Chris McHugh — OGILVIE

Chris McHugh1B Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 22 R/R A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 83 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .268 / .312

PA83

HR1

K%30

BB%6

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	71	63	18	5	0	1	4	17	3	2	3	286	357	413	770	127	370	24	6	343	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	71	64	15	4	0	1	3	23	3	2	3	234	300	344	644	109	333	32	4	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	71	64	15	4	0	1	3	23	3	2	3	234	300	344	644	109	341	32	4	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	71	63	18	5	0	1	4	17	3	2	3	286	357	413	770	127	370	24	6	343	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	71	65	15	4	0	1	3	23	3	2	3	231	300	338	638	108	333	32	4	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	71	65	15	4	0	1	3	23	3	2	3	231	300	338	638	108	333	32	4	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	SD	0%	181	166	35	7	1	3	10	54	3	3	1	211	270	315	586	104	291	30	6	265	65	-8	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	SD	34%	175	160	35	7	1	3	10	52	3	3	1	214	274	323	597	109	292	30	6	269	68	-7	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.6
2028	23	MLB CTX	SD	34%	60	55	11	2	0	1	4	18	1	1	0	210	271	318	589	108	286	30	7	266	68	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	60	55	11	2	0	1	4	18	1	1	0	200	267	291	558	91	278	30	7	266	68	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	120	22	0	11	43	195	11	11	0	201	268	294	561	92	279	30	7	266	68	-24	+2	+0	-12	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	329	301	65	14	1	5	18	100	7	6	4	216	276	319	595	103	303	30	5	269	68	-10	+0	+0	-5	+6	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	129	28	2	10	36	198	14	12	8	217	278	321	599	104	304	30	6	269	68	-25	+1	+0	-12	+14	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chris McHugh (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	209/268/312	104	291	1	1	30%	6%	65	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Felix Stevens 2021 · A	22	41→36	40→50	48→45	41	194/265/291	97	300	7	8	35%	7%	59	-1.7	190/248/327	137	321	15	5	43%	6%	61	-1.5	183/258/337	154	293	20	5	42%	8%	65	-0.8
✕Jacob Heyward 2018 · A	22	40	44→45	44→50	40	196/266/309	113	300	11	8	37%	7%	63	-1.3	198/282/315	117	299	12	10	35%	9%	72	-0.7	182/278/312	130	266	15	9	35%	10%	67	-0.7
✕Ben Johnson 2016 · A	22	42→30	44→50	46→45	42	211/269/331	120	266	11	4	25%	6%	69	-0.9	172/224/251	79	321	6	9	45%	5%	34	-3.5	140/190/204	64	287	5	10	50%	4%	8	-2.6
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	41→37	44→45	49→50	41	202/273/319	117	276	11	8	30%	6%	69	-0.9	208/282/339	131	278	13	10	29%	6%	77	-0.3	207/286/352	145	264	16	10	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Brian Sanchez 2017 · A	21	37	43→50	45	42	189/257/303	113	261	11	4	31%	7%	59	-1.7	184/237/278	94	281	8	4	35%	6%	45	-2.7	133/186/201	68	218	4	0	39%	6%	6	-1.0
✕Ivan Melendez 2023 · A	23	43→35	44→50	50→40	43	212/297/334	121	279	12	6	27%	6%	82	-0.0	202/264/357	155	299	21	4	38%	6%	74	-0.5	192/255/341	149	276	21	3	37%	6%	64	-0.9
✕Allan Cerda 2021 · A	21	43→25	40→55	47→45	44	206/283/296	90	283	7	7	28%	7%	67	-1.1	185/280/351	166	286	19	5	39%	9%	80	-0.2	159/268/326	167	242	20	5	41%	10%	67	-0.7
✕Brandon Bayardi 2014 · A	23	39	43→50	49→45	38	197/251/302	105	257	11	8	27%	4%	56	-1.9	219/273/344	125	290	13	7	28%	5%	74	-0.6	223/280/362	139	292	16	7	28%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Skyler Ewing 2015 · A	22	44→39	41→45	49→30	41	210/268/310	100	297	7	6	31%	6%	63	-1.3	194/260/297	103	264	9	3	28%	7%	58	-1.7	185/256/301	116	245	12	1	28%	7%	56	-1.2
✕Walking Cabrera 2023 · A	22	39→37	41→45	48→45	40	192/249/294	102	277	8	8	32%	7%	53	-2.1	208/259/320	112	312	12	9	35%	6%	63	-1.4	200/248/316	117	298	15	10	37%	5%	57	-0.9
✕Chase McDonald 2014 · A	22	41	44→55	45→30	42	206/269/319	114	281	12	4	30%	7%	67	-1.1	209/268/363	154	304	20	2	36%	7%	77	-0.3	200/260/360	160	282	22	1	36%	7%	70	-0.6
✕Misael Urbina 2024 · A	22	35→32	39→40	47→50	44	172/248/261	89	251	6	9	32%	8%	46	-2.6	189/269/280	91	269	6	9	29%	9%	58	-1.7	182/269/271	88	253	6	9	28%	10%	53	-1.1
✕Jose Vicente 2018 · A	22	43→39	43→50	46→30	40	212/259/327	114	281	10	4	28%	6%	64	-1.3	213/244/346	133	272	15	3	27%	4%	63	-1.4	206/231/344	138	257	17	0	28%	3%	54	-1.4
✕Stanley Consuegra 2023 · A	22	37→34	44→50	45	36	190/240/311	121	279	11	9	35%	5%	53	-2.1	185/237/317	132	272	15	8	37%	5%	54	-2.0	168/221/301	133	241	17	7	37%	5%	42	-2.1
✕Stanley Tucker 2024 · A	22	39	41→45	53→65	36	188/242/288	100	308	9	11	40%	6%	49	-2.4	187/256/270	83	274	7	23	32%	8%	50	-2.3	180/250/264	84	241	8	36	28%	8%	44	-1.3
✕Nick Flair 2016 · A	23	38	40→50	44→40	40	188/241/283	95	272	7	5	33%	6%	47	-2.5	215/250/337	122	308	11	6	33%	4%	63	-1.4	224/241/367	143	313	14	4	33%	2%	64	-0.5
✕Angel Villalona 2013 · A	22	41→43	41→50	47→30	43	200/279/296	96	262	9	4	26%	7%	66	-1.1	197/242/335	138	261	17	2	31%	4%	61	-1.5	188/232/329	141	244	18	0	31%	4%	53	-1.5
✕Taylor Snyder 2017 · A	22	41→33	45→50	48→50	38	202/262/327	125	304	12	9	36%	6%	65	-1.2	187/231/300	113	287	11	11	37%	4%	48	-2.5	186/235/335	149	266	18	12	36%	5%	56	-1.3
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	190/265/292	102	283	8	14	34%	8%	59	-1.6	204/267/311	107	290	7	12	30%	6%	63	-1.3	179/266/281	102	259	10	19	32%	8%	57	-1.0
✕Quincy Latimore 2011 · A	22	42	45→50	51→50	34	209/253/336	127	294	12	6	33%	4%	64	-1.3	211/262/340	129	291	13	8	31%	5%	69	-0.9	218/269/348	130	279	14	10	26%	6%	70	-0.5