Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025
23
AAAMLE
Las Vegas Aviators
1
1
2
8
4
2
0
100%
2.0
50.0%
25.0%
25.0%
0.0%
0.00
2.04
—
2025
23
AAAMLE
Las Vegas Aviators
1
1
2
8
4
2
0
100%
2.0
50.0%
25.0%
25.0%
0.0%
0.00
2.04
—
2025
23
AAARAW
Las Vegas Aviators
1
1
2
8
4
2
0
100%
2.0
50.0%
25.0%
25.0%
0.0%
0.00
2.10
—
2026
24
MIXMLE
2 levels
24
21
108
451
95
41
11
88%
4.5
16.5%
10.3%
6.2%
3.0%
3.50
4.68
—
2026
24
MIXMLE
2 levels
24
21
108
451
95
41
11
88%
4.5
16.5%
10.3%
6.2%
3.0%
3.50
4.68
—
2026
24
MIXRAW
2 levels
24
21
108
451
95
41
11
88%
4.5
21.1%
9.1%
12.0%
2.4%
3.50
3.80
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
25
MLB
OAK
22
22
128
540
93
51
16
100%
5.8
17.2%
9.4%
7.8%
3.0%
4.85
4.85
+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
26
MLBMLE
OAK
21
21
128
540
100
50
16
100%
6.1
18.5%
9.2%
9.3%
3.0%
4.75
4.72
+0.3
2029
27
MLBMLE
OAK
21
21
126
532
100
49
16
100%
6.0
18.7%
9.2%
9.6%
3.0%
4.72
4.72
+0.3
2030
28
MLBMLE
OAK
20
20
122
516
97
48
16
100%
6.1
18.8%
9.2%
9.5%
3.1%
4.75
4.78
+0.2
2031
29
MLBMLE
OAK
19
19
117
493
92
47
16
100%
6.1
18.6%
9.4%
9.2%
3.3%
4.83
4.90
0.0
2032
30
MLBMLE
OAK
18
18
110
464
85
45
16
100%
6.1
18.3%
9.7%
8.5%
3.5%
4.98
5.08
-0.2
2028
26
MLBCTX
OAK
9
9
55
232
43
21
7
100%
6.1
18.5%
9.2%
9.3%
2.9%
4.71
4.68
+0.1
2029
27
MLBCTX
OAK
13
13
79
334
63
31
10
100%
6.1
18.7%
9.2%
9.6%
3.0%
4.68
4.68
+0.2
2030
28
MLBCTX
OAK
15
15
92
388
73
36
12
100%
6.1
18.8%
9.2%
9.5%
3.0%
4.71
4.74
+0.1
2031
29
MLBCTX
OAK
16
16
95
401
75
38
13
100%
5.9
18.6%
9.4%
9.2%
3.2%
4.79
4.86
0.0
2032
30
MLBCTX
OAK
16
16
94
397
73
39
13
100%
5.9
18.3%
9.7%
8.5%
3.4%
4.93
5.03
-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
69
69
416
1755
326
164
55
100%
6.0
18.6%
9.4%
9.2%
3.1%
4.77
4.43
+2.3
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
33
33
200
844
157
79
26
100%
6.0
18.6%
9.4%
9.2%
3.1%
4.77
4.43
+1.1
Career
—
MLE
25
22
110
459
78
48
14
88%
4.4
17.1%
10.6%
6.5%
3.0%
3.44
4.63
+0.5
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
45
40
200
835
142
88
25
88%
4.4
17.1%
10.6%
6.5%
3.0%
3.44
4.63
+0.2
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.