Anderson Fermin — OGILVIE

Anderson FerminSS Salem RidgeYaks

Age 19 S/R 5'11" / 174 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 3.5 · 2033

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .297 / .313

PA206

HR3

SB8

K%26

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

20→20

SPD

60→60

EYE

63↘60

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.5peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+3.1	$29M	+$28M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.4	$32M	+$32M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.5	$34M	+$33M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.5	$35M	+$28M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+3.3	$34M	+$23M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$16M	+3.1	$33M	+$17M
Totals		$37M		$199M	+$162M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	224	196	46	4	1	0	20	33	3	12	6	.235	.315	.265	.580	.031	.275	15	9	.263	59	-10	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	220	181	30	4	3	0	32	72	4	28	6	.166	.304	.221	.525	.055	.268	33	15	.249	49	-13	+3	+0	+2	+6	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	19	A	Salem RidgeYaks	57	45	5	1	0	1	9	26	3	4	0	.111	.298	.200	.498	.089	.222	46	16	.238	40	-4	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	BOS	149	131	27	5	1	2	15	42	2	4	1	.206	.297	.305	.603	.099	.284	28	10	.279	71	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
TOT	19	MLB	BOS	206	176	32	6	1	3	24	68	5	8	1	.182	.298	.278	.576	.097	.274	33	12	.267	63	-9	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	BOS	290	251	55	10	2	5	32	67	5	9	2	.219	.319	.335	.654	.116	.278	23	11	.300	88	-4	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.8
2028	21	MLB 28%	BOS	402	346	78	15	2	8	46	91	7	12	2	.225	.328	.350	.678	.124	.280	23	11	.311	96	-2	+2	+0	+4	+11	1.6
2029	22	MLB 48%	BOS	480	412	96	18	3	11	56	105	9	14	2	.233	.338	.371	.709	.138	.281	22	12	.319	102	+1	+2	+0	+5	+14	2.2
2030	23	MLB 65%	BOS	531	454	107	20	3	13	63	114	9	15	2	.236	.340	.379	.719	.143	.281	21	12	.325	107	+4	+2	+0	+6	+15	2.7
2031	24	MLB 82%	BOS	564	480	114	21	3	15	69	119	10	15	2	.237	.345	.388	.733	.150	.282	21	12	.329	110	+6	+2	+0	+6	+16	3.1
2032	25	MLB	BOS	582	495	119	22	3	16	72	122	10	15	2	.240	.348	.394	.742	.154	.282	21	12	.332	112	+8	+2	+0	+6	+16	3.4
2033	26	MLB	BOS	592	501	120	22	3	16	75	124	11	15	2	.240	.351	.391	.742	.152	.283	21	13	.334	113	+9	+2	+0	+6	+17	3.5
2034	27	MLB	BOS	593	502	120	22	3	16	75	125	11	15	2	.239	.350	.390	.741	.151	.283	21	13	.334	114	+9	+2	+0	+6	+17	3.5
2035	28	MLB	BOS	589	499	119	22	3	16	75	125	10	14	2	.238	.349	.391	.740	.152	.282	21	13	.333	113	+8	+2	-1	+6	+17	3.3
2036	29	MLB	BOS	579	490	115	21	3	15	74	124	10	13	1	.235	.347	.382	.728	.147	.281	21	13	.330	111	+7	+2	-1	+6	+16	3.1
2037	30	MLB	BOS	569	481	112	20	3	15	73	124	10	13	1	.233	.346	.380	.726	.148	.280	22	13	.327	109	+6	+2	-2	+6	+16	2.8
2038	31	MLB	BOS	555	469	108	20	2	14	71	124	10	11	0	.230	.344	.371	.715	.141	.279	22	13	.324	106	+4	+2	-3	+6	+16	2.5
2039	32	MLB	BOS	537	454	103	19	2	13	69	122	9	10	0	.227	.340	.363	.704	.137	.277	23	13	.319	102	+1	+2	-4	+6	+15	2.1
2040	33	MLB	BOS	507	428	94	17	2	11	65	119	9	10	0	.220	.335	.346	.680	.126	.275	23	13	.313	98	-1	+2	-4	+5	+14	1.7
2041	34	MLB	BOS	461	391	85	15	2	10	59	112	8	9	0	.217	.332	.343	.675	.125	.274	24	13	.307	93	-4	+2	-5	+5	+13	1.2
2042	35	MLB	BOS	405	344	73	13	2	8	51	103	7	8	0	.212	.326	.331	.657	.119	.271	25	13	.300	87	-6	+2	-6	+4	+11	0.6
2043	36	MLB	BOS	345	293	59	10	1	6	43	91	6	7	0	.201	.316	.304	.620	.102	.268	26	12	.291	81	-8	+1	-6	+4	+10	0.1
2044	37	MLB	BOS	281	240	47	8	1	5	35	77	4	6	0	.196	.308	.300	.608	.104	.264	27	12	.281	73	-8	+1	-7	+3	+8	-0.3
2045	38	MLB	BOS	212	181	35	6	1	3	26	60	3	4	0	.193	.305	.287	.592	.094	.259	28	12	.271	66	-8	+1	-8	+2	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9667	8219	1862	334	49	218	1196	2195	167	259	33	.227	.337	.359	.695	.132	.281	23	12	.315	100	-4	+39	-46	+104	+274	37.3
/ 162G	—			650	553	125	22	3	15	80	148	11	17	2	.226	.335	.358	.693	.132	.279	23	12	.315	100	-0	+3	-3	+7	+18	2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	224	181	53	6	1	35	22	3	12	6	.293	.416	.337	.753	.044	.325	10	16	.346	123	+6	+0	—	—	+6	1.2
