Brendan Durfee — OGILVIE

Brendan DurfeeC San Antonio Missions

Age 25 L/R 6'3" / 221 lbs AA HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION158 act + 23 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .217 / .190

PA23

HR0

K%30

BB%9

BABIP247

ISO48

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	92	73	21	8	0	2	13	18	4	0	0	288	422	479	902	192	345	20	14	396	154	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2024	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	31	25	4	1	0	0	6	12	0	0	0	160	323	200	523	40	308	39	19	264	65	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	376	328	72	16	1	6	35	98	9	0	0	220	311	329	640	110	291	26	9	293	84	-7	+0	—	—	+8	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	92	77	18	6	0	2	9	24	4	0	0	234	344	390	734	156	281	26	10	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	376	339	56	11	1	5	25	134	9	0	0	165	241	248	489	83	247	36	7	220	35	-29	+0	—	—	+8	-2.1
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	123	104	24	8	0	3	13	32	4	0	0	231	339	394	733	163	296	26	11	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	123	98	25	9	0	2	19	30	4	0	0	255	397	408	805	153	338	24	15	362	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	376	339	56	11	1	5	25	134	9	0	0	165	241	248	489	83	251	36	7	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	376	328	72	16	1	6	35	98	9	0	0	220	311	329	640	110	291	26	9	293	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	123	105	24	8	0	3	13	32	4	0	0	229	339	390	729	162	281	26	11	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	376	339	56	11	1	5	25	134	9	0	0	165	241	248	489	83	247	36	7	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	123	105	24	8	0	3	13	32	4	0	0	229	339	390	729	162	281	26	11	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	376	339	56	11	1	5	25	134	9	0	0	165	241	248	489	83	247	36	7	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	SD	—	158	142	19	4	0	4	10	59	4	0	0	134	212	246	458	113	185	37	6	208	27	-14	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	ROK RAW	SD	—	27	24	6	2	0	2	2	7	1	0	0	250	333	583	917	333	267	26	7	395	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA RAW	SD	—	131	113	17	3	0	4	13	40	3	0	0	150	256	283	539	133	183	31	10	248	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AA MLE	SD	2%	23	21	3	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	143	217	190	408	48	249	30	9	243	51	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	AA MLE	SD	—	181	163	22	5	0	4	12	66	4	0	0	135	212	239	452	104	189	36	7	213	30	-15	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SD	31%	352	318	59	12	1	7	25	108	6	4	1	186	258	296	553	110	254	31	7	253	57	-18	+0	+0	+6	+8	-0.4
2028	27	MLB MLE	SD	42%	379	342	65	13	1	8	28	114	6	4	1	190	263	304	567	114	257	30	7	258	61	-18	+0	+0	+7	+8	-0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	SD	48%	395	356	68	14	1	8	30	118	6	5	1	191	265	303	569	112	258	30	8	261	63	-18	+1	-1	+7	+9	-0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	SD	49%	397	358	68	14	1	8	30	119	6	5	1	190	264	302	566	112	258	30	8	260	62	-18	+1	-1	+7	+9	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	SD	31%	109	98	18	4	0	2	8	34	2	1	0	184	259	286	545	102	251	31	7	239	57	-6	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	SD	42%	159	143	26	5	0	3	12	48	3	2	0	182	259	280	539	98	254	30	8	245	61	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	SD	48%	189	170	33	7	1	4	14	57	3	2	1	194	267	318	585	124	255	30	7	248	63	-8	+0	-0	+3	+4	-0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	SD	49%	196	176	34	7	1	4	15	59	3	2	1	193	268	312	581	119	255	30	8	248	62	-9	+0	-1	+4	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	653	587	111	23	2	13	49	198	11	7	2	189	264	302	566	112	258	30	8	246	58	-30	+1	-1	+12	+14	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	111	23	2	13	49	197	11	7	2	190	266	303	569	113	259	30	8	246	58	-30	+1	-1	+12	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2045	1838	343	73	5	39	153	632	37	18	4	187	263	295	558	109	258	31	7	255	58	-72	+2	-2	+28	+33	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	109	23	2	12	49	201	12	6	1	187	264	295	558	108	259	31	8	255	58	-30	+1	-1	+12	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.0	660	14	7	191	262	306	+12	+8	0.0	0.0
