Rafe Perich

3B Frisco RoughRiders

Age 25 S/R 6'1" / 225 lbs AA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP40ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	A+TEX	146	.202/.322/.274	2	2	30	—	.165/.240/.211
2025	23	ATEX	252	.249/.367/.364	4	5	59	—	.198/.282/.279
2026	24	AATEX	346	.321/.406/.576	16	7	118	—	.265/.333/.466
2026	24	A+TEX	165	.303/.396/.606	11	2	117	—	.247/.311/.487
2027PROJ2% MLB	25	MLBTEX	6	.240/.309/.421	0	0	102	0.0
2028PROJ32% MLB	26	MLBTEX	164	.241/.309/.421	6	2	102	0.4
2029PROJ46% MLB	27	MLBTEX	244	.240/.309/.418	9	3	101	0.6

Next 3 projected WAR 1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.6M2034Arb-2$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

wOBA95

wRC+93

ISO91

Z-Con%87

Whiff%79

K%74

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 13, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 74%

CompsChris Gimenez (age 25) · Yonathan Perlaza (age 24) · Devin Mann (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†102

AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .309 / .421

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP290

ISO174

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	33	25	3	1	0	0	8	8	0	0	0	120	333	160	493	40	176	24	24	263	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	146	124	25	3	0	2	21	30	1	2	0	202	322	274	596	73	250	21	14	284	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	252	209	52	10	1	4	36	52	3	5	0	249	367	364	731	115	306	21	14	332	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	346	302	97	27	1	16	39	70	4	7	3	321	406	576	982	255	373	20	11	427	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	165	142	43	4	3	11	20	34	2	2	1	303	396	606	1.002	303	327	21	12	430	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	33	27	3	1	0	0	6	11	0	0	0	111	273	148	421	37	161	33	18	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	146	133	22	3	0	1	12	38	1	2	0	165	240	211	450	45	222	26	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	252	222	44	7	1	3	23	72	3	5	0	198	282	279	562	81	267	29	9	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	346	313	83	22	1	13	28	85	4	7	3	265	333	466	800	201	324	25	8	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	165	150	37	3	3	9	12	45	2	2	1	247	311	487	798	240	285	27	7	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	33	27	3	1	0	0	6	11	0	0	0	111	273	148	421	37	188	33	18	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	—	33	25	3	1	0	0	8	8	0	0	0	120	333	160	493	40	176	24	24	263	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	398	355	67	10	1	4	35	110	4	7	0	189	269	256	525	68	257	28	9	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	398	333	77	13	1	6	57	82	4	7	0	231	350	330	681	99	285	21	14	314	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	511	463	121	25	4	22	40	130	6	9	4	261	328	475	803	214	316	25	8	342	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	511	444	140	31	4	27	59	104	6	9	4	315	403	586	988	270	359	20	12	428	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	33	27	3	1	0	0	6	11	0	0	0	111	273	148	421	37	161	33	18	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	398	356	67	10	1	4	35	110	4	7	0	188	269	256	525	67	250	28	9	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	511	460	121	25	4	22	40	130	6	9	4	263	328	478	806	215	311	25	8	342	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	33	27	3	1	0	0	6	11	0	0	0	111	273	148	421	37	161	33	18	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	398	356	67	10	1	4	35	110	4	7	0	188	269	256	525	67	250	28	9	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	511	460	121	25	4	22	40	130	6	9	4	263	328	478	806	215	311	25	8	342	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TEX	2%	380	343	82	16	2	13	31	96	3	5	2	239	307	413	720	174	290	25	8	318	102	+1	+0	-1	+1	+8	1.