Joshua Francis — OGILVIE

Joshua Francis2B ACL Mariners

Age 19 S/R 5'11" / 155 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION112 act + 74 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .268 / .306

PA74

HR1

K%32

BB%7

BABIP298

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	67	57	7	1	1	0	9	30	1	2	1	123	254	175	429	53	259	45	13	199	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	67	53	9	1	1	0	13	21	1	2	1	170	343	226	570	57	281	31	19	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	156	142	32	3	3	1	9	29	4	10	0	225	290	310	600	85	274	19	6	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	156	136	37	4	3	1	15	20	4	10	0	272	361	368	729	96	310	13	10	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	SEA	—	112	97	18	2	2	1	7	47	5	9	1	186	275	278	554	93	347	42	6	232	36	-8	+1	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
YTD	19	ROK	SEA	—	112	92	25	3	3	1	11	33	5	9	1	272	376	402	778	130	414	29	10	343	121	+3	+1	+0	+0	+3	0.8
ROS	19	ROK	SEA	0%	74	68	14	2	1	1	5	24	1	2	0	204	268	306	574	102	290	32	7	250	49	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
ROS	19	MLB	SEA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		288	—	—	234	37	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	SEA	—	112	98	18	2	2	1	7	47	5	9	1	184	275	276	551	92	340	42	6	232	36	-8	+1	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
TOT	19	ROK	SEA	—	186	165	32	4	3	2	12	71	6	11	1	193	272	290	562	97	324	38	6	239	41	-12	+2	+0	+1	+5	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	SEA	34%	234	212	43	7	2	3	16	73	4	5	1	203	272	297	569	94	292	31	7	261	58	-11	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.3
2028	21	MLB	SEA	48%	359	325	68	11	4	5	25	108	6	8	1	209	278	314	592	105	293	30	7	270	65	-14	+1	+0	+1	+10	-0.2
2029	22	MLB	SEA	54%	448	405	87	14	4	8	32	133	8	10	2	215	285	328	614	114	294	30	7	276	69	-16	+1	+0	+2	+13	-0.0
2030	23	MLB	SEA	57%	507	456	99	16	5	9	37	149	9	11	2	217	289	333	622	116	295	29	7	279	72	-16	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.2
2031	24	MLB	SEA	57%	545	490	106	17	5	10	40	159	10	12	2	216	289	333	622	116	296	29	7	281	73	-16	+2	+0	+2	+15	0.3
2027	20	MLB	SEA	34%	80	74	15	2	1	1	5	25	1	2	0	203	263	297	560	95	290	31	6	246	46	-5	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
2028	21	MLB	SEA	48%	174	157	33	5	2	3	12	53	3	4	1	210	279	325	604	115	291	30	7	254	53	-9	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.3
2029	22	MLB	SEA	54%	243	220	46	7	2	4	17	72	4	5	1	209	278	314	592	105	292	30	7	260	57	-12	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.3
2030	23	MLB	SEA	57%	287	259	56	9	3	5	21	84	5	6	1	216	288	332	620	116	292	29	7	264	60	-13	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.3
2031	24	MLB	SEA	57%	308	278	60	9	3	6	22	90	5	7	1	216	285	335	620	119	293	29	7	266	62	-13	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1092	989	210	32	11	19	77	324	18	24	4	212	282	325	606	112	293	30	7	261	58	-52	+3	+0	+4	+31	-1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	125	19	7	11	46	193	11	14	2	212	282	324	606	112	294	30	7	261	58	-31	+2	+0	+2	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	2390	2155	456	71	25	37	173	705	43	60	9	212	283	319	603	108	294	29	7	271	66	-92	+8	+0	+9	+68	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	124	19	7	10	47	192	12	16	2	212	284	319	603	108	295	30	7	271	66	-25	+2	+0	+2	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	67	53	9	1	1	0	13	21	1	2	1	170	343	226	570	57	281	31	19	284	76	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	156	136	37	4	3	1	15	20	4	10	0	272	361	368	729	96	310	13	10	331	112	+2	+2	—	—	+4	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,233	20	27	213	280	323	+4	+4	-0.2	0.0