2025	18	A	Salem Red Sox	35	25	1	0	0	8	12	1	3	0	.040	.294	.040	.334	.000	.071	34	23	.206	16	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	185	138	39	7	3	42	35	3	25	6	.283	.459	.377	.836	.094	.371	19	23	.387	154	+11	+3	—	—	+5	2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anderson Fermin (OGILVIE)	19	45	20	60	60	.214/.297/.313	.099	.287	3	5	26%	9%	73	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	.212/.301/.276	.064	.273	3	16	22%	11%	65	-0.7	.218/.304/.295	.077	.280	4	15	21%	9%	71	-0.3	.256/.355/.382	.126	.288	11	19	14%	12%	111	+2.2
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	55→60	49	.241/.304/.317	.076	.306	3	17	21%	8%	75	-0.0	.250/.296/.310	.060	.296	1	19	15%	6%	69	-0.4	.299/.358/.381	.081	.343	4	36	13%	8%	110	+2.1
●Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	55→65	53	.217/.311/.293	.076	.288	3	19	24%	10%	74	-0.1	.194/.278/.275	.081	.289	5	10	31%	10%	55	-1.4	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2015 · A	20	48	36→40	54→60	50	.215/.310/.286	.072	.325	3	19	31%	11%	72	-0.2	.247/.324/.323	.076	.343	3	23	26%	9%	85	+0.7	.263/.336/.338	.075	.360	3	29	25%	9%	91	+0.5
●César Hernández 2009 · A	19	48→58	38→45	54→55	48	.224/.278/.312	.088	.269	4	13	18%	6%	63	-0.9	.222/.274/.287	.065	.277	3	16	20%	6%	54	-1.4	.277/.367/.382	.105	.344	8	16	20%	12%	114	+2.9
✕Manuel Guzman 2014 · A	19	48	37→45	47→55	50	.226/.292/.301	.075	.272	4	14	18%	8%	66	-0.6	.220/.286/.278	.058	.274	2	18	19%	8%	58	-1.2	.238/.306/.305	.068	.287	4	15	17%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	43→42	45→40	53→65	45	.213/.281/.336	.123	.279	13	11	28%	8%	72	-0.2	.194/.288/.298	.104	.270	9	21	29%	10%	66	-0.6	.165/.260/.259	.093	.238	9	30	32%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	.227/.287/.331	.103	.273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	.229/.306/.353	.124	.285	12	10	22%	9%	86	+0.8	.226/.311/.371	.145	.266	15	9	20%	10%	91	+1.0
✕Ramón Cabrera 2009 · A	19	44→54	40	51→40	49	.210/.275/.306	.096	.257	7	7	21%	8%	61	-1.0	.232/.280/.319	.087	.274	5	5	16%	6%	66	-0.6	.274/.327/.360	.086	.313	3	3	13%	7%	93	+0.9
✕Miguel Chacoa 2008 · A	19	50	38→30	52→50	46	.236/.296/.315	.079	.307	5	16	24%	7%	72	-0.2	.236/.298/.295	.059	.279	3	15	15%	8%	67	-0.5	.241/.304/.284	.043	.277	1	17	12%	7%	63	-0.3
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	42→46	41→40	50→55	53	.198/.304/.305	.107	.295	7	15	32%	12%	75	-0.0	.207/.301/.301	.094	.296	6	20	29%	11%	72	-0.2	.211/.291/.296	.085	.285	5	23	25%	9%	64	-0.5
●Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	45→55	37→45	52→50	47	.212/.286/.285	.072	.288	5	12	26%	8%	60	-1.0	.241/.293/.346	.105	.309	7	11	23%	6%	78	+0.2	.255/.302/.371	.117	.316	8	12	21%	6%	85	+0.5
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	40→50	41→45	56→55	44	.195/.266/.289	.094	.272	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	.217/.283/.315	.098	.299	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	.253/.315/.362	.109	.325	7	28	23%	8%	88	+0.8
✕Carlos Willoughby 2008 · A	19	48→41	36→40	53→60	49	.224/.300/.292	.068	.279	3	16	20%	7%	69	-0.4	.230/.314/.297	.067	.297	2	27	21%	9%	76	+0.0	.235/.320/.307	.072	.303	1	35	20%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43	38→30	52→60	41	.205/.262/.288	.083	.287	4	12	29%	6%	50	-1.7	.223/.282/.290	.067	.291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	.224/.333/.269	.045	.305	1	34	23%	14%	74	-0.0
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	50→45	49	.226/.306/.321	.095	.306	6	7	26%	9%	79	+0.3	.222/.295/.296	.074	.304	5	6	26%	8%	67	-0.5	.272/.340/.355	.083	.316	4	2	14%	7%	101	+0.6
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	49→58	37→45	50	48	.231/.293/.308	.076	.300	4	13	23%	8%	69	-0.4	.243/.308/.337	.094	.291	8	13	18%	8%	82	+0.5	.263/.355/.386	.123	.307	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.8
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	47→49	38→40	53→55	57	.220/.313/.307	.086	.278	4	14	20%	12%	78	+0.2	.225/.315/.310	.085	.316	4	20	27%	11%	79	+0.3	.219/.316/.296	.077	.309	5	23	27%	12%	75	+0.0
✕Emmanuel Morel 2016 · A	19	45	35→30	52→55	48	.207/.284/.270	.063	.292	2	16	28%	9%	56	-1.3	.187/.258/.245	.058	.304	2	15	36%	8%	38	-2.6	.139/.207/.173	.034	.251	0	17	41%	7%	-4	-1.2
✕Jose Constanza 2007 · A	19	47	34→30	51→60	54	.214/.307/.267	.054	.310	2	21	29%	12%	66	-0.6	.224/.320/.283	.059	.306	2	17	24%	12%	74	-0.1	.236/.346/.282	.046	.308	0	21	20%	14%	83	+0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)