Joshua Francis
2B ACL Mariners| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKSEA | 67 | .170/.343/.226 | 0 | 2 | 19 | — | .125/.269/.179 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROKSEA | 156 | .272/.361/.368 | 1 | 10 | 38 | — | .191/.265/.262 |
| 2026 | 19 | ROKSEA | 126 | .262/.374/.379 | 1 | 11 | 40 | — | .183/.276/.266 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBSEA | 236 | .199/.265/.278 | 2 | 5 | 54 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBSEA | 41 | .202/.269/.289 | 0 | 1 | 60 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | — | 67 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 170 | 343 | 226 | 570 | 57 | 281 | 31 | 19 | 284 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | — | 156 | 136 | 37 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 272 | 361 | 368 | 729 | 96 | 310 | 13 | 10 | 331 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | ACL Mariners | — | 126 | 103 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 37 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 262 | 374 | 379 | 753 | 117 | 400 | 29 | 11 | 336 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 67 | 56 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 125 | 269 | 179 | 447 | 54 | 194 | 39 | 15 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 156 | 141 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 191 | 265 | 262 | 527 | 71 | 214 | 15 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 126 | 109 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 53 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 183 | 276 | 266 | 542 | 83 | 316 | 42 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 67 | 56 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 125 | 269 | 179 | 447 | 54 | 233 | 39 | 15 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Mariners | — | 67 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 170 | 343 | 226 | 570 | 57 | 281 | 31 | 19 | 284 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 156 | 141 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 191 | 265 | 262 | 527 | 71 | 222 | 15 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Mariners | — | 156 | 136 | 37 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 272 | 361 | 368 | 729 | 96 | 310 | 13 | 10 | 331 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 126 | 109 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 53 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 183 | 276 | 266 | 542 | 83 | 345 | 42 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL Mariners | — | 126 | 103 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 37 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 262 | 374 | 379 | 753 | 117 | 400 | 29 | 11 | 336 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 67 | 56 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 125 | 269 | 179 | 447 | 54 | 194 | 39 | 15 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 156 | 141 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 191 | 265 | 262 | 527 | 71 | 214 | 15 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 126 | 111 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 53 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 180 | 276 | 261 | 538 | 81 | 316 | 42 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 67 | 56 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 125 | 269 | 179 | 447 | 54 | 194 | 39 | 15 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 156 | 141 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 191 | 265 | 262 | 527 | 71 | 214 | 15 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 126 | 111 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 53 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 180 | 276 | 261 | 538 | 81 | 316 | 42 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | SEA | 0% | 236 | 215 | 42 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 69 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 199 | 265 | 278 | 543 | 79 | 281 | 29 | 7 | 248 | 54 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | SEA | 34% | 118 | 107 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 204 | 271 | 293 | 564 | 89 | 283 | 29 | 7 | 257 | 60 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | SEA | 34% | 41 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 202 | 269 | 289 | 558 | 87 | 280 | 29 | 7 | 255 | 60 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 41 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 268 | 216 | 485 | 27 | 280 | 29 | 7 | 255 | 43 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 587 | 111 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 190 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 189 | 269 | 216 | 486 | 27 | 280 | 29 | 7 | 255 | 43 | -31 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 533 | 473 | 88 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 42 | 156 | 13 | 27 | 4 | 186 | 271 | 264 | 535 | 78 | 267 | 29 | 8 | 232 | 43 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 577 | 107 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 51 | 190 | 16 | 33 | 5 | 185 | 270 | 265 | 535 | 80 | 266 | 29 | 8 | 232 | 43 | -32 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ROKACL Mariners · 126 PAwOBA .328 → .228 (−100)K% 29.4% → 42.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.37% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 42.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 6.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.97% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.001 | ×0.995 | 24.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.001 | ×0.995 | 3.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.001 | ×0.995 | 3.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.18% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .328 → .228; ISO .117 → .078; BABIP .400 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Mariners · 156 PAwOBA .323 → .225 (−98)K% 12.8% → 15.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.82% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.97% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 6.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.56% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 1.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.680 | ×1.023 | ×0.995 | 17.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.45% | ÷0.989 | ×0.600 | ×1.023 | ×0.995 | 2.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.59% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×1.023 | ×0.995 | 1.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.86% | ÷0.936 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.43% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .323 → .225; ISO .096 → .061; BABIP .310 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Mariners · 67 PAwOBA .279 → .197 (−82)K% 31.3% → 38.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.34% | ÷1.004 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.40% | ÷0.938 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 14.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.88% | ÷0.976 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.008 | 15.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.12% | ÷0.940 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.008 | 2.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.12% | ÷0.934 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.008 | 2.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 95, 2B 88, 3B 87, K 101, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .279 → .197; ISO .057 → .035; BABIP .281 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).