243/246	67	270	3	6	33%	7%	40	-3.1	188/257/298	110	336	8	8	43%	7%	57	-1.8	164/239/288	124	322	10	8	48%	7%	45	-0.8
✕Jordan Schafer 2006 · A	19	36→46	40→50	50→65	36	179/222/273	94	268	6	13	35%	5%	38	-3.2	225/269/353	128	315	10	13	30%	6%	74	-0.6	244/304/393	149	338	12	14	30%	8%	93	+0.6
●Óscar Mercado 2014 · A	19	38→48	37→50	52→60	40	182/240/255	73	262	4	13	30%	6%	40	-3.0	193/242/260	67	241	4	23	20%	5%	42	-2.9	245/308/380	135	288	13	27	19%	7%	93	+0.7
✕Conner Capel 2017 · A	20	40→48	36→45	52→55	44	191/238/258	68	240	2	13	21%	5%	40	-3.1	210/265/335	125	281	12	11	28%	7%	68	-1.0	226/297/349	123	283	12	19	23%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Chuck Taylor 2013 · A	19	41→51	34→40	49→50	38	192/244/246	54	294	2	14	34%	6%	39	-3.1	222/285/291	69	303	3	8	26%	7%	65	-1.2	240/305/325	85	298	6	4	20%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Diego Infante 2018 · A	18	40→50	35→45	53→50	43	189/237/252	63	250	2	12	24%	6%	38	-3.2	194/238/262	68	291	3	10	32%	5%	40	-3.0	233/284/360	127	349	14	14	35%	6%	79	-0.2
✕Ryan Vega 2016 · A	19	40	35→40	52→45	41	191/245/253	62	254	3	9	25%	5%	42	-2.9	219/272/310	91	283	7	7	24%	6%	65	-1.2	198/260/284	86	272	8	6	29%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Nomar Fana 2022 · A	19	39	37→50	48→50	43	187/246/258	71	263	4	9	29%	7%	43	-2.8	186/258/278	92	284	8	11	34%	9%	53	-2.1	169/252/282	112	253	13	14	36%	10%	50	-0.7
✕Argenis Aldazoro 2012 · A	19	36	36→55	49→50	47	171/243/242	71	219	2	9	22%	7%	39	-3.1	185/227/288	103	244	9	8	27%	4%	42	-2.9	193/219/314	122	250	12	8	28%	3%	42	-0.9
✕Bo Greenwell 2008 · A	19	41→51	35→45	44→50	45	195/250/249	54	254	2	8	23%	6%	42	-2.9	229/284/308	79	276	4	9	18%	7%	68	-1.0	263/311/350	86	318	5	12	18%	6%	85	+0.1
✕Kelly Dugan 2010 · A	19	42→52	35→50	47→40	40	197/246/260	63	270	2	11	27%	5%	43	-2.8	234/292/335	101	320	7	8	27%	6%	78	-0.3	245/303/377	132	349	13	2	31%	5%	89	+0.4
✕David Calabrese 2022 · A	19	39→41	36→45	51→50	36	172/239/241	69	323	3	8	44%	8%	37	-3.3	189/260/299	110	290	10	13	35%	8%	59	-1.7	187/246/292	106	241	12	16	27%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Derrick Loveless 2013 · A	20	36→46	38→45	53→50	38	169/237/250	81	288	4	6	40%	7%	38	-3.2	196/267/290	94	301	6	7	34%	9%	59	-1.7	192/275/292	101	297	8	8	35%	10%	61	-1.0
✕Juan Crousset 2009 · A	19	40	36→45	51→45	42	190/237/252	63	241	3	10	22%	5%	38	-3.2	202/238/274	72	296	5	9	32%	4%	43	-2.8	212/246/320	108	323	12	6	37%	4%	55	-0.9

Gustavo Melendez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps