Anderson Fermin — OGILVIE

Anderson FerminSS Salem RidgeYaks

Age 19 S/R 5'11" / 174 lbs A H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION186 act + 124 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .293 / .243

PA124

HR0

K%32

BB%11

BABIP294

ISO56

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$8M	+$7M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.6	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+1.4	$6M	+$4M
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$18M		$40M	+$33M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	224	196	46	4	1	0	20	34	3	12	6	235	315	265	580	31	277	15	9	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	224	181	53	6	1	0	35	22	3	12	6	293	416	337	753	44	325	10	16	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	—	220	181	30	4	3	0	32	72	4	28	6	166	304	221	525	55	268	33	15	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	—	220	163	40	7	3	0	50	47	4	28	6	245	433	325	758	80	336	21	23	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	BOS	—	186	158	26	4	1	1	22	75	5	6	6	165	286	222	508	57	301	40	12	236	39	-13	-1	+0	+2	+5	-0.7
YTD	19	A	BOS	—	186	145	29	5	1	1	35	53	5	6	6	200	373	269	642	69	304	28	19	312	97	-1	-1	+0	+2	+5	0.6
ROS	19	A	BOS	0%	124	107	20	4	1	0	14	40	2	3	2	187	293	243	536	56	289	32	11	257	55	-6	-0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
ROS	19	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		295	—	—	248	48	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	A	BOS	—	186	159	26	4	1	1	22	75	5	6	6	164	286	220	507	57	298	40	12	236	39	-13	-1	+0	+2	+5	-0.7
TOT	19	A	BOS	—	310	265	46	8	2	1	36	115	7	9	8	174	289	230	519	57	298	37	12	244	45	-19	-1	+0	+3	+9	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	BOS	34%	337	291	58	11	2	3	37	104	6	8	4	199	302	282	584	82	292	31	11	273	67	-12	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2028	21	MLB	BOS	48%	437	379	78	15	2	6	48	130	7	10	5	206	306	303	610	98	293	30	11	285	76	-12	+0	+0	+5	+12	0.5
2029	22	MLB	BOS	54%	505	436	93	17	3	9	56	147	8	12	6	213	314	328	642	115	294	29	11	292	82	-10	+0	+0	+5	+14	0.9
2030	23	MLB	BOS	57%	547	473	102	19	3	10	60	157	9	13	6	216	315	332	647	116	295	29	11	296	85	-9	+0	+0	+6	+15	1.3
2031	24	MLB	BOS	57%	574	495	108	20	3	11	64	164	10	14	7	218	320	337	657	119	295	29	11	299	87	-8	+0	+0	+6	+16	1.4
2032	25	MLB	BOS	57%	590	509	111	20	3	12	66	168	10	14	7	218	320	340	660	122	295	28	11	300	88	-8	+0	+0	+6	+17	1.5
2033	26	MLB	BOS	56%	596	515	111	20	3	12	66	169	10	15	7	216	316	336	652	120	295	28	11	301	88	-8	+0	+0	+6	+17	1.6
2034	27	MLB	BOS	55%	596	514	111	20	3	12	67	170	10	15	7	216	318	337	655	121	295	29	11	301	88	-8	+0	+0	+6	+17	1.6
2035	28	MLB	BOS	55%	591	509	110	20	3	12	67	169	10	14	7	216	319	338	657	122	295	29	11	300	88	-8	+0	-1	+6	+17	1.4
2036	29	MLB	BOS	53%	581	500	108	20	3	11	66	167	10	13	6	216	319	334	653	118	294	29	11	298	86	-9	+0	-1	+6	+16	1.3
2037	30	MLB	BOS	57%	570	491	105	19	3	11	65	166	9	13	6	214	317	332	649	118	293	29	11	296	84	-10	+0	-2	+6	+16	1.1
2038	31	MLB	BOS	60%	556	479	100	18	2	10	63	163	9	12	6	209	312	317	629	109	291	29	11	292	82	-12	+0	-3	+6	+16	0.7
