Jhonayker Ugarte

SS ACL Royals

Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKKC	214	.216/.343/.284	2	5	22	—	.144/.238/.187
2026	19	AKC	61	.167/.250/.185	0	0	5	—	.145/.217/.164
2026	19	ROKKC	174	.297/.396/.421	1	3	61	—	.217/.296/.303
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBKC	345	.195/.267/.265	2	5	52	-0.4
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBKC	102	.200/.273/.284	1	2	60	-0.2
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBKC	194	.206/.278/.300	2	3	67	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

K%57

Z-Con%47

Whiff%42

Chase%24

BB%19

Speed17

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsGilberto Vizcarra (age 20) · Jenner Emeterio (age 20) · Alfredo González (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 221 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .264 / .262

PA221

HR1

K%26

BB%8

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$-0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	183	147	44	9	1	1	30	36	3	11	6	299	428	395	822	95	384	20	16	373	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	ACL Royals	—	214	176	38	4	1	2	31	66	3	5	3	216	343	284	627	68	324	31	14	293	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	61	54	9	1	0	0	5	14	1	0	1	167	250	185	435	19	225	23	8	209	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	174	145	43	11	2	1	20	36	4	3	3	297	396	421	817	124	378	21	11	360	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	183	156	32	6	1	1	21	44	3	11	6	205	311	276	587	71	257	24	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	214	187	27	3	1	1	20	97	3	5	3	144	238	187	425	43	265	45	9	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	61	55	8	1	0	0	4	19	1	0	1	145	217	164	380	18	221	31	7	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	174	152	33	8	1	1	13	52	4	3	3	217	296	303	598	86	294	30	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	183	156	32	6	1	1	21	44	3	11	6	205	311	276	587	71	274	24	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	183	147	44	9	1	1	30	36	3	11	6	299	428	395	822	95	384	20	16	373	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	214	187	27	3	1	1	20	97	3	5	3	144	238	187	425	43	283	45	9	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	214	176	38	4	1	2	31	66	3	5	3	216	343	284	627	68	324	31	14	293	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	235	208	41	9	1	1	16	71	5	3	4	197	271	264	535	67	288	30	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	235	199	52	12	2	1	25	50	5	3	4	261	358	357	715	95	338	21	11	321	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	183	157	32	6	1	1	21	44	3	11	6	204	311	274	585	70	257	24	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	214	189	27	3	1	1	20	97	3	5	3	143	238	185	423	42	265	45	9	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	235	212	41	9	1	1	16	71	5	3	4	193	271	259	530	66	275	30	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	183	157	32	6	1	1	21	44	3	11	6	204	311	274	585	70	257	24	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	214	189	27	3	1	1	20	97	3	5	3	143	238	185	423	42	265	45	9	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	235	212	41	9	1	1	16	71	5	3	4	193	271	259	530	66	275	30	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	KC	0%	345	312	61	12	2	2	26	89	4	5	2	195	267	265	531	69	263	26	8	245	52	-20	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	KC	34%	298	269	54	10	2	3	23	75	4	5	2	202	274	287	562	85	266	25	8	257	60	-14	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.4
