Rafi Montesino — OGILVIE

Rafi MontesinoOF DSL Red Sox Red

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj PA

wRC+47

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .264 / .269

PA52

HR0

K%30

BB%7

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	76	68	9	0	1	0	6	28	0	2	1	132	203	162	364	29	220	37	8	170	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	76	63	11	0	1	0	11	18	0	2	1	175	297	206	504	32	239	24	14	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	43	39	3	0	0	0	3	14	1	0	0	77	163	77	240		120	33	7	114	-55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	43	37	4	0	0	0	5	9	1	0	0	108	233	108	341		143	21	12	182	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	—	—	52	48	9	1	0	0	4	16	0	1	0	188	250	208	458	21	288	31	8	246	47	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	—	34%	142	130	28	4	1	2	10	41	1	2	0	215	277	308	584	92	290	29	7	259	56	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
2027	20	MLB	—	34%	49	45	9	1	0	1	4	14	0	1	0	200	265	289	554	89	290	29	8	259	56	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	49	45	9	1	0	1	4	14	0	1	0	200	265	289	554	89	267	29	8	259	56	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	119	13	0	13	53	186	0	13	0	199	265	286	551	87	266	29	8	259	56	-32	+3	+0	-4	+18	-1.5
Career	—			—	313	285	49	5	2	2	23	99	2	5	1	172	239	225	463	53	253	32	7	215	23	-27	+1	+0	-2	+9	-2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	101	10	4	4	48	206	4	10	2	171	238	221	459	51	251	32	7	215	23	-57	+1	+0	-4	+18	-4.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	76	63	11	0	1	0	11	18	0	2	1	175	297	206	504	32	239	24	14	241	43	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	43	37	4	0	0	0	5	9	1	0	0	108	233	108	341		143	21	12	182	-2	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rafi Montesino (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	200/264/269	69	288	0	1	30%	7%	47	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adonis Paula 2013 · A	19	37	37→40	48→40	35	180/236/252	72	281	4	8	36%	5%	30	-3.1	196/258/274	78	286	4	5	31%	6%	46	-2.0	177/237/252	75	275	4	2	35%	6%	29	-1.1
✕Romer Cuadrado 2017 · A	19	38→37	39→40	45	41	185/253/265	81	284	6	8	35%	8%	41	-2.3	205/262/298	93	323	8	7	36%	6%	53	-1.5	201/257/294	93	313	8	5	36%	6%	47	-1.3
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Rafael Mejia 2017 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	38	184/237/267	83	263	7	6	32%	5%	34	-2.8	198/237/320	122	278	14	7	33%	4%	49	-1.8	206/233/374	168	276	24	10	35%	2%	56	-0.3
✕Roberto Perez 2008 · A	19	35	38→45	48→30	39	173/243/251	77	275	6	4	37%	7%	33	-2.9	184/250/278	94	251	10	3	29%	7%	43	-2.2	168/237/264	96	214	12	1	27%	7%	35	-1.0
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	41→34	38→45	50	40	197/258/282	85	286	5	8	31%	6%	48	-1.9	226/275/318	92	287	6	14	22%	5%	63	-0.8	239/283/340	101	289	8	18	19%	4%	70	-0.1
✕Enger Jimenez 2014 · A	19	34	41→40	47→50	35	176/222/272	96	262	8	9	35%	5%	29	-3.2	206/257/299	93	278	6	10	26%	5%	51	-1.7	216/268/312	96	280	5	12	23%	5%	56	-0.5
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	42→34	38→45	46→50	39	192/268/272	80	307	5	9	36%	7%	50	-1.7	206/287/306	100	302	9	7	32%	9%	67	-0.5	197/289/306	108	288	11	5	33%	10%	66	-0.3
✕Daniel Santos 2018 · A	19	37	36→45	46→40	43	178/255/242	64	250	3	6	28%	7%	37	-2.6	197/260/282	85	284	6	6	31%	6%	49	-1.8	186/247/273	87	269	7	4	31%	6%	40	-0.7
✕Wilfredo Lara 2023 · A	19	36→39	38→40	49→55	39	176/241/254	78	265	5	10	34%	6%	33	-2.9	183/258/278	95	267	8	13	32%	8%	47	-1.9	169/247/259	90	238	8	18	31%	8%	36	-1.4
✕Franklin Labour 2017 · A	19	41	36→45	50	43	193/254/253	60	257	3	6	25%	6%	39	-2.5	202/268/291	89	283	6	10	29%	7%	54	-1.4	189/257/284	94	275	6	11	31%	7%	46	-0.6
✕Wander Valdez 2019 · A	19	40	39→40	49→45	43	195/255/286	91	271	5	7	29%	7%	46	-2.0	200/260/300	100	317	9	6	37%	7%	53	-1.5	164/232/258	94	290	11	5	45%	7%	28	-0.8
✕Eduardo Urbina 2007 · A	19	38	35→40	42→50	39	184/237/242	57	259	4	7	29%	5%	27	-3.3	204/271/275	71	283	5	8	28%	7%	51	-1.7	202/277/268	66	276	5	9	26%	7%	53	-0.6
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Ignacio Valdez 2014 · A	19	38	36→45	49→50	39	180/242/249	69	280	3	11	35%	7%	32	-3.0	173/238/275	102	269	8	7	37%	7%	37	-2.6	141/208/262	122	210	12	5	38%	6%	20	-1.2
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	34	-2.8	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	33	-2.9	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Miguel Alfonzo 2007 · A	19	37	36→40	46→50	41	176/244/239	63	271	3	9	34%	7%	30	-3.1	198/270/274	76	314	6	10	36%	7%	52	-1.6	192/269/265	73	315	7	9	38%	7%	47	-0.9
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2018 · A	19	36	37→40	46→50	43	170/272/245	75	268	5	9	35%	8%	47	-1.9	177/263/273	96	284	8	9	38%	7%	50	-1.8	145/224/227	82	287	8	19	48%	6%	18	-1.3
✕Robinson Medrano 2015 · A	19	41	37→45	48→45	40	196/254/265	69	286	4	7	31%	6%	41	-2.3	208/263/297	89	278	6	7	26%	6%	53	-1.5	205/257/300	95	260	7	6	23%	6%	48	-0.6