Keiber Armas

P ACL Rangers

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	ROKDSL Rangers B…	14	8	44	6.29	2.90	23.7%	14.4%	—	K 16.1% · BB 18.0% · FIP 4.02
2025	22	ROKDSL Rangers R…	21	0	30	4.15	1.75	29.2%	6.9%	—	K 19.8% · BB 8.7% · FIP 2.95
2026	23	MIX2 levels	21	0	29	4.08	5.05	18.9%	20.5%	—	K 13.3% · BB 18.0% · FIP 5.84
2027PROJ	24	MLBTEX	16	0	17	5.12	5.12	20.1%	13.7%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBTEX	11	0	12	4.94	4.87	20.9%	12.3%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsFrancisco Del Rosario (age 25) · Hayden Snelsire (age 23) · Grayson Thurman (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.12

FIP5.12

K%20.1%

BB%13.7%

K-BB%6.4%

Proj IP17

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	14	8	44	215	51	31	0	57%	3.2	16.1%	18.0%	-1.9%	0.0%	6.29	4.02	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	14	8	44	215	51	31	0	57%	3.2	16.1%	18.0%	-1.9%	0.0%	6.29	4.02	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	14	8	44	215	51	31	0	57%	3.2	23.7%	14.4%	9.3%	0.0%	6.29	2.90	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	21	0	30	144	42	10	1	0%	1.4	19.8%	8.7%	11.2%	0.8%	4.15	2.95	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	21	0	30	144	42	10	1	0%	1.4	19.8%	8.7%	11.2%	0.8%	4.15	2.95	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	21	0	30	144	42	10	1	0%	1.4	29.2%	6.9%	22.2%	0.7%	4.15	1.75	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	29	127	24	26	2	0%	1.4	13.3%	18.0%	-4.7%	2.9%	4.08	5.84	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	29	127	24	26	2	0%	1.4	13.3%	18.0%	-4.7%	2.9%	4.08	5.84	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	0	29	127	24	26	2	0%	1.4	18.9%	20.5%	-1.6%	1.6%	4.08	5.05	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	TEX	16	0	17	72	14	10	2	0%	1.1	20.1%	13.7%	6.4%	2.9%	5.12	5.12	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TEX	26	0	28	117	24	14	3	0%	1.1	20.9%	12.3%	8.6%	2.9%	4.94	4.87	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	TEX	11	0	12	51	11	6	1	0%	1.1	20.9%	12.3%	8.6%	2.9%	4.94	4.87	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	50	10	6	1	0%	1.1	20.9%	12.3%	8.6%	2.9%	4.94	4.49	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	102	17	0%	1.1	20.9%	12.3%	8.6%	2.9%	4.94	4.49	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		56	8	103	486	80	74	5	14%	1.8	16.5%	15.3%	1.2%	1.0%	5.05	4.18	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		108	15	200	941	155	144	9	14%	1.8	16.5%	15.3%	1.2%	1.0%	5.05	4.18	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Keiber Armas (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.12	20.1%	13.7%	2.9%	—	4.87	20.9%	8.6%	28	-0.25	—	—	—
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	90
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	88
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	87
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	86
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	85
Michael Bowden R 2011 · 4.93 FIP	24	SU	4.93	18.9%	12.2%	3.4%	.271	4.22	17.1%	8.1%	77	-0.71	3.21	269	85
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	85
Julio Mateo R 2002 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	16.0%	12.8%	2.1%	.277	4.23	17.5%	13.8%	232	-0.31	3.42	318	85
Luis Vizcaino R 2000 · 4.11 FIP	25	SU	4.11	18.8%	11.5%	2.1%	.354	4.31	22.7%	14.9%	180	+0.20	3.07	564	84
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	84
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	84
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	84
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	84
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	84
Reid Schaller R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	20.2%	13.1%	2.8%	.298	3.89	22.0%	11.4%	90	-0.71	3.61	186	83
Jake Gilbert R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	24	SU	4.14	22.1%	15.2%	1.8%	.314	4.65	18.2%	2.0%	53	+0.51	4.14	103	83
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	83
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	83
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	83
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	83