Brendan DurfeeC
Fort Wayne TinCaps
Age 25
L/R
6'3" / 221 lbs
A+
HR +13%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.7 · 2028
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .275 / .317
PA303
HR6
K%30
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
35→35
PWR
35→35
SPD
40→40
EYE
47↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.0M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $-0.1M | -$4M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A | 2 teams | 123 | 104 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .231 | .339 | .394 | .733 | .163 | .296 | 26 | 11 | .319 | 102 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 376 | 339 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 126 | 9 | 0 | 0 | .171 | .247 | .254 | .500 | .083 | .251 | 34 | 7 | .224 | 30 | -30 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +11 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | SD | 303 | 273 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 92 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .205 | .277 | .319 | .595 | .114 | .282 | 30 | 7 | .270 | 65 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +9 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 10% | SD | 331 | 298 | 62 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 98 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .208 | .280 | .326 | .606 | .117 | .284 | 30 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 25% | SD | 366 | 328 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 106 | 6 | 5 | 1 | .216 | .292 | .345 | .637 | .128 | .284 | 29 | 8 | .281 | 73 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 37% | SD | 386 | 346 | 74 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 112 | 6 | 5 | 1 | .214 | .290 | .338 | .628 | .124 | .284 | 29 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 47% | SD | 391 | 351 | 75 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 114 | 6 | 4 | 1 | .214 | .289 | .336 | .625 | .123 | .284 | 29 | 8 | .281 | 73 | -12 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 55% | SD | 392 | 352 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 115 | 6 | 4 | 0 | .207 | .283 | .327 | .609 | .119 | .282 | 29 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -13 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 66% | SD | 372 | 334 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 111 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .201 | .276 | .308 | .585 | .108 | .281 | 30 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -14 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 75% | SD | 345 | 310 | 63 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 105 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .203 | .278 | .316 | .594 | .113 | .279 | 30 | 8 | .269 | 64 | -14 | +1 | -4 | +6 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB 83% | SD | 309 | 278 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 96 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .201 | .275 | .313 | .587 | .112 | .278 | 31 | 8 | .264 | 60 | -14 | +0 | -4 | +6 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | SD | 261 | 235 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 83 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .196 | .270 | .294 | .564 | .098 | .276 | 32 | 8 | .258 | 55 | -13 | +0 | -5 | +5 | +7 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3955 | 3548 | 725 | 145 | 15 | 77 | 308 | 1190 | 65 | 36 | 5 | .204 | .280 | .319 | .599 | .114 | .281 | 30 | 8 | .271 | 65 | -154 | +5 | -20 | +71 | +112 | 1.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 583 | 119 | 24 | 2 | 13 | 51 | 196 | 11 | 6 | 1 | .204 | .281 | .319 | .600 | .115 | .280 | 30 | 8 | .271 | 65 | -25 | +1 | -3 | +12 | +18 | 0.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 92 | 73 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .288 | .422 | .479 | .902 | .192 | .345 | 20 | 14 | .396 | 161 | +6 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.9 |
| 2024 | 23 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | 31 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .160 | .323 | .200 | .523 | .040 | .308 | 39 | 19 | .264 | 60 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 376 | 328 | 72 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 98 | 9 | 0 | 0 | .220 | .311 | .329 | .640 | .110 | .291 | 26 | 9 | .293 | 82 | -8 | +0 | — | — | +11 | 0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Brendan Durfee (OGILVIE) | 25 | 35 | 35 | 40 | 40 | .203/.275/.317 | .113 | .282 | 6 | 4 | 30% | 7% | 65 | -0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jan Vázquez 2016 · AA |
25 | 41 | 43→40 | 43→45 | 40 | .202/.270/.306 | .105 | .290 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .219/.292/.313 | .094 | .295 | 8 | 9 | 27% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .217/.296/.306 | .089 | .289 | 8 | 7 | 26% | 7% | 67 | -0.2 |
|
✕Greg Cullen 2022 · AA |
25 | 45→42 | 42→40 | 42→40 | 50 | .217/.304/.324 | .107 | .280 | 10 | 4 | 25% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .236/.327/.346 | .110 | .320 | 11 | 6 | 27% | 11% | 94 | +1.3 | .236/.337/.336 | .100 | .321 | 11 | 5 | 27% | 11% | 93 | +0.5 |
|
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA |
25 | 39 | 43→45 | 43→45 | 46 | .192/.280/.301 | .108 | .265 | 11 | 7 | 30% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .198/.277/.336 | .138 | .251 | 16 | 10 | 27% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .186/.266/.336 | .150 | .221 | 18 | 12 | 25% | 7% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Michael Pérez 2018 · AA |
25 | 42 | 41→50 | 41→40 | 43 | .207/.261/.307 | .100 | .274 | 8 | 4 | 27% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .223/.279/.344 | .121 | .289 | 13 | 3 | 26% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .198/.263/.332 | .134 | .247 | 17 | 0 | 27% | 8% | 60 | -0.5 |
|
✕Beau Taylor 2015 · AA |
25 | 44→46 | 41→45 | 42→30 | 44 | .212/.276/.307 | .095 | .302 | 9 | 3 | 31% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .210/.277/.304 | .094 | .299 | 9 | 3 | 30% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .215/.303/.325 | .110 | .307 | 10 | 1 | 31% | 11% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Aaron Antonini 2023 · AA |
25 | 37 | 43→40 | 46→45 | 45 | .187/.275/.291 | .104 | .246 | 12 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .207/.287/.330 | .123 | .286 | 14 | 8 | 31% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .188/.281/.331 | .143 | .279 | 18 | 9 | 36% | 6% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕César Salazar 2021 · A |
25 | 44→40 | 41→45 | 46→45 | 43 | .214/.269/.311 | .097 | .262 | 9 | 7 | 22% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .209/.277/.344 | .135 | .255 | 16 | 8 | 25% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .201/.292/.321 | .120 | .236 | 14 | 6 | 21% | 7% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A |
25 | 40 | 41→40 | 44→45 | 43 | .198/.262/.299 | .100 | .269 | 8 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .191/.246/.291 | .100 | .279 | 10 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .147/.198/.242 | .094 | .211 | 11 | 0 | 36% | 5% | 8 | -1.4 |
|
✕Andy Thomas 2023 · A |
25 | 41→40 | 42→40 | 47→40 | 47 | .200/.286/.300 | .099 | .290 | 10 | 4 | 32% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .203/.275/.303 | .100 | .281 | 11 | 5 | 29% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .196/.266/.288 | .093 | .263 | 10 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 51 | -1.2 |
|
✕Steven Lerud 2010 · AA |
25 | 43→42 | 42→45 | 44→40 | 43 | .212/.276/.313 | .101 | .278 | 9 | 4 | 26% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .200/.267/.300 | .100 | .289 | 9 | 3 | 32% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .202/.293/.284 | .082 | .291 | 7 | 2 | 30% | 9% | 62 | -0.3 |
|
✕Matt Wallach 2011 · AA |
25 | 42 | 46→45 | 42→40 | 43 | .214/.265/.342 | .127 | .258 | 13 | 3 | 23% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .212/.284/.314 | .102 | .259 | 10 | 5 | 22% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .191/.276/.262 | .071 | .245 | 8 | 3 | 24% | 8% | 51 | -0.7 |
|
✕Adam Weisenburger 2014 · AA |
25 | 43 | 40 | 41→30 | 45 | .208/.285/.299 | .091 | .281 | 7 | 4 | 27% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .217/.296/.306 | .089 | .280 | 6 | 4 | 23% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .212/.296/.290 | .078 | .266 | 5 | 2 | 20% | 8% | 65 | -0.4 |
|
✕Luis Sierra 2012 · AA |
25 | 45 | 41→40 | 40→45 | 41 | .221/.261/.321 | .100 | .279 | 8 | 4 | 24% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .213/.262/.293 | .080 | .273 | 4 | 4 | 22% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .222/.279/.291 | .069 | .279 | 0 | 0 | 19% | 7% | 54 | -0.6 |
|
✕Michael Papierski 2021 · A |
25 | 38→41 | 39→40 | 39→40 | 49 | .185/.275/.265 | .080 | .259 | 8 | 5 | 30% | 10% | 52 | -1.6 | .202/.289/.301 | .099 | .269 | 10 | 3 | 27% | 10% | 67 | -0.5 | .198/.288/.298 | .100 | .256 | 11 | 0 | 25% | 10% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Max Wright 2023 · A |
25 | 40 | 42→40 | 45→40 | 42 | .188/.278/.292 | .104 | .298 | 9 | 5 | 37% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .192/.269/.293 | .101 | .295 | 9 | 5 | 36% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .142/.217/.219 | .077 | .212 | 10 | 0 | 36% | 6% | 14 | -0.9 |
|
✕Logan Driscoll 2023 · A |
25 | 42→45 | 45 | 49→40 | 41 | .211/.275/.335 | .124 | .295 | 13 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .225/.281/.350 | .125 | .306 | 13 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .232/.286/.359 | .127 | .311 | 13 | 3 | 29% | 5% | 76 | +0.1 |
|
✕Adam Donachie 2009 · AA |
25 | 39 | 43→45 | 41→30 | 46 | .197/.264/.301 | .104 | .263 | 12 | 3 | 29% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .188/.255/.282 | .094 | .263 | 9 | 3 | 30% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .169/.240/.257 | .088 | .234 | 9 | 0 | 30% | 8% | 33 | -1.3 |
|
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA |
25 | 41 | 42→45 | 48→55 | 46 | .197/.276/.303 | .106 | .284 | 9 | 9 | 32% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .215/.297/.325 | .110 | .300 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .222/.305/.326 | .104 | .296 | 11 | 19 | 27% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Morgan McCullough 2023 · AA |
25 | 45 | 43→45 | 46→50 | 45 | .214/.296/.330 | .116 | .301 | 10 | 10 | 30% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .203/.285/.325 | .122 | .297 | 11 | 14 | 33% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .183/.272/.308 | .125 | .269 | 12 | 17 | 34% | 9% | 61 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jose Brizuela 2018 · A |
25 | 43→40 | 46→50 | 43→45 | 43 | .214/.277/.340 | .127 | .295 | 13 | 5 | 31% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .211/.260/.318 | .107 | .289 | 11 | 6 | 30% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .166/.196/.248 | .082 | .207 | 12 | 0 | 27% | 4% | 9 | -1.0 |