Edwin Darville

SS FCL Red Sox
Age 20 L/R 5'9" / 163 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1092ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Red Sox B…137.177/.419/.3021749—.104/.301/.160
202518ROKDSL Red Sox B…130.352/.473/.53321484—.223/.326/.312
202619ROKBOS117.300/.462/.44423484—.230/.342/.350
2027PROJMLE20MLBBOS227.198/.289/.28937670.0
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBBOS40.207/.298/.30911710.0
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBBOS99.212/.301/.32024750.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Speed97
BB%88
wRC+84
wOBA83
ISO63
K%41
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%
CompsDavid Calabrese (age 20) · Dalton Kelly (age 21) · Eric Jenkins (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj PA
wRC+†67
AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .286 / .286
PA61
HR1
K%29
BB%10
ISO91
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.30.40.40.40.30.20.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE73
scouting grade only
SPEED80
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.5M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.5M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.3$0.7M+$0.2M
2036Arb-1$1M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Arb-2$1M———
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $3M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Red Sox Blue — 13796 17331 36504 72 177419302721 125348 3626 350 49 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Red Sox Blue — 130105 37542 24280 141 3524735331.006 181461 2218 441 84 — — — — — —
202619 ROKFCL Red Sox — 11790 27512 26271 345 300462444906 144410 2322 413 84 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Blue — 137106 11220 26614 72 104301160462 57232 4519 241 49 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Blue — 130112 25321 17340 141 223326312638 89307 2613 293 84 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 117100 23412 16391 345 230342350692 120338 3314 293 84 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Blue — 137106 11220 26614 72 104301160462 57239 4519 241 49 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Red Sox Blue — 13796 17331 36504 72 177419302721 125348 3626 350 49 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Blue — 130112 25321 17340 141 223326312638 89308 2613 293 84 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Red Sox Blue — 130105 37542 24280 141 3524735331.006 181461 2218 441 84 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 117100 23412 16391 345 230342350692 120356 3314 293 84 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWFCL Red Sox — 11790 27512 26271 345 300462444906 144410 2322 413 84 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Blue — 137106 11220 26614 72 104301160462 57232 4519 241 49 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Blue — 130112 25321 17340 141 223326312638 89307 2613 293 84 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 11799 23412 16391 345 232342354695 121338 3314 293 84 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Blue — 137106 11220 26614 72 104301160462 57232 4519 241 49 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Blue — 130112 25321 17340 141 223326312638 89307 2613 293 84 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 11799 23412 16391 345 232342354695 121338 3314 293 84 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEBOS 0% 227200 39623 23672 71 198289289577 91279 3010 267 67 -9 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEBOS 34% 115101 21312 12331 41 203293303596 100281 2910 274 71 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
202922 MLB MLEBOS 48% 204179 37623 21582 71 207297314611 107282 2810 279 75 -6 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.2
203023 MLB MLEBOS 54% 300263 56935 31843 112 210300323622 113284 2810 284 78 -8 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.3
203124 MLB MLEBOS 55% 374329 701237 381034 132 213302330632 117285 2810 287 81 -9 +2 +0 +4 +8 0.5
203225 MLB MLEBOS 56% 416367 781338 421144 152 215303335638 120285 2710 290 82 -9 +2 +0 +4 +9 0.7