2029	22	MLB MLE	KC	48%	400	360	74	14	2	5	32	99	5	7	2	208	280	305	585	97	268	25	8	267	67	-16	+1	+0	+4	+9	-0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	KC	54%	467	421	89	17	2	8	37	115	6	8	3	212	285	317	602	106	270	25	8	273	71	-16	+0	+0	+5	+10	-0.0
2031	24	MLB MLE	KC	55%	510	458	99	19	3	9	41	124	6	8	3	215	288	327	615	112	272	24	8	279	75	-15	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	KC	56%	534	480	105	20	3	10	43	129	6	9	3	217	290	333	623	116	273	24	8	282	77	-15	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.3
2033	26	MLB MLE	KC	56%	547	492	106	20	3	10	44	133	6	9	3	217	290	334	624	116	273	24	8	282	77	-15	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.3
2034	27	MLB MLE	KC	55%	551	495	107	20	3	10	45	134	6	8	3	216	290	331	621	115	273	24	8	281	76	-16	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.3
2035	28	MLB MLE	KC	55%	548	492	106	20	3	10	45	135	6	7	3	214	288	327	614	112	272	25	8	278	74	-17	+0	-1	+6	+12	0.1
2036	29	MLB MLE	KC	58%	540	485	103	19	3	9	44	134	6	7	3	212	285	321	606	108	271	25	8	275	72	-18	+0	-1	+6	+12	-0.2
2037	30	MLB MLE	KC	60%	530	477	100	19	2	9	42	134	6	6	4	209	282	313	595	104	269	25	8	270	69	-19	-0	-2	+6	+11	-0.5
2028	21	MLB CTX	KC	34%	102	92	19	4	1	1	8	26	1	2	1	200	273	284	556	83	264	25	8	255	60	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	KC	48%	194	175	35	7	1	2	15	48	2	3	1	206	278	300	578	94	266	25	8	264	67	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	KC	54%	253	228	47	9	1	4	20	62	3	4	1	210	283	312	595	102	268	25	8	270	71	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	KC	55%	283	255	55	10	2	5	23	69	3	5	2	213	286	321	607	108	270	24	8	275	75	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	KC	56%	299	270	58	11	2	5	24	73	3	5	2	215	288	326	615	112	271	24	8	278	77	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	KC	56%	308	276	59	11	2	5	25	75	4	5	2	215	288	327	615	112	271	24	8	279	77	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	KC	55%	305	274	59	11	2	5	25	74	3	5	2	214	287	324	612	111	271	24	8	277	76	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2035	28	MLB CTX	KC	55%	300	270	58	11	2	5	24	74	3	4	2	212	285	320	606	108	270	25	8	275	74	-9	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.0
2036	29	MLB CTX	KC	58%	313	282	59	11	2	5	25	78	3	4	2	210	283	315	597	105	269	25	8	271	72	-10	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	KC	60%	319	287	60	11	2	5	26	80	3	3	2	207	280	308	587	100	267	25	8	267	69	-12	-0	-1	+3	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2676	2409	509	96	17	42	215	659	28	40	17	211	284	318	601	106	271	25	8	273	68	-86	+1	-2	+29	+58	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	123	23	4	10	52	160	7	10	4	210	283	315	597	104	270	25	8	273	68	-21	+0	-1	+7	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5778	5180	1082	204	30	87	470	1481	70	96	43	209	284	310	594	101	273	26	8	269	68	-173	+3	-4	+55	+111	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	122	23	3	10	53	167	8	11	5	209	285	310	595	101	273	26	8	269	68	-22	+0	-1	+7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#4Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.4	2,898	47	43	213	282	319	+31	+18	1.4	1.6
/162	664	11	10	+7.1	+4.1	0.3	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jhonayker Ugarte (OGILVIE)	20	25	20	45	55	193/264/262	69	263	1	3	26%	8%	52	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	34	37→45	47→40	47	164/238/229	66	203	5	3	22%	7%	35	-3.4	205/261/282	77	259	5	4	22%	6%	55	-2.0	227/269/318	92	274	7	1	19%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	42	37→30	48→60	49	198/268/270	72	254	4	13	22%	8%	55	-2.0	197/293/251	54	252	2	24	20%	11%	61	-1.5	183/298/219	36	231	1	34	18%	13%	54	-0.8
