Roberto Perez — OGILVIE

Roberto Perez P ACL Mariners

Age 22 RHP 5'9" / 145 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2029

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 17 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.36

FIP4.36

K%23.0%

BB%9.8%

K-BB%13.2%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	17	3	38	156	46	11	1	18%	2.2	20.1%	8.8%	11.2%	0.9%	2.84	3.01	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	17	3	38	156	46	11	1	18%	2.2	20.1%	8.8%	11.2%	0.9%	2.84	3.01	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	17	3	38	156	46	11	1	18%	2.2	29.5%	7.1%	22.4%	0.6%	2.84	1.89	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	26	102	34	12	1	0%	1.5	24.4%	10.9%	13.5%	0.0%	3.42	2.42	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	26	102	34	12	1	0%	1.5	24.4%	10.9%	13.5%	0.0%	3.42	2.42	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	0	26	102	34	12	1	0%	1.5	33.3%	11.8%	21.6%	1.0%	3.42	2.38	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	13	8	46	182	42	10	0	62%	3.5	15.7%	6.9%	8.8%	0.0%	2.56	2.64	—
YTD	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	13	8	46	182	42	10	0	62%	3.5	15.7%	6.9%	8.8%	0.0%	2.56	2.64	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	ROK RAW	SEA	13	8	46	182	42	10	0	62%	3.5	23.1%	5.5%	17.6%	0.0%	2.56	1.85	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SEA	44	0	46	196	47	18	6	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.2%	14.6%	2.8%	4.26	4.20	+0.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	SEA	45	0	48	201	49	18	6	0%	1.1	24.3%	8.8%	15.4%	2.8%	4.17	4.10	+0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	SEA	46	0	48	204	50	18	6	0%	1.0	24.6%	8.7%	16.0%	2.8%	4.10	4.05	+0.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	SEA	46	0	48	204	50	18	6	0%	1.0	24.8%	8.6%	16.2%	2.8%	4.06	4.03	+0.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	SEA	45	0	48	201	50	17	6	0%	1.1	24.8%	8.7%	16.1%	2.9%	4.07	4.07	+0.3
2027	23	MLB CTX	SEA	22	0	23	97	23	9	3	0%	1.0	23.8%	9.2%	14.6%	2.8%	4.26	4.20	+0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	SEA	31	0	33	139	34	12	4	0%	1.1	24.3%	8.8%	15.4%	2.8%	4.17	4.10	+0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	SEA	37	0	39	165	41	14	5	0%	1.1	24.6%	8.7%	16.0%	2.8%	4.10	4.05	+0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	SEA	40	0	42	177	44	15	5	0%	1.1	24.8%	8.6%	16.2%	2.8%	4.06	4.03	+0.3
2031	27	MLB CTX	SEA	41	0	43	182	45	16	5	0%	1.0	24.8%	8.7%	16.1%	2.9%	4.07	4.07	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		172	0	180	761	187	67	22	0%	1.0	24.5%	8.8%	15.8%	2.8%	4.12	3.70	+1.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	208	74	24	0%	1.1	24.5%	8.8%	15.8%	2.8%	4.12	3.70	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		48	11	110	440	85	37	1	23%	2.3	19.3%	8.5%	10.8%	0.3%	2.86	2.72	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		87	20	200	800	154	68	3	23%	2.3	19.3%	8.5%	10.8%	0.3%	2.86	2.72	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Roberto Perez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.36	23.0%	9.8%	2.9%	—	4.12	24.2%	15.3%	142	-0.24	—	—	—
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	86
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	83
Daniel Bies R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	22	SW	3.96	24.5%	6.8%	3.8%	.339	3.17	20.3%	11.0%	89	-0.79	3.17	115	82
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	82
Austin Hutchison R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	22	SW	4.05	19.7%	6.0%	3.4%	.340	4.55	18.7%	9.2%	213	+0.50	3.51	235	82
Cole Stapler R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	22	SW	3.83	19.2%	6.0%	2.9%	.266	3.31	18.1%	13.2%	220	-0.52	3.26	255	81
Clark Beeker R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	23	SW	4.04	20.0%	7.1%	3.2%	.270	4.35	11.6%	6.4%	244	+0.31	4.04	287	81
Carson Rudd R 2021 · 3.39 FIP	22	SP-	3.39	25.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.351	5.24	21.6%	5.6%	193	+1.85	3.39	242	81
Cody Palmquist R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	21.9%	9.0%	3.5%	.278	6.02	14.7%	7.1%	62	+1.71	4.31	104	80
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	80
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	79
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	79
Yon Castro R 2021 · 3.20 FIP	22	SW	3.20	20.5%	8.5%	1.4%	.297	4.52	19.5%	8.8%	167	+1.32	3.20	274	79
David Davalillo R 2023 · 3.33 FIP	20	SW	3.33	18.6%	6.8%	1.7%	.292	3.31	20.7%	12.3%	305	-0.02	2.96	322	79
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	79
Parker Curry R 2017 · 3.73 FIP	23	SU	3.73	22.5%	8.2%	2.7%	.341	4.62	18.6%	11.6%	193	+0.89	3.73	256	79
J.T. Hintzen R 2018 · 3.22 FIP	22	SU	3.22	20.1%	7.0%	1.7%	.303	4.37	24.1%	15.1%	123	+1.15	3.22	205	78
Franco Aleman R 2022 · 3.95 FIP	22	SW	3.95	21.3%	8.2%	2.9%	.391	3.02	28.3%	18.4%	114	-0.93	2.38	225	78
Chris Powell R 2015 · 3.31 FIP	22	SW	3.31	19.1%	10.7%	0.9%	.320	3.66	17.8%	11.8%	62	+0.35	3.31	102	78
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	43	24.4%	8.9%	1.10	4.15
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
JT Chargois ('24)	1.2	33	23.3%	9.3%	0.97	3.35