203326 MLB MLEBOS 56% 440389 831448 441204 163 215303335638 120285 2710 290 82 -9 +2 +0 +5 +10 0.7
203427 MLB MLEBOS 55% 450397 851449 461244 163 214302333634 119285 2810 288 81 -10 +2 +0 +5 +10 0.7
203528 MLB MLEBOS 55% 450398 841448 451254 153 212300328628 116284 2810 286 80 -11 +2 -1 +5 +10 0.5
203629 MLB MLEBOS 53% 443391 821438 451244 142 210297322619 112283 2810 282 77 -12 +2 -1 +5 +10 0.3
203730 MLB MLEBOS 53% 432382 781337 431224 132 207294315609 108281 2810 278 74 -13 +2 -2 +5 +9 0.0
202821 MLB CTXBOS 34% 4036 7101 4120 10 207298309606 101289 3010 278 71 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
202922 MLB CTXBOS 48% 9988 19312 10281 41 212301320621 108290 2810 284 75 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
203023 MLB CTXBOS 54% 163143 31613 17462 61 215304329633 114292 2810 288 78 -4 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.2
203124 MLB CTXBOS 55% 207182 40724 21572 71 218306336643 118293 2810 292 81 -5 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.3
203225 MLB CTXBOS 56% 233205 45824 24642 81 220308342649 121294 2710 294 82 -5 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.4
203326 MLB CTXBOS 56% 247218 49925 25672 91 220307342649 121293 2710 294 82 -5 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.4
203427 MLB CTXBOS 55% 249220 49925 25682 91 219307339646 120293 2710 293 81 -6 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.4
203528 MLB CTXBOS 55% 247218 47924 25682 81 217305335639 117292 2810 290 80 -6 +1 -0 +3 +5 0.3
203629 MLB CTXBOS 53% 237209 45824 24662 71 215302329631 114291 2810 287 77 -6 +1 -1 +3 +5 0.2
203730 MLB CTXBOS 53% 227200 44824 23642 71 212299321620 109289 2810 283 74 -7 +1 -1 +2 +5 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 19491719 376681636 19854017 669 219306340645 121295 2810 290 78 -48 +10 -2 +21 +42 2.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650573 12523512 661806 223 218305339644 120294 2810 290 78 -16 +3 -1 +7 +14 0.8
Career— MLE — 40693568 7451233669 432115940 18129 209301321623 113286 2811 284 78 -93 +17 -4 +39 +80 4.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650570 12020611 691856 295 211302325626 114289 2811 284 78 -16 +3 -1 +7 +14 0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Red Sox · 117 PAwOBA .403 → .293 (−110)K% 23.1% → 33.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.08%÷1.000×1.440——33.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.22%÷1.000×0.620—×0.99513.71%
HBP% /PA0.85%—×0.720—×0.9950.61%
Singles /BIP30.16%÷1.000×0.820×1.050×0.99525.84%
Doubles /BIP7.94%÷1.000×0.720×1.050×0.9955.97%
Triples /BIP1.59%÷1.000×0.720×1.050×0.9951.19%
Home runs /BIP3.17%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9952.46%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .403 → .293; ISO .144 → .107; BABIP .410 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Red Sox Blue · 130 PAwOBA .434 → .293 (−141)K% 21.5% → 26.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.54%÷0.997×1.220——26.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.46%÷0.959×0.700—×0.99513.40%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP33.77%÷0.932×0.680×0.996×0.99524.40%
Doubles /BIP6.49%÷1.059×0.600×0.996×0.9953.64%
Triples /BIP5.19%÷1.150×0.600×0.996×0.9952.69%
Home runs /BIP2.60%÷0.920×0.470—×0.9951.32%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 86, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 99, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .434 → .293; ISO .181 → .097; BABIP .461 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Red Sox Blue · 137 PAwOBA .345 → .241 (−105)K% 36.5% → 44.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA36.50%÷1.004×1.220——44.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA26.28%÷0.976×0.700—×1.00818.98%
HBP% /PA2.92%—×0.700—×1.0082.06%
Singles /BIP21.74%÷0.998×0.680×1.049×1.00815.65%
Doubles /BIP6.52%÷1.080×0.600×1.049×1.0083.83%
Triples /BIP6.52%÷1.031×0.600×1.049×1.0084.01%
Home runs /BIP2.17%÷0.992×0.470—×1.0081.04%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 106, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.

Result: wOBA .345 → .241; ISO .125 → .074; BABIP .348 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).