✕Alfredo González 2012 · A	20	36	36→40	47→45	39	173/218/241	68	241	2	8	28%	5%	28	-3.9	193/244/265	72	255	4	10	25%	5%	44	-2.8	232/294/283	51	313	3	6	25%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Juan Zabala 2019 · A	20	37	34→40	43→50	51	173/260/225	52	223	1	7	22%	9%	42	-2.9	187/250/272	85	285	6	6	34%	6%	49	-2.4	205/266/287	81	283	8	16	29%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Felix G. Santana 2015 · A	20	41	35→30	46→50	44	194/262/257	63	252	3	10	23%	6%	50	-2.3	210/261/295	85	275	6	7	25%	5%	57	-1.8	221/250/302	81	284	6	0	24%	2%	50	-0.5
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	39	36→40	50→55	44	186/249/258	71	249	3	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/271/288	84	283	7	19	28%	7%	60	-1.6	202/282/289	86	263	10	29	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Victor Duarte 2021 · A	20	39	36→30	48→45	48	179/256/249	69	214	3	9	17%	6%	47	-2.6	192/261/272	80	280	6	6	31%	7%	53	-2.1	182/251/245	63	250	5	11	28%	7%	41	-0.8
✕Onil Perez 2023 · A	20	43	36→40	46→55	49	200/268/272	73	258	3	7	22%	8%	55	-1.9	220/284/292	72	276	3	17	20%	7%	65	-1.2	222/294/289	67	273	3	21	18%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Franklin Tineo 2015 · A	20	36	35→40	42→50	44	171/242/229	57	249	2	8	30%	8%	36	-3.4	167/248/235	68	217	4	9	23%	9%	40	-3.0	144/237/212	69	178	5	11	21%	9%	30	-1.2
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	45	179/256/239	60	261	4	7	31%	8%	44	-2.8	203/263/257	54	283	2	4	27%	7%	49	-2.4	198/256/242	45	274	1	2	26%	7%	41	-1.4
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	38	35→30	48→50	47	182/254/242	60	245	3	12	26%	8%	43	-2.8	189/250/229	40	228	1	14	16%	7%	38	-3.2	191/256/205	14	227	0	12	15%	8%	33	-1.1
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	37	37→30	46→55	50	177/256/249	71	223	4	9	21%	8%	46	-2.6	192/277/264	72	230	5	17	18%	10%	57	-1.8	176/273/236	60	201	6	25	15%	11%	49	-0.8
✕Marco Guzman 2015 · A	20	38	37→50	44→50	51	181/256/254	72	222	4	7	20%	8%	47	-2.6	202/251/280	78	244	4	7	18%	6%	50	-2.3	218/259/314	97	279	5	8	23%	5%	59	-0.6
✕Jesus Rojas 2006 · A	20	38	35→30	45	46	179/243/232	53	230	3	7	22%	7%	36	-3.3	209/277/287	78	265	6	5	22%	8%	62	-1.4	215/288/295	80	268	7	3	21%	9%	68	-0.4
✕Oswaldo Linares 2023 · A	20	39	38→40	48→40	56	186/292/260	74	232	6	6	21%	11%	63	-1.3	186/285/262	76	274	6	4	31%	11%	61	-1.5	167/269/232	65	254	5	2	33%	11%	47	-0.9
✕Miguel Briceno 2023 · A	20	41	36→40	49→50	46	196/250/269	73	247	3	9	21%	7%	47	-2.5	217/260/286	69	274	3	11	21%	5%	54	-2.0	212/258/283	71	262	6	12	21%	6%	51	-0.9
✕Jose Sanabria 2023 · A	20	40	35→30	45→50	48	187/264/246	60	252	3	9	25%	8%	49	-2.4	193/264/245	52	294	2	10	32%	8%	47	-2.5	182/252/224	43	284	1	11	34%	8%	35	-1.5
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	39	37→45	50→40	43	185/269/261	75	247	3	9	25%	6%	55	-2.0	201/250/286	85	299	6	4	33%	4%	51	-2.2	211/248/304	94	307	7	2	33%	3%	51	-1.1
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	36	39→40	42→50	52	178/287/262	84	243	7	10	28%	11%	62	-1.4	171/257/257	86	259	7	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	134/224/213	79	200	8	2	35%	9%	27	-1.2
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	37→42	39→40	48→50	44	183/255/263	80	245	6	10	27%	7%	49	-2.4	199/291/294	95	292	8	8	32%	10%	70	-0.8	186/290/280	94	280	9	10	33%	11%	66	-0.7

Jhonayker Ugarte

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps