Will Cannon

P Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 201 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	MIX3 levels	37	58	3.41	3.94	24.1%	12.0%	—	K 17.8% · BB 14.3% · FIP 5.03
2026	23	AACIN	38	50	6.48	4.26	23.7%	11.0%	—	K 19.2% · BB 12.1% · FIP 5.03
2027PROJ	24	MLBCIN	34	36	5.13	5.13	19.4%	12.4%	-0.2
2028PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBCIN	22	23	4.95	4.89	20.4%	11.3%	-0.1
2029PROJ67% MLB	26	MLBCIN	33	35	4.85	4.82	20.9%	11.1%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsMax Alba (age 24) · Francisco Del Rosario (age 25) · Grayson Thurman (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 114

ERA5.13

FIP5.13

K%19.4%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%7.1%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	37	0	58	241	58	29	6	0%	1.6	17.8%	14.3%	3.5%	3.0%	3.41	5.03	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	37	0	58	241	58	29	6	0%	1.6	17.8%	14.3%	3.5%	3.0%	3.41	5.03	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	37	0	58	241	58	29	6	0%	1.6	24.1%	12.0%	12.0%	2.5%	3.41	3.94	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	38	0	50	228	54	25	7	0%	1.3	19.2%	12.1%	7.1%	3.7%	6.48	5.03	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	38	0	50	228	54	25	7	0%	1.3	19.2%	12.1%	7.1%	3.7%	6.48	5.03	—
2026	23	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	38	0	50	228	54	25	7	0%	1.3	23.7%	11.0%	12.7%	3.1%	6.48	4.26	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	CIN	34	0	36	152	30	19	5	0%	1.1	19.4%	12.4%	7.1%	3.1%	5.13	5.13	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CIN	50	0	53	223	46	25	7	0%	1.1	20.4%	11.3%	9.1%	3.1%	4.95	4.89	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	CIN	50	0	53	223	47	25	7	0%	1.1	20.9%	11.1%	9.8%	3.1%	4.85	4.82	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	CIN	22	0	23	97	20	11	3	0%	1.0	20.4%	11.3%	9.1%	3.1%	4.95	4.89	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	CIN	33	0	35	148	31	16	5	0%	1.1	20.9%	11.1%	9.8%	3.1%	4.85	4.82	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	0	59	247	51	28	8	0%	1.0	20.7%	11.2%	9.6%	3.1%	4.89	4.47	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	174	96	27	0%	1.1	20.7%	11.2%	9.6%	3.1%	4.89	4.47	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		75	0	108	469	87	62	16	0%	1.4	18.4%	13.2%	5.3%	3.3%	4.83	5.03	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		139	0	200	869	160	115	29	0%	1.4	18.4%	13.2%	5.3%	3.3%	4.83	5.03	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Will Cannon (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.13	19.4%	12.4%	3.1%	—	4.86	20.7%	9.5%	106	-0.27	—	—	—
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	93
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	91
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	91
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	91
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	89
Reid Schaller R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	20.2%	13.1%	2.8%	.298	3.89	22.0%	11.4%	90	-0.71	3.61	186	89
Rhiner Cruz R 2012 · 4.80 FIP	25	SU	4.80	18.2%	11.5%	3.2%	.335	4.81	10.2%	-1.0%	21	+0.01	3.21	127	89
Michael Bowden R 2011 · 4.93 FIP	24	SU	4.93	18.9%	12.2%	3.4%	.271	4.22	17.1%	8.1%	77	-0.71	3.21	269	89
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	88
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	88
Ryan Ledbetter R 2016 · 4.76 FIP	24	SU	4.76	18.5%	12.3%	3.0%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	4.76	124	88
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	88
Hunter Dula R 2023 · 4.86 FIP	24	SU	4.86	20.1%	12.1%	3.5%	.301	4.06	19.8%	10.2%	37	-0.80	3.91	132	88
Vinnie Chulk R 2004 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	17.7%	10.5%	2.4%	.308	3.95	16.9%	9.6%	171	-0.31	2.97	271	88
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	88
Justin Evans R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	19.2%	11.2%	4.5%	.333	3.89	22.0%	5.5%	65	-1.49	3.63	105	88
Bryce McGowan R 2024 · 5.11 FIP	24	SU	5.11	19.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.304	3.71	18.8%	6.7%	55	-1.40	3.71	178	88
Matt Lollis R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	18.5%	12.2%	2.7%	.237	4.95	19.2%	4.7%	56	+0.39	4.56	120	88
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	87
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	87

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	47	20.4%	11.5%	1.20	4.96
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*