Jose Cruz — OGILVIE

Jose Cruz P DSL CLE Mendoza

Age 22 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 15 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.22

FIP5.22

K%20.6%

BB%14.6%

K-BB%6.0%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	10	3	29	115	30	16	1	30%	2.9	17.7%	17.4%	0.3%	1.2%	1.57	4.48	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	10	3	29	115	30	16	1	30%	2.9	17.7%	17.4%	0.3%	1.2%	1.57	4.48	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	10	3	29	115	30	16	1	30%	2.9	26.1%	13.9%	12.2%	0.9%	1.57	3.13	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	8	8	23	99	21	8	1	100%	2.8	14.4%	10.1%	4.3%	1.5%	5.96	3.99	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	8	8	23	99	21	8	1	100%	2.8	14.4%	10.1%	4.3%	1.5%	5.96	3.99	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	8	8	23	99	21	8	1	100%	2.8	21.2%	8.1%	13.1%	1.0%	5.96	2.88	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	18	0	25	125	33	18	3	0%	1.4	18.0%	18.0%	-0.0%	3.4%	5.76	5.71	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	18	0	25	125	33	18	3	0%	1.4	18.0%	18.0%	-0.0%	3.4%	5.76	5.71	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	18	0	25	125	33	18	3	0%	1.4	26.4%	14.4%	12.0%	2.4%	5.76	4.18	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	PIT	14	0	15	63	13	9	2	0%	1.1	20.6%	14.6%	6.0%	3.0%	5.22	5.22	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	PIT	22	0	23	98	21	13	3	0%	1.1	21.6%	12.7%	8.9%	2.9%	4.98	4.88	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	PIT	10	0	11	46	10	6	1	0%	1.1	21.6%	12.7%	8.9%	2.9%	4.98	4.88	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	48	10	6	1	0%	1.0	21.6%	12.7%	8.9%	2.9%	4.98	4.50	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	175	105	17	0%	1.1	21.6%	12.7%	8.9%	2.9%	4.98	4.50	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		36	11	76	339	57	52	7	31%	2.1	16.8%	15.5%	1.4%	2.1%	4.24	4.79	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		94	29	200	888	150	138	19	31%	2.1	16.8%	15.5%	1.4%	2.1%	4.24	4.79	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Cruz (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.22	20.6%	14.6%	3.0%	—	4.88	21.6%	8.9%	23	-0.34	—	—	—
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	87
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	86
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	86
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	84
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	84
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	83
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	82
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	82
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	82
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	82
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	82
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	82
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	82
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	81
Fabian Anguamea R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	22	SU	5.11	16.6%	15.2%	2.7%	.295	4.53	15.8%	1.8%	96	-0.58	3.99	164	81
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	81
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	81
Cre Finfrock R 2018 · 4.27 FIP	22	SW	4.27	17.9%	16.5%	1.1%	.286	4.63	23.0%	11.3%	38	+0.36	4.27	103	81
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	81
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	81