Joshua Francis2B
DSL Mariners
Age 19
S/R
5'11" / 155 lbs
ROK
HR +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 2.7 · 2034
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .273 / .309
PA130
HR2
K%28
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
25→25
SPD
55→55
EYE
49↘35
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.6peak
2033
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.5 | $24M | +$23M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.6 | $26M | +$25M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.7 | $27M | +$26M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +2.5 | $26M | +$21M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $8M | +2.3 | $25M | +$17M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $10M | +2.0 | $22M | +$12M |
| Totals | $26M | $150M | +$124M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 67 | 57 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .123 | .254 | .175 | .429 | .053 | .259 | 45 | 13 | .198 | 10 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 156 | 142 | 32 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 4 | 10 | 0 | .225 | .290 | .310 | .600 | .085 | .274 | 19 | 6 | .259 | 56 | -8 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | MLB | SEA | 130 | 119 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .210 | .271 | .311 | .582 | .101 | .287 | 28 | 7 | .266 | 62 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB 11% | SEA | 216 | 194 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 57 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .227 | .299 | .351 | .650 | .124 | .294 | 26 | 8 | .290 | 80 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB 28% | SEA | 345 | 308 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 87 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .234 | .310 | .367 | .677 | .133 | .295 | 25 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB 48% | SEA | 438 | 389 | 92 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 40 | 107 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .237 | .317 | .378 | .695 | .141 | .296 | 24 | 9 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +12 | 1.4 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB 65% | SEA | 500 | 443 | 107 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 47 | 120 | 6 | 12 | 2 | .242 | .323 | .393 | .715 | .151 | .296 | 24 | 9 | .318 | 102 | +1 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 1.9 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB 82% | SEA | 541 | 477 | 115 | 20 | 4 | 15 | 52 | 128 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .241 | .325 | .394 | .719 | .153 | .296 | 24 | 10 | .322 | 105 | +3 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +15 | 2.2 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 564 | 496 | 121 | 21 | 4 | 16 | 56 | 133 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .244 | .329 | .399 | .728 | .155 | .297 | 24 | 10 | .326 | 107 | +5 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +16 | 2.5 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 577 | 506 | 123 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 58 | 136 | 8 | 13 | 2 | .243 | .330 | .401 | .732 | .158 | .297 | 24 | 10 | .327 | 109 | +6 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +16 | 2.6 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 580 | 508 | 124 | 22 | 4 | 17 | 59 | 137 | 8 | 13 | 2 | .244 | .332 | .404 | .736 | .159 | .297 | 24 | 10 | .327 | 109 | +6 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +16 | 2.7 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 577 | 506 | 123 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 59 | 137 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .243 | .330 | .401 | .732 | .158 | .297 | 24 | 10 | .326 | 108 | +5 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +16 | 2.5 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 569 | 498 | 120 | 21 | 4 | 16 | 59 | 137 | 7 | 12 | 1 | .241 | .330 | .396 | .725 | .155 | .296 | 24 | 10 | .324 | 106 | +4 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +16 | 2.3 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 559 | 489 | 116 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 58 | 137 | 7 | 11 | 1 | .237 | .327 | .389 | .715 | .151 | .295 | 25 | 10 | .321 | 104 | +2 | +2 | -2 | +2 | +16 | 2.0 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 546 | 478 | 112 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 56 | 136 | 7 | 10 | 0 | .234 | .323 | .381 | .704 | .146 | .293 | 25 | 10 | .317 | 101 | +1 | +2 | -3 | +2 | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 527 | 462 | 107 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 54 | 134 | 6 | 9 | 0 | .232 | .320 | .374 | .694 | .143 | .292 | 25 | 10 | .313 | 97 | -2 | +2 | -4 | +2 | +15 | 1.4 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 498 | 438 | 99 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 51 | 130 | 6 | 9 | 0 | .226 | .315 | .361 | .676 | .135 | .290 | 26 | 10 | .307 | 93 | -4 | +2 | -4 | +2 | +14 | 1.0 |
| 2041 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 451 | 397 | 89 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 46 | 121 | 5 | 8 | 0 | .224 | .312 | .360 | .673 | .136 | .289 | 27 | 10 | .301 | 88 | -6 | +2 | -5 | +2 | +13 | 0.5 |
| 2042 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 396 | 348 | 75 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 111 | 5 | 7 | 0 | .216 | .305 | .339 | .644 | .124 | .287 | 28 | 10 | .293 | 82 | -8 | +1 | -6 | +1 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2043 | 36 | MLB | SEA | 337 | 297 | 62 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 98 | 4 | 6 | 0 | .209 | .296 | .327 | .623 | .118 | .284 | 29 | 10 | .284 | 76 | -9 | +1 | -6 | +1 | +10 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8574 | 7552 | 1765 | 301 | 58 | 222 | 842 | 2141 | 109 | 184 | 21 | .234 | .319 | .377 | .697 | .143 | .295 | 25 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -26 | +28 | -31 | +31 | +243 | 24.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 573 | 134 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 64 | 162 | 8 | 14 | 2 | .234 | .319 | .377 | .696 | .143 | .295 | 25 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +2 | -2 | +2 | +18 | 1.9 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 67 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .170 | .343 | .226 | .570 | .057 | .281 | 31 | 19 | .284 | 76 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 156 | 136 | 37 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 0 | .272 | .361 | .368 | .729 | .096 | .310 | 13 | 10 | .331 | 112 | +2 | +2 | — | — | +4 | 0.9 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Joshua Francis (OGILVIE) | 19 | 45 | 25 | 55 | 35 | .211/.273/.309 | .099 | .287 | 2 | 2 | 28% | 7% | 62 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A |
19 | 43 | 38→30 | 52→60 | 41 | .205/.262/.288 | .083 | .287 | 4 | 12 | 29% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .223/.282/.290 | .067 | .291 | 2 | 11 | 22% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .224/.333/.269 | .045 | .305 | 1 | 34 | 23% | 14% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
●Leo Rivas 2016 · A |
18 | 45→54 | 37→40 | 51→65 | 44 | .205/.292/.286 | .080 | .293 | 3 | 15 | 28% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .210/.299/.284 | .074 | .292 | 3 | 18 | 26% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .238/.354/.331 | .093 | .320 | 9 | 44 | 25% | 14% | 100 | +1.2 |
|
●Angel Genao 2023 · A |
19 | 45→55 | 37→45 | 52→50 | 47 | .212/.286/.285 | .072 | .288 | 5 | 12 | 26% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .241/.293/.346 | .105 | .309 | 7 | 11 | 23% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .255/.302/.371 | .117 | .316 | 8 | 12 | 21% | 6% | 85 | +0.5 |
|
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A |
19 | 47 | 39→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .223/.278/.315 | .092 | .300 | 5 | 13 | 26% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .211/.257/.296 | .085 | .311 | 4 | 11 | 32% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .178/.220/.246 | .068 | .283 | 3 | 12 | 36% | 4% | 17 | -1.1 |
|
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A |
19 | 44 | 37→40 | 47→40 | 45 | .209/.268/.279 | .070 | .271 | 5 | 6 | 24% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .224/.289/.327 | .103 | .275 | 7 | 5 | 20% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .253/.306/.321 | .068 | .288 | 2 | 0 | 12% | 6% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Ramón Cabrera 2009 · A |
19 | 44→54 | 40 | 51→40 | 49 | .210/.275/.306 | .096 | .257 | 7 | 7 | 21% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .232/.280/.319 | .087 | .274 | 5 | 5 | 16% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .274/.327/.360 | .086 | .313 | 3 | 3 | 13% | 7% | 93 | +0.9 |
|
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A |
19 | 43→42 | 45→40 | 53→65 | 45 | .213/.281/.336 | .123 | .279 | 13 | 11 | 28% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .194/.288/.298 | .104 | .270 | 9 | 21 | 29% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .165/.260/.259 | .093 | .238 | 9 | 30 | 32% | 10% | 44 | -1.1 |
|
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A |
19 | 40→50 | 41→45 | 56→55 | 44 | .195/.266/.289 | .094 | .272 | 9 | 17 | 30% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .217/.283/.315 | .098 | .299 | 7 | 21 | 28% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .253/.315/.362 | .109 | .325 | 7 | 28 | 23% | 8% | 88 | +0.8 |
|
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A |
18 | 41 | 38→30 | 49→50 | 44 | .199/.262/.281 | .083 | .258 | 5 | 7 | 24% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .211/.287/.284 | .073 | .267 | 5 | 9 | 21% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .221/.317/.274 | .053 | .274 | 5 | 10 | 19% | 11% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Manuel Guzman 2014 · A |
19 | 48 | 37→45 | 47→55 | 50 | .226/.292/.301 | .075 | .272 | 4 | 14 | 18% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .220/.286/.278 | .058 | .274 | 2 | 18 | 19% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .238/.306/.305 | .068 | .287 | 4 | 15 | 17% | 9% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
●Justin Crawford 2023 · A |
19 | 46→56 | 37→45 | 51→60 | 41 | .213/.274/.288 | .076 | .314 | 5 | 17 | 32% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .272/.317/.374 | .102 | .360 | 6 | 33 | 25% | 6% | 95 | +1.4 | .294/.339/.402 | .108 | .380 | 7 | 41 | 23% | 6% | 107 | +1.7 |
|
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A |
19 | 52→62 | 37→40 | 55→60 | 49 | .241/.304/.317 | .076 | .306 | 3 | 17 | 21% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .250/.296/.310 | .060 | .296 | 1 | 19 | 15% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .299/.358/.381 | .081 | .343 | 4 | 36 | 13% | 8% | 110 | +2.1 |
|
✕Shawn O'Malley 2008 · A |
20 | 42→52 | 36→40 | 50→60 | 41 | .198/.262/.265 | .067 | .281 | 4 | 11 | 29% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .210/.283/.263 | .053 | .291 | 1 | 23 | 26% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .259/.321/.357 | .098 | .322 | 5 | 23 | 20% | 7% | 89 | +0.6 |
|
●César Hernández 2008 · A |
18 | 44→54 | 39→45 | 51→55 | 41 | .212/.255/.308 | .097 | .268 | 5 | 8 | 23% | 4% | 52 | -1.6 | .222/.280/.298 | .076 | .270 | 3 | 15 | 18% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .277/.367/.382 | .105 | .344 | 8 | 16 | 20% | 12% | 114 | +2.9 |
|
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A |
19 | 39 | 35→30 | 49→55 | 44 | .184/.249/.245 | .061 | .269 | 3 | 14 | 31% | 8% | 34 | -2.8 | .201/.291/.247 | .046 | .283 | 1 | 15 | 26% | 10% | 53 | -1.5 | .210/.308/.237 | .027 | .280 | 0 | 17 | 22% | 11% | 56 | -0.4 |
|
●Adael Amador 2022 · A |
19 | 45→54 | 41→50 | 45→55 | 47 | .219/.281/.317 | .098 | .274 | 8 | 11 | 23% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .241/.317/.373 | .132 | .280 | 15 | 17 | 19% | 9% | 97 | +1.5 | .233/.312/.369 | .136 | .267 | 17 | 23 | 19% | 9% | 90 | +0.8 |
|
✕Miguel Chacoa 2008 · A |
19 | 50 | 38→30 | 52→50 | 46 | .236/.296/.315 | .079 | .307 | 5 | 16 | 24% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .236/.298/.295 | .059 | .279 | 3 | 15 | 15% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .241/.304/.284 | .043 | .277 | 1 | 17 | 12% | 7% | 63 | -0.3 |
|
✕Omar Casamayor 2006 · A |
19 | 45 | 37→40 | 44→55 | 45 | .213/.282/.288 | .076 | .283 | 4 | 7 | 25% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .232/.290/.298 | .066 | .278 | 2 | 9 | 16% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .249/.301/.308 | .060 | .288 | 1 | 12 | 13% | 5% | 67 | -0.2 |
|
✕Dervy Ventura 2023 · A |
19 | 44→50 | 36→40 | 50→60 | 47 | .202/.277/.278 | .075 | .286 | 3 | 6 | 28% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .217/.294/.306 | .089 | .286 | 6 | 13 | 24% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .222/.307/.310 | .087 | .297 | 7 | 22 | 25% | 10% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Francisco Aponte 2010 · A |
19 | 48 | 36→30 | 45→60 | 46 | .224/.289/.289 | .065 | .290 | 3 | 10 | 23% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .226/.299/.283 | .057 | .282 | 2 | 19 | 19% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .218/.282/.263 | .044 | .267 | 0 | 22 | 17% | 8% | 51 | -0.6 |