Josh Roberson — OGILVIE

Josh Roberson P San Antonio Missions

Age 30 RHP 6'3" / 175 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.90

FIP4.90

K%20.1%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%7.6%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	22	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	11	8	42	166	31	12	0	73%	3.8	12.7%	9.0%	3.7%	0.0%	1.06	3.17	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	GCL Marlins	11	8	42	166	31	12	0	73%	3.8	18.7%	7.2%	11.4%	0.0%	1.06	2.49	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	14	63	258	63	23	3	100%	4.5	17.7%	9.4%	8.3%	1.6%	2.14	3.67	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	14	63	258	63	23	3	100%	4.5	24.4%	8.9%	15.5%	1.2%	2.14	2.81	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	30	3	45	205	64	27	6	10%	1.5	24.7%	16.3%	8.4%	4.6%	6.40	5.63	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	30	3	45	205	64	27	6	10%	1.5	31.2%	13.2%	18.0%	2.9%	6.40	3.79	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	3	38	188	47	30	4	9%	1.1	19.3%	16.1%	3.2%	3.0%	7.17	5.17	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	3	38	188	47	30	4	9%	1.1	25.0%	16.0%	9.0%	2.1%	7.17	4.37	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	36	0	40	193	49	31	3	0%	1.1	21.1%	14.5%	6.6%	1.8%	6.08	4.12	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	36	0	40	193	49	31	3	0%	1.1	21.1%	14.5%	6.6%	1.8%	6.08	4.12	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	36	0	40	193	49	31	3	0%	1.1	25.4%	16.1%	9.3%	1.6%	6.08	3.95	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	30	140	31	19	2	0%	1.0	18.1%	13.6%	4.4%	1.6%	5.04	4.20	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	30	140	31	19	2	0%	1.0	18.1%	13.6%	4.4%	1.6%	5.04	4.20	—
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	30	140	31	19	2	0%	1.0	22.1%	13.6%	8.6%	1.4%	5.04	3.79	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	SD	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	20.1%	12.4%	7.6%	2.8%	4.90	4.90	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	SD	19	0	20	84	17	11	3	0%	1.1	20.0%	12.4%	7.5%	3.0%	4.96	5.04	-0.1
2027	31	MLB CTX	SD	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	20.0%	12.4%	7.5%	3.0%	4.96	5.04	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	5	3	1	0%	1.0	20.0%	12.4%	7.5%	3.0%	4.96	4.66	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	96	32	0%	1.1	20.0%	12.4%	7.5%	3.0%	4.96	4.66	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		155	28	258	1150	219	150	25	18%	1.7	19.1%	13.0%	6.0%	2.2%	4.39	4.33	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		120	22	200	890	170	116	19	18%	1.7	19.1%	13.0%	6.0%	2.2%	4.39	4.33	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josh Roberson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.90	20.1%	12.4%	2.8%	—	5.04	20.0%	7.5%	20	+0.14	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	85
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	83
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	81
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	81
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	77
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	76
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	75
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	75
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	74
André Rienzo R 2017 · 4.40 FIP	29	SW	4.40	18.9%	15.6%	1.7%	.301	5.33	17.9%	6.1%	29	+0.93	3.53	200	74
Dustin McGowan R 2015 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	15.0%	14.5%	3.0%	.300	4.23	20.9%	13.0%	145	-1.09	3.82	208	74
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	74
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	73
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	72
Dalier Hinojosa R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	30	SU	4.30	18.7%	12.6%	2.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	104	72
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	72
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	72
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	71
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	71
Vin Mazzaro R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	29	SU	4.04	13.6%	10.2%	1.5%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	126	71