	/162	664	11	15	213	280	323	+2.4	+2.2	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joshua Francis (OGILVIE)	19	45	25	55	35	193/272/290	97	324	2	11	38%	6%	41	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→46	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	49	-1.8	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Emmanuel Morel 2015 · A	18	42	36→30	51→55	41	199/261/262	63	278	3	9	28%	6%	43	-2.2	192/267/250	58	298	2	16	33%	9%	43	-2.2	173/256/219	46	280	0	22	34%	9%	29	-0.9
✕Jesus Castillo 2022 · A	19	41→44	34→30	51→55	42	194/257/244	49	275	2	16	28%	6%	37	-2.6	213/312/258	45	291	1	19	24%	11%	66	-0.6	202/327/232	30	283	1	24	24%	14%	65	-0.3
✕Diego Velasquez 2023 · A	19	42→51	34→40	50→55	44	200/257/251	51	263	2	7	24%	6%	39	-2.5	229/294/315	86	297	6	14	23%	7%	72	-0.2	239/309/308	69	304	4	19	21%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Ismael Dionicio 2010 · A	19	41	36→30	48→55	41	189/254/254	65	292	2	12	34%	7%	39	-2.5	212/265/261	49	292	1	16	26%	6%	44	-2.1	243/295/288	46	321	0	23	23%	6%	60	-0.3
✕Dervy Ventura 2023 · A	19	43→51	36→40	50→55	47	200/276/275	74	283	2	6	28%	9%	53	-1.5	220/297/313	93	288	7	14	24%	10%	72	-0.2	227/311/321	94	298	8	22	25%	11%	78	+0.1
✕Luis Barahona 2013 · A	19	40	35→30	53→50	43	190/243/255	65	258	1	13	26%	6%	33	-2.9	217/273/280	63	297	2	12	26%	7%	53	-1.5	233/290/282	49	313	0	17	24%	6%	57	-0.5
✕Ricardo Gonzalez 2023 · A	19	43	38→30	51→50	43	204/260/288	84	274	5	12	26%	6%	50	-1.8	189/257/246	57	268	3	12	28%	8%	38	-2.6	182/244/223	41	260	1	19	29%	7%	24	-1.8
✕Jilbert Rosario 2014 · A	19	46	36→30	52→55	46	216/291/285	69	292	3	15	25%	8%	63	-0.9	221/290/273	52	289	2	19	22%	8%	58	-1.2	225/295/260	35	292	0	25	21%	7%	54	-0.5
✕Reivaj Garcia 2021 · A	19	45→55	35→30	49→50	41	211/254/274	63	276	2	8	24%	5%	43	-2.2	205/249/277	72	308	5	9	33%	5%	41	-2.3	243/279/301	59	308	2	12	21%	4%	58	-0.8
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	30	-3.1	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	53	-1.5	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	56	-0.4
✕Cole Tucker 2015 · A	19	44→46	37→45	50→55	45	209/273/283	74	281	5	13	26%	7%	54	-1.4	222/267/297	75	295	4	18	24%	6%	54	-1.4	211/274/331	120	275	10	12	26%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Jorky Infante 2010 · A	19	41	37→30	51→50	43	198/254/268	70	273	4	9	28%	7%	42	-2.3	205/265/260	55	256	3	12	20%	7%	44	-2.1	201/262/238	38	245	2	14	18%	7%	36	-0.9
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2017 · A	19	36→44	35→40	51→50	36	176/222/238	62	270	2	9	34%	5%	20	-3.8	198/259/279	81	274	6	9	28%	7%	46	-2.0	198/284/290	92	298	8	15	33%	10%	58	-0.7
✕Samuel Castro 2018 · A	20	45	36→40	48→50	40	212/266/282	70	294	3	9	28%	6%	50	-1.7	206/263/275	69	338	2	10	37%	6%	47	-1.9	192/250/250	58	324	1	12	38%	5%	32	-1.0
✕Robert Garcia 2014 · A	20	46	36→30	51→60	42	212/280/275	63	313	3	14	31%	7%	55	-1.4	235/293/305	70	313	4	20	25%	5%	68	-0.5	223/275/277	53	330	3	22	31%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Francisco Aponte 2009 · A	18	43	36→30	49→60	46	205/268/268	64	265	4	9	23%	7%	48	-1.9	230/305/289	59	291	2	17	20%	8%	69	-0.4	221/287/267	45	270	0	22	16%	8%	54	-0.5
✕Fidel Mejia 2018 · A	19	45	34→40	45→40	42	208/258/264	56	283	1	9	26%	6%	42	-2.3	214/261/282	68	300	4	4	28%	6%	48	-1.9	215/259/276	62	299	4	2	28%	5%	42	-0.9
✕Rey Navarro 2009 · A	19	40→50	36→45	48→50	35	191/230/257	67	279	3	11	32%	4%	28	-3.2	213/245/291	78	274	4	8	23%	3%	43	-2.2	240/279/351	111	265	11	6	14%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Leandro Arias 2023 · A	18	40	38→30	51→45	43	188/262/268	80	284	4	11	33%	8%	46	-2.0	199/267/280	81	262	6	10	25%	7%	51	-1.7	199/277/263	64	267	6	7	25%	8%	50	-0.9