Gabriel Flores

C FCL Phillies

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 170 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1339ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Phillies …	128	.181/.312/.257	1	7	13	—	.130/.248/.194
2026	18	ROKPHI	65	.130/.277/.222	1	0	1	—	.088/.200/.158
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBPHI	175	.208/.278/.290	2	3	62	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBPHI	33	.213/.285/.307	0	0	68	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBPHI	92	.217/.290/.320	1	1	73	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%64

BB%39

ISO37

Whiff%34

K%29

Chase%10

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsYunior Garcia (age 18) · Stone Garrett (age 20) · Jerar Encarnacion (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 40 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .276 / .287

PA40

HR0

K%28

BB%7

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	128	105	19	3	1	1	11	24	9	7	5	181	312	257	569	76	217	19	9	270	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	65	54	7	2	0	1	9	17	2	0	0	130	277	222	499	93	167	26	14	246	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	128	108	14	2	1	1	8	31	9	7	5	130	248	194	442	65	151	24	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	65	57	5	1	0	1	6	25	2	0	0	88	200	158	358	70	140	38	9	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	128	108	14	2	1	1	8	31	9	7	5	130	248	194	442	65	165	24	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	128	105	19	3	1	1	11	24	9	7	5	181	312	257	569	76	217	19	9	270	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	65	57	5	1	0	1	6	25	2	0	0	88	200	158	358	70	129	38	9	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	65	54	7	2	0	1	9	17	2	0	0	130	277	222	499	93	167	26	14	246	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	128	110	14	2	1	1	8	31	9	7	5	127	248	191	439	64	151	24	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	65	57	5	1	0	1	6	25	2	0	0	88	200	158	358	70	140	38	9	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	128	110	14	2	1	1	8	31	9	7	5	127	248	191	439	64	151	24	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	65	57	5	1	0	1	6	25	2	0	0	88	200	158	358	70	140	38	9	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	175	157	33	6	1	2	12	49	4	3	1	208	278	290	568	82	286	28	7	260	62	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	96	87	18	3	1	1	7	26	2	1	0	212	284	304	588	92	288	27	7	268	68	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	189	170	36	6	1	3	13	51	4	3	1	216	289	317	605	100	289	27	7	275	73	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	300	270	59	10	2	5	21	80	6	5	2	220	292	328	620	108	290	27	7	281	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	388	349	78	13	3	7	28	102	8	6	2	223	295	337	632	114	291	26	7	286	80	-9	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.6
2032	24	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	445	400	91	16	3	9	33	116	9	7	2	225	298	345	643	119	292	26	7	290	82	-9	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	445	400	91	16	3	9	33	116	9	7	2	226	299	348	646	121	292	26	7	291	83	-9	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	PHI	56%	445	400	91	16	3	9	33	116	9	7	2	226	299	349	648	123	292	26	7	292	84	-9	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	445	400	90	15	3	9	33	116	9	6	2	225	298	347	644	121	291	26	7	291	83	-9	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2036	28	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	445	401	89	15	3	9	33	117	8	5	2	223	296	342	638	119	290	26	7	288	81	-10	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.7
2037	29	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	445	402	88	15	3	8	32	119	8	3	2	221	293	336	628	115	289	27	7	284	78	-11	-0	-1	+8	+10	0.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	445	402	88	15	3	8	32	120	8	2	1	218	289	328	617	110	287	27	7	279	75	-13	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.2
2039	31	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	426	385	82	14	2	7	30	117	8	2	1	213	284	318	602	104	284	27	7	273	71	-15	+0	-3	+8	+9	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	33	30	6	1	0	0	2	9	1	0	0	213	285	307	592	94	288	27	6	270	68	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	92	84	18	3	1	1	6	25	2	1	0	217	290	320	610	103	289	27	7	277	73	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	163	147	32	5	1	3	12	43	3	3	1	221	293	332	625	111	291	26	7	283	76	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	220	198	44	7	2	4	16	58	4	3	1	224	297	342	638	117	292	26	7	288	80	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	252	227	52	9	2	5	18	66	5	4	1	227	299	350	649	123	293	26	7	293	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	251	226	52	9	2	5	18	65	5	4	1	228	300	353	653	125	293	26	7	294	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	PHI	56%	251	226	53	9	2	6	18	65	5	4	1	228	300	355	655	127	293	26	7	295	84	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	247	222	50	8	2	5	18	65	5	3	1	227	299	352	651	125	292	26	7	293	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	244	219	49	8	2	5	18	64	5	3	1	225	297	347	644	122	291	26	7	290	81	-6	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	238	215	48	8	2	5	17	63	4	2	1	222	294	341	635	118	289	26	7	287	78	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	234	211	46	8	1	4	17	63	4	1	1	219	290	332	623	113	287	27	7	282	75	-7	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	241	218	46	8	1	4	17	66	4	1	1	215	285	322	607	107	284	27	7	276	71	-8	-0	-2	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2466	2223	496	83	18	47	177	652	47	29	10	223	294	340	634	117	293	26	7	288	76	-61	+2	-4	+44	+53	3.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	131	22	5	12	47	172	12	8	3	224	295	340	634	116	294	26	7	288	76	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	4747	4267	927	158	31	86	345	1263	100	62	24	217	291	329	620	112	286	27	7	281	76	-114	+3	-7	+81	+99	6.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	127	22	4	12	47	173	14	8	3	217	291	330	622	113	286	27	7	281	76	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Phillies · 65 PAwOBA .241 → .169 (−72)K% 26.2% → 37.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.15%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	37.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.85%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.022	8.78%
HBP% /PA	3.08%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	2.27%
Singles /BIP	10.81%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.050	×1.022	9.52%
Doubles /BIP	5.41%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×1.022	4.18%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.70%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.022	2.16%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .241 → .169; ISO .093 → .066; BABIP .167 → .140. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Phillies White · 128 PAwOBA .270 → .188 (−82)K% 18.8% → 24.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.75%	÷0.946	×1.220	—	—	24.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.59%	÷1.043	×0.700	—	×1.022	5.90%
HBP% /PA	7.03%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	5.03%
Singles /BIP	17.28%	÷0.960	×0.680	×1.000	×1.022	12.52%
Doubles /BIP	3.70%	÷0.958	×0.600	×1.000	×1.022	2.37%
Triples /BIP	1.23%	÷1.150	×0.600	×1.000	×1.022	0.66%
Home runs /BIP	1.23%	÷0.844	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.70%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 92, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 89, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .270 → .188; ISO .076 → .046; BABIP .217 → .151. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.8	2,505	46	30	223	291	338	+45	+28	5.2	4.7
/162	664	12	8	+11.9	+7.4	1.4	pk7: 4
