Anderson Fermin

SS Salem RidgeYaks
Age 20 S/R 5'11" / 174 lbs A HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#834ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Red Sox R…224.293/.416/.33701251—.203/.301/.234
202518A/ROK2 orgs220.245/.433/.32502861—.176/.318/.226
202619ABOS276.249/.396/.33011172—.209/.324/.277
2027PROJMLE20MLBBOS386.191/.307/.249111660.0
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBBOS76.204/.318/.28412740.0
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBBOS159.211/.323/.30624810.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Chase%92
BB%88
wOBA61
Speed58
wRC+57
K%51
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 6.3, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 88%
CompsRicardo Ferreira (age 20) · Nasim Nuñez (age 20) · Jesus Galindo (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 164 proj PA
wRC+†66
AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .305 / .247
PA164
HR0
SB5
K%29
BB%13
ISO58
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +3.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.40.50.60.60.60.50.30.227282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$18M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.6$1M+$1.0M
2035Arb-1$2M+0.5$1M+$0.1M
2036Arb-2$3M+0.3$0.6M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Arb-3$3M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $5M $7M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Red Sox Red — 224181 53610 35223 126 293416337753 44325 1016 346 51 — — — — — —
202518 ASalem Red Sox — 3525 1000 8121 30 4029440334 71 3423 206 -9 — — — — — —
202518 ROKFCL Red Sox — 185138 39730 42353 256 283459377836 94371 1923 387 74 — — — — — —
202619 ASalem RidgeYaks — 276221 55931 49665 118 249396330727 81348 2418 342 72 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Red — 224192 39410 24283 126 203301234536 31222 1211 244 51 — — — — — —
202518 A MLESalem Red Sox — 3527 1000 6171 30 3723537272 66 4917 155 -9 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 185153 31520 27523 256 203333261595 59293 2815 277 74 — — — — — —
202619 A MLESalem RidgeYaks — 276235 49731 35905 118 209324277600 68327 3313 274 72 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Red — 224192 39410 24283 126 203301234536 31232 1211 244 51 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Red Sox Red — 224181 53610 35223 126 293416337753 44325 1016 346 51 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 220181 32520 32694 286 177313227540 50278 3115 258 60 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAW2 teams — 220163 40730 50474 286 245433325758 80336 2123 358 60 — — — — — —
202619 A MLESalem RidgeYaks — 276235 49731 35905 118 209324277600 68331 3313 274 72 — — — — — —
202619 A RAWSalem RidgeYaks — 276221 55931 49665 118 249396330727 81348 2418 342 72 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Red — 224195 39410 24283 126 200301231532 31222 1211 244 51 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 220182 32520 32694 286 176313225539 49257 3115 258 60 — — — — — —
202619 A MLESalem RidgeYaks — 276234 49731 35905 118 209324278601 68327 3313 274 72 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Red — 224195 39410 24283 126 200301231532 31222 1211 244 51 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 220182 32520 32694 286 176313225539 49257 3115 258 60 — — — — — —
202619 A MLESalem RidgeYaks — 276234 49731 35905 118 209324278601 68327 3313 274 72 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEBOS 0% 386328 631131 501135 114 191307249556 58285 2913 265 66 -16 +1 +0 +4 +8 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEBOS 34% 221188 38622 28633 62 199313276590 77287 2913 277 74 -7 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.1
202922 MLB MLEBOS 48% 329279 581024 42925 94 206318299617 93288 2813 287 81 -8 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.3
203023 MLB MLEBOS 54% 404344 721236 511116 114 211321315636 104289 2713 294 85 -7 +1 +0 +4 +9 0.7
203124 MLB MLEBOS 55% 452387 831438 561236 125 215323327650 112290 2712 299 88 -6 +0 +0 +5 +10 0.9
203225 MLB MLEBOS 56% 477409 891539 581287 125 217324334658 117291 2712 302 90 -5 +0 +0 +5 +10 1.1
203326 MLB MLEBOS 56% 490420 901539 601327 125 217324335660 118290 2712 302 91 -5 +0 +0 +5 +11 1.1
203427 MLB MLEBOS 55% 493423 911639 601337 125 216323333656 117290 2712 301 90 -6 +0 +0 +5 +11 1.1
203528 MLB MLEBOS 55% 489420 901539 601336 115 214321328649 114289 2712 298 88 -7 +0 -1 +5 +11 0.9
203629 MLB MLEBOS 53% 479412 871538 581326 105 212319322641 110288 2812 295 86 -8 +0 -1 +5 +10 0.6
203730 MLB MLEBOS 57% 467401 831437 571306 95 209315314630 105286 2812 290 83 -10 -0 -2 +5 +10 0.3
203831 MLB MLEBOS 55% 452390 801337 541285 75 205311304615 99283 2812 285 79 -11 -1 -3 +5 +10 -0.0
202821 MLB CTXBOS 34% 7665 14211 10221 21 204318284602 79295 2913 282 74 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
202922 MLB CTXBOS 48% 159136 28512 20452 42 211323306629 95296 2813 292 81 -4 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.1
203023 MLB CTXBOS 54% 219187 39713 27603 62 216326322648 106298 2712 299 85 -4 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.4
203124 MLB CTXBOS 55% 251215 48924 31683 73 220328334662 113299 2712 304 88 -3 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.5
203225 MLB CTXBOS 56% 267228 521025 33724 73 223329341670 119299 2712 307 90 -3 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.6
203326 MLB CTXBOS 56% 276236 531025 34744 73 223329342671 120299 2712 307 91 -3 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.6
203427 MLB CTXBOS 55% 273234 531025 33744 73 222328340668 118299 2712 306 90 -3 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.6
203528 MLB CTXBOS 55% 268229 51925 33734 63 220326335661 115298 2712 303 88 -4 +0 -0 +3 +6 0.5
203629 MLB CTXBOS 53% 256220 48924 31703 52 217324329652 111297 2712 300 86 -4 +0 -1 +3 +6 0.3
203730 MLB CTXBOS 57% 267230 49924 32743 53 214320321641 107295 2812 295 83 -5 -0 -1 +3 +6 0.2
203831 MLB CTXBOS 55% 247212 45814 30703 43 210315311627 101292 2812 290 79 -6 -0 -2 +3 +5 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 25592192 480881842 31470234 6028 219326333659 114300 2712 300 82 -43 +1 -4 +27 +55 3.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650557 12222511 801789 157 219327336663 117299 2712 300 82 -11 +0 -1 +7 +14 1.0
Career— MLE — 56374821 10071663879 696154078 16772 209318308627 99287 2712 290 82 -88 +2 -7 +53 +107 6.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650556 1151949 801789 198 207316304620 97285 2712 290 82 -12 +0 -1 +7 +14 0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ASalem RidgeYaks · 276 PAwOBA .336 → .274 (−61)K% 23.9% → 32.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.91%÷1.000×1.360——32.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.75%÷1.000×0.690—×1.03012.62%
HBP% /PA1.81%—×0.780—×1.0301.46%
Singles /BIP27.10%÷1.000×0.920×1.008×1.03025.88%
Doubles /BIP5.81%÷1.000×0.830×1.008×1.0305.00%
Triples /BIP1.94%÷1.000×0.910×1.008×1.0301.83%
Home runs /BIP0.65%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0300.53%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .336 → .274; ISO .081 → .068; BABIP .348 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Red Sox · 185 PAwOBA .383 → .277 (−106)K% 18.9% → 28.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.92%÷0.965×1.440——28.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.70%÷0.988×0.620—×1.00814.36%
HBP% /PA1.62%—×0.720—×1.0081.18%
Singles /BIP28.16%÷1.033×0.820×1.017×1.00822.90%
Doubles /BIP6.80%÷1.101×0.720×1.017×1.0084.56%
Triples /BIP2.91%÷0.900×0.720×1.017×1.0082.39%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.815×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 107, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 93, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .383 → .277; ISO .094 → .070; BABIP .371 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ASalem Red Sox · 35 PAwOBA .209 → .155 (−55)K% 34.3% → 47.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.29%÷0.974×1.360——47.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.86%÷1.011×0.690—×1.04516.30%
HBP% /PA2.86%—×0.780—×1.0452.33%
Singles /BIP7.69%÷1.030×0.920—×1.0457.18%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.963×0.830—×1.0450.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910—×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.891×0.800—×1.0450.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .209 → .155; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .071 → .066. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Red Sox Red · 224 PAwOBA .345 → .244 (−101)K% 9.8% → 12.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.82%÷0.965×1.220——12.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.62%÷1.044×0.700—×1.00810.55%
HBP% /PA1.34%—×0.700—×1.0080.94%
Singles /BIP28.93%÷1.000×0.680×1.020×1.00820.22%
Doubles /BIP3.77%÷1.124×0.600×1.020×1.0082.07%
Triples /BIP0.63%÷0.900×0.600×1.020×1.0080.43%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.953×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 125, 3B 80, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.

Result: wOBA .345 → .244; ISO .044 → .028; BABIP .325 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).