Matt Quintanar — OGILVIE

Matt QuintanarC Clearwater Threshers

Age 23 R/R A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 72 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .272 / .302

PA72

HR1

K%24

BB%6

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	53	50	12	1	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	240	283	260	543	20	273	11	6	252	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	53	51	10	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	196	226	216	442	20	236	15	4	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	53	51	10	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	196	226	216	442	20	233	15	4	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	53	50	12	1	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	240	283	260	543	20	273	11	6	252	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	53	51	10	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	196	226	216	442	20	236	15	4	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	53	51	10	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	196	226	216	442	20	236	15	4	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	163	152	35	5	1	2	9	40	1	2	1	225	274	304	579	79	290	25	6	262	63	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	PHI	30%	163	151	35	5	1	2	10	39	1	2	1	227	278	312	590	85	291	24	6	266	66	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	PHI	44%	264	244	56	8	1	4	16	64	2	3	1	229	280	318	599	90	291	24	6	270	69	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	PHI	51%	334	308	71	10	2	5	21	80	2	3	1	229	282	323	605	94	291	24	6	273	71	-12	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	371	343	78	11	2	6	23	89	2	3	1	229	283	325	608	96	290	24	6	274	71	-13	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	393	363	82	12	2	6	25	95	2	2	1	228	283	324	607	96	289	24	6	274	71	-13	+0	-1	+7	+9	0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	399	369	83	12	2	6	25	98	2	1	1	226	280	318	598	92	288	25	6	270	69	-15	-0	-1	+7	+9	-0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	401	371	83	12	2	6	25	99	2	0	1	223	276	310	586	87	286	25	6	265	66	-16	-0	-2	+7	+9	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	PHI	30%	49	46	10	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	229	279	316	595	87	291	24	6	268	66	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	PHI	44%	117	108	25	3	1	2	7	28	1	1	0	230	281	322	604	92	292	24	6	272	69	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	PHI	51%	169	156	36	5	1	3	10	41	1	2	1	231	283	327	611	97	291	24	6	275	71	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	194	179	41	6	1	3	12	47	1	2	1	231	284	329	613	99	291	24	6	276	71	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	209	193	44	6	1	4	13	51	1	1	1	230	284	329	613	99	290	24	6	276	71	-7	-0	-0	+4	+5	0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	210	194	43	6	1	3	13	51	1	1	1	227	281	322	603	95	289	24	6	272	69	-8	-0	-1	+4	+5	-0.0
2034	30	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	209	193	43	6	1	3	13	52	1	0	0	224	277	314	591	90	287	25	6	267	66	-9	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1157	1069	242	33	6	19	71	282	6	8	4	226	278	322	600	95	288	24	6	273	68	-42	+0	-2	+21	+25	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	136	19	3	11	40	158	3	4	2	226	278	323	601	97	287	24	6	273	68	-24	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2450	2268	513	73	12	36	151	590	13	15	7	226	278	317	595	90	288	24	6	269	68	-89	+0	-4	+43	+52	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	602	136	19	3	10	40	157	3	4	2	226	278	317	595	91	288	24	6	269	68	-24	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.9	1,229	18	8	228	278	320	+22	+16	1.1	1.1