/162	664	14	8	+11.9	+8.0	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brendan Durfee (OGILVIE)	25	35	35	40	40	177/249/277	100	249	6	3	32%	7%	51	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	40	41→40	44→45	42	196/258/292	96	269	8	6	29%	7%	56	-1.9	194/248/291	97	281	9	6	32%	6%	52	-2.2	151/202/238	87	213	10	0	34%	5%	19	-1.4
✕Jordan Procyshen 2018 · AA	25	41	40	40	40	199/253/284	85	282	8	4	31%	6%	52	-2.2	196/248/311	115	259	12	5	28%	6%	57	-1.8	172/241/317	144	207	20	4	28%	7%	55	-0.5
✕Jan Vázquez 2016 · AA	25	41	41→40	43→45	42	201/271/296	95	285	8	7	31%	7%	62	-1.4	218/291/312	94	290	7	9	26%	7%	74	-0.6	215/293/302	88	284	7	7	25%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Austin Rei 2019 · AA	25	39	40	40	41	190/266/285	95	277	7	4	32%	7%	58	-1.7	196/266/290	94	304	8	7	35%	7%	59	-1.6	130/211/192	62	213	4	0	38%	8%	14	-0.9
✕Michael Papierski 2021 · A	25	38→44	39→40	39→40	47	188/273/268	81	267	8	5	31%	9%	57	-1.8	205/290/300	95	270	9	3	25%	9%	71	-0.8	200/288/293	93	258	9	0	25%	10%	66	-0.6
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	39	42→45	42→45	46	191/280/293	102	262	10	6	29%	9%	65	-1.2	199/277/327	128	250	14	10	25%	7%	72	-0.7	186/267/323	137	222	16	12	24%	7%	65	-0.7
✕Aaron Antonini 2023 · AA	25	37	43→40	46→45	45	187/273/288	101	243	12	5	27%	8%	62	-1.4	210/288/330	120	290	13	9	31%	7%	77	-0.3	183/273/312	129	276	14	8	36%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Mitchell Gunsolus 2017 · A	24	39→36	43→40	40→45	43	197/262/302	105	271	12	6	31%	8%	60	-1.6	187/268/267	80	322	6	7	39%	9%	55	-1.9	156/255/210	54	305	1	7	44%	10%	37	-2.3
✕Micah Furtado 2007 · A	25	43→41	42→45	43→50	45	211/272/315	104	269	10	10	25%	7%	67	-1.1	222/274/318	96	265	8	10	19%	6%	68	-1.0	229/274/316	86	259	7	9	14%	5%	65	-0.8
✕Max Wright 2023 · A	25	39	42→40	44→40	43	186/278/290	105	293	9	4	37%	9%	65	-1.2	194/270/295	101	296	9	6	35%	7%	62	-1.4	140/216/216	76	209	10	0	36%	6%	23	-0.9
✕D.K. Carey 2017 · A	25	38	41→40	39→45	47	190/266/285	94	256	9	7	28%	9%	57	-1.8	196/272/287	91	294	7	6	33%	9%	60	-1.6	167/256/237	70	267	4	2	36%	10%	41	-1.2
✕Bryant Flete 2018 · AA	25	44→46	39→40	43→50	41	212/256/295	84	275	6	6	25%	5%	55	-1.9	217/285/297	80	299	6	6	28%	7%	68	-1.0	210/296/273	63	301	5	4	29%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Francisco Arcia 2014 · AA	24	41	41→40	45→40	42	205/259/300	95	262	9	5	25%	6%	58	-1.7	223/271/294	71	284	5	4	22%	5%	60	-1.6	209/264/283	74	269	7	3	24%	4%	53	-0.9
✕Michael Johnson 2013 · A	24	39	38→40	41→40	41	188/250/267	79	283	4	4	33%	7%	47	-2.5	212/279/283	71	306	4	6	29%	8%	61	-1.5	248/321/315	67	351	3	7	28%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Logan Moore 2015 · AA	24	38	38→40	40→30	41	187/240/268	82	260	5	3	29%	6%	43	-2.8	201/249/290	89	278	8	3	29%	6%	51	-2.2	191/238/275	84	266	9	0	30%	6%	42	-1.1
✕Anthony Bemboom 2015 · AA	25	41	42→40	45	42	204/246/305	101	245	10	5	22%	5%	54	-2.0	210/258/298	88	268	7	6	24%	6%	57	-1.8	201/272/306	105	260	10	2	26%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Sahid Valenzuela 2023 · AA	25	39	39→30	43→45	40	194/247/278	84	264	7	5	28%	6%	49	-2.4	205/248/263	58	270	4	6	24%	5%	45	-2.7	202/245/241	39	260	2	6	22%	5%	35	-1.7
✕Mark Kolozsvary 2021 · A	25	38	40	41→30	41	182/275/274	92	289	7	5	36%	8%	60	-1.6	181/266/293	112	287	11	4	38%	7%	61	-1.5	149/227/259	110	227	12	2	38%	6%	35	-0.7
✕Garrett Kennedy 2018 · AA	25	35	42→45	45→30	41	181/241/282	101	254	10	3	32%	7%	47	-2.5	195/264/292	97	285	9	5	32%	8%	58	-1.7	153/240/222	70	229	6	0	33%	9%	31	-1.0
✕David Masters 2018 · A	25	36→37	40→45	40	42	180/239/263	83	237	8	3	27%	6%	42	-2.9	203/270/318	115	280	13	3	30%	7%	67	-1.1	192/262/321	129	263	16	1	32%	7%	61	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps