Anthony Watts — OGILVIE

Anthony Watts P Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 22 RHP 6'4" / 175 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 105

ERA4.65

FIP4.65

K%22.4%

BB%11.0%

K-BB%11.4%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	3	0	3	14	3	1	2	0%	0.9	21.4%	7.1%	14.3%	14.3%	13.50	10.04	—
2025	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	3	0	3	14	3	1	2	0%	0.9	21.4%	7.1%	14.3%	14.3%	13.50	10.04	—
2025	21	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	3	0	3	14	3	1	2	0%	0.9	21.4%	7.1%	14.3%	14.3%	13.50	11.72	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	22	0	28	139	29	19	5	0%	1.3	15.6%	15.5%	0.1%	5.7%	6.99	6.88	—
YTD	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	22	0	28	139	29	19	5	0%	1.3	15.6%	15.5%	0.1%	5.7%	6.99	6.88	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	ROK RAW	STL	5	0	6	25	5	4	0	0%	1.2	20.0%	16.0%	4.0%	0.0%	4.50	3.44	—
2026	22	A RAW	STL	17	0	22	114	24	15	5	0%	1.3	21.1%	13.2%	7.9%	4.4%	7.66	5.40	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	STL	27	0	29	121	28	12	4	0%	1.1	23.2%	10.1%	13.1%	3.0%	4.51	4.44	+0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	STL	13	0	14	59	14	6	2	0%	1.1	23.2%	10.1%	13.1%	3.0%	4.51	4.44	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	60	14	6	2	0%	1.1	23.2%	10.1%	13.1%	3.0%	4.51	4.06	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	85	28	0%	1.1	23.2%	10.1%	13.1%	3.0%	4.51	4.06	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		25	0	31	153	25	23	10	0%	1.2	16.1%	14.8%	1.4%	6.5%	7.55	7.17	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		161	0	200	987	159	146	64	0%	1.2	16.1%	14.8%	1.4%	6.5%	7.55	7.17	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Watts (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.65	22.4%	11.0%	3.0%	—	4.44	23.2%	13.1%	29	-0.21	—	—	—
Peyton Williams R 2021 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	22.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.311	4.82	22.2%	10.2%	100	+1.13	3.69	123	91
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	91
Corey Copping R 2016 · 4.13 FIP	22	SU	4.13	21.4%	8.7%	3.1%	.265	4.55	19.6%	6.7%	179	+0.42	3.38	214	89
Caleb Freeman R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	225	89
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	89
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	88
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	87
Nic Enright R 2019 · 3.63 FIP	22	SU	3.63	24.6%	12.2%	1.9%	.263	3.01	29.6%	23.5%	124	-0.62	0.56	249	87
Mason Fox R 2018 · 3.59 FIP	21	SU	3.59	21.9%	11.5%	1.6%	.260	6.72	21.3%	4.8%	30	+3.13	3.59	112	87
Ismael Cabrera R 2016 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	19.5%	12.4%	3.2%	.276	5.29	16.9%	6.5%	95	+0.52	3.56	133	87
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	87
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	86
Scott Williams R 2016 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	20.2%	10.6%	3.7%	.256	2.89	18.5%	11.2%	42	-1.88	2.89	119	86
Kenny Oakley R 2016 · 3.50 FIP	22	SU	3.50	23.8%	9.1%	2.3%	.348	3.87	17.3%	7.8%	115	+0.37	3.13	144	86
Cody Palmquist R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	21.9%	9.0%	3.5%	.278	6.02	14.7%	7.1%	62	+1.71	4.31	104	86
Hunter Dula R 2022 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	22.0%	12.3%	2.0%	.340	4.54	20.0%	8.9%	91	+0.63	3.91	132	86
Tyler Bray R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	23	SU	4.07	22.3%	9.1%	3.1%	.356	3.21	17.9%	7.6%	114	-0.86	2.82	152	85
Will Kincanon R 2018 · 3.75 FIP	22	SU	3.75	20.2%	11.5%	1.6%	.284	3.77	22.2%	10.0%	58	+0.02	3.75	122	85
Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	23	SU	3.72	20.7%	10.2%	2.0%	.258	4.51	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.79	3.72	145	85
David Garner R 2015 · 3.81 FIP	22	SU	3.81	21.7%	10.0%	2.3%	.282	4.52	19.8%	5.2%	98	+0.71	3.81	154	85