Gabriel Flores — OGILVIE

Gabriel FloresC FCL Phillies

Age 18 R/R 5'9" / 170 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 67 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .269 / .279

PA67

HR1

K%28

BB%6

BABIP268

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$7M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.4	$5M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+1.2	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$16M		$36M	+$30M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	128	110	16	2	1	1	6	39	9	7	5	145	248	209	457	64	205	30	5	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	128	105	19	3	1	1	11	24	9	7	5	181	312	257	569	76	217	19	9	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	PHI	—	40	35	4	1	0	0	3	14	2	0	0	114	225	143	368	29	190	35	8	187	1	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
YTD	18	ROK	PHI	—	40	33	6	2	0	0	5	10	2	0	0	182	325	242	567	61	261	25	12	279	71	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
ROS	18	ROK	PHI	0%	67	61	12	2	0	1	4	19	2	1	0	197	269	279	547	82	280	28	6	255	53	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
ROS	18	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		282	—	—	238	40	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	PHI	—	40	36	4	1	0	0	3	14	2	0	0	111	225	139	364	28	182	35	8	187	1	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
TOT	18	ROK	PHI	—	107	96	16	3	0	1	7	33	4	1	0	167	252	229	482	62	242	31	7	229	34	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	PHI	34%	198	177	37	7	1	2	14	55	5	3	1	209	286	294	579	85	285	28	7	268	63	-8	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2028	20	MLB	PHI	48%	336	301	65	12	2	5	24	92	8	5	1	216	291	319	610	103	287	27	7	277	70	-11	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.5
2029	21	MLB	PHI	54%	440	394	86	15	3	8	32	118	11	6	2	218	295	332	628	114	288	27	7	283	75	-13	+0	+0	+8	+12	0.8
2030	22	MLB	PHI	57%	514	460	101	18	3	10	37	137	12	7	2	220	295	337	632	117	289	27	7	287	78	-13	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.2
2031	23	MLB	PHI	58%	520	464	102	18	3	10	38	138	13	7	2	220	297	336	633	116	290	27	7	290	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2032	24	MLB	PHI	57%	520	464	105	19	3	11	38	138	13	7	2	226	303	351	654	125	291	27	7	292	82	-11	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2033	25	MLB	PHI	57%	520	464	104	18	3	11	38	137	13	7	2	224	301	347	648	123	291	26	7	293	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2034	26	MLB	PHI	57%	520	464	104	18	3	11	38	137	13	7	2	224	301	347	648	123	291	26	7	294	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2035	27	MLB	PHI	55%	520	463	103	18	3	11	39	138	13	7	2	222	301	346	647	123	291	27	8	294	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2036	28	MLB	PHI	55%	520	463	103	18	3	11	39	139	13	7	2	222	301	346	647	123	290	27	8	293	83	-10	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.4
2037	29	MLB	PHI	58%	520	462	103	18	3	11	40	140	13	6	2	223	303	346	649	123	289	27	8	291	81	-11	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.2
2038	30	MLB	PHI	60%	520	463	101	18	3	10	40	141	12	6	1	218	297	335	632	117	288	27	8	289	79	-12	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.1
2039	31	MLB	PHI	62%	504	449	98	17	3	10	38	138	12	5	1	218	297	336	633	118	286	27	8	284	76	-14	+1	-3	+9	+14	0.8
2040	32	MLB	PHI	63%	489	437	93	16	3	9	37	136	12	4	1	213	292	325	617	112	282	28	8	279	72	-16	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.4
2041	33	MLB	PHI	63%	473	423	86	14	2	8	36	134	11	3	1	203	283	303	586	99	278	28	8	272	67	-18	+0	-4	+8	+13	0.0
2042	34	MLB	PHI	59%	434	388	77	12	2	7	33	126	10	2	0	198	278	294	572	95	273	29	8	264	60	-19	+0	-5	+8	+12	-0.4
2027	19	MLB	PHI	34%	68	61	12	2	0	1	5	19	2	1	0	197	279	279	558	82	287	28	7	252	51	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	PHI	48%	163	146	32	6	1	3	12	44	4	2	1	219	296	336	632	116	289	27	7	261	58	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	PHI	54%	239	214	47	9	1	4	17	64	6	3	1	220	295	327	622	107	290	27	7	267	63	-10	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2030	22	MLB	PHI	57%	291	261	58	10	2	6	21	78	7	4	1	222	298	345	642	123	291	27	7	271	66	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2031	23	MLB	PHI	58%	299	268	60	11	2	6	22	79	7	4	1	224	300	347	647	123	292	26	7	274	68	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2032	24	MLB	PHI	57%	296	265	60	11	2	6	22	78	7	4	1	226	303	351	654	125	293	26	7	276	70	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2033	25	MLB	PHI	57%	295	264	60	11	2	6	22	78	7	4	1	227	304	352	656	125	293	26	7	278	71	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2034	26	MLB	PHI	57%	294	263	60	11	2	6	22	78	7	4	1	228	305	354	658	125	293	27	7	278	71	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2035	27	MLB	PHI	55%	289	258	58	10	2	6	22	77	7	4	1	225	303	349	652	124	293	27	8	279	71	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2036	28	MLB	PHI	55%	286	255	57	10	2	6	22	76	7	4	1	224	303	349	652	125	292	27	8	278	71	-10	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.4
2037	29	MLB	PHI	58%	302	269	60	11	2	6	23	81	7	4	1	223	301	346	647	123	292	27	8	276	69	-11	+0	-1	+5	+9	0.3
2038	30	MLB	PHI	60%	313	278	62	11	2	6	24	85	8	3	1	223	303	342	645	119	290	27	8	273	67	-12	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.2
2039	31	MLB	PHI	62%	311	277	61	11	2	6	24	85	7	3	1	220	299	339	638	119	288	27	8	269	64	-13	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.0
2040	32	MLB	PHI	63%	307	274	59	10	2	6	23	85	7	2	1	215	293	332	625	117	284	28	7	264	60	-14	+0	-2	+5	+9	-0.2
2041	33	MLB	PHI	63%	300	267	56	9	2	5	23	85	7	2	0	210	290	315	604	105	280	28	8	257	55	-15	+0	-3	+5	+8	-0.4
2042	34	MLB	PHI	59%	256	229	45	7	1	4	19	74	6	1	0	197	276	288	564	92	274	29	7	249	49	-15	+0	-3	+5	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4309	3850	847	150	27	83	323	1166	103	49	13	220	298	338	635	118	291	27	7	270	65	-171	+5	-12	+77	+122	2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	129	23	4	13	49	176	16	7	2	222	301	343	643	120	294	27	8	270	65	-26	+1	-2	+12	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	7743	6907	1496	260	44	147	571	2102	195	97	29	217	295	331	626	114	287	27	7	284	76	-214	+8	-20	+138	+219	13.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	126	22	4	12	48	176	16	8	2	217	295	331	626	114	288	27	7	284	76	-18	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	128	105	19	3	1	1	11	24	9	7	5	181	312	257	569	76	217	19	9	270	65	-5	-1	—	—	+4	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	4,416	84	52	219	293	335	+79	+40	8.5	7.1
	/162	664	13	8	219	293	335	+11.9	+6.0	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Flores (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	167/252/229	62	242	1	1	31%	7%	34	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→55	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	53	-1.5	241/286/357	116	275	12	5	17%	5%	79	+0.3	241/284/373	131	274	16	5	18%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	40	38→55	49→45	43	195/258/270	75	266	5	11	28%	7%	44	-2.1	205/253/318	113	280	11	7	30%	5%	55	-1.4	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	43→40	38→55	48→50	43	202/265/291	89	290	5	5	30%	7%	53	-1.5	195/240/313	118	278	11	5	32%	5%	47	-1.9	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→50	49→45	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	32	-3.0	204/249/275	71	283	5	10	28%	5%	41	-2.3	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2018 · A	18	45	37→55	51→40	37	209/263/281	71	306	3	8	31%	5%	49	-1.8	197/253/262	65	271	2	5	27%	5%	40	-2.4	183/253/290	107	242	12	2	29%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	36	-2.7	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	44	-0.5
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Rodolfo Durán 2016 · A	18	39	36→55	45→40	37	189/231/257	68	267	3	6	30%	5%	29	-3.2	211/250/329	118	282	13	5	29%	5%	56	-1.3	225/266/386	161	276	19	3	26%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	34	-2.8	189/233/266	77	239	5	3	22%	4%	32	-3.0	238/307/375	137	291	17	3	24%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	42→41	40→55	51→50	44	201/267/302	101	282	7	12	30%	7%	56	-1.3	197/248/287	90	281	7	11	31%	5%	44	-2.1	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Kelvin Hidalgo 2023 · A	18	42→39	40→45	50→55	44	204/266/298	94	269	6	13	25%	6%	55	-1.4	206/263/306	100	292	9	17	31%	6%	56	-1.3	196/248/285	89	291	8	23	34%	5%	42	-1.3
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	43	38→40	49→45	42	202/274/283	81	295	6	6	32%	7%	55	-1.4	204/293/283	79	316	6	6	34%	9%	64	-0.8	155/264/219	64	269	6	3	39%	10%	36	-1.1
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→47	36→55	49→30	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	43	-2.2	204/277/283	79	275	6	5	26%	8%	56	-1.3	231/286/395	164	298	21	0	29%	7%	87	+0.4
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	41	38→45	46→30	41	199/261/275	76	260	5	5	25%	5%	47	-1.9	210/260/302	92	278	8	4	26%	4%	53	-1.5	184/227/264	80	254	7	0	30%	3%	27	-1.0
✕Jesus Galiz 2022 · A	18	40	36→45	51→40	40	190/241/256	66	253	3	7	25%	5%	33	-2.9	200/258/308	108	293	10	4	33%	6%	55	-1.4	189/250/287	98	295	8	2	37%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	42→44	37→45	47→60	37	197/271/278	80	298	4	8	33%	5%	53	-1.5	219/295/319	100	315	8	15	31%	6%	74	-0.1	224/303/332	108	321	10	20	31%	6%	76	+0.1