Brayan Cota

SS DSL Athletics

Age 20 L/R 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKOAK	166	.172/.346/.219	0	3	17	—	.124/.259/.161
2026	19	ROKOAK	160	.207/.389/.289	2	1	37	—	.146/.293/.192
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBOAK	270	.193/.280/.260	2	3	57	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBOAK	74	.205/.291/.287	1	1	63	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBOAK	163	.210/.295/.302	2	2	68	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%91

Chase%82

K%81

Z-Con%81

BB%73

wRC+44

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsMiguel Arrendell (age 20) · Kleininger Teran (age 20) · Michael De La Cruz (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 133 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .278 / .257

PA133

HR1

K%25

BB%9

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$-0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	109	82	13	1	0	0	22	22	4	2	1	159	361	171	532	12	217	20	20	279	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	166	128	22	4	1	0	28	27	6	3	2	172	346	219	564	47	214	16	17	278	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	160	121	25	4	0	2	30	24	6	1	2	207	389	289	678	83	242	15	19	324	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	109	88	10	1	0	0	16	27	4	2	1	114	278	125	403	11	161	25	15	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	166	137	17	3	1	0	19	33	6	3	2	124	259	161	420	36	143	20	11	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	160	130	19	3	0	1	21	29	6	1	2	146	293	192	485	46	166	18	13	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	109	88	10	1	0	0	16	27	4	2	1	114	278	125	403	11	164	25	15	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	109	82	13	1	0	0	22	22	4	2	1	159	361	171	532	12	217	20	20	279	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	166	137	17	3	1	0	19	33	6	3	2	124	259	161	420	36	160	20	11	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	166	128	22	4	1	0	28	27	6	3	2	172	346	219	564	47	214	16	17	278	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	160	130	19	3	0	1	21	29	6	1	2	146	293	192	485	46	180	18	13	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	160	121	25	4	0	2	30	24	6	1	2	207	389	289	678	83	242	15	19	324	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	109	88	10	1	0	0	16	27	4	2	1	114	278	125	403	11	161	25	15	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	166	140	17	3	1	0	19	33	6	3	2	121	259	157	416	36	143	20	11	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	160	132	19	3	0	1	21	29	6	1	2	144	293	189	482	45	166	18	13	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	109	88	10	1	0	0	16	27	4	2	1	114	278	125	403	11	161	25	15	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	166	140	17	3	1	0	19	33	6	3	2	121	259	157	416	36	143	20	11	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	160	132	19	3	0	1	21	29	6	1	2	144	293	189	482	45	166	18	13	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	270	239	47	8	2	2	25	67	4	3	1	193	280	260	540	66	258	25	9	252	57	-14	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	OAK	34%	215	190	37	6	1	2	20	52	3	3	1	199	286	278	563	79	261	24	9	261	63	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	OAK	48%	337	298	61	10	2	4	31	81	5	4	2	204	290	293	583	89	263	24	9	269	68	-13	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	OAK	54%	420	372	78	13	3	6	39	101	6	6	2	208	293	305	598	97	266	24	9	274	72	-14	+0	+0	+4	+9	-0.0
2031	24	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	475	421	90	15	3	8	44	113	7	6	3	211	296	314	610	103	268	24	9	279	75	-14	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	OAK	56%	507	449	96	16	3	9	46	120	7	7	3	214	298	321	619	108	269	24	9	282	77	-14	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.3
2033	26	MLB MLE	OAK	56%	524	463	99	17	3	9	48	124	8	7	3	214	298	323	620	109	269	24	9	283	78	-14	+0	+0	+6	+11	0.3
2034	27	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	531	469	100	17	3	9	49	127	8	7	3	213	297	320	617	107	268	24	9	282	77	-15	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.3
2035	28	MLB MLE	OAK	59%	530	469	100	17	3	9	49	128	7	6	3	211	295	315	611	104	268	24	9	279	75	-16	+0	-1	+6	+11	0.1
2036	29	MLB MLE	OAK	56%	523	463	97	16	3	8	48	127	7	5	3	209	292	310	602	101	267	24	9	275	73	-17	-0	-1	+6	+11	-0.2
2037	30	MLB MLE	OAK	59%	515	456	95	16	3	8	47	127	7	5	4	206	289	302	591	96	265	25	9	271	70	-19	-1	-2	+6	+11	-0.5
2028	21	MLB CTX	OAK	34%	74	66	13	2	0	1	7	18	1	1	0	205	291	287	578	83	269	24	9	267	63	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	OAK	48%	163	145	30	5	1	2	15	39	2	2	1	210	295	302	597	93	271	24	9	274	68	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	OAK	54%	228	202	43	8	1	3	21	55	3	3	1	214	298	314	612	100	274	24	9	280	72	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	263	233	51	9	2	4	24	63	4	3	1	217	301	324	625	107	276	24	9	285	75	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	OAK	56%	284	252	56	10	2	5	26	67	4	4	2	220	303	331	634	111	278	24	9	288	77	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	OAK	56%	295	262	57	10	2	5	27	70	4	4	2	220	303	332	635	112	277	24	9	289	78	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	294	261	57	10	2	5	27	70	4	4	2	219	302	329	631	111	277	24	9	287	77	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2035	28	MLB CTX	OAK	59%	313	277	60	11	2	5	29	75	4	3	2	217	300	325	625	108	276	24	9	285	75	-9	-0	-0	+3	+7	0.0
2036	29	MLB CTX	OAK	56%	292	259	56	10	2	5	27	71	4	3	2	214	297	319	616	104	275	24	9	281	73	-10	-0	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	OAK	59%	303	269	57	10	2	4	27	75	4	3	2	212	294	311	605	100	273	25	9	277	70	-11	-0	-1	+3	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2509	2226	480	85	16	39	230	603	34	30	15	216	299	321	620	105	276	24	9	283	69	-78	+0	-2	+27	+54	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	124	22	4	10	60	156	9	8	4	215	299	319	618	104	275	24	9	283	69	-20	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5145	4523	922	154	29	74	489	1222	83	64	33	204	293	300	593	96	261	24	10	270	69	-151	+0	-4	+50	+102	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	116	19	4	9	62	154	10	8	4	203	292	298	590	95	260	24	10	270	69	-21	+0	-1	+7	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.0	2,641	41	31	210	291	310	+28	+18	1.6	1.7
/162	664	10	8	+7.1	+4.5	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brayan Cota (OGILVIE)	20	25	20	40	60	192/278/257	66	258	1	2	25%	9%	57	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Miguel Arrendell 2008 · A	20	37	35→30	39→50	51	172/251/226	54	210	3	5	19%	8%	39	-3.1	193/291/255	62	249	3	12	21%	11%	61	-1.5	201/272/282	81	263	7	9	25%	8%	56	-0.7
✕Kleininger Teran 2009 · A	20	42	34→30	43→45	55	195/275/245	51	236	2	5	17%	10%	52	-2.2	225/276/292	67	275	2	4	18%	6%	61	-1.5	240/283/308	67	288	1	2	16%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	40	36→40	45→50	46	190/261/259	69	270	4	9	29%	8%	50	-2.3	191/256/256	65	306	3	10	35%	7%	47	-2.6	156/231/187	31	268	0	14	38%	8%	19	-1.5
✕Angel Acosta 2024 · A	21	42	38→40	40→50	48	201/276/279	78	249	5	5	20%	7%	60	-1.6	211/268/276	65	259	4	9	19%	6%	55	-1.9	219/273/273	54	263	4	11	17%	6%	55	-0.7
✕Raudelis Martinez 2022 · A	20	35	37→30	44→45	46	169/234/235	66	215	5	7	23%	7%	34	-3.5	180/260/257	77	220	6	8	20%	8%	49	-2.4	171/242/235	64	204	6	6	19%	8%	37	-1.6
✕Sergio Burruel 2012 · A	21	43	35→30	42→30	47	201/278/262	61	281	3	4	27%	8%	57	-1.8	219/272/282	63	305	3	6	27%	6%	58	-1.7	247/310/316	70	302	6	1	19%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	39	35→40	43→45	54	182/271/240	59	231	2	8	21%	10%	50	-2.3	194/308/276	82	256	4	6	23%	13%	73	-0.6	178/308/258	80	234	4	5	22%	14%	67	-0.4
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	41→39	35→30	44→50	49	190/271/250	60	279	2	9	30%	10%	52	-2.2	227/310/295	68	314	2	16	25%	10%	76	-0.4	246/336/306	60	332	1	21	23%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Richard Paz 2021 · A	20	41	37→30	44→30	48	195/254/264	70	238	4	4	20%	7%	48	-2.5	213/288/303	90	284	7	3	26%	8%	70	-0.8	206/292/287	81	275	7	0	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Edilberto Mendoza 2019 · A	20	36	37→30	43→40	55	171/284/242	71	245	5	4	29%	12%	57	-1.8	184/293/263	79	246	4	5	24%	12%	64	-1.3	138/286/207	70	170	3	3	18%	15%	52	-0.7
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	37	39→45	47→45	49	178/272/261	83	262	6	6	32%	10%	55	-1.9	190/264/264	74	295	5	6	34%	9%	52	-2.2	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Luis Sierra 2007 · A	20	42	35→40	39→45	53	192/285/257	65	243	2	5	20%	9%	59	-1.6	206/270/289	83	242	7	8	17%	6%	60	-1.6	233/272/330	96	282	9	4	20%	5%	67	-0.4
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42	36→45	47→45	43	198/274/269	70	273	3	8	27%	6%	57	-1.8	204/306/321	117	276	13	6	29%	9%	82	+0.0	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Alain Camou 2024 · A	20	46	35→30	44→50	50	215/284/281	66	275	2	7	21%	8%	63	-1.4	198/249/265	67	258	3	5	23%	6%	45	-2.7	142/168/182	41	171	0	0	16%	3%	-6	-1.2
✕Juan Zabala 2019 · A	20	37	34→40	43→50	51	173/260/225	52	223	1	7	22%	9%	42	-2.9	187/250/272	85	285	6	6	34%	6%	49	-2.4	205/266/287	81	283	8	16	29%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	38	37→45	47→45	51	180/266/253	73	238	4	6	25%	10%	51	-2.2	200/296/287	87	250	6	8	20%	10%	70	-0.8	188/295/296	108	247	11	6	26%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Edidson Rojas 2019 · A	20	38	35→30	45→55	48	180/267/238	58	254	3	11	28%	9%	48	-2.5	186/261/260	74	276	4	10	31%	8%	51	-2.3	136/219/209	74	204	5	13	34%	8%	22	-1.3
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	41	35→45	46→55	56	189/281/251	62	237	3	9	20%	11%	56	-1.9	216/292/302	86	304	6	14	28%	9%	71	-0.8	210/285/301	91	316	8	17	33%	9%	65	-0.5
✕Freizer Pedron 2007 · A	20	40	36→30	48→55	45	191/250/257	66	243	3	12	22%	6%	45	-2.7	211/279/276	65	274	2	16	22%	7%	60	-1.6	221/294/282	61	275	1	29	18%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	36	39→40	42→50	52	178/287/262	84	243	7	10	28%	11%	62	-1.4	171/257/257	86	259	7	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	134/224/213	79	200	8	2	35%	9%	27	-1.2

Brayan Cota

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps