Garrett HoweSS Lake County Captains
Age 24 L/R 5'8" / 178 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION119 act + 182 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†29
AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .250 / .238
PA182
HR1
SB6
K%32
BB%8
BABIP264
ISO61
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -29.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-29BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +8.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -1.80-1.8WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.9-0.9-0.7-0.6262829
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202422 ALynchburg Hillcats 6054 9000 5281 63 167250167417 346 478 196 8
202422 ALynchburg Hillcats 6050 12000 9191 63 240367240607 387 3215 298 86
202523 A2 teams 371331 52911 301364 3411 157236199435 42258 378 201 12
202523 A2 teams 371316 681012 45954 3411 215321272593 57296 2612 277 70
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD24 A+CLE 119109 14111 9471 53 128202183385 55213 398 174 -9 -15 -0 +0 +1 +3 -1.0
YTD24 A+CLE 119106 19211 12351 53 179269245514 66257 2910 243 44 -7 -0 +0 +1 +3 -0.3
ROS24 A+CLE 0% 182164 29511 14582 62 177250238488 61258 328 224 29 -15 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.7
ROS24 MLBCLE 0% 11 0000 000 00 258 00 217 24 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL24 A+CLE 120110 14111 9471 53 127200182382 55210 398 174 -8 -15 -0 +0 +1 +3 -1.0
TOT24 A+CLE 301273 43622 231053 115 158231216447 59246 358 204 14 -29 +0 +0 +3 +9 -1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBCLE 30% 333301 551023 261033 93 183255259514 76264 318 239 41 -22 +1 +0 +4 +9 -0.9
202826 MLBCLE 44% 381344 661225 301154 104 192265282547 90267 308 249 49 -22 +0 +0 +4 +11 -0.7
202927 MLBCLE 49% 403363 711326 331214 104 196270292562 96268 308 253 52 -22 +0 +0 +4 +11 -0.6
202725 MLBCLE 30% 10191 16301 8311 31 176250242492 66265 318 232 36 -7 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.3
202826 MLBCLE 44% 169152 29512 13512 42 191263276540 86267 308 242 43 -11 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.4
202927 MLBCLE 49% 198178 34613 16592 52 191265287552 96269 308 246 46 -12 +0 +0 +2 +6 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 469422 791426 371415 125 187261273533 85263 308 242 43 -30 +0 +0 +5 +13 -1.2
/ 162G 650585 1091938 511957 177 186260270530 84262 308 242 43 -42 +1 +0 +7 +18 -1.6
Career 17301557 28249816 13856118 7527 181256254509 73268 328 233 37 -124 +4 +0 +19 +49 -5.3
/ 162G 650585 1061836 522117 2810 181256253509 72269 328 233 37 -47 +2 +0 +7 +18 -2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202422 ALynchburg Hillcats 6050 12000 9191 63 240367240607 387 3215 298 86 -1 +0 +2 0.1
202523 A+Lake County Captains 5651 12101 4150 41 235291314605 78314 277 272 66 -2 +0 +2 -0.0
202523 ALynchburg Hillcats 315265 56911 41804 3010 211326264590 53293 2513 278 71 -10 +2 +9 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons
1469612191261279+5+3-0.9-0.4
