Itsuki Takemoto

P Stockton Ports

Age 23 RHP 6'3" / 200 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	22	MIX2 levels	39	57	5.18	3.73	21.7%	15.7%	—	K 15.8% · BB 19.4% · FIP 4.81
2027PROJ	23	MLBOAK	34	36	5.69	5.69	18.4%	17.8%	-0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBOAK	22	23	5.37	5.24	19.8%	15.2%	-0.2
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBOAK	34	36	5.10	4.96	20.6%	13.5%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsFranklyn German (age 23) · Hudson Leach (age 22) · Christian Ruebeck (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 125

ERA5.69

FIP5.69

K%18.4%

BB%17.8%

K-BB%0.7%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	57	267	58	42	2	0%	1.5	15.8%	19.4%	-3.6%	1.1%	5.18	4.81	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	57	267	58	42	2	0%	1.5	15.8%	19.4%	-3.6%	1.1%	5.18	4.81	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	57	267	58	42	2	0%	1.5	21.7%	15.7%	6.0%	0.7%	5.18	3.73	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	OAK	34	0	36	152	28	27	4	0%	1.1	18.4%	17.8%	0.7%	2.8%	5.69	5.69	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	OAK	50	0	53	223	44	34	6	0%	1.1	19.8%	15.2%	4.7%	2.8%	5.37	5.24	-0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	OAK	51	0	54	226	47	30	6	0%	1.1	20.6%	13.5%	7.2%	2.8%	5.10	4.96	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	OAK	22	0	23	97	19	15	3	0%	1.0	19.8%	15.2%	4.7%	2.8%	5.37	5.24	-0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	OAK	34	0	36	152	31	20	4	0%	1.1	20.6%	13.5%	7.2%	2.8%	5.10	4.96	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		55	0	58	245	50	35	7	0%	1.1	20.3%	14.1%	6.2%	2.8%	5.21	4.69	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	120	24	0%	1.1	20.3%	14.1%	6.2%	2.8%	5.21	4.69	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		39	0	57	267	42	52	3	0%	1.5	15.8%	19.4%	-3.6%	1.1%	5.18	4.81	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		136	0	200	931	147	181	10	0%	1.5	15.8%	19.4%	-3.6%	1.1%	5.18	4.81	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Itsuki Takemoto (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.69	18.4%	17.8%	2.8%	—	5.10	20.2%	5.9%	106	-0.59	—	—	—
Franklyn German R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	18.9%	2.2%	.313	5.27	13.1%	0.1%	86	+0.10	3.37	152	92
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	91
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	90
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	89
Roberto Espinosa R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.9%	18.6%	1.9%	.273	4.43	14.8%	2.2%	77	-0.49	4.32	117	89
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	88
Carlos Contreras R 2014 · 4.77 FIP	23	SU	4.77	20.2%	18.1%	2.0%	.304	4.35	18.4%	5.0%	107	-0.42	4.29	127	88
Will McAffer R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	22	SU	4.68	20.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.270	5.96	18.5%	-4.0%	77	+1.28	4.68	133	87
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	87
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	87
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	87
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	87
Matt Brill R 2018 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	20.8%	16.3%	2.7%	.248	3.89	19.4%	4.9%	60	-1.01	3.73	161	87
Mason McCullough R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	23	SU	4.60	20.8%	19.2%	1.5%	.340	3.93	26.7%	6.9%	77	-0.67	3.33	154	86
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	86
Tommy DeJuneas R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	23	SU	5.15	20.8%	18.8%	2.6%	.324	5.65	13.7%	-3.9%	51	+0.50	3.93	178	86
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	86
Sal Biasi R 2019 · 5.22 FIP	23	SU	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.66	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.44	4.68	188	86
Zane Barnhart R 2024 · 4.76 FIP	22	SU	4.76	18.2%	16.7%	2.0%	.214	4.24	21.3%	8.2%	104	-0.52	3.36	147	86
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	86

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	48	19.8%	15.2%	1.07	5.35
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*