Skyler Ewing
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 24 | AATL | 354 | .246/.362/.455 | 13 | 1 | 74 | — | .190/.285/.361 |
| 2018 | 25 | AA/A+MIA | 77 | .136/.260/.318 | 3 | 0 | 27 | — | .102/.208/.236 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 42 | .135/.238/.216 | 0 | 0 | -14 | — | .107/.190/.160 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 21 | ROK | AZL Giants | — | 44 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 326 | 421 | 747 | 184 | 276 | 20 | 9 | 326 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 535 | 467 | 108 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 56 | 108 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 231 | 324 | 325 | 649 | 94 | 294 | 20 | 10 | 297 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 302 | 261 | 63 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 69 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 241 | 336 | 410 | 746 | 169 | 285 | 23 | 9 | 332 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 354 | 297 | 73 | 21 | 1 | 13 | 36 | 73 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 246 | 362 | 455 | 816 | 209 | 280 | 21 | 10 | 363 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 49 | 44 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 159 | 245 | 341 | 586 | 182 | 227 | 41 | 6 | 265 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 28 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 286 | 273 | 558 | 182 | 67 | 21 | 21 | 270 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | San Antonio Missions | — | 18 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 333 | 214 | 548 | 71 | 333 | 44 | 22 | 277 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 24 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 167 | 217 | 384 | 87 | 214 | 38 | 4 | 174 | -32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 44 | 40 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 233 | 325 | 558 | 150 | 205 | 30 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 535 | 486 | 90 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 145 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 185 | 254 | 257 | 511 | 72 | 252 | 27 | 7 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 302 | 271 | 52 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 90 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 192 | 265 | 336 | 601 | 144 | 237 | 30 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 354 | 310 | 59 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 103 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 190 | 285 | 361 | 646 | 171 | 229 | 29 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 49 | 45 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 184 | 222 | 406 | 111 | 207 | 47 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 28 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 250 | 261 | 511 | 174 | 69 | 29 | 18 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 278 | 200 | 478 | 67 | 281 | 61 | 17 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 24 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 125 | 130 | 255 | 43 | 182 | 46 | 4 | 121 | -32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 44 | 40 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 233 | 325 | 558 | 150 | 222 | 30 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK RAW | AZL Giants | — | 44 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 326 | 421 | 747 | 184 | 276 | 20 | 9 | 326 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 535 | 486 | 90 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 145 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 185 | 254 | 257 | 511 | 72 | 257 | 27 | 7 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 535 | 467 | 108 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 56 | 108 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 231 | 324 | 325 | 649 | 94 | 294 | 20 | 10 | 297 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 302 | 271 | 52 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 90 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 192 | 265 | 336 | 601 | 144 | 244 | 30 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 302 | 261 | 63 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 69 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 241 | 336 | 410 | 746 | 169 | 285 | 23 | 9 | 332 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 354 | 310 | 59 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 103 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 190 | 285 | 361 | 646 | 171 | 237 | 29 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 354 | 297 | 73 | 21 | 1 | 13 | 36 | 73 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 246 | 362 | 455 | 816 | 209 | 280 | 21 | 10 | 363 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 77 | 69 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 101 | 195 | 232 | 427 | 130 | 143 | 42 | 8 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 77 | 66 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 136 | 260 | 318 | 578 | 182 | 162 | 34 | 12 | 267 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 42 | 39 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 103 | 167 | 154 | 321 | 51 | 235 | 52 | 7 | 147 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 42 | 37 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 135 | 238 | 216 | 454 | 81 | 250 | 40 | 12 | 218 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 44 | 41 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 233 | 317 | 550 | 146 | 205 | 30 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 535 | 485 | 90 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 145 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 186 | 254 | 258 | 512 | 72 | 252 | 27 | 7 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 302 | 272 | 52 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 90 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 191 | 265 | 335 | 600 | 143 | 237 | 30 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 354 | 310 | 59 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 103 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 190 | 285 | 361 | 646 | 171 | 229 | 29 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 77 | 69 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 101 | 195 | 232 | 427 | 130 | 157 | 42 | 8 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 42 | 39 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 103 | 167 | 154 | 321 | 51 | 224 | 52 | 7 | 147 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1354 | 1215 | 219 | 50 | 8 | 26 | 89 | 405 | 38 | 5 | 5 | 180 | 258 | 299 | 557 | 119 | 242 | 30 | 7 | 245 | 52 | -78 | -1 | +0 | -24 | +29 | -7.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 105 | 24 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 194 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 180 | 258 | 297 | 555 | 117 | 243 | 30 | 7 | 245 | 52 | -37 | -0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -3.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AABiloxi Shuckers · 24 PAwOBA .169 → .121 (−48)K% 37.5% → 46.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.50% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 46.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.17% | ÷1.006 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 2.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.984 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 6.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.092 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.978 | 11.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.124 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 97, 2B 118, 3B 125, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .169 → .121; ISO .087 → .061; BABIP .214 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAASan Antonio Missions · 18 PAwOBA .271 → .181 (−90)K% 44.4% → 58.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 44.44% | ÷0.979 | ×1.290 | — | — | 58.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.055 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 15.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.995 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.003 | 15.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.045 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 12.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.930 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 99, 2B 109, 3B 86, K 96, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .271 → .181; ISO .071 → .044; BABIP .333 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 49 PAwOBA .258 → .200 (−59)K% 40.8% → 47.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.82% | ÷1.052 | ×1.220 | — | — | 47.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.12% | ÷1.122 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 3.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.08% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 3.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.050 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 10.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.875 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 8.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.041 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 6.33% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 110, 2B 75, 3B 80, K 110, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .258 → .200; ISO .182 → .140; BABIP .227 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 28 PAwOBA .264 → .222 (−42)K% 21.4% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.43% | ÷1.009 | ×1.420 | — | — | 30.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.43% | ÷0.967 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.968 | 16.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.903 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.968 | 6.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.850 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.968 | 6.26% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 104, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .264 → .222; ISO .182 → .173; BABIP .067 → .069. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAugusta GreenJackets · 354 PAwOBA .356 → .278 (−78)K% 20.6% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.62% | ÷0.954 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.17% | ÷0.997 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.970 | 6.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.08% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.970 | 3.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.96% | ÷1.010 | ×0.920 | ×0.955 | ×0.970 | 14.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.38% | ÷0.989 | ×0.820 | ×0.955 | ×0.970 | 7.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.45% | ÷1.016 | ×0.940 | ×0.955 | ×0.970 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.80% | ÷0.818 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.970 | 5.65% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 102, 2B 98, 3B 103, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .356 → .278; ISO .209 → .180; BABIP .280 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAugusta GreenJackets · 302 PAwOBA .327 → .262 (−65)K% 22.8% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.85% | ÷1.025 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.27% | ÷1.020 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.980 | 5.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.98% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.980 | 2.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.35% | ÷1.054 | ×0.920 | ×0.968 | ×0.980 | 17.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.21% | ÷0.944 | ×0.820 | ×0.968 | ×0.980 | 4.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.04% | ÷0.919 | ×0.940 | ×0.968 | ×0.980 | 1.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.21% | ÷0.834 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.980 | 5.02% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 111, 2B 89, 3B 84, K 105, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .327 → .262; ISO .169 → .153; BABIP .285 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAugusta GreenJackets · 535 PAwOBA .293 → .227 (−65)K% 20.2% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.19% | ÷0.996 | ×1.340 | — | — | 27.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.47% | ÷0.989 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 6.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.50% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 1.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.61% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×0.976 | ×0.990 | 18.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.24% | ÷1.055 | ×0.820 | ×0.976 | ×0.990 | 5.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.67% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.976 | ×0.990 | 1.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.56% | ÷0.952 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 0.48% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 97, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .293 → .227; ISO .094 → .071; BABIP .294 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKAZL Giants · 44 PAwOBA .325 → .226 (−99)K% 20.5% → 29.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.45% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 5.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.27% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 1.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 11.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 9.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 2.62% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .325 → .226; ISO .184 → .129; BABIP .276 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).