Gustavo Melendez

Gustavo MelendezSS FCL Pirates

Age 18 L/R 5'6" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION136 act + 184 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .297 / .244

PA184

HR1

K%33

BB%12

BABIP281

ISO64

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.2	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+1.0	$3M	+$2M
Totals		$16M		$31M	+$25M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	64	54	13	2	0	0	8	17	2	1	1	241	359	278	637	37	351	27	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	64	54	13	2	0	0	8	17	2	1	1	241	359	278	637	37	351	27	12	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	PIT	—	136	108	12	3	0	0	23	52	5	5	0	111	294	139	433	28	214	38	17	224	30	-11	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
YTD	18	ROK	PIT	—	136	94	15	4	0	0	37	36	5	5	0	160	419	202	621	43	259	26	27	328	109	+1	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.8
ROS	18	ROK	PIT	0%	184	156	28	5	1	1	22	60	4	4	1	179	297	244	540	64	275	33	12	254	52	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
ROS	18	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		273	—	—	238	40	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	PIT	—	136	109	12	3	0	0	23	52	5	5	0	110	294	138	432	28	211	38	17	224	30	-11	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
TOT	18	ROK	PIT	—	320	264	40	8	1	1	45	112	9	9	1	152	296	201	496	49	257	35	14	241	43	-21	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	PIT	34%	377	323	61	12	2	3	44	118	7	6	1	189	299	266	566	77	280	31	12	266	62	-16	+1	+0	+4	+11	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	PIT	48%	472	406	79	15	2	6	54	144	9	8	1	195	303	286	588	91	283	31	11	275	69	-17	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.3
2029	21	MLB	PIT	54%	534	457	92	18	2	8	61	160	11	9	2	201	310	302	612	101	285	30	11	281	73	-16	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.6
2030	22	MLB	PIT	57%	574	493	100	19	3	9	65	170	11	9	2	203	309	308	618	105	286	30	11	285	76	-15	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.8
2031	23	MLB	PIT	58%	600	515	106	20	3	10	68	178	12	10	2	206	313	315	627	109	287	30	11	288	78	-15	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.0
2032	24	MLB	PIT	57%	617	530	110	21	3	11	70	182	12	10	2	208	314	321	634	113	288	29	11	290	80	-14	+1	+0	+7	+17	1.2
2033	25	MLB	PIT	57%	628	539	111	21	3	11	72	185	12	10	2	206	313	317	630	111	288	29	11	291	81	-13	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.3
2034	26	MLB	PIT	57%	635	545	113	21	3	12	72	187	13	10	2	207	314	323	637	116	288	29	11	292	82	-13	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.3
2035	27	MLB	PIT	55%	634	543	113	21	3	12	73	187	13	10	2	208	316	324	641	116	288	29	12	292	82	-13	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.3
2036	28	MLB	PIT	55%	630	539	111	21	3	11	73	187	13	10	2	206	315	317	632	111	287	30	12	292	81	-13	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.2
2037	29	MLB	PIT	53%	619	530	108	20	3	11	72	185	12	10	2	204	313	315	628	111	287	30	12	290	80	-14	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.0
2038	30	MLB	PIT	53%	609	521	105	20	2	10	71	184	12	10	2	202	311	305	616	104	285	30	12	287	78	-15	+1	-2	+7	+17	0.8
2027	19	MLB	PIT	34%	130	112	21	4	1	1	15	41	2	2	0	188	295	268	562	80	279	32	12	251	50	-7	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	PIT	48%	229	197	38	7	1	3	26	70	4	4	1	193	300	284	584	91	282	31	11	260	57	-11	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
2029	21	MLB	PIT	54%	290	249	49	9	1	4	33	87	6	5	1	197	306	289	595	92	283	30	11	266	61	-13	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.1
2030	22	MLB	PIT	57%	325	279	56	11	1	5	37	96	6	5	1	201	307	301	609	100	284	30	11	270	65	-13	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.0
2031	23	MLB	PIT	58%	345	296	61	11	2	6	39	102	7	6	1	206	313	318	630	111	285	30	11	272	66	-13	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2032	24	MLB	PIT	57%	352	302	63	12	2	6	40	104	7	6	1	209	315	321	636	113	286	30	11	274	68	-13	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2033	25	MLB	PIT	57%	356	305	63	12	2	6	41	105	7	6	1	207	314	318	632	111	286	29	12	276	69	-12	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2034	26	MLB	PIT	57%	359	308	64	12	2	7	41	106	7	6	1	208	315	328	643	120	286	30	11	277	70	-12	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.3