2027	20	MLB	BOS	34%	116	100	21	4	1	1	13	36	2	3	1	210	313	300	613	90	298	31	11	265	61	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	BOS	48%	212	183	38	7	1	3	23	63	4	5	2	208	310	306	616	98	299	30	11	276	70	-7	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.1
2029	22	MLB	BOS	54%	274	237	51	10	1	5	30	80	5	7	3	215	316	329	645	114	300	29	11	284	75	-8	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2030	23	MLB	BOS	57%	310	268	58	11	1	6	34	89	5	7	4	216	316	332	648	116	301	29	11	288	79	-7	-0	+0	+3	+9	0.5
2031	24	MLB	BOS	57%	325	281	62	12	2	6	36	93	5	8	4	221	320	342	662	121	302	29	11	291	81	-7	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.6
2032	25	MLB	BOS	57%	333	287	64	12	2	7	37	95	6	8	4	223	324	352	676	129	302	29	11	292	82	-7	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.6
2033	26	MLB	BOS	56%	337	290	65	12	2	7	38	96	6	8	4	224	326	352	678	128	302	28	11	292	82	-7	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2034	27	MLB	BOS	55%	330	284	63	12	1	7	37	94	6	8	4	222	324	345	669	123	302	28	11	292	82	-7	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.6
2035	28	MLB	BOS	55%	324	279	62	12	1	7	37	93	5	8	4	222	324	348	672	125	301	29	11	292	81	-7	+0	-0	+3	+9	0.6
2036	29	MLB	BOS	53%	311	268	58	11	1	6	35	90	5	7	3	216	318	332	650	116	301	29	11	290	80	-7	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.5
2037	30	MLB	BOS	57%	325	280	60	11	1	6	37	94	5	7	3	214	317	325	642	111	300	29	11	287	78	-8	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.4
2038	31	MLB	BOS	60%	331	285	60	11	1	6	38	97	5	7	3	211	314	319	633	109	297	29	11	284	75	-9	+0	-2	+4	+9	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3528	3043	662	125	15	67	395	1020	59	83	39	218	319	335	654	117	301	29	11	288	78	-86	+1	-4	+38	+100	4.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	561	122	23	3	12	73	188	11	15	7	217	320	333	653	116	301	29	11	288	78	-16	+0	-1	+7	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	7048	6075	1291	231	38	119	791	2020	117	196	88	213	315	322	637	109	295	29	11	292	82	-145	+4	-7	+76	+200	13.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	560	119	21	4	11	73	186	11	18	8	212	315	323	638	111	294	29	11	292	82	-13	+0	-1	+7	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	224	181	53	6	1	35	22	3	12	6	293	416	337	753	44	325	10	16	346	123	+6	+0	—	—	+6	1.2
2025	18	A	Salem Red Sox	—	35	25	1	0	0	8	12	1	3	0	40	294	40	334		71	34	23	206	16	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	185	138	39	7	3	42	35	3	25	6	283	459	377	836	94	371	19	23	387	154	+11	+3	—	—	+5	2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,767	67	89	214	312	327	+40	+21	7.6	6.6
	/162	664	12	16	214	312	327	+7.1	+3.7	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anderson Fermin (OGILVIE)	19	45	20	60	60	174/289/230	57	298	1	9	37%	12%	45	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Emmanuel Morel 2016 · A	19	45	35→30	53→55	49	207/286/270	62	293	2	17	28%	9%	56	-1.3	187/257/246	59	306	2	15	36%	8%	38	-2.6	139/207/173	34	251	0	17	41%	7%	-4	-1.2