/162664917+7.1+4.3-1.2pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Garrett Howe (OGILVIE) 24 30 20 60 50 158/231/216 59246 211 35% 8% 14 -1.8
Aaron Knapp
2019 · A
24 44→37 36→30 53→55 49 201/287/263 62301 320 31% 10% 56 -1.3 206/278/292 86317 717 34% 9% 59 -1.1 188/256/2708229581937%8%42-1.4
Taylor Lewis
2014 · A
24 37 39→45 61→55 35 181/228/275 94281 518 36% 5% 32 -3.0 201/244/290 89293 517 32% 5% 43 -2.2 208/231/2766827842626%2%29-0.8
Nick Meyer
2021 · A
24 35 36→40 52→50 40 172/231/233 61252 415 32% 6% 24 -3.6 212/280/299 87278 914 25% 8% 62 -0.9 207/281/29083267101625%8%57-0.6
Agustin Septimo
2008 · A
24 41→34 40 56→55 42 202/255/293 91269 819 28% 6% 49 -1.8 204/254/291 87284 714 29% 6% 47 -1.9 197/227/2596227931130%4%24-0.8
Skyler Weber
2019 · A
24 38 35→30 52→50 45 181/245/242 61258 29 29% 8% 31 -3.0 181/243/256 75257 59 30% 7% 34 -2.8 149/213/210612095929%6%7-3.0
Kevin Merrell
2021 · AA
25 40→35 37→40 53→55 36 194/231/266 72275 416 30% 4% 30 -3.1 213/266/333 120277 1413 28% 6% 65 -0.7 203/260/324121252181327%6%58-0.3
Kyle Von Tungeln
2014 · A
23 41 37→30 56→55 50 192/280/273 80272 420 28% 10% 55 -1.4 202/273/278 76316 413 34% 8% 53 -1.5 179/252/2173830701038%8%24-1.0
J.T. Arruda
2022 · A
24 39→41 38→40 54→55 42 186/251/269 83279 513 33% 8% 41 -2.3 201/275/292 91299 620 32% 9% 58 -1.2 205/267/2979328192329%7%52-0.8
Donta' Williams
2023 · A
24 45→32 39→40 56→55 49 206/295/297 91307 521 32% 10% 68 -0.5 183/270/263 80289 520 35% 9% 49 -1.8 158/249/2266825452036%9%29-1.4
Luke Brown
2023 · A
24 38 37→40 52→50 40 181/252/250 68281 411 35% 7% 37 -2.6 182/254/282 100281 1015 36% 7% 46 -2.0 154/232/257103234121937%8%28-1.3
Rob Henry
2019 · A
24 41 37→30 54→55 49 193/289/269 76284 418 30% 10% 59 -1.1 181/267/257 76330 612 43% 9% 46 -2.0 143/238/2005629161248%8%17-2.6
Rand Smith
2011 · A
24 41→39 36→30 53→50 46 195/260/260 66263 415 26% 8% 43 -2.2 207/272/280 73299 510 30% 8% 53 -1.5 186/262/225392881432%9%32-1.1
Jarod Rine
2006 · A
24 40→37 37→40 51→55 39 192/244/259 67273 417 30% 6% 35 -2.8 191/256/268 77267 516 28% 7% 43 -2.2 169/243/2407223441927%7%28-2.2
River Stevens
2016 · A
24 45→42 35→45 55→45 41 215/257/272 57277 317 23% 5% 43 -2.2 216/258/310 94263 910 21% 5% 54 -1.4 212/255/3099825011820%5%50-0.9
Nick Heath
2018 · A
24 45→35 36→40 55→65 38 211/256/273 61315 428 33% 6% 43 -2.2 206/266/292 86340 740 38% 7% 53 -1.5 192/261/2889632584840%8%47-1.2
Jared Carr
2023 · A
24 41→36 37→40 47→55 40 192/262/263 71298 514 35% 7% 45 -2.1 200/268/284 84309 617 34% 8% 53 -1.5 188/260/2708229172435%8%43-1.4
Jeff Gelalich
2015 · A
24 41→42 37→40 52→55 41 195/257/268 73286 513 32% 7% 43 -2.2 197/263/269 72344 416 40% 7% 46 -2.0 189/257/2496135831944%7%36-1.2
Adam White
2009 · A
24 40→38 37→30 52→55 44 194/257/263 70271 517 29% 7% 42 -2.3 211/276/294 83314 519 32% 7% 59 -1.1 216/292/2937734433334%8%64-0.2
Rashad Crawford
2018 · AA
24 41→44 40 54→55 40 201/249/292 91276 717 29% 6% 46 -2.0 206/256/290 84300 716 32% 6% 48 -1.9 204/255/2757230361733%6%40-1.5
Mickey McDonald
2019 · A
24 47→48 37→30 57→50 45 224/275/293 69281 515 22% 6% 56 -1.3 205/264/265 60301 315 30% 7% 46 -2.0 206/277/2655930431730%7%48-1.2