Jacob Shafer — OGILVIE

Jacob Shafer P Rome Emperors

Age 25 RHP 6'8" / 240 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 22 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150142vR 134

ERA6.15

FIP6.15

K%16.1%

BB%17.4%

K-BB%-1.3%

ROS IP22

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	5	5	20	78	24	7	0	100%	4.0	22.8%	10.6%	12.2%	0.0%	1.35	2.52	—
2024	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	5	5	20	78	24	7	0	100%	4.0	22.8%	10.6%	12.2%	0.0%	1.35	2.52	—
2024	22	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	5	5	20	78	24	7	0	100%	4.0	30.8%	9.0%	21.8%	0.0%	1.35	1.75	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	9	45	184	33	19	4	82%	4.1	11.2%	11.9%	-0.7%	2.9%	2.42	5.26	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	9	45	184	33	19	4	82%	4.1	11.2%	11.9%	-0.7%	2.9%	2.42	5.26	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	9	45	184	33	19	4	82%	4.1	17.9%	10.3%	7.6%	2.2%	2.42	4.06	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	26	0	42	209	38	39	9	0%	1.6	14.0%	21.5%	-7.5%	5.4%	9.00	7.59	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	26	0	42	209	38	39	9	0%	1.6	14.0%	21.5%	-7.5%	5.4%	9.00	7.59	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Rome Emperors	26	0	42	209	38	39	9	0%	1.6	18.2%	18.7%	-0.5%	4.3%	9.00	6.86	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	ATL	21	0	22	93	15	16	3	0%	1.0	16.1%	17.4%	-1.3%	3.3%	6.15	6.15	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	ATL	38	0	40	170	30	28	6	0%	1.1	17.8%	16.5%	1.3%	3.3%	5.91	5.88	-0.6
2028	26	MLB CTX	ATL	16	0	17	72	13	12	2	0%	1.1	17.8%	16.5%	1.3%	3.3%	5.91	5.88	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	73	13	12	2	0%	1.1	17.8%	16.5%	1.3%	3.3%	5.91	5.50	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	150	139	23	0%	1.1	17.8%	16.5%	1.3%	3.3%	5.91	5.50	-2.2
Career	—	MLE		42	14	107	471	68	75	17	33%	2.5	14.4%	15.9%	-1.6%	3.5%	4.81	5.84	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		79	26	200	883	127	141	31	33%	2.5	14.4%	15.9%	-1.6%	3.5%	4.81	5.84	-3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jacob Shafer (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.15	16.1%	17.4%	3.3%	—	5.88	17.8%	1.3%	40	-0.27	—	—	—
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	83
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	82
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	79
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	79
Austin Amaral R 2024 · 5.94 FIP	22	SU	5.94	12.1%	14.4%	3.7%	.254	3.55	18.6%	6.3%	113	-2.39	3.53	136	78
Vanny Valenzuela R 2015 · 6.82 FIP	27	SW	6.82	12.4%	14.8%	5.3%	.314	4.29	15.8%	4.6%	70	-2.53	3.26	118	78
Frankie De La Cruz R 2008 · 7.16 FIP	24	SW	7.16	7.5%	20.8%	3.8%	.361	2.87	16.4%	7.3%	13	-4.29	2.87	262	78
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	78
Kane Davis R 2000 · 7.22 FIP	25	SW	7.22	4.7%	15.3%	4.7%	.359	4.70	18.8%	8.9%	82	-2.52	3.40	125	77
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	77
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	76
Jake Eddington R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	23	SW	5.02	18.8%	24.1%	0.8%	.316	4.83	16.6%	-1.5%	105	-0.19	4.70	135	76
Drake Fellows R 2023 · 5.66 FIP	25	SW	5.66	17.1%	20.4%	2.6%	.367	4.88	14.6%	5.6%	271	-0.78	4.28	282	76
Ryan Vogelsong R 2001 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	14.6%	11.6%	3.7%	.287	4.78	14.9%	5.7%	155	-0.56	3.14	1,184	75
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	75
Blake Hickman R 2018 · 6.57 FIP	24	SW	6.57	12.9%	17.8%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	4.19	156	74
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	74
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	74
Conner O'Neil R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	12.8%	13.6%	3.7%	.340	6.92	16.4%	4.1%	26	+1.14	2.89	115	74
Noah Takacs R 2024 · 5.77 FIP	22	SU	5.77	12.5%	16.4%	3.0%	.301	5.68	13.4%	-2.3%	91	-0.09	5.25	130	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	17.2%	16.8%	1.28	6.00
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Denny Bautista ('10)	1.1	45	17.3%	12.7%	0.85	5.89