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	46	35→30	50	55	208/299/269	61	275	1	14	22%	11%	63	-0.9	216/285/281	65	304	2	9	27%	9%	59	-1.1	227/294/263	36	322	0	4	27%	9%	53	-0.3
✕Jose Constanza 2007 · A	19	47	34→30	51→60	54	213/308/264	51	310	2	22	28%	12%	65	-0.7	225/318/285	60	306	2	17	24%	12%	74	-0.1	236/346/282	46	308	0	21	20%	14%	83	+0.2
✕Leo Rivas 2017 · A	19	45→54	36→40	54→65	48	210/293/282	73	289	3	21	26%	8%	63	-0.8	199/289/276	77	291	4	13	30%	10%	60	-1.0	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→46	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	49	-1.8	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Yonny Hernández 2017 · A	19	47→57	34→30	53→60	52	216/292/271	55	261	1	19	16%	8%	59	-1.1	225/304/282	57	280	1	24	18%	9%	67	-0.5	268/330/326	58	319	3	17	16%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Dubal Baez 2012 · A	19	46	34→30	52→60	47	210/307/262	52	296	2	16	27%	8%	65	-0.7	218/295/268	50	299	1	19	25%	7%	60	-1.0	222/294/257	35	301	0	26	24%	7%	53	-0.4
✕Juan Mosquera 2008 · A	20	46	34→30	48→55	53	209/308/256	46	299	1	17	27%	11%	63	-0.8	197/274/246	49	265	2	11	24%	9%	45	-2.1	183/242/211	28	222	0	9	16%	7%	19	-1.0
✕Kelvin Alarcon 2017 · A	18	47	34→30	51→55	58	211/319/262	51	303	2	14	27%	13%	69	-0.4	204/289/261	57	297	3	9	29%	10%	56	-1.3	201/262/235	34	319	0	8	34%	7%	34	-0.6
✕Carlos Willoughby 2008 · A	19	48→42	36→40	53→60	49	225/302/290	65	279	3	17	19%	7%	69	-0.4	231/314/298	67	298	2	28	21%	9%	76	+0.0	235/320/307	72	303	1	35	20%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Julio Izturis 2009 · A	19	47	34→30	55→60	55	215/311/263	48	261	2	25	17%	10%	66	-0.6	226/302/298	72	296	4	17	23%	8%	70	-0.3	242/304/298	57	323	4	23	25%	6%	70	-0.1
✕Candido Pimentel 2010 · A	20	48	36→30	54→55	51	223/302/295	72	308	3	17	26%	10%	69	-0.4	217/280/273	56	305	2	15	27%	8%	53	-1.5	241/290/282	41	339	1	17	27%	6%	55	-0.5
✕Jilbert Rosario 2014 · A	19	46	36→30	52→55	46	216/291/285	69	292	3	15	25%	8%	63	-0.9	221/290/273	52	289	2	19	22%	8%	58	-1.2	225/295/260	35	292	0	25	21%	7%	54	-0.5
✕Bengie González 2009 · A	19	41→51	34→45	51→50	47	194/264/244	51	272	2	11	28%	8%	40	-2.4	205/256/250	45	276	1	12	24%	6%	37	-2.6	262/314/365	103	319	5	12	18%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Jesus Galindo 2010 · A	19	45→52	35→40	55→65	47	202/293/259	57	310	2	19	32%	9%	58	-1.2	212/291/266	54	287	1	32	24%	9%	58	-1.2	239/291/307	68	323	2	38	25%	5%	63	-0.5
✕Santos Heredia 2009 · A	19	47	36→30	53→60	49	214/300/288	74	300	2	17	27%	9%	68	-0.5	206/295/271	65	299	3	18	29%	9%	61	-1.0	179/292/207	29	267	2	30	30%	12%	43	-0.8
✕Roberto Caro 2014 · A	20	46→38	35→40	56→60	48	210/285/283	73	287	1	16	25%	8%	59	-1.1	206/280/293	87	292	3	18	28%	8%	59	-1.1	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	48→49	38→40	54→55	58	220/315/308	87	276	3	15	20%	12%	79	+0.3	223/313/311	88	314	5	21	27%	11%	79	+0.3	222/315/321	99	301	8	23	26%	12%	81	+0.2
✕Luis Barahona 2012 · A	18	46	36→30	53→50	48	216/284/286	70	285	3	14	24%	8%	59	-1.1	206/260/268	62	282	2	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	200/252/254	54	273	0	16	25%	6%	33	-1.0