Edward Guribe — OGILVIE

Edward GuribeOF DSL Cardinals

Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 195 lbs ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 75 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .263 / .295

PA75

HR1

K%28

BB%6

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	77	71	20	5	1	2	4	23	1	2	0	282	329	465	794	183	383	30	5	345	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	159	133	33	10	0	5	15	27	7	0	0	248	355	436	791	188	267	17	9	347	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	77	72	13	3	1	1	3	28	1	2	0	181	224	292	515	111	246	36	4	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	159	138	20	6	0	2	10	34	7	0	0	145	239	232	471	87	159	21	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	77	72	13	3	1	1	3	28	1	2	0	181	224	292	515	111	273	36	4	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	77	71	20	5	1	2	4	23	1	2	0	282	329	465	794	183	383	30	5	345	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	159	138	20	6	0	2	10	34	7	0	0	145	239	232	471	87	170	21	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	159	133	33	10	0	5	15	27	7	0	0	248	355	436	791	188	267	17	9	347	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	77	73	13	3	1	1	3	28	1	2	0	178	224	288	511	110	246	36	4	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	159	141	20	6	0	2	10	34	7	0	0	142	239	227	466	85	159	21	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	77	73	13	3	1	1	3	28	1	2	0	178	224	288	511	110	246	36	4	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	159	141	20	6	0	2	10	34	7	0	0	142	239	227	466	85	159	21	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	STL	0%	269	246	50	10	2	3	17	74	4	3	1	205	266	298	563	93	276	28	6	256	59	-13	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	STL	34%	122	111	24	5	1	2	8	33	2	1	1	208	271	308	579	100	278	27	7	262	64	-5	-0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	21	MLB CTX	STL	34%	42	38	9	2	0	1	3	11	1	0	0	209	272	308	580	99	280	26	7	263	64	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	42	38	9	2	0	1	3	11	1	0	0	237	310	368	678	132	308	26	7	263	43	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	139	31	0	15	46	170	15	0	0	236	308	366	673	129	308	26	7	263	43	-28	+0	+0	-4	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	433	390	71	17	2	6	26	116	11	4	1	182	253	282	535	100	237	27	6	231	43	-9	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	107	26	3	9	39	174	17	6	2	183	254	284	538	101	238	27	6	231	43	-29	+0	+0	-4	+14	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Edward Guribe (OGILVIE)	20	40	40	35	35	203/263/295	92	276	1	1	28%	6%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Armando Sierra 2024 · A	20	42	39→40	42→40	47	204/271/287	83	267	6	4	25%	8%	60	-1.6	209/260/307	98	311	8	5	33%	6%	59	-1.6	193/225/303	110	284	12	0	36%	3%	44	-0.5
✕Omar Estévez 2018 · A	20	43	39→45	40	37	210/249/296	86	288	6	3	29%	4%	53	-2.1	218/264/330	112	306	10	3	31%	6%	67	-1.1	201/256/294	92	277	9	1	29%	6%	54	-1.1