/162	664	10	4	+11.9	+8.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Quintanar (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	223/272/302	79	290	1	1	24%	6%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	37	180/234/253	73	279	6	3	36%	6%	38	-3.2	214/267/316	102	297	9	3	29%	6%	65	-1.2	220/280/330	110	294	10	0	27%	7%	71	-0.5
✕Jorge Saez 2014 · A	23	37	39→45	49→30	43	185/244/267	82	251	7	6	28%	7%	45	-2.7	193/259/289	96	275	8	3	31%	8%	56	-1.9	206/268/336	130	281	18	3	33%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Tate Blackman 2018 · A	23	39→34	42→45	49→40	43	194/265/299	104	264	9	4	29%	7%	61	-1.5	177/248/271	94	297	10	4	41%	7%	48	-2.5	156/231/243	86	268	10	3	43%	7%	35	-2.4
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→30	39→45	50	47	208/276/293	85	264	7	12	23%	8%	63	-1.4	192/262/298	106	257	12	15	29%	8%	59	-1.6	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Riccio Torrez 2013 · A	23	37→34	41→40	47→45	40	187/241/281	94	233	9	7	24%	4%	47	-2.5	200/255/290	90	257	7	6	24%	4%	55	-2.0	195/250/279	83	251	6	3	23%	3%	47	-0.9
✕Shane Zeile 2016 · A	23	39	38→50	48→40	41	192/244/271	80	264	5	4	28%	6%	46	-2.6	207/254/311	104	280	8	6	28%	5%	58	-1.7	199/242/333	134	259	9	3	26%	4%	58	-0.7
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	41	36→45	47→50	40	196/255/263	68	278	4	7	30%	6%	48	-2.5	210/268/321	111	288	11	13	30%	6%	66	-1.1	216/266/339	123	276	15	11	27%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→32	37→45	48→50	42	194/258/268	74	273	4	7	29%	6%	51	-2.3	203/269/323	120	290	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	184/253/304	120	257	14	15	33%	8%	56	-1.0
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	35	42→50	52→40	39	182/228/283	101	243	10	7	29%	5%	42	-2.9	209/254/329	120	292	12	5	31%	5%	63	-1.4	190/235/299	108	268	11	1	32%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Jose Sibrian 2022 · A	23	40	36→50	48→30	37	194/238/256	63	272	3	5	29%	4%	40	-3.1	204/264/294	90	263	7	3	24%	5%	59	-1.7	204/267/304	100	250	9	0	22%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Camden Duzenack 2019 · A	24	39→36	39→50	46→50	41	191/253/277	87	252	5	11	26%	5%	51	-2.3	186/241/309	123	254	15	9	32%	5%	54	-2.0	211/258/338	126	272	14	10	27%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Frank Rodriguez 2024 · A	22	35	42→45	47→30	38	180/236/279	99	250	10	4	32%	5%	45	-2.7	188/246/274	86	257	8	4	29%	6%	47	-2.5	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Matt Inouye 2007 · A	23	41	40→45	45	44	200/269/290	90	248	8	6	22%	6%	60	-1.6	214/274/330	116	258	11	7	21%	5%	71	-0.8	221/276/352	130	257	14	7	19%	4%	75	-0.2
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A	23	41	43→50	46→45	38	204/251/318	114	286	10	7	32%	5%	59	-1.6	198/261/298	100	298	9	10	34%	8%	58	-1.7	169/237/256	87	252	9	10	35%	8%	38	-0.8
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	42	40→50	49→40	44	206/262/301	95	270	7	6	26%	6%	59	-1.6	193/252/308	115	279	11	4	33%	6%	58	-1.7	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Jeremy Farrell 2010 · A	23	44→36	41→45	43→45	40	214/274/308	94	301	8	4	30%	6%	65	-1.2	226/288/334	108	310	9	6	28%	6%	77	-0.3	220/286/319	99	303	8	5	28%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	43	40→50	50→40	42	205/278/298	94	281	7	6	28%	6%	65	-1.2	202/274/329	127	271	14	4	30%	7%	72	-0.7	175/259/316	141	226	20	0	32%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Patrick Brady 2011 · A	23	39	39→45	44→45	43	192/238/277	86	232	7	7	21%	5%	45	-2.7	215/265/314	99	266	7	8	21%	6%	63	-1.4	209/251/340	130	269	15	11	28%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Kody Huff 2024 · A	23	45→42	39→45	48→45	44	210/281/297	86	301	6	5	30%	8%	65	-1.2	212/281/318	106	292	10	7	29%	8%	71	-0.8	208/282/330	122	275	12	8	27%	8%	71	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps