Bridger Holmes — OGILVIE

Bridger Holmes P ACL Angels

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 218 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 21 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.95

FIP4.95

K%23.1%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%9.0%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	12	0	18	79	19	13	1	0%	1.5	17.8%	19.4%	-1.6%	1.9%	5.09	5.08	—
2024	21	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	12	0	18	79	19	13	1	0%	1.5	17.8%	19.4%	-1.6%	1.9%	5.09	5.08	—
2024	21	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	12	0	18	79	19	13	1	0%	1.5	24.1%	16.5%	7.6%	1.3%	5.09	3.89	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	0	44	205	63	30	4	0%	1.2	23.7%	15.7%	8.0%	2.6%	5.73	4.51	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	0	44	205	63	30	4	0%	1.2	23.7%	15.7%	8.0%	2.6%	5.73	4.51	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	36	0	44	205	63	30	4	0%	1.2	30.7%	14.6%	16.1%	2.0%	5.73	3.46	—
2026	23	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	7	0	6	33	11	3	2	0%	0.9	33.3%	9.1%	24.2%	6.1%	11.37	4.76	—
2026	23	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	7	0	6	33	11	3	2	0%	0.9	33.3%	9.1%	24.2%	6.1%	11.37	4.76	—
2026	23	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	7	0	6	33	11	3	2	0%	0.9	33.3%	9.1%	24.2%	6.1%	11.37	5.15	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	LAA	20	0	21	89	20	12	3	0%	1.1	23.1%	14.1%	9.0%	3.0%	4.95	4.95	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	LAA	38	0	40	169	40	21	5	0%	1.1	23.5%	12.5%	10.9%	3.0%	4.79	4.72	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	LAA	16	0	17	72	17	9	2	0%	1.1	23.5%	12.5%	10.9%	3.0%	4.79	4.72	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	72	17	9	2	0%	1.1	23.5%	12.5%	10.9%	3.0%	4.79	4.34	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	105	23	0%	1.1	23.5%	12.5%	10.9%	3.0%	4.79	4.34	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		55	0	68	317	74	51	9	0%	1.2	23.3%	16.0%	7.3%	2.8%	6.09	4.68	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		162	0	200	932	217	149	26	0%	1.2	23.3%	16.0%	7.3%	2.8%	6.09	4.68	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Bridger Holmes (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.95	23.1%	14.1%	3.0%	—	4.72	23.5%	10.9%	40	-0.23	—	—	—
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	91
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	90
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	90
Maikel Cleto R 2014 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	23.2%	15.2%	2.1%	.256	3.45	25.4%	14.5%	106	-0.79	2.59	185	89
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	89
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	89
Michael Wuertz R 2004 · 4.46 FIP	25	SU	4.46	24.2%	12.9%	3.2%	.243	3.39	26.1%	16.6%	189	-1.07	2.27	414	88
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	87
Todd Wellemeyer R 2003 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	24.6%	14.8%	4.1%	.290	4.56	18.9%	4.8%	135	-0.58	3.35	615	87
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	87
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	87
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	87
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	87
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	87
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	87
Shawn Tolleson R 2012 · 3.86 FIP	24	SU	3.86	24.4%	11.9%	2.4%	.265	3.47	24.4%	18.5%	144	-0.39	3.05	218	87
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	86
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	86
Andrew McInvale R 2021 · 4.92 FIP	24	SU	4.92	26.4%	16.3%	3.6%	.278	5.66	20.3%	5.0%	58	+0.74	4.92	103	86
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.47	22.1%	12.1%	189	-0.47	3.35	250	86

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	23.3%	13.1%	1.15	4.85
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Tim Byrdak ('13)	1.7	42	21.4%	13.3%	1.22	4.35
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16