✕Darwin Rivera 2012 · A	20	39	40	40→30	35	195/234/282	87	285	8	3	34%	4%	44	-2.8	200/246/284	84	282	7	3	30%	5%	49	-2.4	189/236/264	76	258	7	0	28%	5%	39	-1.0
✕Jonathan Meyer 2011 · A	20	41→45	36→45	39→40	39	195/244/262	67	283	3	4	31%	6%	42	-2.9	215/260/308	93	293	10	3	29%	6%	59	-1.6	215/259/311	96	282	11	2	27%	5%	58	-1.5
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→40	44→55	40	185/250/278	93	262	9	9	32%	6%	50	-2.3	205/259/296	91	278	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Randy César 2015 · A	20	39→49	36→40	38→40	42	187/237/249	62	248	4	3	26%	6%	38	-3.2	198/243/276	78	297	7	3	34%	5%	46	-2.6	237/283/328	91	347	8	2	32%	6%	69	-0.6
✕Raul Juarez 2018 · A	20	42	36→40	42→40	41	200/260/264	63	257	4	6	23%	5%	51	-2.3	200/251/277	77	285	6	5	30%	5%	49	-2.4	146/187/213	67	206	8	0	33%	3%	9	-1.0
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2013 · A	20	35	37→45	42→40	38	175/237/244	69	259	5	4	33%	6%	37	-3.3	206/258/298	92	286	7	4	29%	6%	57	-1.8	213/268/321	108	292	9	2	29%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Nick Basto 2015 · A	21	42→49	39→45	38→30	35	206/243/288	82	284	7	3	30%	4%	49	-2.4	201/249/306	105	285	10	2	32%	5%	55	-1.9	206/263/314	107	284	11	0	30%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Anderson De Los Santos 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	43→50	40	192/247/282	89	269	7	8	30%	6%	49	-2.4	183/261/280	97	274	9	12	34%	9%	55	-1.9	173/266/275	101	253	10	13	33%	10%	53	-1.5
✕Cesar Quintas 2023 · A	20	40→48	36→45	41→45	37	188/259/248	60	287	3	5	33%	6%	47	-2.5	207/289/299	92	303	7	5	32%	6%	70	-0.8	200/288/307	107	285	10	6	31%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Duanel Jones 2013 · A	20	39→42	40→45	41→40	41	190/246/279	88	267	7	4	31%	6%	48	-2.5	199/244/296	97	282	10	3	32%	5%	51	-2.2	198/241/299	100	273	12	2	31%	5%	49	-1.9
✕Matt Kennelly 2009 · A	20	43	40	41→40	36	211/245/302	91	283	8	3	28%	4%	53	-2.1	210/256/287	77	287	6	2	28%	6%	53	-2.1	224/280/310	86	279	7	2	21%	6%	65	-0.6
✕Daryl Jones 2007 · A	20	42→39	43→45	40	41	206/267/314	107	285	11	3	30%	6%	65	-1.2	216/271/317	101	311	9	5	32%	6%	66	-1.1	218/267/303	85	321	7	2	32%	5%	58	-0.8
✕Christopher Tamarez 2014 · A	20	39	36→40	36→40	42	188/236/254	66	240	4	3	23%	5%	38	-3.2	191/234/243	52	261	2	5	26%	5%	34	-3.5	158/193/164	6	212	0	3	24%	4%	-2	-2.0
✕J.V. Martinez 2019 · A	20	40→36	41→45	43→30	39	198/258/298	100	278	9	3	31%	6%	57	-1.8	196/258/298	102	278	9	2	31%	6%	57	-1.8	185/246/288	103	261	9	1	31%	6%	48	-1.4
✕Cristian Santana 2017 · A	20	37→47	41→50	39→30	36	189/222/283	94	250	9	4	28%	4%	39	-3.1	234/258/361	127	319	16	2	31%	3%	72	-0.7	256/283/351	96	338	10	0	27%	3%	75	-0.3
✕Alberto Odreman 2009 · A	20	39	41→45	41→30	46	193/267/288	94	251	8	3	26%	8%	59	-1.7	190/241/293	103	270	11	4	33%	5%	50	-2.3	164/204/265	101	230	14	2	35%	4%	26	-1.1
✕Cameron Garfield 2011 · A	20	42→43	37→45	38→45	36	203/238/275	72	277	5	4	28%	4%	43	-2.8	217/259/329	112	288	11	4	27%	5%	65	-1.2	207/246/312	105	274	9	5	28%	4%	52	-1.3
✕Luis Del Rosario 2009 · A	19	44	37→40	39→55	44	207/269/277	69	291	4	8	29%	8%	56	-1.9	203/258/274	71	317	4	12	35%	7%	51	-2.2	198/242/271	73	311	6	22	36%	5%	40	-1.2