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	TEX	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	240	309	421	730	181	290	33	0	322	102	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	TEX	32%	520	468	112	22	3	18	42	131	5	7	2	239	308	412	720	173	290	25	8	318	102	+1	+1	-1	+2	+11	1.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	TEX	46%	534	481	114	22	3	18	43	135	5	7	2	238	307	409	717	171	289	25	8	317	101	+1	+1	-1	+2	+12	1.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	538	484	115	22	3	18	44	136	5	6	2	236	306	404	710	168	288	25	8	315	99	-1	+0	-2	+2	+12	1.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	TEX	58%	538	484	113	22	2	17	44	137	5	5	2	234	304	398	702	164	287	25	8	311	97	-2	+0	-2	+2	+12	1.0
2032	30	MLB MLE	TEX	60%	533	481	112	22	2	17	43	136	4	4	3	232	301	390	691	159	285	26	8	307	94	-4	-0	-3	+2	+12	0.6
2033	31	MLB MLE	TEX	61%	526	475	108	21	2	16	42	136	4	2	9	227	296	380	676	153	281	26	8	301	90	-6	-3	-4	+2	+11	-0.0
2034	32	MLB MLE	TEX	62%	370	335	74	14	1	11	29	98	3	2	9	222	289	367	656	145	277	26	8	293	84	-7	-3	-4	+1	+8	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	TEX	32%	164	149	36	7	1	6	13	41	1	2	1	241	309	421	730	180	289	25	8	322	102	+0	+0	-0	+1	+4	0.4
2029	27	MLB CTX	TEX	46%	244	220	53	10	1	9	20	61	2	3	1	240	309	418	727	178	289	25	8	321	101	+0	+0	-0	+1	+5	0.6
2030	28	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	293	264	63	12	1	11	24	74	3	3	1	238	307	413	720	175	288	25	8	318	99	-0	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.7
2031	29	MLB CTX	TEX	58%	310	279	65	12	1	11	25	79	3	3	1	236	305	406	711	170	286	25	8	315	97	-1	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.6
2032	30	MLB CTX	TEX	60%	319	287	67	12	1	11	26	82	3	2	2	233	302	398	700	165	284	26	8	311	94	-2	-0	-2	+1	+7	0.4
2033	31	MLB CTX	TEX	61%	322	290	66	12	1	10	26	84	3	1	6	229	297	388	684	159	281	26	8	304	90	-4	-2	-2	+1	+7	-0.0
2034	32	MLB CTX	TEX	62%	230	208	46	8	1	7	18	61	2	1	6	223	290	374	664	151	276	27	8	296	84	-4	-2	-3	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1882	1697	396	73	7	65	152	482	17	15	18	233	303	400	702	166	285	26	8	312	94	-11	-4	-10	+7	+41	2.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	136	25	2	22	52	166	6	5	6	232	301	394	695	162	284	26	8	312	94	-4	-1	-3	+2	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4821	4341	1008	194	23	152	394	1241	44	53	34	232	303	393	695	160	288	26	8	307	94	-18	-5	-17	+14	+84	5.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	135	26	3	20	53	167	6	7	5	231	301	388	689	157	286	26	8	307	94	-3	-1	-3	+2	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeimer Candelariolast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,576 PA	5.4	3,576	110	19	237	316	412	+8	-5	12.7	13.0
/162	664	20	4	+1.6	-0.9	2.4	pk7: 13
#2Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#3Tim Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,743 PA	2.6	1,743	63	13	248	301	431	+19	-13	6.1	6.1
/162	664	24	5	+7.1	-4.8	2.3	pk7: 6
#4Russ Davis'94-'01 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,176 PA	3.3	2,176	84	16	244*	296*	428*	+6	-9	5.0	5.2
/162	664	26	5	+1.9	-2.8	1.5	pk7: 6
#5Bill Brubaker'32-'43 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,755 PA	2.6	1,755	22	13	243*	318*	394*	+5	-2	4.4	5.0
/162	664	8	5	+2.0	-0.6	1.7	pk7: 6
#6Johnny Vergez'31-'36 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,537 PA	3.8	2,537	52	22	234*	301*	404*	+9	-12	4.2	4.2
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	-3.2	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.8	1,888	61	16	233	299	395	+7	-8	4.1	4.1