2035	27	MLB	PIT	55%	352	301	62	12	2	6	41	104	7	6	1	206	315	319	634	113	286	30	12	277	70	-12	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.3
2036	28	MLB	PIT	55%	346	296	60	11	2	6	40	103	7	6	1	203	312	314	626	111	286	30	12	276	69	-12	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.2
2037	29	MLB	PIT	53%	331	282	57	11	1	6	39	99	7	5	1	202	314	312	626	110	285	30	12	274	68	-12	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.1
2038	30	MLB	PIT	53%	321	275	54	10	1	5	37	97	6	5	1	196	305	295	600	98	284	30	12	272	66	-12	+1	-1	+3	+9	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3736	3203	648	122	18	61	429	1114	73	62	11	202	310	309	619	106	286	30	11	272	66	-142	+8	-2	+40	+106	0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	557	113	21	3	11	75	194	13	11	2	203	312	311	623	108	287	30	12	272	66	-25	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	7177	6151	1250	236	33	115	825	2144	143	117	24	203	312	308	620	105	289	30	11	283	75	-202	+14	-4	+77	+203	8.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	557	112	21	3	10	75	194	13	11	2	201	310	303	613	102	287	30	12	283	75	-18	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	64	54	13	2	0	0	8	17	2	1	1	241	359	278	637	37	351	27	12	306	92	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	4,055	64	66	204	307	308	+43	+21	5.8	5.2
	/162	664	10	11	204	307	308	+7.1	+3.4	0.9	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gustavo Melendez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	152/296/201	49	257	1	9	35%	14%	43	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	43→45	38→45	46→50	44	201/275/277	76	311	6	9	35%	9%	54	-1.4	211/298/310	99	331	7	14	35%	9%	72	-0.2	226/292/355	129	316	11	14	30%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Omar Alfonzo 2022 · A	18	42→40	37→45	48→40	49	193/291/265	72	306	5	4	35%	11%	59	-1.1	195/283/284	89	295	8	4	33%	10%	59	-1.1	200/285/307	107	317	13	2	38%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Juan Diaz 2007 · A	18	37→47	35→45	44→45	45	175/255/243	68	260	2	6	31%	8%	37	-2.6	206/250/273	67	281	3	5	26%	5%	40	-2.4	255/291/351	96	335	7	7	25%	5%	74	-0.1
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Riley Unroe 2014 · A	18	42→48	37→50	51→55	47	196/275/269	72	289	3	9	31%	9%	52	-1.6	193/254/254	61	272	4	9	28%	7%	38	-2.6	227/311/367	139	295	15	26	27%	10%	89	+0.5
●Eliezer Álvarez 2013 · A	18	38→48	37→45	46→55	47	183/255/256	73	241	5	11	25%	8%	40	-2.4	207/259/305	98	267	5	11	23%	6%	53	-1.5	254/308/362	108	342	5	19	26%	6%	87	+0.4
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	39	40→45	46→45	47	181/281/275	94	294	7	6	37%	11%	57	-1.2	183/259/259	76	293	5	6	36%	9%	43	-2.2	170/253/254	84	253	7	2	33%	9%	37	-1.0
✕Diomedes Del Rio 2017 · A	19	38	36→55	53→50	41	181/253/249	68	278	3	8	34%	7%	37	-2.6	199/265/293	94	283	4	9	29%	7%	53	-1.5	197/264/318	122	274	4	11	28%	7%	58	-0.4
✕Ronier Lascarro 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	47→50	47	199/274/261	62	291	2	7	30%	9%	50	-1.8	201/287/276	75	283	4	9	27%	10%	59	-1.1	200/308/280	80	249	4	10	19%	12%	66	-0.3
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	42	36→45	46→55	52	196/279/261	65	256	3	9	23%	10%	52	-1.6	220/298/308	88	314	7	14	29%	10%	71	-0.3	212/292/305	93	325	9	17	34%	10%	65	-0.3
✕Iverson Leonardo 2019 · A	17	41	37→50	46→50	42	188/272/268	81	299	3	8	35%	8%	51	-1.7	206/281/320	114	305	7	9	32%	8%	67	-0.5	185/260/318	133	265	11	10	32%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	63	-0.8	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	57	-1.2	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→39	36→45	51→60	46	193/275/265	72	282	3	13	30%	9%	51	-1.7	203/273/292	89	313	7	23	34%	8%	56	-1.3	206/260/333	127	301	14	35	35%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Abrahan Ramirez 2023 · A	18	48→46	38→45	48→55	45	221/293/307	86	324	3	10	30%	8%	69	-0.4	230/319/305	75	320	3	13	26%	11%	79	+0.3	224/322/292	68	319	1	14	26%	12%	75	-0.0
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	44→47	38→50	46→50	41	211/266/287	76	294	6	6	29%	6%	52	-1.6	206/257/295	89	285	7	8	29%	6%	50	-1.7	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6