Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | A | Modesto Nuts | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 40.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.79 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Modesto Nuts | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 40.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 5.10 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 25 | 0 | 19 | 105 | 26 | 28 | 2 | 0% | 0.7 | 19.1% | 30.7% | -11.6% | 2.2% | 9.64 | 6.59 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 25 | 0 | 19 | 105 | 26 | 28 | 2 | 0% | 0.7 | 24.8% | 26.7% | -1.9% | 1.9% | 9.64 | 6.21 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 25 | 0 | 31 | 127 | 55 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 34.1% | 10.5% | 23.6% | 2.9% | 4.11 | 3.13 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SEA | 11 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.84 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.7% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.84 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 42 | 174 | 66 | 18 | 4 | — | — | 37.7% | 10.4% | 27.3% | 2.5% | 4.30 | 3.59 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.7% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 4.81 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 4.81 | 4.83 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 4.81 | 4.45 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 108 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 4.81 | 4.45 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 51 | 0 | 50 | 237 | 65 | 48 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.5% | 20.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 6.08 | 4.70 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 203 | 0 | 200 | 942 | 259 | 189 | 24 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.5% | 20.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 6.08 | 4.70 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brock Moore (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.84 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.83 | 22.7% | 9.9% | 20 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 89 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 84 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 83 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.21 | 13.5% | -4.3% | 15 | -0.15 | 3.58 | 169 | 83 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.85 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 1.6% | .306 | 3.61 | 20.1% | 13.5% | 54 | -0.24 | 2.88 | 157 | 81 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 81 |
| Derek Eitel R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.21 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.11 | 3.85 | 138 | 81 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 81 |
| Nelson L. Alvarez R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.09 | 23.4% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .282 | 4.63 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 35 | +0.54 | 2.53 | 233 | 81 |
| Matt Wivinis R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.87 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 5.90 | 14.5% | 6.2% | 17 | +2.03 | 1.61 | 124 | 80 |
| Logan Boyer R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.65 | 25.0% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .267 | 4.98 | 17.9% | 1.6% | 54 | +1.33 | 3.65 | 121 | 80 |
| Kyle Hill R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.6% | 12.2% | 2.3% | .319 | 6.01 | 23.3% | 10.2% | 35 | +2.10 | 3.62 | 156 | 80 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.60 | 24.0% | 16.8% | 2.5% | .225 | 5.38 | 21.5% | 6.0% | 78 | +0.78 | 3.88 | 158 | 80 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.57 | 26.5% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .299 | 4.42 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 87 | -0.15 | 3.74 | 163 | 80 |
| Nick Ernst R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 80 |
| Morris Austin R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.05 | 22.3% | 14.8% | 3.6% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 164 | 79 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.67 | 24.1% | 15.3% | 3.0% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 172 | 79 |
| Jackson Goddard R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.14 | 21.1% | 14.3% | 1.8% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 149 | 79 |
| Armando Rivero R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 79 |
| Jay Driver R 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.43 | 21.4% | 13.3% | 2.6% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 135 | 79 |