/162	664	21	6	+2.4	-2.8	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rafe Perich (OGILVIE)	25	31→43	47→51	40	50	236/305/409	173	290	11	4	25%	8%	102	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Gimenez 2008 · AA	25	40→50	52→50	41→45	45	215/292/384	169	257	21	5	25%	7%	91	+0.7	232/307/373	141	297	16	4	26%	9%	93	+0.8	230/308/359	129	296	14	2	25%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Yonathan Perlaza 2023 · AA	24	44→54	52→55	47→50	45	224/292/395	171	297	19	10	30%	8%	93	+0.8	240/311/410	170	311	17	12	27%	9%	103	+1.5	252/321/420	168	321	16	12	25%	9%	105	+1.7
✕Devin Mann 2022 · AA	25	41→45	50	43→45	44	212/287/367	154	275	17	7	29%	7%	85	+0.2	220/300/368	148	290	16	5	28%	9%	90	+0.6	215/299/360	144	285	15	3	28%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Michael McKenry 2010 · AA	25	44→47	50→55	39→40	49	227/299/384	156	275	17	4	24%	8%	93	+0.8	222/283/356	134	282	14	3	25%	7%	80	-0.1	248/321/426	177	294	23	2	23%	9%	111	+0.8
✕Francisco Mejía 2021 · MLB	25	47→57	51→55	46→40	42	239/289/403	163	284	18	4	23%	5%	93	+0.8	243/290/397	154	288	15	3	21%	5%	92	+0.7	244/283/399	156	290	15	0	21%	4%	91	+0.3
✕Andrew Young 2019 · AA	25	45→46	50→55	47→40	41	233/305/387	154	286	19	5	25%	5%	97	+1.1	223/303/401	178	290	21	5	30%	6%	99	+1.3	197/281/374	177	276	22	3	35%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Brett Harris 2023 · AA	25	47→52	50→45	47→50	47	242/307/397	155	287	19	11	22%	7%	99	+1.2	240/317/364	124	289	13	10	21%	8%	95	+1.0	237/320/349	113	286	11	10	20%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Seth Beer 2022 · AAA	25	46	51→55	41→30	44	234/324/400	166	280	19	3	23%	6%	107	+1.8	215/298/341	126	269	13	2	24%	7%	83	+0.1	208/287/321	113	266	13	0	25%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Ryan Lavarnway 2013 · MLB	25	46	49→55	45→30	46	235/298/383	148	286	18	2	24%	7%	93	+0.8	237/302/345	108	290	10	3	21%	7%	84	+0.2	239/308/330	91	291	8	0	20%	8%	82	+0.0
✕MJ Melendez 2024 · MLB	25	44→48	54→60	43→50	52	229/311/411	181	285	21	6	27%	10%	103	+1.6	209/278/388	179	269	20	10	29%	8%	86	+0.3	194/263/380	185	247	22	10	31%	8%	77	-0.3
✕Jeff Larish 2008 · AA	25	45	53→55	44→45	51	233/316/410	177	282	20	6	25%	10%	105	+1.7	232/305/401	169	298	20	4	28%	9%	99	+1.3	227/299/397	170	294	21	2	29%	8%	96	+0.8
✕Zach Lutz 2011 · AAA	25	48	51→55	39→30	47	240/313/402	162	305	19	3	27%	8%	102	+1.5	244/315/399	155	334	18	2	30%	8%	102	+1.5	240/314/384	145	333	16	0	31%	9%	96	+0.6
✕David Cook 2006 · A	25	44→49	55	45→50	48	227/306/413	186	301	23	7	32%	10%	102	+1.5	216/293/382	166	277	19	10	28%	9%	91	+0.6	227/305/409	182	270	22	10	24%	9%	99	+1.1
✕Welington Castillo 2012 · MLB	25	42→52	54→55	41→30	40	227/275/401	175	279	23	3	28%	5%	88	+0.5	246/316/398	152	311	18	3	26%	8%	102	+1.5	251/305/431	180	305	25	1	26%	6%	107	+1.2
✕Alex Isola 2023 · AA	25	42→44	50	43→40	48	218/288/364	146	269	19	3	26%	9%	84	+0.2	213/278/336	123	269	14	6	25%	8%	74	-0.5	202/268/317	115	252	13	5	25%	7%	64	-0.9
✕Max Moroff 2019 · MLB	26	42→52	50	48→50	53	215/306/373	157	280	18	8	29%	11%	93	+0.8	220/303/377	157	294	19	9	30%	10%	93	+0.8	177/269/300	123	245	16	6	33%	10%	61	-0.5
✕Isan Díaz 2021 · MLB	25	44→43	51→55	44→45	44	223/291/382	159	296	18	8	30%	8%	90	+0.6	213/286/370	157	282	19	7	30%	9%	85	+0.2	192/269/361	169	236	25	8	31%	9%	74	-0.2
✕Jarrod Saltalamacchia 2011 · MLB	26	44→54	50→60	41→40	45	227/292/382	155	293	18	3	28%	8%	90	+0.6	231/291/430	199	296	25	3	30%	7%	101	+1.4	233/308/421	188	311	23	2	31%	10%	106	+1.3
✕Clint Frazier 2020 · MLB	25	46→49	52→55	44→50	42	237/292/413	176	298	19	7	27%	6%	97	+1.1	222/308/377	155	301	17	8	30%	10%	95	+1.0	191/301/318	126	282	14	9	34%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Landon Powell 2007 · AA	25	43→41	49→50	46→30	45	222/284/357	135	284	18	3	28%	8%	81	-0.1	225/298/379	154	278	20	3	26%	9%	91	+0.7	217/299/382	165	258	23	1	25%	10%	91	+0.3

Rafe Perich

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps