Brendan Durfee — OGILVIE

Brendan DurfeeC San Antonio Missions

Age 25 L/R 6'3" / 221 lbs AA HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION82 act + 238 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .267 / .294

PA238

HR4

K%30

BB%7

BABIP264

ISO103

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	23	A	2 teams	—	123	104	22	7	0	3	13	32	4	0	0	212	322	365	688	154	268	26	11	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	2 teams	—	123	98	25	9	0	2	19	30	4	0	0	255	397	408	805	153	338	24	15	362	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	376	338	55	10	1	5	26	135	9	0	0	163	241	243	484	80	249	36	7	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	376	328	72	16	1	6	35	98	9	0	0	220	311	329	640	110	291	26	9	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	SD	—	82	73	11	1	0	3	5	28	4	0	0	151	244	288	532	137	190	34	6	242	43	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
YTD	25	AA	SD	—	82	70	14	2	0	4	8	21	4	0	0	200	317	400	717	200	222	26	10	325	107	+1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.5
ROS	25	AA	SD	2%	238	214	41	8	1	4	17	71	5	2	1	192	267	294	561	103	258	30	7	256	54	-12	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.1
ROS	25	MLB	SD	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		255	20	0	237	39	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	SD	—	87	78	12	1	0	3	5	29	4	0	0	154	241	282	523	128	196	33	6	242	43	-6	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.2
TOT	25	AA	SD	—	320	287	52	9	1	7	22	99	9	2	1	181	261	293	554	111	247	31	7	253	51	-18	+0	+0	+6	+9	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	SD	31%	352	316	62	12	1	7	26	102	7	4	1	196	272	307	579	111	263	29	7	265	61	-16	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.1
2028	27	MLB	SD	42%	379	341	68	13	1	8	28	108	7	5	1	199	274	314	588	114	266	28	7	269	64	-15	+1	+0	+7	+11	0.3
2029	28	MLB	SD	48%	395	355	71	14	1	8	30	112	7	5	1	200	276	313	588	113	266	28	8	271	66	-15	+1	-1	+7	+11	0.3
2030	29	MLB	SD	49%	397	356	71	14	1	8	31	113	7	5	1	199	277	312	588	112	266	28	8	271	65	-16	+1	-1	+7	+11	0.2
2027	26	MLB	SD	31%	109	98	19	4	0	2	8	32	2	1	0	194	269	296	564	102	260	29	7	247	47	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	27	MLB	SD	42%	159	143	28	5	1	3	12	45	3	2	1	196	272	308	580	112	262	28	8	252	51	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
2029	28	MLB	SD	48%	189	169	34	6	1	4	14	54	4	2	1	201	278	320	598	118	263	29	7	254	52	-10	+0	-0	+3	+5	-0.2
2030	29	MLB	SD	49%	196	175	36	7	1	4	15	56	4	2	1	206	284	326	609	120	263	29	8	253	52	-11	+0	-1	+4	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	658	590	118	22	3	13	49	188	13	7	3	200	276	314	590	114	267	29	7	252	51	-36	+0	-1	+12	+19	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	117	22	3	13	48	186	13	7	3	201	276	316	592	115	268	29	7	252	51	-36	+0	-1	+12	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	2260	2024	390	78	6	43	171	673	46	21	5	193	271	301	572	108	262	30	8	261	58	-107	+2	-2	+40	+64	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	112	22	2	12	49	194	13	6	1	192	270	299	569	107	263	30	8	261	58	-31	+1	-1	+12	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	92	73	21	8	0	2	13	18	4	288	422	479	902	192	345	20	14	396	161	+6	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2024	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	31	25	4	1	0	0	6	12	0	160	323	200	523	40	308	39	19	264	60	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	376	328	72	16	1	6	35	98	9	220	311	329	640	110	291	26	9	293	82	-8	+0	—	—	+11	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	660	14	8	201	274	317	+12	+8	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	14	8	201	274	317	+11.9	+8.0	0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brendan Durfee (OGILVIE)	25	35	35	40	40	181/261/293	111	247	7	2	31%	7%	51	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jan Vázquez 2016 · AA	25	40	41→40	43→45	41	195/268/292	97	287	9	7	33%	7%	55	-1.4	215/288/307	92	290	7	9	27%	7%	68	-0.5	211/289/296	86	282	7	7	26%	7%	61	-0.3
