Luis Burgos

P Stockton Ports

Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 186 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKDSL NYY Bombe…	11	8	52	2.44	3.08	22.7%	10.9%	—	K 15.5% · BB 13.6% · FIP 4.19
2026	20	AOAK	18	6	46	10.17	4.95	12.9%	11.2%	—	K 9.5% · BB 13.3% · FIP 5.41
2027PROJ	21	MLBOAK	34	0	36	6.12	6.12	10.5%	15.3%	-0.6
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBOAK	23	0	24	5.73	5.60	13.8%	13.6%	-0.3
2029PROJ73% MLB	23	MLBOAK	35	0	37	5.41	5.27	15.9%	12.5%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control35Command35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 97%

CompsJohan Moreno (age 21) · Mason McGwire (age 20) · Juan Perez (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149141vR 133

ERA6.12

FIP6.12

K%10.5%

BB%15.3%

K-BB%-4.8%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL3535

CMD3535

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	14	2	28	127	23	19	1	14%	2.0	12.3%	18.7%	-6.4%	1.2%	5.14	5.06	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	14	2	28	127	23	19	1	14%	2.0	12.3%	18.7%	-6.4%	1.2%	5.14	5.06	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	14	2	28	127	23	19	1	14%	2.0	18.1%	15.0%	3.1%	0.8%	5.14	3.96	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	11	8	52	211	48	23	2	73%	4.7	15.5%	13.6%	1.8%	1.2%	2.44	4.19	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	11	8	52	211	48	23	2	73%	4.7	15.5%	13.6%	1.8%	1.2%	2.44	4.19	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	11	8	52	211	48	23	2	73%	4.7	22.7%	10.9%	11.8%	0.9%	2.44	3.08	—
2026	20	A MLE	Stockton Ports	18	6	46	249	32	28	5	33%	2.6	9.5%	13.3%	-3.8%	2.6%	10.17	5.41	—
2026	20	A MLE	Stockton Ports	18	6	46	249	32	28	5	33%	2.6	9.5%	13.3%	-3.8%	2.6%	10.17	5.41	—
2026	20	A RAW	Stockton Ports	18	6	46	249	32	28	5	33%	2.6	12.9%	11.2%	1.6%	2.0%	10.17	4.95	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	OAK	34	0	36	152	16	23	4	0%	1.1	10.5%	15.3%	-4.8%	2.9%	6.12	6.12	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	OAK	46	0	49	206	29	28	6	0%	1.1	13.8%	13.6%	0.3%	2.8%	5.73	5.60	-0.6
2029	23	MLB MLE	OAK	48	0	51	214	34	27	6	0%	1.1	15.9%	12.5%	3.4%	2.8%	5.41	5.27	-0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	OAK	23	0	24	101	14	14	3	0%	1.0	13.8%	13.6%	0.3%	2.8%	5.73	5.60	-0.3
2029	23	MLB CTX	OAK	35	0	37	156	25	20	4	0%	1.1	15.9%	12.5%	3.4%	2.8%	5.41	5.27	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		58	0	61	257	39	33	7	0%	1.0	15.1%	12.9%	2.2%	2.8%	5.54	5.02	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	128	108	23	0%	1.1	15.1%	12.9%	2.2%	2.8%	5.54	5.02	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		43	16	126	587	72	86	11	37%	2.9	12.3%	14.6%	-2.3%	1.8%	5.87	4.90	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	25	200	934	115	136	17	37%	2.9	12.3%	14.6%	-2.3%	1.8%	5.87	4.90	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Burgos (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.12	10.5%	15.3%	2.9%	—	5.43	14.9%	1.9%	99	-0.69	—	—	—
Johan Moreno R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	21	SW	6.25	13.2%	16.7%	3.9%	.325	4.36	20.7%	8.0%	115	-1.89	3.09	216	83
Mason McGwire R 2024 · 6.46 FIP	20	SP-	6.46	11.7%	21.2%	3.0%	.298	4.11	21.4%	10.7%	79	-2.35	4.11	155	82
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	82
Kamdyn Perry R 2024 · 5.61 FIP	18	SW	5.61	12.3%	18.4%	2.2%	.300	5.55	14.9%	1.0%	116	-0.06	5.31	142	82
Seth McClung R 2003 · 5.63 FIP	22	SW	5.63	15.0%	14.4%	3.6%	.241	5.29	15.3%	2.8%	212	-0.34	2.52	430	82
Zach Mort R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	22	SW	5.01	10.7%	12.3%	2.3%	.240	5.35	17.0%	8.8%	176	+0.34	4.95	237	82
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	82
Johsson Arias R 2016 · 5.43 FIP	22	SW	5.43	8.5%	17.1%	1.6%	.244	3.64	15.9%	4.4%	77	-1.79	3.46	117	81
Jhon Vergara R 2019 · 5.75 FIP	19	SW	5.75	11.1%	13.1%	3.5%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	106	81
Jol Concepcion R 2021 · 6.54 FIP	22	SW	6.54	12.2%	20.0%	3.5%	.272	4.60	23.9%	3.9%	50	-1.94	4.60	154	80
Joel Pineiro R 2000 · 5.71 FIP	21	SU	5.71	10.6%	13.8%	3.2%	.324	3.81	17.3%	9.9%	481	-1.90	2.76	1,831	80
Justin Militello R 2024 · 5.52 FIP	20	SW	5.52	9.6%	19.9%	1.3%	.376	5.17	15.9%	-3.1%	82	-0.35	4.92	114	80
Tom Reisinger R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	23	SW	5.44	12.1%	14.6%	2.8%	.381	6.49	10.3%	-5.6%	47	+1.05	5.44	110	80
Bryant Salgado R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	21	SW	5.65	14.2%	20.4%	2.1%	.219	4.83	15.9%	3.5%	89	-0.82	4.83	110	80
Fabricio Reina R 2021 · 6.88 FIP	21	SW	6.88	12.6%	27.2%	2.5%	.224	5.16	17.4%	-2.0%	28	-1.72	3.76	191	80
Joe Barlow R 2016 · 6.15 FIP	20	SW	6.15	13.6%	16.4%	3.9%	.269	3.72	29.5%	10.7%	116	-2.43	2.99	354	80
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	79
Diogenes Almengo R 2016 · 6.34 FIP	21	SW	6.34	8.2%	18.3%	2.9%	.235	4.69	21.0%	5.1%	70	-1.65	2.12	242	79
Garrett Nuss R 2015 · 5.71 FIP	22	SW	5.71	14.1%	14.9%	3.5%	.352	4.58	15.0%	5.3%	92	-1.13	4.57	174	79
Eliseo Mota R 2024 · 4.94 FIP	21	SW	4.94	10.9%	17.4%	1.0%	.310	4.54	15.1%	0.9%	101	-0.40	3.39	193	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	45	13.7%	13.6%	1.10	5.71
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*