Garrett Howe

SS Lake County Captains
Age 25 L/R 5'8" / 178 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422ALynchburg Hil…60.240/.367/.2400630—.170/.267/.170
202523A+/A2 orgs371.215/.321/.27223428—.167/.249/.215
202624A+CLE256.204/.320/.2963932—.159/.249/.226
2027PROJMLE25MLBCLE1.190/.271/.2580053-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB26MLBCLE47.195/.275/.2750158-0.1
2029PROJ42% MLB27MLBCLE82.196/.277/.2791260-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Chase%92
BB%67
Whiff%59
Z-Con%58
Speed43
K%30
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsDonta' Williams (age 25) · Ian Parmley (age 25) · Agustin Septimo (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .271 / .258
PA1
HR0
K%29
BB%9
BABIP267
ISO80
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.1-0.1272829
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202422 ALynchburg Hillcats — 6050 12000 9191 63 240367240607 387 3215 298 30 — — — — — —
202523 A+Lake County Captains — 5651 12101 4150 41 235291314605 78314 277 272 29 — — — — — —
202523 ALynchburg Hillcats — 315265 56911 41804 3010 211326264590 53293 2513 278 28 — — — — — —
202624 A+Lake County Captains — 256216 44913 35722 95 204320296616 93285 2814 287 32 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202422 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 6053 9000 6261 63 170267170436 337 4310 212 30 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLELake County Captains — 5652 11101 3190 41 212255288543 77273 345 211 29 — — — — — —
202523 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 315277 44711 291104 3010 159248202451 43247 359 209 28 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLELake County Captains — 256226 36712 25912 95 159249226475 66238 3610 216 32 — — — — — —
202422 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 6053 9000 6261 63 170267170436 333 4310 212 30 — — — — — —
202422 A RAWLynchburg Hillcats — 6050 12000 9191 63 240367240607 387 3215 298 30 — — — — — —
202523 A MLE2 teams — 371329 54811 321294 3411 164247204450 40261 359 209 28 — — — — — —
202523 A RAW2 teams — 371316 681012 45954 3411 215321272593 57296 2612 277 28 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLELake County Captains — 256226 36712 25912 95 159249226475 66250 3610 216 32 — — — — — —
202624 A+ RAWLake County Captains — 256216 44913 35722 95 204320296616 93285 2814 287 32 — — — — — —
202422 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 6053 9000 6261 63 170267170436 337 4310 212 30 — — — — — —
202523 A MLE2 teams — 371332 54811 321294 3411 163247202448 39251 359 209 28 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLELake County Captains — 256227 36712 25912 95 159249225474 66238 3610 216 32 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 6053 9000 6261 63 170267170436 337 4310 212 30 — — — — — —
202523 A MLE2 teams — 371332 54811 321294 3411 163247202448 39251 359 209 28 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLELake County Captains — 256227 36712 25912 95 159249225474 66238 3610 216 32 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLECLE 0% 306272 511012 28873 83 190271259530 69267 289 246 53 -17 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXCLE 0% 11 0000 000 00 190271258529 68267 00 246 53 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLECLE 30% 154138 27512 14431 41 194275276551 81268 289 254 58 -8 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.2
202927 MLB MLECLE 42% 197175 35712 18552 52 196276280556 84269 289 256 60 -9 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.3
202826 MLB CTXCLE 30% 4743 8200 4130 10 195275275550 80269 289 254 58 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
202927 MLB CTXCLE 42% 8274 14301 7231 21 196277279556 83270 289 256 60 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 129117 22501 11361 31 188264256520 68263 289 256 41 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650590 1112505 551815 155 188263256519 68262 288 256 41 -32 +1 +0 +7 +14 -1.0
Career— MLE — 11641034 1833158 10638011 6123 177261240500 63267 339 229 41 -24 +1 +0 +5 +10 -0.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650577 1021734 592126 3413 177260237498 61267 339 229 41 -33 +1 +0 +7 +14 -1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Lake County Captains · 256 PAwOBA .283 → .216 (−67)K% 28.1% → 35.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.12%÷1.000×1.270——35.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.67%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9889.59%
HBP% /PA0.78%—×0.790—×0.9880.61%
Singles /BIP21.53%÷1.000×0.920×0.950×0.98818.59%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷1.000×0.810×0.950×0.9884.75%
Triples /BIP0.69%÷1.000×0.850×0.950×0.9880.55%
Home runs /BIP2.08%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9881.65%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .283 → .216; ISO .093 → .069; BABIP .285 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALynchburg Hillcats · 315 PAwOBA .275 → .209 (−66)K% 25.4% → 34.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.40%÷0.989×1.360——34.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.02%÷0.975×0.690—×0.9909.12%
HBP% /PA1.27%—×0.780—×0.9900.98%
Singles /BIP24.32%÷1.071×0.920×0.986×0.99020.39%
Doubles /BIP4.86%÷0.921×0.830×0.986×0.9904.28%
Triples /BIP0.54%÷1.020×0.910×0.986×0.9900.47%
Home runs /BIP0.54%÷1.184×0.800—×0.9900.36%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 114, 2B 84, 3B 104, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .275 → .209; ISO .053 → .041; BABIP .293 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Lake County Captains · 56 PAwOBA .264 → .211 (−53)K% 26.8% → 33.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.79%÷1.020×1.270——33.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.14%÷0.991×0.710—×0.9985.11%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP27.78%÷1.031×0.920—×0.99824.73%
Doubles /BIP2.78%÷1.138×0.810—×0.9981.97%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.952×0.850—×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP2.78%÷1.011×0.800—×0.9982.19%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 106, 2B 128, 3B 90, K 104, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .264 → .211; ISO .078 → .058; BABIP .314 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ALynchburg Hillcats · 60 PAwOBA .292 → .212 (−80)K% 31.7% → 43.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.67%÷0.985×1.360——43.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.00%÷1.041×0.690——9.94%
HBP% /PA1.67%—×0.780——1.30%
Singles /BIP38.71%÷1.056×0.920——33.73%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.941×0.830——0.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.906×0.910——0.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.844×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 111, 2B 88, 3B 81, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .292 → .212; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .387 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).