✕Luis Sierra 2012 · AA	25	44	40	40→45	41	215/257/309	95	277	7	4	25%	5%	53	-1.5	212/261/290	78	274	4	5	22%	6%	50	-1.7	228/285/299	72	286	0	0	19%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	38	43→45	42→45	46	189/279/295	106	260	11	6	30%	9%	62	-0.9	198/275/331	133	251	15	10	27%	7%	69	-0.4	185/264/327	142	224	17	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	39	41→40	44→45	42	192/253/287	94	265	8	6	30%	6%	47	-1.9	193/247/294	101	286	10	6	34%	6%	46	-2.0	150/200/249	98	218	12	0	36%	5%	11	-1.4
✕Micah Furtado 2007 · A	25	43→41	42→45	43→50	45	211/272/315	104	269	10	10	25%	7%	63	-0.9	223/274/319	96	266	8	10	19%	6%	63	-0.8	230/274/317	88	260	8	9	14%	5%	61	-0.6
✕Jordan Procyshen 2018 · AA	25	40	41→40	40	38	197/250/287	89	284	9	4	33%	6%	45	-2.1	194/246/314	120	260	14	5	30%	6%	51	-1.7	175/241/332	157	209	22	4	29%	6%	53	-0.4
✕Aaron Antonini 2023 · AA	25	36	43→40	46→45	45	186/272/287	101	243	12	5	28%	8%	57	-1.2	209/287/330	121	292	13	9	31%	7%	74	-0.1	179/269/313	134	276	15	8	38%	7%	60	-0.2
✕Steven Lerud 2010 · AA	25	43→41	42→45	44→40	43	213/277/314	101	276	9	4	26%	6%	64	-0.8	196/262/294	98	287	9	4	33%	6%	53	-1.5	199/291/280	82	290	7	2	31%	9%	60	-0.3
✕Adam Weisenburger 2014 · AA	25	43	40	40→30	44	205/284/296	91	284	8	4	29%	7%	63	-0.8	219/300/306	87	284	6	4	23%	8%	72	-0.2	216/301/294	78	272	4	2	20%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Michael Pérez 2018 · AA	25	43	41→50	40	43	210/265/310	100	280	8	3	27%	7%	57	-1.2	219/276/335	116	284	12	3	26%	7%	69	-0.4	195/258/323	128	243	16	0	26%	8%	56	-0.6
✕César Salazar 2021 · A	25	44→40	41→45	46→45	42	214/266/308	94	265	8	8	22%	5%	58	-1.2	208/275/342	134	258	16	8	26%	6%	72	-0.2	202/308/314	111	241	11	6	20%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Michael Papierski 2021 · A	25	38→44	39→45	39→40	47	186/273/266	80	266	8	5	31%	9%	51	-1.7	208/293/312	104	273	10	3	26%	9%	71	-0.3	204/292/309	105	261	11	0	25%	10%	68	-0.3
✕Chase Pinder 2021 · AA	25	40	40→45	40→45	44	192/269/276	84	279	8	5	32%	8%	51	-1.7	218/306/353	135	287	14	8	27%	10%	88	+0.9	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Austin Rei 2019 · AA	25	38	40	40	40	187/261/280	94	277	7	4	33%	7%	50	-1.8	192/262/285	93	308	8	7	37%	7%	51	-1.7	123/204/184	61	206	5	0	40%	8%	-2	-1.0
✕Austin Davidson 2018 · A	25	43→40	40→45	45	45	209/273/307	97	268	7	7	24%	7%	60	-1.0	221/281/340	119	280	10	6	24%	7%	72	-0.2	221/283/352	131	272	12	3	22%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Bryant Flete 2018 · AA	25	43→44	38→40	43→50	40	208/252/288	80	274	5	6	26%	5%	46	-2.0	213/282/291	78	299	6	6	29%	7%	60	-1.0	203/291/266	63	295	5	4	30%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Javi Herrera 2006 · AA	25	42	42→40	43→45	37	206/260/311	104	273	9	6	28%	4%	56	-1.3	213/283/307	94	268	8	6	23%	6%	66	-0.6	196/290/279	83	247	8	5	22%	9%	61	-0.3
✕Adam Donachie 2009 · AA	25	39	43→45	42→30	45	198/264/301	103	265	12	3	29%	8%	55	-1.4	186/252/279	93	260	9	3	30%	8%	44	-2.1	165/235/251	86	229	8	0	30%	8%	29	-1.4
✕Greg Thissen 2006 · A	25	39	43→45	40→45	39	196/245/305	109	263	11	5	30%	5%	48	-1.9	204/270/299	95	271	8	7	26%	8%	57	-1.2	197/274/281	84	258	7	7	25%	9%	54	-0.6
✕Andrew Ely 2018 · AA	25	44→43	38→40	38→40	44	210/269/288	78	281	6	5	26%	7%	53	-1.5	200/278/285	85	272	6	5	26%	9%	58	-1.2	145/252/210	64	203	2	0	26%	10%	27	-1.4