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Flores (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	206/276/287	81	286	0	1	28%	7%	62	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	35→45	40→45	52→30	43	176/241/269	92	235	7	10	27%	7%	45	-2.7	192/242/291	99	291	9	7	36%	5%	49	-2.4	228/278/346	118	323	12	2	32%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Stone Garrett 2016 · A	20	42→39	35→55	49→50	38	198/237/257	59	280	3	7	29%	5%	38	-3.2	172/211/256	84	307	7	8	44%	4%	30	-3.8	223/282/387	164	300	20	11	31%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Jerar Encarnacion 2017 · A	19	40→45	38→50	50→45	38	195/232/275	80	260	5	6	27%	4%	41	-3.0	188/231/283	95	306	9	5	40%	5%	43	-2.8	223/288/380	158	332	23	6	38%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Moisés Gómez 2018 · A	19	39→42	39→55	49→45	38	193/238/277	85	262	7	9	29%	5%	45	-2.7	198/247/334	136	313	14	4	39%	6%	62	-1.4	192/247/364	173	283	25	6	40%	6%	67	-0.7
✕Yordalin Peña 2024 · A	19	36→37	37→55	55	41	176/232/253	77	233	4	10	26%	5%	37	-3.3	188/246/290	102	278	8	14	33%	6%	51	-2.2	184/241/311	127	279	12	17	37%	6%	52	-1.2
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2008 · A	19	35	37→40	46→50	41	173/237/247	74	261	4	10	34%	7%	38	-3.2	169/266/252	83	245	7	8	31%	10%	52	-2.2	142/256/221	79	200	9	6	31%	11%	41	-1.0
✕Raylin Heredia 2023 · A	19	38→48	38→50	53→50	37	183/232/269	87	270	4	9	33%	5%	40	-3.0	200/252/309	109	324	9	11	39%	5%	57	-1.8	219/257/356	137	317	16	15	35%	4%	67	-0.6
✕Luis Barrera 2015 · A	19	34→44	38→45	49→50	47	168/236/246	78	214	5	7	24%	7%	37	-3.3	204/248/281	77	285	4	8	28%	5%	48	-2.5	248/293/357	110	319	5	17	23%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Shed Long Jr. 2015 · A	19	39→49	36→50	46→50	39	189/234/250	60	263	3	6	29%	5%	36	-3.3	227/283/347	120	309	12	9	29%	7%	78	-0.3	238/300/387	148	320	15	11	29%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Robert Perez Jr. 2019 · A	19	34→44	39→50	42→45	41	172/238/252	80	245	7	6	31%	7%	40	-3.1	207/269/322	115	312	12	4	35%	6%	68	-1.0	219/291/377	157	314	20	2	35%	6%	87	+0.3
●Maikel Franco 2012 · A	19	36→46	39→55	48→40	37	181/226/263	82	254	6	4	31%	4%	37	-3.3	251/286/399	148	292	16	3	20%	4%	91	+0.7	270/306/443	173	299	19	2	17%	4%	106	+1.7
✕Jose Peroza 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	45	36	191/234/262	72	300	3	7	36%	5%	39	-3.1	210/269/340	130	308	13	6	34%	6%	72	-0.7	207/280/327	120	310	12	4	35%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Jalen Miller 2017 · A	20	38→44	38→45	50	37	188/229/268	79	258	5	9	29%	4%	38	-3.2	202/244/306	104	272	9	9	28%	5%	53	-2.1	184/243/300	116	238	12	18	28%	7%	49	-1.5
✕Luis Liberato 2015 · A	19	36→46	37→50	52→50	44	176/243/245	69	250	4	14	30%	8%	39	-3.1	199/256/296	97	299	6	9	33%	7%	55	-1.9	221/286/368	148	299	15	9	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Kevin Alcántara 2021 · A	19	42→52	37→50	48→50	37	201/248/278	78	286	4	8	30%	5%	48	-2.5	227/283/353	126	340	12	10	34%	7%	79	-0.2	232/296/372	139	341	17	12	35%	8%	85	+0.2
●Óscar Mercado 2014 · A	19	38→48	37→50	52→60	40	182/240/255	73	262	4	13	30%	6%	40	-3.0	193/242/260	67	241	4	23	20%	5%	42	-2.9	245/308/380	135	288	13	27	19%	7%	93	+0.7
✕Willy García 2012 · A	19	39→49	40→50	46→45	38	192/246/283	92	261	7	9	29%	5%	49	-2.4	203/239/331	128	307	15	8	37%	4%	57	-1.8	240/282/369	129	333	12	4	30%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Moisés Sierra 2008 · A	19	35→45	40→50	49→50	38	177/232/265	88	238	8	10	29%	5%	40	-3.0	223/270/316	93	303	8	8	28%	4%	65	-1.2	252/302/391	139	320	16	11	25%	5%	93	+0.8
✕James Harris 2014 · A	20	36→46	36→40	46→50	42	176/239/245	69	249	3	10	29%	7%	38	-3.2	210/270/299	89	304	8	12	31%	7%	62	-1.4	221/284/309	88	314	7	14	30%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Efrain Contreras 2006 · A	19	40	36→40	49→55	44	192/255/259	67	259	3	9	26%	7%	47	-2.5	200/270/286	86	236	7	13	18%	6%	59	-1.6	204/271/288	85	250	7	15	21%	6%	58	-0.7

Gabriel Flores

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps