Lender Bracho — OGILVIE

Lender Bracho P DSL Giants Black

Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 150 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 19 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.93

FIP4.93

K%18.6%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%7.3%

ROS IP19

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	17	0	30	122	25	7	0	0%	1.8	13.9%	7.2%	6.8%	0.0%	2.40	2.83	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	17	0	30	122	25	7	0	0%	1.8	13.9%	7.2%	6.8%	0.0%	2.40	2.83	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	17	0	30	122	25	7	0	0%	1.8	20.5%	5.7%	14.8%	0.0%	2.40	2.13	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	24	0	27	127	29	15	1	0%	1.1	15.5%	14.8%	0.8%	1.1%	4.05	4.25	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	24	0	27	127	29	15	1	0%	1.1	15.5%	14.8%	0.8%	1.1%	4.05	4.25	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	24	0	27	127	29	15	1	0%	1.1	22.8%	11.8%	11.0%	0.8%	4.05	3.10	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	17	0	34	138	24	12	2	0%	2.0	11.8%	10.9%	1.0%	2.0%	2.10	4.59	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	17	0	34	138	24	12	2	0%	2.0	11.8%	10.9%	1.0%	2.0%	2.10	4.59	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	17	0	34	138	24	12	2	0%	2.0	17.4%	8.7%	8.7%	1.4%	2.10	3.51	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	SF	18	0	19	80	15	9	2	0%	1.1	18.6%	11.2%	7.3%	2.9%	4.93	4.93	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	SF	31	0	32	136	27	14	4	0%	1.0	20.1%	10.2%	9.9%	2.9%	4.74	4.66	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	SF	15	0	16	68	14	7	2	0%	1.1	20.1%	10.2%	9.9%	2.9%	4.74	4.66	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	67	13	7	2	0%	1.1	20.1%	10.2%	9.9%	2.9%	4.74	4.28	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	165	89	25	0%	1.1	20.1%	10.2%	9.9%	2.9%	4.74	4.28	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		58	0	91	387	53	42	4	0%	1.6	13.7%	11.0%	2.7%	1.1%	2.77	3.93	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		127	0	200	851	117	93	9	0%	1.6	13.7%	11.0%	2.7%	1.1%	2.77	3.93	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Lender Bracho (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.93	18.6%	11.2%	2.9%	—	4.66	20.1%	9.9%	32	-0.27	—	—	—
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	95
Ismael Cabrera R 2016 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	19.5%	12.4%	3.2%	.276	5.29	16.9%	6.5%	95	+0.52	3.56	133	91
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	90
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	89
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	88
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	88
Miles Mikolas R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	23	SU	4.56	16.0%	10.4%	2.7%	.275	4.29	14.9%	8.6%	57	-0.27	3.13	1,386	88
Dawil Almonte R 2024 · 4.88 FIP	22	SU	4.88	17.9%	10.7%	3.5%	.267	4.31	12.6%	0.7%	58	-0.57	3.59	138	88
Andrew Bash R 2019 · 3.87 FIP	22	SU	3.87	18.0%	9.2%	2.1%	.273	4.21	14.9%	4.8%	146	+0.34	3.46	483	88
Jose Geraldo R 2022 · 3.85 FIP	22	SU	3.85	18.9%	9.9%	2.0%	.337	4.47	19.0%	9.9%	49	+0.62	3.14	154	88
Logan Lombana R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	22	SU	4.04	16.8%	10.9%	1.8%	.316	4.02	15.4%	8.7%	97	-0.02	3.80	155	87
Luke Stofel R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	22	SU	4.26	17.6%	12.4%	2.0%	.328	4.42	14.0%	1.8%	147	+0.16	4.26	188	87
Matt Pidich R 2018 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.1%	8.3%	3.1%	.303	4.08	20.8%	13.3%	115	-0.34	4.05	196	87
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	87
Jake Bird R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	22	SU	4.59	17.7%	13.0%	2.4%	.254	3.65	16.1%	4.9%	156	-0.94	3.06	525	87
Carlos Lequerica R 2024 · 3.92 FIP	23	SU	3.92	16.3%	10.0%	1.7%	.302	5.06	16.9%	5.1%	96	+1.14	3.92	129	87
Randy Messenger R 2005 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	16.3%	12.9%	2.8%	.281	3.93	13.8%	7.1%	137	-0.97	3.56	174	87
Will Kincanon R 2018 · 3.75 FIP	22	SU	3.75	20.2%	11.5%	1.6%	.284	3.77	22.2%	10.0%	58	+0.02	3.75	122	87
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	87
Tyler Zombro R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	22	SU	4.37	14.6%	8.9%	2.5%	.295	2.67	15.7%	12.7%	134	-1.70	2.22	172	86

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	25	19.5%	10.6%	1.12	4.81
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
Chris Ray ('11)	1.4	47	19.1%	10.2%	1.12	4.10
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57